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Dover (DOV)
NYSE:DOV
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Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

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DOV

Dover

(NYSE:DOV)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$200.00
▲(10.91% Upside)
Dover's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's solid revenue growth, profitability, and strategic outlook contribute significantly to its appeal. Technical analysis and valuation provide moderate support, indicating potential for future gains despite some short-term resistance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Margin Improvement
Improved margins reflect operational efficiency and cost management, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Positive Outlook
A positive future outlook with sustained order growth suggests robust demand and strategic positioning for continued success.
Negative Factors
Decline in Engineered Products
Revenue decline in key segments can indicate challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting growth.
Challenges in Climate & Sustainability
Challenges in this segment highlight potential market saturation or shifts in demand, affecting long-term revenue stability.
Vehicle Wash Segment Headwinds
Ongoing headwinds in this segment suggest operational or market challenges that may hinder recovery and growth prospects.

Dover (DOV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDover Corporation provides equipment and components, consumable supplies, aftermarket parts, software and digital solutions, and support services worldwide. The Engineered Products segment provides various equipment, component, software, solution, and services that are used in aftermarket vehicle service, solid waste handling, industrial automation, aerospace and defense, industrial winch and hoist, and fluid dispensing end-market. This segment also offers manual and power clamp, rotary and linear mechanical indexer, conveyor, pick and place unit, glove port, and manipulator, as well as end-of-arm robotic gripper, slide, and end effector. Its Clean Energy & Fueling segment offers component, equipment, and software and service solution enabling safe transport of traditional and clean fuel, and other hazardous substance along with supply chain, as well as operation of convenience retail, retail fueling, and vehicle wash establishment. The Imaging and Identification segment provides precision marking and coding; packaging intelligence; product traceability equipment; brand protection; and digital textile printing equipment, as well as related consumable, software, and service to packaged and consumer good, pharmaceutical, industrial manufacturing, fashion and apparel, and other end-market. Its Pumps and Process Solutions segment manufactures specialty pump, connector, and flow meter, fluid connecting solution, plastics and polymer processing equipment, and engineered components for rotating and reciprocating machines. The Climate & Sustainability Technologies segment manufactures refrigeration system, refrigeration display case, commercial glass refrigerator and freezer door, and brazed plate heat exchanger for industrial heating and cooling, and residential climate control applications. It sells its products directly and through a network of distributors. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Downers Grove, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyDover generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of equipment, systems, and services across its various business segments. The Engineered Systems segment contributes significantly by providing advanced technology solutions that cater to the needs of specific industries. The Pumps & Process Solutions segment earns revenue through the sale of pumps and related equipment, serving diverse markets such as oil and gas, food and beverage, and chemicals. Additionally, the Refrigeration & Food Equipment segment profits from supplying refrigeration systems and food service equipment. Dover's revenue model is bolstered by a mix of direct sales, aftermarket services, and long-term contracts with significant clients, alongside strategic partnerships that enhance its product offerings and market reach.

Dover Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Bookings by Segment
Bookings by Segment
Tracks the value of new orders received in each segment, providing a forward-looking indicator of demand and revenue potential.
Chart InsightsDover's Clean Energy and Fueling segment is experiencing strong growth, with bookings steadily increasing since 2023, reflecting the company's strategic focus on clean energy. Meanwhile, Engineered Products and Climate and Sustainability Technologies face challenges, with declining bookings due to lower volumes and market pressures. The Pumps and Process Solutions segment shows promising growth, bolstered by recent acquisitions. Despite some segmental challenges, Dover's overall outlook is optimistic, supported by a 7% increase in order trends and a raised EPS guidance, indicating robust operational performance and strategic capital deployment.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Dover's third quarter earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, margin improvements, and a positive outlook for 2026. However, the call also addressed declines in specific segments, such as Engineered Products and Climate & Sustainability Technologies, which faced significant challenges. Overall, the positive aspects of revenue growth, margin improvements, and adjusted EPS increases outweigh the segment-specific declines.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Margin Improvement
Dover's third quarter revenue was up 5%, with an 8% increase in order trends year-over-year. The company achieved a record consolidated EBITDA margin of 26.1%, up 170 basis points from the previous period, driven by positive mix impact, solid execution, and cost containment actions.
Adjusted EPS and Strong Balance Sheet
Adjusted EPS increased by 15% in the quarter and 17% year-to-date. Dover increased its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $9.50 to $9.60, demonstrating strong earnings growth supported by a robust balance sheet.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Dover expressed a constructive outlook for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, with healthy underlying end market demand and sustained order growth. The company expects sequential recovery in certain capital goods end markets.
Cash Flow and Capital Deployment
Year-to-date free cash flow was $631 million, up $96 million from the prior year. The company maintained its guidance for 2025 free cash flow at 14% to 16%, with strong conversion of operating cash flow.
Growth in Key Segments
Clean Energy & Fueling was up 5% organically, and Pumps & Process Solutions increased by 6% organically, driven by growth in single-use biopharma components and thermal connectors for liquid cooling.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineered Products Revenue
Engineered Products revenue was down in the quarter due to lower volumes in vehicle services, partially offset by performance in aerospace and defense components.
Challenges in Climate & Sustainability Technologies
Revenue was down due to comparative declines in food retail cases and engineering services, collectively down 30% year-to-date. Industry-wide shipments of door cases are at a 20-year low.
Vehicle Wash Segment Headwinds
The Vehicle Wash segment continues to experience headwinds, although recovery is expected in the future.
Company Guidance
During Dover's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics that highlight its financial performance and guidance. Dover reported a 5% increase in revenue for the quarter, largely driven by shipment growth in short-cycle components and strong performance in secular growth end markets. Orders were up 8% year-over-year, or 4% organically, providing good visibility into 2026. The company achieved a record consolidated EBITDA margin of 26.1%, up 170 basis points compared to the previous year, with all five segments posting margin improvements. Dover's adjusted EPS increased by 15% for the quarter and 17% year-to-date, prompting an upward revision in full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $9.50 to $9.60. Additionally, free cash flow was reported at $631 million year-to-date, representing 11% of revenue, and is expected to reach 14% to 16% for the full year. The company expects continued momentum into 2026, supported by sustained order growth and strategic capital deployment in high ROI projects and selective acquisitions.

Dover Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dover shows strong revenue growth and profitability with healthy margins, though recent net income decline poses a concern. The balance sheet is robust with moderate leverage and high return on equity, but cash flow trends suggest potential liquidity challenges if not addressed.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dover's revenue has shown a steady growth trend with a TTM revenue of $7.83 billion compared to $7.75 billion in the previous year. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 39.2%. However, there has been a noticeable decrease in net income from $2.70 billion to $2.29 billion in the TTM, affecting the net profit margin. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 16.3% and 21.1%, respectively, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.41, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity is impressive at 30.8%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profit. However, the equity ratio is 56.5%, which shows a balanced asset financing structure but leaves room for improvement in leveraging the company's financial position.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Dover's cash flow generation is stable with free cash flow of $556.63 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio decreased slightly, indicating less cash generation from operations relative to net income. Free cash flow growth has been declining, which could pose challenges if the trend continues, but the company remains cash-positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.92B7.75B7.68B7.84B7.91B6.68B
Gross Profit3.14B2.96B2.87B2.90B2.97B2.47B
EBITDA1.81B2.23B1.56B1.60B1.80B1.23B
Net Income2.25B2.70B1.06B1.07B1.12B683.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.42B12.51B11.35B10.90B10.40B9.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55B1.84B398.56M380.87M385.50M513.08M
Total Debt3.07B3.15B3.68B3.89B3.30B3.29B
Total Liabilities5.76B5.56B6.24B6.61B6.21B5.77B
Stockholders Equity7.66B6.95B5.11B4.29B4.19B3.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow568.09M580.85M1.14B584.76M944.40M939.12M
Operating Cash Flow785.27M748.38M1.34B805.72M1.12B1.10B
Investing Cash Flow1.09B1.96B-726.63M-540.92M-992.75M-481.38M
Financing Cash Flow-733.58M-1.27B-568.06M-260.26M-249.88M-506.29M

Dover Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price180.33
Price Trends
50DMA
172.00
Positive
100DMA
176.99
Positive
200DMA
179.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.90
Negative
RSI
60.74
Neutral
STOCH
34.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 180.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 174.11, above the 50-day MA of 172.00, and above the 200-day MA of 179.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOV.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$36.69B38.768.70%1.03%5.56%13.76%
76
Outperform
$24.49B10.9815.88%1.14%-5.24%45.69%
75
Outperform
$17.45B27.0617.97%0.93%0.83%-1.32%
70
Outperform
$13.47B27.7619.45%1.35%2.85%3.09%
67
Neutral
$35.52B26.861.73%0.73%-15.57%
66
Neutral
$30.98B58.165.35%0.10%4.20%-34.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOV
Dover
180.33
-22.04
-10.89%
GGG
Graco
81.65
-6.26
-7.12%
PNR
Pentair
107.36
2.79
2.67%
XYL
Xylem
151.31
28.15
22.86%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
77.50
-27.20
-25.98%
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
91.02
-8.79
-8.81%

Dover Corporate Events

Dover Corporation’s Risk Profile Remains Stable: What Investors Need to Know
Oct 24, 2025

Dover Corporation continues to face the same risk factors as previously disclosed in their Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024. This indicates that the company has not experienced any significant changes in its risk profile, suggesting stability in its operational environment. However, stakeholders should remain vigilant as the unchanged risk factors could still pose potential threats to the company’s financial health. It is crucial for investors to regularly review these risks to make informed decisions regarding their investments in Dover Corporation.

Dover Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 24, 2025

Dover Corporation is a diversified global manufacturer that provides innovative equipment, components, consumable supplies, aftermarket parts, software, digital solutions, and support services across five operating segments, including Engineered Products and Clean Energy & Fueling. Headquartered in Downers Grove, Illinois, Dover is recognized for its entrepreneurial approach and operational agility.

Dover Corp’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Dover Corporation’s recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture, underscored by strong revenue growth and margin improvements. Despite facing challenges in specific segments like Engineered Products and Climate & Sustainability Technologies, the overall sentiment was optimistic, with the positives of revenue growth, margin improvements, and adjusted EPS increases outweighing the negatives.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dover Reports Q3 Revenue Growth Amid Earnings Dip
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

Dover reported its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, showing a 5% increase in revenue to $2.1 billion, despite a 3% decrease in GAAP earnings from continuing operations. The company highlighted strong performance in short cycle components and secular-growth end markets, as well as successful acquisitions, which offset challenges in the vehicle aftermarket and refrigerated door cases sectors. Dover’s strategic initiatives, including capital deployment and operational efficiencies, are expected to drive future growth, with an increase in full-year adjusted EPS guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOV) stock is a Buy with a $225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dover stock, see the DOV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025