DHL Group (DHL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €44.18B
• Dividend Yield: 4.82%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.37M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.21
• Revenue Growth: 2.81%
• EPS Growth: 7.64%
• Country: DE
• Employees: 580,580
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 0.72
• Shares Outstanding: 1,200,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,227,286
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,368,848
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €45.17
• Price Target Upside: 18.62% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 14

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: €42.00 ▲(10.29% Upside)

DHL Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors did not influence the score.

Positive Factors

Negative Factors

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

DHL Group (DHL) is a global leader in the logistics and transportation industry, offering a comprehensive range of services in express shipping, freight transportation, supply chain management, and e-commerce solutions. Operating under the Deutsche Post DHL Group umbrella, DHL consists of several divisions, including DHL Express, DHL Freight, DHL Supply Chain, and DHL eCommerce, catering to diverse customer needs across various sectors such as automotive, technology, retail, and healthcare. With a presence in over 220 countries and territories, DHL is committed to providing innovative and efficient logistics solutions that enhance global trade and connectivity.

How the Company Makes Money

DHL generates revenue primarily through its diverse service offerings in logistics and transportation. Key revenue streams include express parcel delivery services through DHL Express, freight transportation via DHL Freight (which encompasses air, ocean, and road freight), and supply chain solutions provided by DHL Supply Chain. The company also earns income from e-commerce logistics services tailored for online retailers. Significant partnerships with major global corporations, such as Amazon and various automotive manufacturers, contribute to its earnings by ensuring consistent demand for its services. Additionally, DHL leverages technology and data analytics to optimize operations and enhance customer experience, which further drives revenue growth.

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

DHL Group exhibits a solid financial performance with strengths in profitability and cash flow generation. Despite a recent decline in revenue growth, the company maintains strong margins and a healthy return on equity. The balance sheet is stable, though leverage is moderate. The cash flow metrics highlight the company's ability to generate and manage cash effectively.

Income Statement

DHL Group's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data reveals a slight decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -0.96%. However, the company maintains stable profitability margins with a gross profit margin of 15.74% and a net profit margin of 3.99%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 7.22% and 12.87%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. Despite the recent revenue decline, the company has shown resilience in maintaining its profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of DHL Group reflects a stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.12, which is manageable but indicates a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 14.71%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is approximately 30.63%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates a sound financial foundation with some leverage considerations.

Cash Flow

DHL Group's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 4.75%, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, reflecting robust cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.50, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The company's cash flow performance is a key strength, supporting its operational and financial stability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	83.93B	84.19B	81.76B	94.44B	81.75B	66.81B
Gross Profit	13.28B	13.15B	13.10B	16.55B	15.44B	11.77B
EBITDA	11.01B	10.81B	10.81B	12.73B	11.69B	8.54B
Net Income	3.45B	3.33B	3.68B	5.36B	5.05B	2.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	67.38B	69.88B	66.83B	68.28B	63.59B	55.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.01B	2.19B	4.26B	3.19B	4.71B	5.80B
Total Debt	25.88B	22.44B	20.83B	20.22B	19.02B	18.35B
Total Liabilities	46.30B	45.66B	43.94B	44.58B	44.09B	41.23B
Stockholders Equity	20.64B	23.79B	22.48B	23.24B	19.04B	13.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.98B	5.79B	5.88B	7.05B	6.26B	4.78B
Operating Cash Flow	8.84B	8.72B	9.26B	10.96B	9.99B	7.70B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.75B	-2.39B	-2.18B	-3.18B	-4.82B	-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow	-5.58B	-6.35B	-6.90B	-7.41B	-6.22B	-2.25B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 38.08
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:DHL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 38.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.08, below the 50-day MA of 39.62, and above the 200-day MA of 37.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:DHL.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FRA	74 Outperform	6.92B	17.49	9.33%	―	3.38%	-14.57%
LHA	73 Outperform	8.92B	5.02	17.22%	4.03%	6.03%	78.04%
HLAG	66 Neutral	21.09B	8.93	13.37%	6.83%	19.74%	208.29%
DHL	64 Neutral	€44.18B	12.83	16.15%	4.82%	2.81%	7.64%
FPH	61 Neutral	45.73M	3.04	28.92%	―	-28.33%	47.78%
HHFA	57 Neutral	2.07B	59.15	4.87%	0.47%	16.39%	87.55%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%