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DHL Group (DE:DHL)
XETRA:DHL

DHL Group (DHL) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:DHL

DHL Group

(XETRA:DHL)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€48.00
▼(-2.32% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/06/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but weakening financial performance (notably the TTM revenue decline, sharply negative FCF growth, and higher leverage). Technical indicators are bearish and weigh on the score, while the relatively low P/E and ~4% dividend yield provide meaningful valuation support.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Strength
Strong cash flow growth supports liquidity and operational flexibility, ensuring the company can invest in growth and weather economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue suggests potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which could impact growth prospects if not addressed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Strength
Strong cash flow growth supports liquidity and operational flexibility, ensuring the company can invest in growth and weather economic fluctuations.
Read all positive factors

DHL Group (DHL) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Deutsche Post AG operates as a mail and logistics company in Germany, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through five segments: Express; Global Forwarding, Freight; Supply Chain; eComm...
How the Company Makes Money
DHL generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns money from its express delivery services, which cater to time-sensitive shipments, both domestically and internationally. The DHL Parcel division contributes signific...

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid but trending softer: TTM profitability remains decent (EBIT margin ~7.6%, net margin ~4.2%) and cash generation is strong (FCF €6.0B), but TTM revenue contracted sharply and FCF growth is strongly negative. Leverage has also increased (debt-to-equity ~1.22), reducing near-term cushion versus 2022–2024.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue82.86B84.19B81.76B94.44B81.75B
Gross Profit8.99B8.63B8.83B11.31B10.56B
EBITDA8.87B8.60B8.87B10.73B10.29B
Net Income3.50B3.33B3.67B5.36B5.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.25B69.88B66.83B68.28B63.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.08B2.19B4.26B3.19B4.71B
Total Debt25.45B22.44B20.83B20.22B19.02B
Total Liabilities51.63B45.66B43.94B44.58B44.09B
Stockholders Equity22.23B23.79B22.48B23.24B19.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.61B5.79B5.88B7.05B6.26B
Operating Cash Flow8.40B8.72B9.26B10.96B9.99B
Investing Cash Flow-4.94B-2.39B-2.18B-3.18B-4.82B
Financing Cash Flow-3.49B-6.35B-6.90B-7.41B-6.22B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.14
Price Trends
50DMA
47.42
Positive
100DMA
46.76
Positive
200DMA
43.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
64.61
Neutral
STOCH
97.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:DHL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.57, above the 50-day MA of 47.42, and above the 200-day MA of 43.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:DHL.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
€810.69M12.1016.03%5.12%21.42%-10.98%
63
Neutral
€7.36B14.979.57%0.11%2.58%
60
Neutral
€54.15B15.1415.89%3.97%0.77%12.83%
57
Neutral
€9.53B7.5312.23%3.56%5.95%82.99%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€20.72B22.724.94%7.14%8.66%5.41%
40
Underperform
€2.15B165.571.25%0.47%13.44%113.13%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:DHL
DHL Group
49.14
15.08
44.25%
DE:LHA
Deutsche Lufthansa
7.94
2.15
37.20%
DE:FRA
Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide
79.70
21.40
36.71%
DE:HHFA
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
22.00
3.70
20.21%
DE:HLAG
Hapag Lloyd
117.90
-6.81
-5.46%
DE:TGHN
Logwin AG
282.00
54.29
23.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026