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Dover (DOV)
NYSE:DOV
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Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

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DOV

Dover

(NYSE:DOV)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$206.00
▲(14.83% Upside)
Dover's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust valuation also contributes positively. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and cash flow concerns warrant monitoring.
Positive Factors
Bookings Momentum
Potential upside to organic growth underpinned by strong bookings momentum.
Earnings
The 4Q adjusted EPS of $2.20 was above estimate and consensus.
Growth Markets
Dover Corporation is positioned for better growth due to increased exposure to secular growth markets like Biopharma and Clean Energy.
Negative Factors
Growth Durability
There is concern about the durability of Dover Corporation's growth, as it might fade back to lower levels if comparisons normalize.
Segment Weakness
SWEP and Belvac still weak, dragging down DCST organic, but sequential bookings momentum could provide a boost in 2Q+.

Dover (DOV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDover Corporation (DOV) is a diversified global manufacturer with a broad portfolio of products and solutions across various sectors, including industrial, commercial, and energy markets. The company operates through several segments, such as Engineered Systems, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Refrigeration & Food Equipment. Dover's core offerings include fluid management equipment, refrigeration systems, and industrial automation solutions, positioning it as a key player in enhancing operational efficiency and productivity for its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyDover generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of equipment, systems, and services across its various business segments. The Engineered Systems segment contributes significantly by providing advanced technology solutions that cater to the needs of specific industries. The Pumps & Process Solutions segment earns revenue through the sale of pumps and related equipment, serving diverse markets such as oil and gas, food and beverage, and chemicals. Additionally, the Refrigeration & Food Equipment segment profits from supplying refrigeration systems and food service equipment. Dover's revenue model is bolstered by a mix of direct sales, aftermarket services, and long-term contracts with significant clients, alongside strategic partnerships that enhance its product offerings and market reach.

Dover Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EBITDA by Segment
EBITDA by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business unit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operational efficiency and cash flow potential.
Chart InsightsDover's Pumps and Process Solutions segment shows robust growth, bolstered by strategic acquisitions and strong order trends, aligning with a 7% year-over-year increase in orders. Despite challenges in Engineered Products and Climate Sustainability, the company achieved record EBITDA margins above 25%, reflecting effective cost management. The positive momentum in the Pumps and Process Solutions segment is crucial for driving overall performance, as highlighted by the upward revision of full-year EPS guidance. Investors should note the strategic focus on high-priority segments, which is expected to sustain growth despite sector-specific challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive picture with strong performance metrics, increased EPS guidance, and strategic acquisitions. However, there were challenges in some segments like Engineered Products and Climate Sustainability. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook remains optimistic.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Performance
Dover reported a strong Q2 2025 with top line performance accelerating due to broad-based shipment growth and outperformance in secular growth exposed end markets. Order trends showed positive momentum, up 7% year-over-year.
Record Adjusted Segment EBITDA Margins
Margin performance was exemplary with record adjusted segment EBITDA margins above 25%, driven by prior period portfolio actions and rigorous cost containment and productivity actions.
Adjusted EPS Increase
Adjusted EPS was up 16% in the quarter, reflecting strong operational results and capital deployment actions.
Acquisitions in High-Priority Segments
Dover completed two acquisitions in the high-priority Pumps & Process Solutions segment, focusing on fast-growing assets.
Full-Year EPS Guidance Raised
Dover raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $9.35 to $9.55, an increase of 14% at the midpoint.
Cash Flow and Capital Investment
Year-to-date free cash flow was $261 million or 7% of revenue, with expectations for cash flow generation to accelerate in the second half of the year.
Negative Updates
Engineered Products Revenue Decline
Engineered Products revenue was down in the quarter due to lower volumes in vehicle services, despite improving sentiment as the quarter progressed.
Climate Sustainability Segment Revenue Down
Revenue in Climate Sustainability was down due to comparative declines in food retail cases and engineering services, despite record quarterly volumes in CO2 systems.
Challenges in Refrigeration Business
The traditional refrigeration case business underperformed expectations, with slower revenue performance than anticipated.
Company Guidance
During Dover's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance, highlighting several key metrics. Dover reported a 7% year-over-year increase in order trends, indicating positive momentum for the second half of the year. The company achieved record adjusted segment EBITDA margins above 25%, driven by prior period portfolio actions and rigorous cost management. Adjusted EPS was up 16% for the quarter, reflecting strong operational results complemented by strategic capital deployment actions, including two acquisitions in the high-priority Pumps & Process Solutions segment. Dover revised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance upward to a range of $9.35 to $9.55, representing a 14% increase at the midpoint. The company also anticipates free cash flow for 2025 to be on track at 14% to 16% of revenue, with strong conversion of operating cash flow.

Dover Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dover exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability with healthy margins, though recent net income decline poses a concern. The balance sheet is robust with moderate leverage and high return on equity, but cash flow trends suggest potential liquidity challenges if not addressed. Overall, the company is financially sound with areas to monitor for future risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Dover's revenue has shown a steady growth trend with a TTM revenue of $7.83 billion compared to $7.75 billion in the previous year. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 39.2%. However, there has been a noticeable decrease in net income from $2.70 billion to $2.29 billion in the TTM, affecting the net profit margin. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 16.3% and 21.1%, respectively, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.41, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity is impressive at 30.8%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profit. However, the equity ratio is 56.5%, which shows a balanced asset financing structure but leaves room for improvement in leveraging the company's financial position.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Dover's cash flow generation is stable with free cash flow of $556.63 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio decreased slightly, indicating less cash generation from operations relative to net income. Free cash flow growth has been declining, which could pose challenges if the trend continues, but the company remains cash-positive.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.75B8.44B8.51B7.91B6.68B
Gross Profit2.96B3.08B3.07B2.97B2.47B
EBITDA2.23B1.72B1.71B1.80B1.23B
Net Income2.70B1.06B1.07B1.12B683.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.51B11.35B10.90B10.40B9.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.84B398.56M380.87M385.50M513.08M
Total Debt3.15B3.68B3.89B3.30B3.29B
Total Liabilities5.56B6.24B6.61B6.21B5.77B
Stockholders Equity6.95B5.11B4.29B4.19B3.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow580.85M1.14B584.76M944.40M939.12M
Operating Cash Flow748.38M1.34B805.72M1.12B1.10B
Investing Cash Flow1.96B-726.63M-540.92M-992.75M-481.38M
Financing Cash Flow-1.27B-568.06M-260.26M-249.88M-506.29M

Dover Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price179.40
Price Trends
50DMA
182.24
Negative
100DMA
177.36
Positive
200DMA
185.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.83
Positive
RSI
47.36
Neutral
STOCH
69.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 179.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.33, below the 50-day MA of 182.24, and below the 200-day MA of 185.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DOV.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$34.91B37.288.76%1.07%3.97%21.95%
75
Outperform
$24.41B10.7316.72%1.13%-8.23%54.92%
74
Outperform
$12.19B27.7615.54%1.45%1.98%-7.66%
71
Outperform
$39.07B40.7728.46%1.49%-8.23%-3.29%
66
Neutral
£2.67B12.993.30%3.25%2.40%-22.21%
63
Neutral
$31.88B62.625.21%0.10%4.67%-36.65%
62
Neutral
$12.59B26.9912.25%1.67%4.73%-19.15%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOV
Dover
179.40
1.50
0.84%
IEX
IDEX
167.19
-26.65
-13.75%
NDSN
Nordson
217.22
-19.07
-8.07%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
347.51
88.29
34.06%
XYL
Xylem
141.84
10.59
8.07%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
80.20
-10.72
-11.79%

Dover Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dover Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Dover announced its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025, reporting a 5% increase in revenue to $2.0 billion and a 14% rise in GAAP earnings from continuing operations to $280 million. The company attributed its solid performance to strong production execution and shipment growth, particularly in short cycle components and secular-growth-exposed end markets. Dover also completed two acquisitions in its high-priority Pumps & Process Solutions segment, enhancing its market position. Despite macroeconomic challenges, Dover remains optimistic about the second half of 2025, raising its full-year adjusted EPS guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOV) stock is a Buy with a $202.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dover stock, see the DOV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025