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Xylem Inc (XYL)
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Xylem (XYL) AI Stock Analysis

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XYL

Xylem

(NYSE:XYL)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$160.00
▲(11.41% Upside)
Xylem's overall score of 71 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, balanced by technical overbought signals and high valuation concerns. The most significant strength is the company's robust financial health, supported by positive guidance and segment performance. However, valuation metrics and potential technical corrections pose risks.
Positive Factors
Long-term Investment
XYL is an industry-leading water technology pure play and is considered an attractive core long-term holding for industrial and sustainability-focused investors.
Market Position
Analyst's recommendation for an Overweight rating is supported by the company's relatively well-positioned balance sheet and potential to expand margins beyond expectations.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
China still weak and not expected to flip to neutral in the near term.
Order Growth
Order growth is expected to be minimal and lag behind revenue.

Xylem (XYL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xylem Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXylem Inc. is a leading global water technology company headquartered in the United States. The company operates in the water sector and focuses on developing innovative solutions for water and wastewater applications. Xylem offers a wide range of products and services, including water and wastewater pumps, treatment solutions, testing equipment, and analytical instruments. Its offerings are designed to address the world's most challenging water issues, providing sustainable solutions for water transportation, treatment, and use in various industries including utilities, industrial, commercial, and residential sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyXylem Inc. makes money through the sale of its diverse range of water-related products and solutions. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of water and wastewater pumps, treatment equipment, and analytical instruments. Xylem also generates income through service contracts, maintenance agreements, and consulting services related to its product offerings. A significant portion of its revenue comes from long-term relationships with municipal, industrial, and commercial customers who require efficient water management solutions. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations with other companies and institutions help enhance Xylem's product offerings and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Xylem Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced overview with strong performance and growth across key segments and a raised full-year guidance. However, challenges such as economic issues in China, order delays in some regions, and tariff impacts were also highlighted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin reached a quarterly record of 21.8%, up 100 basis points year-over-year.
Strong Organic Revenue Growth
Broad-based organic revenue growth, particularly led by measurement and control solutions, with a notable double-digit growth in smart metering.
Order Growth and Full Year Guidance Raise
Solid order pace with double-digit growth in smart metering and raised full year guidance for revenue and EPS due to resilient demand and strong performance.
Operational Improvements
Simplification efforts driving improvements in productivity, customer responsiveness, and margin expansion. Record on-time performance achieved this quarter.
Strong Segment Performance
Outstanding results across segments, with measurement and control solutions showing 12% organic order growth and 10% revenue growth.
Recent Targeted Acquisitions
Acquisitions in advanced treatment with Vacom and Envirex, enhancing capabilities in zero liquid discharge and advanced nutrient removal.
Negative Updates
Economic Challenges in China
Ongoing economic challenges in China, leading to a decline in orders by 18% year-over-year.
Delays in Water Infrastructure Orders
Orders in Water Infrastructure segment declined by 2% due to funding delays in the U.K. and Canada.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Year-to-date free cash flow down $61 million year-over-year, primarily due to outsourced water projects and timing of tax payments.
Tariff and Inflation Impacts
Tariff impacts and inflation pressures noted, with a slight dilutive impact on margin expected for the full year.
Company Guidance
During Xylem's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company raised its full-year guidance for revenue and EPS, reflecting its confidence in delivering strong performance. The company reported a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.8%, marking a 100 basis point increase year-over-year, and mid-teens growth in adjusted EPS. The demand for Xylem's products, particularly in smart metering, remains strong, with double-digit order growth. The company achieved broad-based organic revenue growth, led by measurement and control solutions, and a healthy backlog exceeding $5 billion. Xylem expects full-year revenue to be between $8.9 billion and $9 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin ranging from 21.3% to 21.8%. For the third quarter, Xylem projects revenue of $2.2 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.7% to 22.2% and adjusted EPS between $1.20 to $1.25. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Xylem remains focused on executing its strategic plan, including recent acquisitions in advanced treatment, and continuing its simplification efforts to enhance productivity and customer responsiveness.

Xylem Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xylem exhibits strong financial health with solid profitability and efficient cash management. The balance sheet is well-structured, with low leverage and strong equity positioning. However, slight revenue declines and decreases in stockholders' equity warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Xylem has demonstrated solid revenue growth, with a notable increase from 2022 to 2023. The TTM gross profit margin is robust at 37.67%, and the net profit margin is impressive at 13.88%. However, the TTM revenue has decreased compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The company maintains strong EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a solid equity ratio of 65.31%, indicating a stable capital structure and low financial risk. Return on Equity (ROE) is commendable at 8.38%, illustrating effective use of shareholders' capital. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over the recent period should be monitored.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Xylem's cash flow is robust, with consistent free cash flow generation and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.33. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 0.98, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The TTM free cash flow has slightly decreased, but overall cash flow management remains strong.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.73B8.56B7.36B5.52B5.20B4.88B
Gross Profit3.30B3.21B2.72B2.08B1.98B1.83B
EBITDA1.77B1.69B1.12B726.00M832.00M613.00M
Net Income938.00M890.00M609.00M355.00M427.00M254.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.19B16.50B16.11B7.95B8.28B8.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17B1.12B1.02B944.00M1.35B1.88B
Total Debt2.00B2.02B2.39B2.20B2.75B3.36B
Total Liabilities5.88B5.62B5.94B4.45B5.05B5.77B
Stockholders Equity11.07B10.64B10.17B3.49B3.22B2.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow881.00M942.00M566.00M388.00M330.00M641.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.22B1.26B837.00M596.00M538.00M824.00M
Investing Cash Flow-494.00M-482.00M-628.00M-191.00M-183.00M-169.00M
Financing Cash Flow-440.00M-615.00M-157.00M-790.00M-855.00M473.00M

Xylem Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price143.61
Price Trends
50DMA
130.01
Positive
100DMA
123.99
Positive
200DMA
123.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.40
Negative
RSI
71.86
Negative
STOCH
88.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XYL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 143.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.91, above the 50-day MA of 130.01, and above the 200-day MA of 123.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.86 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XYL.

Xylem Risk Analysis

Xylem disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xylem reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xylem Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.80B30.2017.61%0.70%3.89%8.17%
76
Outperform
$17.09B28.4717.15%0.97%-0.25%-7.32%
75
Outperform
$7.09B24.5813.91%1.56%3.15%14.18%
75
Outperform
$3.95B26.6117.33%1.09%10.19%20.71%
72
Outperform
$515.54M39.1711.97%14.64%182.19%
71
Outperform
¥258.06B14.458.48%2.82%6.32%12.21%
71
Outperform
$34.96B37.338.76%1.07%3.97%21.95%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XYL
Xylem
143.61
16.78
13.23%
FLS
Flowserve
54.21
9.47
21.17%
GHM
Graham
46.97
18.26
63.60%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
25.20
5.02
24.88%
PNR
Pentair
104.23
21.57
26.09%
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
263.74
80.02
43.56%

Xylem Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Xylem Concludes Annual Shareholders Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Xylem Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where 88.68% of the company’s outstanding common stock was represented. Key outcomes included the election of nine directors, ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, approval of executive compensation, and the rejection of a shareholder proposal for special shareholder meeting improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (XYL) stock is a Buy with a $148.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xylem stock, see the XYL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025