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NATO - ETF AI Analysis

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NATO

Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF (NATO)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
NATO, the Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong, diversified aerospace and defense leaders like Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, RTX, GE Aerospace, and Lockheed Martin, all of which show healthy financial performance, positive earnings outlooks, and strategic growth initiatives. However, holdings such as Boeing and Airbus introduce some drag on the rating due to financial challenges, program delays, and bearish technical signals, and the fund’s focus on the defense and aerospace sector means investors are exposed to concentrated industry and government-related risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Defense Leaders in Top Holdings
Several major defense and aerospace companies in the top positions have shown strong year-to-date gains, helping support the fund’s overall performance.
Transatlantic Geographic Diversification
Holdings spread across the U.S., U.K., France, Germany, and other NATO-aligned countries reduce reliance on any single national market.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is reasonably low for a specialized thematic ETF, allowing investors to keep more of their returns.
Negative Factors
Heavy Concentration in Industrials
With most assets in the industrials sector, the ETF is highly sensitive to downturns in defense and aerospace industries.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some of the largest positions have shown weak or negative year-to-date performance, which can drag on the fund’s returns.
Recent Short-Term Performance Weakness
The ETF has experienced a recent three-month decline, signaling near-term volatility that investors should be prepared for.

NATO vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NATO Summary

The Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF (ticker: NATO) tracks the Solactive Transatlantic Aerospace and Defense Index, focusing on defense and aerospace companies in North America and Europe. It holds well-known names like Boeing and Lockheed Martin, along with other major contractors that build aircraft, engines, and defense systems. Investors might consider this ETF if they want targeted exposure to the defense industry, which often benefits from steady government spending and long-term contracts, while still getting diversification across many companies and countries. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to the defense sector, so it can rise or fall with changes in military budgets and geopolitical tensions.
How much will it cost me?The Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF (NATO) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This cost is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed to focus on a specific niche, the Aerospace & Defense sector, requiring more research and specialized management.
What would affect this ETF?The NATO ETF could benefit from increased government defense spending and heightened geopolitical tensions, which often drive demand for advanced aerospace and defense technologies. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes, budget cuts in defense spending, or economic slowdowns that could impact the industrial sector globally.

NATO Top 10 Holdings

This ETF is a pure play on transatlantic aerospace and defense, with performance hinging on a tight group of U.S. and European heavyweights. Howmet Aerospace has been the standout engine, rising steadily and giving the fund some welcome lift, while Honeywell and Lockheed Martin are also pulling their weight with solid, if bumpier, gains. On the other side, Airbus and GE Aerospace have been losing altitude, and RTX has been more of a drag than a driver. Overall, it’s a concentrated industrial story with global, but Western-focused, exposure.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Boeing8.33%$8.09M$183.23B26.90%
54
Neutral
RTX8.05%$7.82M$234.67B38.93%
74
Outperform
GE Aerospace7.55%$7.33M$296.93B41.67%
72
Outperform
Rolls-Royce Holdings6.09%$5.92M£94.80B52.14%
71
Outperform
Airbus Group SE5.42%$5.26M$152.99B18.35%
68
Neutral
SAFRAN SA5.21%$5.06M€112.57B17.55%
67
Neutral
Honeywell International5.17%$5.02M$135.08B5.68%
77
Outperform
Lockheed Martin4.99%$4.84M$118.38B7.78%
70
Outperform
Howmet Aerospace4.76%$4.63M$97.15B77.26%
67
Neutral
BAE Systems4.07%$3.95M£59.22B23.73%
61
Neutral

NATO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
40.71
Negative
100DMA
40.62
Negative
200DMA
38.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.70
Positive
RSI
42.60
Neutral
STOCH
22.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.73, equal to the 50-day MA of 40.71, and equal to the 200-day MA of 38.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NATO.

NATO Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$96.28M0.35%
67
Neutral
$98.47M1.00%
69
Neutral
$97.41M0.55%
65
Neutral
$12.95M0.45%
59
Neutral
$2.29M0.58%
61
Neutral
$1.99M0.60%
66
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATO
Themes Transatlantic Defense ETF
38.46
7.20
23.03%
FFND
Future Fund Active ETF
EVX
VanEck Environmental Services ETF
WDGF
WisdomTree Global Defense Fund
SUPL
ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF
SHPP
Pacer Industrials and Logistics ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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