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Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
:HWM

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) AI Stock Analysis

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HWM

Howmet Aerospace

(NYSE:HWM)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$210.00
▲(3.20% Upside)
Howmet Aerospace's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The company's strategic financial maneuvers, such as debt refinancing, further bolster its position, but potential risks in commercial transportation and tariff uncertainties remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth in key segments indicates robust demand and market position, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Debt Refinancing
Refinancing improves financial performance by lowering interest costs, enhancing profitability and cash flow.
Negative Factors
Commercial Transportation Challenges
Declining revenue in commercial transportation could signal market challenges, affecting future growth in this segment.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainties can impact cost structures and pricing strategies, potentially affecting competitiveness and margins.
Leadership Transition
Leadership changes can introduce strategic shifts and execution risks, impacting company stability and strategic continuity.

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Howmet Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHowmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) is a leading global provider of advanced engineered solutions for aerospace and transportation industries. The company operates primarily in two segments: Aerospace and Transportation, offering a wide range of products including aerospace fasteners, turbine engine components, and aluminum structures. With a strong focus on innovation and technology, Howmet Aerospace serves major aircraft manufacturers and suppliers, contributing to the performance and efficiency of modern aircraft.
How the Company Makes MoneyHowmet Aerospace generates revenue through the manufacture and sale of its aerospace components and systems. The company's primary revenue streams include the production of titanium and aluminum precision components, fasteners, and engineered solutions for both commercial and defense markets. Key customers include major aerospace companies such as Boeing and Airbus, as well as defense contractors. Additionally, Howmet Aerospace benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with these companies, ensuring a steady flow of income. The company's focus on research and development allows it to innovate and expand its product offerings, further enhancing its revenue potential in the competitive aerospace market.

Howmet Aerospace Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA Margin by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA Margin by Segment
Shows the efficiency of each business segment in converting revenue into profit, helping to identify strong performers and potential areas for improvement.
Chart InsightsHowmet Aerospace's Engine Products and Fastening Systems segments have shown significant margin improvements, reflecting strategic efficiencies and strong demand. Engineered Structures also posted a notable recovery, aligning with the earnings call highlighting record growth in defense aerospace. However, the Forged Wheels segment's stable margins, despite commercial transportation challenges, suggest resilience amid market pressures. The company's upward revision of full-year guidance underscores confidence in sustained growth, driven by robust performance in aerospace and industrial gas turbines, despite some destocking issues in commercial aerospace.
Data provided by:The Fly

Howmet Aerospace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with strong financial performance, robust revenue growth, and a healthy market outlook. Despite some challenges in commercial transportation and tariff uncertainty, the overall financial health and strategic positioning of the company are strong.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q3 increased by 14%, with Commercial Aerospace up by 15% and Defense Aerospace up by 24%. EBITDA was up 26% and operating income increased by 29%.
Significant Cash Flow and Share Buybacks
Cash flow was robust at $423 million after capital expenditures. The company deployed $200 million in share buybacks in Q3, with an additional $100 million in October, totaling $600 million year-to-date.
Debt Reduction and Financial Health
The company paid off $63 million of U.S. term loan early with net leverage now at 1.1x net debt-to-EBITDA. Dividend payments increased by 20% versus the prior quarter.
Positive Market Outlook
Air travel continues to grow, with a strong backlog for commercial aircraft. Defense sales remain strong, and the demand for Industrial Gas Turbines (IGT) is robust.
S&P Rating Upgrade
S&P upgraded the company's rating from BBB to BBB+, indicating improved financial leverage and strong cash generation.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Commercial Transportation
Revenue in commercial transportation was down 3% in the third quarter, with wheels volume down 16%.
Tariff and Cost Uncertainty
Tariff changes continue to produce uncertainty, particularly affecting commercial transportation. The net tariff drag is around $5 million.
Company Guidance
During the Howmet Aerospace Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance with substantial year-over-year growth across key metrics. Revenue increased by 14%, with Commercial Aerospace up 15% and Defense Aerospace up 24%. Operating income rose 29%, and EBITDA improved by 26%, reaching over $600 million with a margin expansion of 290 basis points to 29.4%. The company generated a healthy free cash flow of $423 million after capital expenditures of $108 million, bringing the year-to-date total to approximately $330 million. Share buybacks totaled $200 million in Q3, with an additional $100 million in October, leading to a year-to-date total of $600 million, surpassing the full year 2024 by $100 million. The company also paid off a $63 million U.S. term loan early, reducing net leverage to 1.1x net debt-to-EBITDA. Earnings per share increased by 34% to $0.95, and dividends were raised by 20%. Looking ahead, Howmet forecasts 2026 revenues of approximately $9 billion, representing a 10% increase year-over-year, and for Q4 2025, expects revenue of $2.1 billion, EBITDA of $610 million, and EPS of $0.95.

Howmet Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Howmet Aerospace exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and improved leverage. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 3.29% increase in TTM, supported by a solid net profit margin of 18.18%. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin suggests potential cost pressures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Howmet Aerospace has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 3.29% increase in TTM, supported by a solid net profit margin of 18.18%. The company has maintained healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations and profitability. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over time suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.62, reflecting a more balanced capital structure. Return on equity is robust at 29.70%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio indicates moderate leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Howmet Aerospace has achieved a 3.93% growth in free cash flow, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05 suggests efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, which may require monitoring.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.97B7.43B6.64B5.66B4.97B5.26B
Gross Profit2.40B2.05B1.61B1.35B1.13B1.14B
EBITDA2.24B1.84B1.47B1.10B853.00M831.00M
Net Income1.45B1.16B765.00M469.00M258.00M211.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.18B10.52B10.43B10.26B10.22B11.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments659.00M564.00M610.00M791.00M720.00M1.61B
Total Debt3.19B3.47B3.83B4.28B4.35B5.21B
Total Liabilities6.03B5.96B6.39B6.65B6.71B7.87B
Stockholders Equity5.14B4.55B4.04B3.60B3.51B3.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B977.00M682.00M540.00M250.00M-258.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.30B901.00M733.00M449.00M9.00M
Investing Cash Flow-423.00M-316.00M-215.00M-135.00M107.00M271.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.10B-1.03B-868.00M-526.00M-1.44B-369.00M

Howmet Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price203.49
Price Trends
50DMA
198.72
Positive
100DMA
190.64
Positive
200DMA
173.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Negative
RSI
57.59
Neutral
STOCH
62.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HWM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 203.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 197.18, above the 50-day MA of 198.72, and above the 200-day MA of 173.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HWM.

Howmet Aerospace Risk Analysis

Howmet Aerospace disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Howmet Aerospace reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Howmet Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$46.80B32.0714.63%0.61%3.67%10.44%
79
Outperform
$110.39B31.1627.30%0.80%0.22%26.66%
76
Outperform
$74.71B32.8710.91%1.61%2.97%18.14%
72
Outperform
$69.95B26.3023.84%1.51%-1.78%27.35%
69
Neutral
$71.91B39.7911.33%25.37%
67
Neutral
$81.82B57.1130.06%0.22%9.70%36.28%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HWM
Howmet Aerospace
203.49
93.24
84.57%
AME
Ametek
203.29
22.44
12.41%
CMI
Cummins
506.72
162.48
47.20%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
132.98
11.12
9.13%
PH
Parker Hannifin
874.81
235.39
36.81%
TDG
Transdigm Group
1,276.83
69.25
5.73%

Howmet Aerospace Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Howmet Aerospace Announces Preferred Stock Redemption Plan
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Howmet Aerospace announced its decision to redeem all outstanding shares of its $3.75 Cumulative Preferred Stock on December 17, 2025, at a redemption price of $100 per share plus accrued dividends. This move involves 546,024 shares and reflects the company’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its financial structure and shareholder relations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Howmet Aerospace Completes $500M Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Howmet Aerospace Inc. completed a public offering of $500 million in 4.550% Notes due 2032, aimed at refinancing existing debt. The company plans to use the proceeds to redeem its 5.90% Notes due 2027, which is expected to reduce annual interest expenses by approximately $14 million, thereby improving its financial performance.

Private Placements and Financing
Howmet Aerospace Announces $500 Million Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Howmet Aerospace announced the pricing of a $500 million offering of 4.550% Notes due 2032, with the offering expected to close on November 12, 2025. The proceeds, along with cash on hand, will be used to redeem approximately $625 million of 5.90% Notes due 2027, resulting in expected annualized interest savings of about $14 million, which could positively impact the company’s financial performance.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Howmet Aerospace Announces Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Howmet Aerospace announced a proposed offering of senior notes, with the intention of using the proceeds to redeem approximately $625 million of its 5.90% Notes due 2027. The redemption is scheduled for December 3, 2025, and the company expects the total redemption price to be about $652 million, including accrued interest. This strategic financial move is aimed at optimizing the company’s debt structure and potentially improving its financial flexibility.

Executive/Board Changes
Howmet Aerospace Announces CFO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Howmet Aerospace announced the retirement of Ken Giacobbe, its Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective December 31, 2025, after 21 years of service. Patrick Winterlich, previously with Hexcel Corporation, will succeed him as CFO starting December 1, 2025. Winterlich’s compensation package includes a base salary, cash incentives, equity awards, and a sign-on bonus, reflecting Howmet’s commitment to securing experienced leadership to maintain its competitive position in the aerospace industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025