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Dover Corporation (DOV)
:DOV

Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

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DOV

Dover

(NYSE:DOV)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$219.00
▲(11.65% Upside)
Dover's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its high stock score. The company's solid balance sheet, revenue growth, and strategic corporate actions further bolster its position. However, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term pullback due to overbought conditions, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Margin Improvement
Improved margins reflect operational efficiency and cost management, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Financial Flexibility
Securing long-term funding strengthens Dover's balance sheet, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Segment Revenue Decline
Declining revenue in key segments may indicate market challenges or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future growth.
Challenges in Climate & Sustainability
Significant declines in this segment highlight industry-wide challenges, which could affect long-term strategic initiatives.
Vehicle Wash Segment Headwinds
Ongoing challenges in the Vehicle Wash segment may hinder recovery efforts and limit growth opportunities in this area.

Dover (DOV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDover Corporation (DOV) is a diversified global manufacturer with a broad portfolio of products and solutions serving various markets. The company operates through several segments, including Engineered Systems, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Refrigeration & Food Equipment. Dover's core offerings encompass industrial equipment, fluid handling systems, and refrigeration technologies, which cater to industries such as manufacturing, food and beverage, and transportation.
How the Company Makes MoneyDover generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of products and services across its operating segments. The Engineered Systems segment contributes significantly through its offerings, including automation equipment and components for industrial applications. The Pumps & Process Solutions segment primarily earns revenue from fluid handling and pumping solutions, which are essential in various industries like oil and gas, water treatment, and food processing. The Refrigeration & Food Equipment segment generates income from commercial refrigeration systems and foodservice equipment. Additionally, Dover benefits from long-term partnerships with leading companies across its sectors, which secure ongoing contracts and collaborative projects. The company's focus on innovation, efficiency, and customer service also plays a crucial role in driving sales and maintaining competitive advantage, further enhancing its revenue streams.

Dover Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Bookings by Segment
Bookings by Segment
Tracks the value of new orders received in each segment, providing a forward-looking indicator of demand and revenue potential.
Chart InsightsDover's Clean Energy and Fueling segment is experiencing strong growth, with bookings steadily increasing since 2023, reflecting the company's strategic focus on clean energy. Meanwhile, Engineered Products and Climate and Sustainability Technologies face challenges, with declining bookings due to lower volumes and market pressures. The Pumps and Process Solutions segment shows promising growth, bolstered by recent acquisitions. Despite some segmental challenges, Dover's overall outlook is optimistic, supported by a 7% increase in order trends and a raised EPS guidance, indicating robust operational performance and strategic capital deployment.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Dover's third quarter earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, margin improvements, and a positive outlook for 2026. However, the call also addressed declines in specific segments, such as Engineered Products and Climate & Sustainability Technologies, which faced significant challenges. Overall, the positive aspects of revenue growth, margin improvements, and adjusted EPS increases outweigh the segment-specific declines.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Margin Improvement
Dover's third quarter revenue was up 5%, with an 8% increase in order trends year-over-year. The company achieved a record consolidated EBITDA margin of 26.1%, up 170 basis points from the previous period, driven by positive mix impact, solid execution, and cost containment actions.
Adjusted EPS and Strong Balance Sheet
Adjusted EPS increased by 15% in the quarter and 17% year-to-date. Dover increased its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $9.50 to $9.60, demonstrating strong earnings growth supported by a robust balance sheet.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Dover expressed a constructive outlook for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, with healthy underlying end market demand and sustained order growth. The company expects sequential recovery in certain capital goods end markets.
Cash Flow and Capital Deployment
Year-to-date free cash flow was $631 million, up $96 million from the prior year. The company maintained its guidance for 2025 free cash flow at 14% to 16%, with strong conversion of operating cash flow.
Growth in Key Segments
Clean Energy & Fueling was up 5% organically, and Pumps & Process Solutions increased by 6% organically, driven by growth in single-use biopharma components and thermal connectors for liquid cooling.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineered Products Revenue
Engineered Products revenue was down in the quarter due to lower volumes in vehicle services, partially offset by performance in aerospace and defense components.
Challenges in Climate & Sustainability Technologies
Revenue was down due to comparative declines in food retail cases and engineering services, collectively down 30% year-to-date. Industry-wide shipments of door cases are at a 20-year low.
Vehicle Wash Segment Headwinds
The Vehicle Wash segment continues to experience headwinds, although recovery is expected in the future.
Company Guidance
During Dover's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics that highlight its financial performance and guidance. Dover reported a 5% increase in revenue for the quarter, largely driven by shipment growth in short-cycle components and strong performance in secular growth end markets. Orders were up 8% year-over-year, or 4% organically, providing good visibility into 2026. The company achieved a record consolidated EBITDA margin of 26.1%, up 170 basis points compared to the previous year, with all five segments posting margin improvements. Dover's adjusted EPS increased by 15% for the quarter and 17% year-to-date, prompting an upward revision in full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $9.50 to $9.60. Additionally, free cash flow was reported at $631 million year-to-date, representing 11% of revenue, and is expected to reach 14% to 16% for the full year. The company expects continued momentum into 2026, supported by sustained order growth and strategic capital deployment in high ROI projects and selective acquisitions.

Dover Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dover exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid, with low leverage and high return on equity. Cash flow generation is stable, though there is potential for improvement in free cash flow conversion. Overall, the company is well-positioned for continued growth and financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dover's income statement shows strong performance with a notable gross profit margin of 39.67% and a net profit margin of 28.37% for the TTM period. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a significant increase of 20.4% in the latest TTM period. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is robust at 30.80%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 57.10%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets. However, the decrease in total debt suggests a focus on debt reduction.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.36, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profits. Free cash flow growth is positive at 2.06%, though the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.72 suggests room for improvement in cash conversion. Overall, cash flow stability is evident, but further enhancement in free cash flow generation is desirable.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.92B7.75B7.68B7.84B7.91B6.68B
Gross Profit3.14B2.96B2.87B2.90B2.97B2.47B
EBITDA1.81B2.23B1.56B1.60B1.80B1.23B
Net Income2.25B2.70B1.06B1.07B1.12B683.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.42B12.51B11.35B10.90B10.40B9.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55B1.84B398.56M380.87M385.50M513.08M
Total Debt3.07B3.15B3.68B3.89B3.30B3.29B
Total Liabilities5.76B5.56B6.24B6.61B6.21B5.77B
Stockholders Equity7.66B6.95B5.11B4.29B4.19B3.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow568.09M580.85M1.14B584.76M944.40M939.12M
Operating Cash Flow785.27M748.38M1.34B805.72M1.12B1.10B
Investing Cash Flow1.09B1.96B-726.63M-540.92M-992.75M-481.38M
Financing Cash Flow-733.58M-1.27B-568.06M-260.26M-249.88M-506.29M

Dover Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price196.15
Price Trends
50DMA
180.51
Positive
100DMA
177.31
Positive
200DMA
177.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.09
Negative
RSI
63.29
Neutral
STOCH
62.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 196.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 189.73, above the 50-day MA of 180.51, and above the 200-day MA of 177.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOV.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$26.90B12.0615.88%1.06%-5.24%45.69%
79
Outperform
$33.33B35.218.70%1.17%5.56%13.76%
78
Outperform
$13.79B28.4219.45%1.32%2.85%3.09%
75
Outperform
$16.96B26.3017.97%0.96%0.83%-1.32%
67
Neutral
$34.68B26.231.85%0.73%-15.57%
66
Neutral
$30.87B57.955.35%0.10%4.20%-34.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOV
Dover
196.07
9.23
4.94%
GGG
Graco
83.16
-0.48
-0.57%
PNR
Pentair
103.40
3.44
3.44%
XYL
Xylem
136.88
21.82
18.96%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
78.12
-13.05
-14.31%
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
87.35
-3.89
-4.26%

Dover Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Dover Completes €550 Million Euro Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Dover Corporation successfully completed a €550 million offering of 3.500% Euro Notes due in 2033. This issuance, part of the company’s senior unsecured debt obligations, is intended to enhance Dover’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position by securing long-term funding.

Stock Buyback
Dover Launches $500M Share Buyback Program
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Dover Corporation initiated an accelerated share repurchase program with JPMorgan Chase Bank to buy back $500 million of its common stock. This move is part of a larger repurchase authorization approved in August 2023, aiming to retire a significant number of shares. The company plans to fund this repurchase with existing cash and expects the final settlement by the second quarter of 2026, potentially impacting its financial positioning and shareholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dover Reports Q3 Revenue Growth Amid Earnings Dip
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

Dover reported its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, showing a 5% increase in revenue to $2.1 billion, despite a 3% decrease in GAAP earnings from continuing operations. The company highlighted strong performance in short cycle components and secular-growth end markets, as well as successful acquisitions, which offset challenges in the vehicle aftermarket and refrigerated door cases sectors. Dover’s strategic initiatives, including capital deployment and operational efficiencies, are expected to drive future growth, with an increase in full-year adjusted EPS guidance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025