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Dover Corporation (DOV)
NYSE:DOV
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Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

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DOV

Dover

(NYSE:DOV)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$215.00
â–²(6.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/24/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying fundamentals and a strong, guidance-raising earnings call with improving bookings and margins. Offsetting these positives are weaker technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and only middling valuation support given a ~23.7 P/E and ~1.05% yield.
Positive Factors
Broad-based organic growth
Sustained organic growth across all five segments indicates diversified end-market demand and reduces reliance on any single business. This breadth improves revenue visibility, supports aftermarket follow-on sales, and lowers cycle sensitivity, making topline growth more durable over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Cash conversion volatility
Weak and inconsistent cash conversion creates execution risk: when operating cash flow lags earnings, working-capital swings can strain liquidity and reduce free cash flow reliability. This undermines stable funding for capex, dividends, share buybacks, or M&A during weaker cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad-based organic growth
Sustained organic growth across all five segments indicates diversified end-market demand and reduces reliance on any single business. This breadth improves revenue visibility, supports aftermarket follow-on sales, and lowers cycle sensitivity, making topline growth more durable over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Dover Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business unit generates, highlighting which segments are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsDiverging momentum across Dover’s portfolio: Clean Energy & Fueling and Climate & Sustainability are the clear growth engines—sustained above‑trend gains that map to management’s >$1B AI/power opportunity and strong bookings—while Imaging remains a steady, margin‑friendly business. Pumps recovered through 2025 but Q1 softness and tough comps highlight conversion timing risk. Engineered Products has meaningfully slipped from its 2022 peak and is the biggest structural drag, making it a likely focus for the company’s $40M rightsizing and portfolio actions as management shifts investment toward higher‑growth, higher‑margin segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dover (DOV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Dover Corporation operates as a global enterprise, supplying a wide array of industrial equipment, essential components, consumable products, replacement parts, software and digital platforms, and comprehensive support services. Its Engineered Pro...
How the Company Makes Money
Dover primarily makes money by selling industrial products and engineered systems across its operating segments, generating revenue when equipment and components are delivered to customers and services are performed. Key revenue streams generally ...

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted broad-based revenue and margin expansion, strong bookings (book-to-bill 1.06; TTM bookings +15%), improved incremental margins (38% vs. 25% in Q1), double-digit adjusted EPS growth (+12% Y/Y), and growing exposure to secular growth markets (now ~25% of portfolio). These positives were tempered by execution issues in refrigeration tied to a facility consolidation and labor ramp that cost ~1%–1.5% of organic growth and caused delivery delays, plus a lumpy polymer processing business. Management expects the operational issues to be resolved with H2 throughput and margin recovery, and they raised full‑year adjusted EPS guidance, maintained CapEx and FCF targets, and noted an improved M&A pipeline. On balance, highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights given the breadth of order momentum, margin gains, cash flow improvement, and strategic tailwinds.
Positive Updates
Top-line Growth
Total revenue grew 7% year-over-year (5% organic), with all five segments posting positive organic growth, signaling broad-based demand across the portfolio.
Negative Updates
Refrigeration/Facility Consolidation Execution Issues
Refrigeration experienced production throughput shortfalls during a complex facility consolidation and labor ramp, causing margin pressure and supply constraints. Management estimates this execution issue reduced consolidated organic growth by ~1%–1.5% in the quarter and resulted in some late deliveries.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-line Growth
Total revenue grew 7% year-over-year (5% organic), with all five segments posting positive organic growth, signaling broad-based demand across the portfolio.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company raised its full‑year outlook, citing stronger visibility from a 1.06 book‑to‑bill and trailing‑12 month bookings up 15%, and said it now expects positive organic growth across all five segments and double‑digit adjusted EPS growth; Q2 metrics included revenue up 7% all‑in (5% organic), adjusted EPS $2.74 (+12% YoY), adjusted EBITDA margin 25.9% (+80 bps), and incremental margins of 38% (up from 25% in Q1). Year‑to‑date free cash flow was $320M (8% of revenue, +23% YoY), full‑year free cash‑flow guidance remains 14–16% of revenue with CapEx $190–210M, secular growth markets now ~25% of the portfolio (versus ~20% at Q1), and ~$50M in expected 2026 revenue tied to space; management noted a ~1–1.5% organic growth headwind from refrigeration consolidation but expects cash flow and margins to accelerate in H2 as capacity expansions (including a plan to ~2x liquid‑cooling heat‑exchanger capacity) come online.

Dover Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core profitability is solid (TTM net margin ~13%) with manageable and improving leverage, but cash-flow quality is weaker than earnings (operating cash flow ~half of net income in TTM) and free cash flow stepped down versus the prior annual period, adding volatility risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.42B8.09B7.75B7.68B7.84B7.91B
Gross Profit3.33B3.22B2.96B2.87B2.90B2.97B
EBITDA1.80B1.86B2.23B1.56B1.60B1.80B
Net Income1.13B1.09B2.70B1.06B1.07B1.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.69B13.42B12.51B11.35B10.90B10.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.76B1.68B1.84B398.56M380.87M385.50M
Total Debt3.26B3.78B3.15B3.68B3.89B3.30B
Total Liabilities5.99B6.02B5.56B6.24B6.61B6.21B
Stockholders Equity7.70B7.41B6.95B5.11B4.29B4.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.17B1.12B580.85M1.14B584.76M944.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.39B1.34B748.38M1.34B805.72M1.12B
Investing Cash Flow-236.66M-886.59M1.96B-726.63M-540.92M-992.75M
Financing Cash Flow-653.44M-624.87M-1.27B-568.06M-260.26M-249.88M

Dover Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price202.20
Price Trends
50DMA
214.31
Negative
100DMA
214.50
Negative
200DMA
206.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.16
Negative
RSI
49.87
Neutral
STOCH
67.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 202.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 208.88, below the 50-day MA of 214.31, and below the 200-day MA of 206.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOV.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.86B24.5820.27%1.46%4.58%12.51%
76
Outperform
$32.63B34.039.46%0.09%7.85%88.74%
68
Neutral
$27.31B27.859.17%1.39%4.41%9.23%
67
Neutral
$27.56B24.5115.00%1.03%7.56%-49.98%
64
Neutral
$10.45B16.3217.13%1.69%-2.15%8.39%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$27.39B18.40-27.26%2.36%5.24%2.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOV
Dover
209.93
34.59
19.72%
GGG
Graco
82.31
-0.40
-0.48%
PNR
Pentair
68.48
-34.49
-33.49%
XYL
Xylem
122.17
-19.60
-13.83%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
89.46
11.89
15.33%
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
73.64
-10.92
-12.92%

Dover Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dover Lifts 2026 Outlook After Strong Q2 Results
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
On July 23, 2026, Dover reported that second-quarter 2026 revenue rose 7% year on year to $2.2 billion, with organic growth of 5%, while GAAP earnings from continuing operations increased 12% to $313 million and diluted EPS climbed 14% to $2.31. A...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dover Shareholders Back Board, Governance Structure at Meeting
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 8, 2026, Dover Corporation shareholders held their annual meeting and elected nine directors to the board, maintaining continuity in the company’s governance structure. Shareholders also ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoop...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2026