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SUPL - ETF AI Analysis

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SUPL

ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
SUPL, the ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF, appears to be a solid but not top-tier fund, driven by several strong transportation and logistics leaders like FedEx, CSX, and DHL Group, which bring robust financial performance, positive technical trends, and operational improvements. These strengths are partly offset by holdings such as XPO and Union Pacific, where high leverage, valuation concerns, and legal or corporate-event risks introduce uncertainty. The main risk factor is the fund’s concentration in transportation and logistics companies, which makes it sensitive to economic slowdowns, industry consolidation issues, and sector-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains over the past three months and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Leading Logistics Companies in Top Holdings
Several of the largest positions, including major freight and parcel delivery firms, have delivered strong year-to-date results that support the fund’s performance.
Global Exposure Within a Focused Theme
Holdings spread across the U.S. and multiple other countries provide some geographic diversification while still targeting the supply chain and logistics theme.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration in Industrials
With most of the portfolio in industrials, the fund is heavily exposed to economic cycles that affect transportation and logistics companies.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Several key positions have shown weak or slightly negative year-to-date performance, which could drag on overall returns if the trend continues.
Above-Average Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is relatively high for an ETF, meaning more of the returns are used to cover fees instead of going to investors.

SUPL vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SUPL Summary

The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) tracks the FactSet Supply Chain Logistics Index, focusing on companies that move, store, and manage goods around the world. It mainly holds industrial firms involved in trucking, railroads, shipping, and warehousing. Well-known holdings include UPS and FedEx. Someone might invest in SUPL to benefit from long-term growth in global trade and e-commerce, and to get diversified exposure to many logistics companies in one fund. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to the industrial and shipping economy, so its price can rise or fall with global trade and economic cycles.
How much will it cost me?The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) has an expense ratio of 0.58%, meaning you’ll pay $5.80 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed, focusing on a specific sector rather than tracking a broad index. Active management often involves higher costs due to research and portfolio adjustments.
What would affect this ETF?The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) could benefit from increasing globalization, the growth of e-commerce, and the rising demand for efficient supply chain solutions, which drive innovation in transportation, warehousing, and logistics technology. However, challenges such as economic slowdowns, rising interest rates, or regulatory changes affecting global trade could negatively impact the ETF's performance, particularly given its heavy exposure to industrial companies and reliance on global supply chain activity.

SUPL Top 10 Holdings

SUPL is very much a bet on the global movement of goods, with a heavy tilt toward industrial logistics names. XPO has been the star of the show lately, powering ahead and giving the fund a nice tailwind, while FedEx and Old Dominion Freight are also rising and helping drive returns. Rail giants like CSX and Canadian Pacific Kansas City are steadily pulling their weight, adding stability rather than fireworks. With UPS and DHL in the mix, the ETF is globally diversified but still tightly anchored to transportation and logistics, not flashy tech.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
FedEx5.43%$60.48K$84.43B41.42%
79
Outperform
Old Dominion Freight5.37%$59.83K$40.43B8.03%
71
Outperform
Canadian Pacific Kansas City4.61%$51.27K$74.54B6.82%
74
Outperform
XPO4.50%$50.11K$22.10B74.11%
70
Outperform
CSX4.49%$50.04K$74.29B27.80%
78
Outperform
Brambles 4.44%$49.40KAU$33.12B29.59%
75
Outperform
Union Pacific4.37%$48.66K$150.79B1.92%
72
Outperform
United Parcel4.34%$48.29K$86.91B-15.84%
72
Outperform
Norfolk Southern4.19%$46.64K$68.01B25.03%
75
Outperform
CH Robinson4.14%$46.05K$21.31B75.34%
72
Outperform

SUPL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
42.77
Positive
100DMA
40.49
Positive
200DMA
38.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Positive
RSI
44.54
Neutral
STOCH
28.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUPL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.90, equal to the 50-day MA of 42.77, and equal to the 200-day MA of 38.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SUPL.

SUPL Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$1.14M0.58%
62
Neutral
$95.95M0.35%
68
Neutral
$60.22M0.50%
60
Neutral
$50.46M0.80%
71
Outperform
$8.73M0.45%
62
Neutral
$1.95M0.60%
66
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUPL
ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF
43.51
6.91
18.88%
NATO
Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF
FMED
Fidelity Disruptive Medicine ETF
BCFN
Baron Financials ETF
WDGF
WisdomTree Global Defense Fund
SHPP
Pacer Industrials and Logistics ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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