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Flowserve Corp (FLS)
NYSE:FLS
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Flowserve (FLS) AI Stock Analysis

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FLS

Flowserve

(NYSE:FLS)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$97.00
▲(15.72% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/16/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (material margin and earnings improvement) and a constructive earnings outlook with planned margin expansion and EPS growth. Technicals are supportive with a generally upward trend, while valuation is a meaningful constraint due to a ~26 P/E and low dividend yield; near-term execution risks include OE timing, lower backlog conversion, and weaker FCD order intake.
Positive Factors
Recurring Aftermarket Revenue
A growing, large installed base and consistent aftermarket bookings (>$600M for seven quarters; $2.6B FY) create recurring, higher-margin revenue. This durability supports steady cash generation, margin resilience versus cyclical OE sales, and long-term service-driven earnings visibility.
Negative Factors
Sizable Leverage
Material remaining debt increases sensitivity to economic downturns and interest-rate swings, constraining strategic flexibility. Covenants, refinancing risk and rating-linked pricing on credit facilities make capital allocation and M&A more conditional on continued cash generation and margin execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring Aftermarket Revenue
A growing, large installed base and consistent aftermarket bookings (>$600M for seven quarters; $2.6B FY) create recurring, higher-margin revenue. This durability supports steady cash generation, margin resilience versus cyclical OE sales, and long-term service-driven earnings visibility.
Read all positive factors

Flowserve (FLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flowserve Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Flowserve Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, distributes, and services industrial flow management equipment in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Flowserve Pump Div...
How the Company Makes Money
Flowserve makes money by selling engineered flow-control equipment and by providing aftermarket parts and services over the installed life of that equipment. Revenue is primarily generated through (1) original equipment sales and (2) aftermarket o...

Flowserve Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Flowserve Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution with significant margin expansion, robust free cash flow, disciplined capital returns, and strategic M&A that enhance aftermarket and nuclear exposure. These positive developments and clear targets outweigh near-term revenue headwinds tied to OE project timing, a lower backlog conversion profile driven by longer nuclear projects, and softer FCD bookings. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance and reiterated long-term targets, while acknowledging front-half cadence risk and dependence on nuclear/power market execution.
Positive Updates
Strong Margin Expansion and EPS Growth
Adjusted gross margin reached 36% in Q4, up 320 basis points year-over-year; adjusted operating margin expanded 420 basis points to 16.8%, exceeding the company's 2027 target range. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.11, a 59% increase versus prior year; full-year adjusted EPS growth was ~38%.
Negative Updates
Softness in Original Equipment and Project Timing
Original equipment (OE) revenues declined ~2% in the quarter; OE bookings were muted due to customer delays and timing of material receipts on percentage-of-completion projects. Company estimates ~50 basis points of Q4 revenue headwind from POC project timing, with impacts expected to persist into H1 2026.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Margin Expansion and EPS Growth
Adjusted gross margin reached 36% in Q4, up 320 basis points year-over-year; adjusted operating margin expanded 420 basis points to 16.8%, exceeding the company's 2027 target range. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.11, a 59% increase versus prior year; full-year adjusted EPS growth was ~38%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Flowserve guided to 2026 reported sales growth of 5%–7% (organic 1%–3%), including ~100 bps benefit from foreign exchange and roughly 300 bps benefit from the Greenray and assumed mid‑year Trillium Valves close, and expects bookings to grow mid‑single digits; adjusted operating margin is forecast to expand ~100 bps for the full year with adjusted EPS of $4.00–$4.20 (midpoint ≈ +13% vs. 2025) and an adjusted tax rate of 21%–22%; management expects to convert ~76% of current backlog into 2026 revenue (with OE activity accelerating in 2H), Q1 to be the lowest quarter and roughly 40% of full‑year EPS to be earned in H1, plans capital expenditures of $90–$100M, will at minimum repurchase shares to offset dilution (with ~$200M of buyback capacity remaining), and assumes Trillium will boost adjusted operating income while being neutral to adjusted EPS due to financing costs.

Flowserve Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving with strong margin expansion and higher profitability (net margin and EBIT margin materially better by 2025). Balance sheet leverage has improved but remains meaningful with sizable total debt, and cash flow has been positive overall but volatile (notably the 2022 negative OCF/FCF and weaker FCF growth in 2025).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.73B4.56B4.32B3.62B3.54B
Gross Profit1.58B1.47B1.30B994.65M1.07B
EBITDA698.59M541.05M374.42M291.58M291.03M
Net Income346.25M282.76M186.74M188.69M125.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.71B5.50B5.11B4.79B4.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments760.18M675.44M545.68M434.97M658.45M
Total Debt1.91B1.69B1.40B1.46B1.50B
Total Liabilities3.45B3.45B3.13B2.93B2.91B
Stockholders Equity2.19B2.01B1.94B1.82B1.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow434.96M344.29M258.41M-116.30M195.18M
Operating Cash Flow505.88M425.31M325.77M-40.01M250.12M
Investing Cash Flow-125.16M-387.21M-68.58M-6.09M-59.48M
Financing Cash Flow-326.93M117.50M-153.01M-150.01M-599.71M

Flowserve Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price83.82
Price Trends
50DMA
80.72
Positive
100DMA
76.82
Positive
200DMA
66.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Negative
RSI
59.13
Neutral
STOCH
55.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.31, above the 50-day MA of 80.72, and above the 200-day MA of 66.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLS.

Flowserve Risk Analysis

Flowserve disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flowserve reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flowserve Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$19.40B28.2316.15%0.79%8.48%-3.07%
76
Outperform
$11.16B30.5913.29%14.17%17.09%
73
Outperform
$30.46B29.5014.69%1.04%4.05%-51.73%
72
Outperform
$11.24B26.0515.81%1.17%3.76%22.94%
69
Neutral
$14.91B20.5317.48%0.96%2.28%5.49%
64
Neutral
$14.20B33.294.18%0.97%-1.65%42.59%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLS
Flowserve
85.06
40.80
92.19%
DOV
Dover
224.14
55.75
33.11%
ITT
ITT
213.60
77.85
57.34%
PNR
Pentair
82.86
-6.51
-7.28%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
209.56
103.63
97.84%
SPXC
SPX
216.36
82.53
61.67%

Flowserve Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Flowserve Expands Long-Term Liquidity with New Credit Facilities
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 15, 2026, Flowserve Corporation amended and restated its credit agreement with Bank of America and a syndicate of lenders, establishing a $1 billion unsecured revolving credit facility, including significant sublimits for letters of credi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Flowserve Announces Leadership Changes in Pumps Division
Neutral
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Flowserve announced that Lamar Duhon has resigned as president of its Flowserve Pumps Division, effective April 10, 2026, to become CEO of a privately held company, and will be succeeded on April 11, 2026, by Matthew Klopfer, cu...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Flowserve Expands Board With Appointment of Brian Savoy
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
On March 16, 2026, Flowserve’s board elected Brian D. Savoy, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President of Duke Energy, to its board of directors and appointed him to the Audit Committee and the Technology, Innovation and Risk Comm...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Flowserve Posts Strong 2025 Results, Announces Trillium Valves Deal
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Flowserve reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with Q4 bookings rising to $1.2 billion driven by 10% aftermarket growth, and full-year bookings reaching $4.7 billion, including about $40...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 16, 2026