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Dover Corporation (DOV)
:DOV

Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

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DO

Dover

(NYSE:DOV)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$202.00
â–²(7.36%Upside)
Dover’s overall score reflects its robust financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which highlight strong margins and strategic positioning. Technical and valuation scores suggest stability and reasonable valuation, though not as impactful as financial metrics. The absence of notable corporate events does not detract from the company’s strengths.
Positive Factors
Growth Markets Exposure
Dover Corporation is positioned for better growth moving forward due to increased exposure to secular growth markets like Biopharma and Clean Energy.
Portfolio Transformation
The portfolio transformation focusing on acquisitions is expected to accelerate EPS and EBITDA growth, acting as a catalyst for stock re-rating.
Negative Factors
Growth Durability Concerns
There is concern about the durability of Dover Corporation's growth, as it might fade back to lower levels if comparisons normalize.
Growth Durability Uncertainty
There is concern around the durability of growth, as it is uncertain whether growth will fade back to lower levels on normalizing comparisons.

Dover (DOV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDover Corporation provides equipment and components, consumable supplies, aftermarket parts, software and digital solutions, and support services worldwide. The Engineered Products segment provides various equipment, component, software, solution, and services that are used in aftermarket vehicle service, solid waste handling, industrial automation, aerospace and defense, industrial winch and hoist, and fluid dispensing end-market. This segment also offers manual and power clamp, rotary and linear mechanical indexer, conveyor, pick and place unit, glove port, and manipulator, as well as end-of-arm robotic gripper, slide, and end effector. Its Clean Energy & Fueling segment offers component, equipment, and software and service solution enabling safe transport of traditional and clean fuel, and other hazardous substance along with supply chain, as well as operation of convenience retail, retail fueling, and vehicle wash establishment. The Imaging and Identification segment provides precision marking and coding; packaging intelligence; product traceability equipment; brand protection; and digital textile printing equipment, as well as related consumable, software, and service to packaged and consumer good, pharmaceutical, industrial manufacturing, fashion and apparel, and other end-market. Its Pumps and Process Solutions segment manufactures specialty pump, connector, and flow meter, fluid connecting solution, plastics and polymer processing equipment, and engineered components for rotating and reciprocating machines. The Climate & Sustainability Technologies segment manufactures refrigeration system, refrigeration display case, commercial glass refrigerator and freezer door, and brazed plate heat exchanger for industrial heating and cooling, and residential climate control applications. It sells its products directly and through a network of distributors. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Downers Grove, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyDover Corporation makes money through the sale of its diverse range of products and services across its five key segments. The Engineered Products segment generates revenue from products and systems used in vehicle service, industrial automation, and waste handling. The Fueling Solutions segment earns through the provision of components and systems for the safe handling of fuels and chemicals. Imaging & Identification revenue arises from printing and coding solutions for product identification and traceability. The Pumps & Process Solutions segment makes money via the sale of specialized pumps, fluid-handling components, and related services. Lastly, the Refrigeration & Food Equipment segment derives its earnings from refrigeration systems and solutions for the food retail industry. The company's profitability is supported by its global sales network, significant investments in innovation, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships with industry leaders to bolster its market position and expand its product offerings.

Dover Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EBITDA by Segment
EBITDA by Segment
Chart InsightsDover's Clean Energy and Fueling segment shows resilience with consistent growth, bolstered by robust order activity. Meanwhile, the Engineered Products segment faces challenges with volume declines, particularly in vehicle services and aerospace. Despite tariff concerns, the company maintains a positive outlook, supported by record EBITDA margins and strong organic bookings. Pumps and Process Solutions benefit from biopharma and data center demand, while Climate and Sustainability Technologies struggle with revenue drops in food retail and engineering services. Overall, Dover's strategic focus on market share and cost management underpins its confidence in long-term resilience.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a robust quarter with record margins and strong organic bookings, but was tempered by concerns about tariff exposure and volume declines in certain segments. While there are challenges due to tariffs and some segment-specific issues, the company has shown strong operational performance and resilience.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin was up 240 basis points to 24%, a record result for Q1.
Strong Organic Bookings
Organic bookings were up for the sixth consecutive quarter with book-to-bill north of one across all five segments.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Free cash flow in the quarter was $109 million, a $3 million increase compared to Q1 of the previous year.
Clean Energy and Fueling Segment Growth
Clean energy and fueling was up 2% organically, with robust order activity in below-ground retail fueling.
Pumps and Process Solutions Growth
Pumps and Process Solutions was up 7% organically, driven by double-digit growth in single-use biopharma components and triple-digit growth in thermal connectors for data centers.
Negative Updates
Engineered Products Volume Decline
Engineered Products was down in the quarter on lower volumes in vehicle services and program timing in aerospace and defense.
Tariff Exposure Concerns
Significant exposure to tariffs, particularly Chinese imports, impacting cost structures and causing a modest revenue and EPS guidance trim for the full year.
Climate and Sustainability Technologies Revenue Drop
Revenue was down in this segment due to comparative declines in food retail door cases and engineering services.
Company Guidance
During the Dover Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key financial metrics. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 19% year-over-year, driven by strong incremental margin conversion and positive price-cost dynamics. The adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 24%, up 240 basis points, with four out of five segments showing over 100 basis points of margin expansion. Organic bookings rose for the sixth consecutive quarter, maintaining a book-to-bill ratio above one, and positioning a significant portion of Q2 revenue in backlog. The company noted a favorable outlook for the rest of the year, with targeted improvements in segment profitability and a focus on durable long-term top-line resilience. Despite challenges such as tariff impacts, the guidance remained on track, with expectations for free cash flow to reach 14% to 16% of revenue. Additionally, capital expenditures were directed towards growth and productivity projects, including rooftop consolidations. Overall, the company showed confidence in its strategic positioning, emphasizing market share gains and cost management amid external uncertainties.

Dover Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dover exhibits strong financial health with high profitability margins, a solid balance sheet, and efficient cash flow generation. Despite modest revenue growth, the company's overall financial position is robust, with a manageable debt level and effective shareholder equity utilization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dover's income statement shows robust financial health with a strong net profit margin of 28.84% in the TTM. The gross profit margin for the TTM is 38.65%, indicating efficient production processes. Despite a slight decline in revenue from 2023 to TTM, the company demonstrates strong profitability metrics, with EBIT and EBITDA margins of 16.27% and 20.82%, respectively. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is a modest 2.73%, suggesting stable revenue generation but room for improvement in growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Dover maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 for TTM, reflecting prudent financial leverage. The equity ratio of 56.44% indicates a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is a remarkable 32.16%, showcasing effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits. Overall, the company shows a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels, although there is potential risk if debt levels rise significantly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals strong operational efficiency with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.32 in TTM, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, which, although slightly lower, still reflects positive cash flow health. Additionally, the free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 2.21%, suggesting steady cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.96B7.75B8.44B8.51B7.91B6.68B
Gross Profit3.08B2.96B3.08B3.07B2.97B2.47B
EBITDA1.77B2.23B1.72B1.71B1.80B1.23B
Net Income2.30B2.70B1.06B1.07B1.12B683.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.65B12.51B11.35B10.90B10.40B9.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.81B1.84B398.56M380.87M385.50M513.08M
Total Debt2.97B2.93B3.68B3.89B3.30B3.29B
Total Liabilities5.51B5.56B6.24B6.61B6.21B5.77B
Stockholders Equity7.14B6.95B5.11B4.29B4.19B3.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow567.15M580.85M1.14B584.76M944.40M939.12M
Operating Cash Flow738.40M748.38M1.34B805.72M1.12B1.10B
Investing Cash Flow1.45B1.96B-726.63M-540.92M-992.75M-481.38M
Financing Cash Flow-1.31B-1.27B-568.06M-260.26M-249.88M-506.29M

Dover Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price188.15
Price Trends
50DMA
178.10
Positive
100DMA
179.53
Positive
200DMA
186.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.38
Negative
RSI
68.60
Neutral
STOCH
93.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 188.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 180.48, above the 50-day MA of 178.10, and above the 200-day MA of 186.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOV.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DODOV
79
Outperform
$25.86B11.3617.45%1.09%-5.86%59.79%
77
Outperform
$12.59B28.6615.54%1.40%1.98%-7.66%
IEIEX
76
Outperform
$13.76B28.8512.73%1.56%1.66%-17.18%
XYXYL
72
Outperform
$32.19B35.598.62%1.21%8.14%32.64%
ROROK
69
Neutral
$38.63B43.1525.86%1.53%-11.19%-22.50%
IRIR
68
Neutral
$34.92B42.798.09%0.09%5.27%0.61%
58
Neutral
$1.34B4.24-2.93%7.38%3.67%-51.13%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOV
Dover
188.63
13.85
7.92%
IEX
IDEX
181.25
-10.81
-5.63%
NDSN
Nordson
222.78
-0.64
-0.29%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
347.07
87.75
33.84%
XYL
Xylem
132.28
-0.41
-0.31%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
86.98
-4.32
-4.73%

Dover Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dover Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 2, 2025, Dover Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where nine directors were elected, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025, and the compensation of named executive officers was approved. However, a proposal for an independent board chair was rejected, reflecting the company’s current governance structure and shareholder sentiment.

Financial Disclosures
Dover Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Dover announced its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025, reporting a 1% decrease in revenue to $1.9 billion compared to the previous year. Despite a 60% drop in GAAP earnings from continuing operations due to a prior year’s gain on disposition, adjusted earnings rose by 18%, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by 19%. The company highlighted strong demand and order trends across its segments, particularly in biopharma components and CO2 systems, and maintained a positive outlook for the near term, supported by a robust backlog and exceptional margin performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025