SUPL - ETF AI Analysis

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ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL)

Rating:62Neutral

Price Target:―

SUPL, the ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong, well-established logistics leaders like Expeditors International and FedEx, which benefit from healthy financial performance, positive technical trends, and strategic initiatives that support growth. Additional support comes from companies like DHL Group and CSX, which add operational strength but also bring some risks around leverage, valuation, and potential overbought conditions. The main risk for this ETF is that many of its key holdings share similar valuation and macroeconomic pressures in the transportation and logistics sector, which can weigh on the fund’s rating during economic slowdowns.

Positive Factors

Strong Recent Performance

The ETF has shown solid gains over the past three months and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.

Leading Logistics Companies in Top Holdings

Several of the largest positions, including major freight and parcel delivery firms, have delivered strong year-to-date results that support the fund’s performance.

Global Exposure Within a Focused Theme

Holdings spread across the U.S. and multiple other countries provide some geographic diversification while still targeting the supply chain and logistics theme.

Negative Factors

High Sector Concentration in Industrials

With most of the portfolio in industrials, the fund is heavily exposed to economic cycles that affect transportation and logistics companies.

Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings

Several key positions have shown weak or slightly negative year-to-date performance, which could drag on overall returns if the trend continues.

Above-Average Expense Ratio

The fund’s expense ratio is relatively high for an ETF, meaning more of the returns are used to cover fees instead of going to investors.

SUPL vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM1.07M

RegionGlobal

Expense Ratio0.58%

Beta0.78

IssuerProShares

Inception DateApr 06, 2022

Dividend Yield2.75%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedFactSet Supply Chain Logistics Index - Benchmark TR Net

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume456

30 Day Avg. Volume513

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

44.59

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusHold

Number of Analyst Covering34

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

SUPL Summary

The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) tracks the FactSet Supply Chain Logistics Index, focusing on companies that move, store, and manage goods around the world. It mainly holds industrial firms involved in trucking, railroads, shipping, and warehousing. Well-known holdings include UPS and FedEx. Someone might invest in SUPL to benefit from long-term growth in global trade and e-commerce, and to get diversified exposure to many logistics companies in one fund. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to the industrial and shipping economy, so its price can rise or fall with global trade and economic cycles.

How much will it cost me?The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) has an expense ratio of 0.58%, meaning you’ll pay $5.80 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed, focusing on a specific sector rather than tracking a broad index. Active management often involves higher costs due to research and portfolio adjustments.

What would affect this ETF?The ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF (SUPL) could benefit from increasing globalization, the growth of e-commerce, and the rising demand for efficient supply chain solutions, which drive innovation in transportation, warehousing, and logistics technology. However, challenges such as economic slowdowns, rising interest rates, or regulatory changes affecting global trade could negatively impact the ETF's performance, particularly given its heavy exposure to industrial companies and reliance on global supply chain activity.

SUPL Top 10 Holdings

SUPL is tightly focused on industrial logistics, with U.S. delivery giants UPS, FedEx, and Old Dominion acting as the main engines, all showing rising momentum and helping pull the fund forward. Expeditors and C.H. Robinson add more lift, with steady-to-strong trends as global trade and supply chain optimization stay in focus. On the other side of the ledger, rail names like CSX and Canadian Pacific Kansas City are lagging, putting a slight drag on returns. While it’s a global fund, the story is still dominated by North American transport leaders.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
ODFL	Old Dominion Freight	5.39%	$59.23K	$43.61B	7.69%	71 Outperform
FDX	FedEx	5.35%	$58.73K	$85.24B	40.10%	79 Outperform
UPS	United Parcel	4.93%	$54.17K	$99.04B	2.88%	72 Outperform
CHRW	CH Robinson	4.52%	$49.69K	$23.48B	105.65%	72 Outperform
DHL	DHL Group	4.42%	$48.60K	€54.60B	39.53%	76 Outperform
CSX	CSX	4.41%	$48.46K	$74.21B	21.72%	78 Outperform
CP	Canadian Pacific Kansas City	4.35%	$47.81K	$71.65B	1.52%	74 Outperform
EXPD	Expeditors International	4.28%	$47.00K	$22.10B	47.50%	80 Outperform
UNP	Union Pacific	4.25%	$46.71K	$148.15B	2.16%	72 Outperform
NSC	Norfolk Southern	4.19%	$46.03K	$75.09B	21.52%	75 Outperform

SUPL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

40.53

Positive

100DMA

38.93

Positive

200DMA

37.84

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.78

Negative

RSI

71.54

Negative

STOCH

96.86

Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.81, equal to the 50-day MA of 40.53, and equal to the 200-day MA of 37.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SUPL.

SUPL Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
SUPL	―	―	$1.07M	0.58%	―
SPTE	―	―	$99.48M	0.55%	―
NATO	―	―	$80.95M	0.35%	―
FMED	―	―	$62.56M	0.50%	―
WDGF	―	―	$7.02M	0.45%	―
SHPP	―	―	$3.70M	0.60%	―

Performance Comparison

SUPL

ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF

43.85

6.93

18.77%

SPTE

SP Funds S&P Global Technology ETF

―

NATO

Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF

―

FMED

Fidelity Disruptive Medicine ETF

―

WDGF

WisdomTree Global Defense Fund

―

SHPP

Pacer Industrials and Logistics ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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