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Xylem Inc (XYL)
NYSE:XYL
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Xylem (XYL) AI Stock Analysis

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XYL

Xylem

(NYSE:XYL)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$131.00
â–²(9.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (improving margins, strong free cash flow, and low leverage) and a supportive earnings update (raised EPS and margin guidance with strong backlog and major wins). These positives are tempered by the sharp TTM revenue decline and weaker cash conversion, plus a mixed technical picture (below the 200-day average) and a relatively expensive valuation (P/E ~29.8 with a modest yield).
Positive Factors
Margin expansion & profitability
Xylem’s sustained EBITDA margin expansion — driven by productivity, pricing, mix and cost control — improves operating leverage and cash generation durability. Higher margins cushion the business against cyclical revenues, enabling reinvestment, targeted M&A and continued shareholder returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sharp TTM revenue decline
A roughly 25% TTM revenue fall materially weakens top-line durability and raises questions about demand normalization or large comparability swings. Sustaining margins becomes harder if revenue levels remain depressed, and future growth must overcome this sizable base erosion to restore trendline expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin expansion & profitability
Xylem’s sustained EBITDA margin expansion — driven by productivity, pricing, mix and cost control — improves operating leverage and cash generation durability. Higher margins cushion the business against cyclical revenues, enabling reinvestment, targeted M&A and continued shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Xylem Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down income from various business segments, revealing which parts of the company are driving growth and where there may be challenges.
Chart InsightsXylem’s mix is visibly shifting: Water Solutions and Services scaled from zero to a material, service‑heavy revenue pillar (backed by a record $850M WSS win), boosting recurring, higher‑margin exposure and reducing cyclicality over time. Measurement & Control shows strong top‑line momentum but faces near‑term timing and margin pressure (energy exposure and pre‑divestiture drag) with management projecting a meaningful margin re‑rating post‑divestiture. Water Infrastructure and Applied Water are steadier but lumpy—order/backlog strength offsets China and walk‑away headwinds—supporting management’s cautious 2–4% organic growth and margin expansion thesis.
Data provided by:The Fly

Xylem (XYL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xylem Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Xylem Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and servicing of engineered products and solutions for utility, industrial, and residential and commercial building services settings worldwide. It operates through Wa...
How the Company Makes Money
Xylem makes money primarily by selling water-related equipment, systems, and associated services to utilities, industrial customers, commercial building operators, and other water end users. A major revenue stream comes from product sales—such as ...

Xylem Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely constructive operational and financial story: solid backlog and orders, record EPS, meaningful margin expansion, large strategic contract wins, and targeted M&A/portfolio actions. However, near-term headwinds — notably significant China weakness, MCS electric meter delays, and a ~2% walkaway revenue impact from 80/20 actions — are tempering top-line momentum and required a narrower revenue outlook for the year. On balance, the strength in margins, cash generation, high-impact wins (Dow and outsourced water), and accelerating exposure to high-growth markets like data centers and industrial verticals outweigh the near-term challenges.
Positive Updates
Record EPS and Margin Expansion
Reported record GAAP EPS of $1.46 in Q2, up 16% year-over-year. Quarterly adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.3%, an improvement of 150 basis points versus prior year; full-year EBITDA margin guidance raised to 23.1%–23.5% (90–130 bps expansion YoY).
Negative Updates
Significant China Weakness
China revenue declined substantially (CFO cited a ~27% decline in China overall; Water Infrastructure experienced a ~40% decline in China), creating an approximate 1% headwind to total company revenue versus prior year and pressuring segment orders and revenue.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record EPS and Margin Expansion
Reported record GAAP EPS of $1.46 in Q2, up 16% year-over-year. Quarterly adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.3%, an improvement of 150 basis points versus prior year; full-year EBITDA margin guidance raised to 23.1%–23.5% (90–130 bps expansion YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Xylem narrowed its FY26 outlook to roughly $9.2 billion of reported revenue (about +2% year‑over‑year) with organic revenue growth of 2%–3% (prior guide 2%–4%); adjusted EBITDA margin is now expected at 23.1%–23.5% (90–130 bps expansion vs. prior year) and full‑year EPS was raised to $5.55–$5.70 (from $5.35–$5.60). For Q3 the company expects reported revenue to be flat (≈+3% organic), EBITDA margin of ~23.5%–24% (up 30–80 bps) and EPS of $1.42–$1.47. Management reiterated a low‑double‑digit free cash‑flow margin target for the year, noted net debt/adjusted EBITDA of 0.8x after opportunistic repurchases, trimmed the MCS full‑year outlook to low‑single‑digit revenue due to electric meter delays, and said there is no material impact from recent tariff changes.

Xylem Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid overall: profitability has improved (EBIT margin ~13% in 2024–2025 and net margin ~10–11%), leverage is conservative and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.17 in 2025/TTM), and free cash flow is strong (~$0.9–$1.0B in 2024–TTM). Offsetting this, TTM revenue declined sharply (-22.9%) and operating cash flow coverage versus EBITDA is relatively low (~0.43), pointing to near-term growth and cash-conversion risk.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.13B9.04B8.56B7.36B5.52B5.20B
Gross Profit3.58B3.48B3.21B2.72B2.08B1.98B
EBITDA1.86B1.78B1.69B1.12B726.00M832.00M
Net Income1.01B957.00M890.00M609.00M355.00M427.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.34B17.63B16.49B16.11B7.95B8.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28B1.48B1.12B1.02B944.00M1.35B
Total Debt2.93B2.06B2.13B2.39B1.95B2.51B
Total Liabilities6.92B5.88B5.62B5.94B4.45B5.05B
Stockholders Equity10.42B11.48B10.64B10.17B3.49B3.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow960.00M910.00M942.00M566.00M388.00M330.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.30B1.24B1.26B837.00M596.00M538.00M
Investing Cash Flow-429.00M-471.00M-482.00M-628.00M-191.00M-183.00M
Financing Cash Flow-741.00M-501.00M-615.00M-157.00M-790.00M-855.00M

Xylem Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price119.75
Price Trends
50DMA
116.07
Positive
100DMA
116.93
Positive
200DMA
127.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.00
Positive
RSI
52.44
Neutral
STOCH
50.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XYL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 119.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.41, above the 50-day MA of 116.07, and below the 200-day MA of 127.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XYL.

Xylem Risk Analysis

Xylem disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xylem reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xylem Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$13.10B33.5218.56%0.63%17.13%23.21%
75
Outperform
$17.28B32.8017.12%1.11%7.37%20.50%
75
Outperform
$19.05B41.3910.35%0.75%28.07%-19.95%
71
Outperform
$10.16B27.6016.63%1.19%-0.26%29.38%
68
Neutral
$28.09B28.859.17%1.39%4.41%9.23%
64
Neutral
$11.00B16.6417.13%1.69%-2.15%8.39%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XYL
Xylem
121.19
-19.85
-14.07%
FLS
Flowserve
79.49
27.98
54.31%
ITT
ITT
211.92
47.56
28.94%
NDSN
Nordson
308.69
100.81
48.49%
PNR
Pentair
66.73
-34.91
-34.34%
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
384.10
119.07
44.93%

Xylem Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Xylem Completes $1 Billion Senior and Blue Notes Offering
Positive
May 29, 2026
On May 29, 2026, Xylem Inc. completed a $1 billion public debt offering consisting of $500 million of 5.200% Senior Notes due 2033 and $500 million of 5.450% Senior Blue Notes due 2036, both issued as senior unsecured obligations under its existin...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Xylem Shareholders Endorse Board, Pay and Stock Plan
Positive
May 18, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Xylem Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, with 88.12% of outstanding shares represented, and shareholders elected nine directors to one-year terms, reaffirming the current board composition. Investors also ratified ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 28, 2026