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DHL Group
(XETRA:DHL)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
€59.00
▲(3.44% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance supported by strong free cash flow, offset by weaker revenue growth, margin compression versus prior peak years, and moderate leverage. Technical signals are mixed with longer-term trend support but softer near-term momentum, while valuation is reasonable and helped by a ~3.29% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently strong TTM operating cash flow (~€9.0B) and free cash flow (~€6.2B), with FCF ~68% of net income, create durable internal funding. This reduces reliance on external financing, supports dividends and capex, and gives the firm flexibility to invest or deleverage through industry cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue Below Prior Peak
Revenue remaining below the 2022 peak with negative recent growth highlights structural demand softness or market normalization. Prolonged topline weakness limits operating-leverage benefits, constrains margin recovery, and reduces available cash to fund strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently strong TTM operating cash flow (~€9.0B) and free cash flow (~€6.2B), with FCF ~68% of net income, create durable internal funding. This reduces reliance on external financing, supports dividends and capex, and gives the firm flexibility to invest or deleverage through industry cycles.
Read all positive factors
DHL Group (DHL) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)
Market Cap
€64.65B
Dividend Yield3.29%
Average Volume (3M)1.55M
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.5
Beta (1Y)1.09
Revenue Growth-2.69%
EPS Growth7.84%
CountryDE
Employees579,479
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.13
Shares Outstanding1,150,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume1,351,800
30 Day Avg. Volume1,553,611
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.88
Price to Book (P/B)2.38
Price to Sales (P/S)0.64
P/FCF Ratio9.45
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€54.70Price Target Upside-4.10% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering11
EPS Forecast (FY)3.47
Revenue Forecast (FY)€86.71B
DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Deutsche Post AG is a leading global provider of postal and logistics services, operating extensively across Germany, the broader European continent, the Americas, Asia Pacific, and both the Middle East and Africa. The company's diverse operations...
How the Company Makes Money
DHL Group makes money primarily by charging customers for transportation, delivery, and logistics services, with revenue earned across several major business lines: (1) Express: Fees for time-definite international and domestic door-to-door shipme...
DHL Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
73
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 82.47B | 82.86B | 84.19B | 81.76B | 94.44B | 81.75B |
| Gross Profit | 9.10B | 8.99B | 8.63B | 8.83B | 11.31B | 10.56B |
| EBITDA | 11.52B | 11.15B | 10.73B | 10.80B | 12.69B | 11.72B |
| Net Income | 3.53B | 3.50B | 3.33B | 3.67B | 5.36B | 5.05B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 74.41B | 74.25B | 69.88B | 66.83B | 68.28B | 63.59B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 7.79B | 5.08B | 2.19B | 4.26B | 3.19B | 4.71B |
| Total Debt | 29.06B | 25.45B | 22.44B | 20.83B | 20.22B | 19.02B |
| Total Liabilities | 50.56B | 51.63B | 45.66B | 43.94B | 44.58B | 44.09B |
| Stockholders Equity | 23.40B | 22.23B | 23.79B | 22.48B | 23.24B | 19.04B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.19B | 5.61B | 5.79B | 5.88B | 7.05B | 6.26B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.97B | 8.40B | 8.72B | 9.26B | 10.96B | 9.99B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.13B | -4.94B | -2.39B | -2.18B | -3.18B | -4.82B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -4.66B | -3.49B | -6.35B | -6.90B | -7.41B | -6.22B |
DHL Group Technical Analysis
Positive
57.04
Price Trends
54.57
Positive
50.42
Positive
47.32
Positive
Market Momentum
0.45
Positive
45.30
Neutral
12.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:DHL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.90, above the 50-day MA of 54.57, and above the 200-day MA of 47.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:DHL.
DHL Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | €816.44M | 13.43 | 14.55% | 4.51% | -5.64% | -9.56% | |
63 Neutral | €10.86B | 6.90 | 5.65% | 3.77% | 4.96% | 26.60% | |
61 Neutral | €64.65B | 18.45 | 16.07% | 3.33% | -2.69% | 7.84% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
53 Neutral | €6.25B | 14.52 | 8.46% | 1.52% | 0.92% | 2.89% | |
53 Neutral | €22.34B | 89.51 | 1.39% | 2.30% | -10.66% | -90.22% | |
43 Neutral | €2.11B | 24.86 | 0.35% | 0.46% | 6.06% | -81.63% |
* General Sector Average
DE:DHL
DHL Group
55.32
16.41
42.16%
DE:LHA
Deutsche Lufthansa
8.34
0.60
7.71%
DE:FRA
Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide
66.90
-8.59
-11.38%
DE:HHFA
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
21.70
0.80
3.83%
DE:HLAG
Hapag Lloyd
125.10
0.64
0.52%
DE:TGHN
Logwin AG
278.00
40.95
17.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.