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SUPL - ETF AI Analysis

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SUPL

ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
SUPL, the ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF, earns a solid overall rating because many of its largest holdings—like FedEx and CSX—show strong financial performance, good cash flow, and positive business momentum, which support the fund’s quality. However, several key stocks also face valuation concerns, high leverage, and some overbought or cautious technical signals, and the fund’s focus on transportation and logistics companies means it is exposed to sector-specific and macroeconomic risks that can hold back its rating.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown strong gains so far this year and in recent months, indicating positive momentum in its strategy.
Leading Logistics Companies in Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, including major freight, shipping, and rail names, have delivered strong year-to-date results that support the fund’s overall performance.
Global Exposure Across Multiple Countries
Holdings spread across the U.S. and several other developed markets help reduce the impact of weakness in any single country.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration in Industrials
With most assets in industrials and logistics-related businesses, the fund is heavily exposed to downturns in this single part of the economy.
Moderately High Expense Ratio
The fund’s fee is on the higher side for an ETF, which can gradually eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost options.
Thematic Risk in Supply Chain and Logistics
Because the ETF focuses narrowly on supply chain and logistics companies, it may be more volatile and sensitive to changes in global trade and shipping demand than a broader market fund.

SUPL vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SUPL Summary

The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) tracks the FactSet Supply Chain Logistics Index, focusing on companies that move, store, and manage goods around the world. It holds well-known names like FedEx and UPS, along with railroads and other shipping and logistics firms. Someone might invest in SUPL to benefit from long-term growth in global trade and e-commerce, and to get targeted exposure to the logistics part of the industrial sector. A key risk is that it is concentrated in transportation and logistics stocks, so its price can rise or fall sharply with economic cycles and shipping demand.
How much will it cost me?The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) has an expense ratio of 0.58%, meaning you’ll pay $5.80 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed, focusing on a specific sector rather than tracking a broad index. Active management often involves higher costs due to research and portfolio adjustments.
What would affect this ETF?The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) could benefit from increasing globalization, the growth of e-commerce, and the rising demand for efficient supply chain solutions, which drive innovation in transportation, warehousing, and logistics technology. However, challenges such as economic slowdowns, rising interest rates, or regulatory changes affecting global trade could negatively impact the ETF's performance, particularly given its heavy exposure to industrial companies and reliance on global supply chain activity.

SUPL Top 10 Holdings

SUPL is riding a wave of strength from fast-moving freight and parcel names, with XPO acting as the fund’s main engine thanks to its rising momentum, while Old Dominion and FedEx add steady horsepower. Rail giants like CSX and Canadian Pacific are also pulling their weight, though their gains have been more measured. UPS has been more mixed lately, occasionally tapping the brakes on performance. Overall, the ETF is tightly focused on industrial logistics, with a global flavor that includes U.S. leaders alongside European and Australian players.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Old Dominion Freight5.52%$126.14K$45.82B48.01%
71
Outperform
FedEx5.48%$125.29K$92.57B83.40%
79
Outperform
CSX4.85%$110.92K$84.38B63.11%
78
Outperform
XPO4.70%$107.36K$26.26B125.57%
70
Outperform
Canadian Pacific Kansas City4.61%$105.25K$78.16B21.60%
74
Outperform
Union Pacific4.45%$101.65K$159.53B26.48%
72
Outperform
United Parcel4.43%$101.20K$90.96B11.48%
72
Outperform
Norfolk Southern4.20%$95.99K$78.27B43.82%
75
Outperform
CH Robinson4.14%$94.58K$21.57B111.51%
72
Outperform
DHL Group4.07%$93.06K€53.49B27.63%
76
Outperform

SUPL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
43.98
Positive
100DMA
42.74
Positive
200DMA
40.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.65
Positive
RSI
59.35
Neutral
STOCH
14.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.02, equal to the 50-day MA of 43.98, and equal to the 200-day MA of 40.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SUPL.

SUPL Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$2.29M0.58%
61
Neutral
$99.07M0.35%
67
Neutral
$58.63M0.50%
58
Neutral
$47.53M0.80%
71
Outperform
$12.95M0.45%
59
Neutral
$1.99M0.60%
66
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUPL
ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF
45.58
11.18
32.50%
NATO
Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF
FMED
Fidelity Disruptive Medicine ETF
BCFN
Baron Financials ETF
WDGF
WisdomTree Global Defense Fund
SHPP
Pacer Industrials and Logistics ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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