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Flowserve Corp (FLS)
NYSE:FLS

Flowserve (FLS) AI Stock Analysis

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Flowserve

(NYSE:FLS)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$53.00
▲(14.08%Upside)
Flowserve's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, such as the merger with Chart Industries, are major positives. However, technical indicators suggest caution in the short term, and valuation metrics indicate the stock might be slightly overvalued. The company's guidance and efforts to address external challenges provide a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Demand Resilience
Demand should prove resilient, supported by energy security themes, long-deferred MRO, growing power demand, and expanding application base.
Financial Performance
The combination of FLS and GTLS is expected to result in significant cost and revenue synergies, enhancing the company's financial performance.
Market Opportunities
The larger industrial process company is anticipated to better capitalize on secular tailwinds such as LNG and nuclear, along with expanding aftermarket opportunities.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Fourth-quarter earnings per share was below expectations.
Operational Challenges
The key will be investor confidence in operational execution as a larger, more complex business.

Flowserve (FLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flowserve Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlowserve Corporation is a leading provider of fluid motion and control products and services. Operating in the industrial manufacturing sector, Flowserve designs, manufactures, and services a range of products including pumps, valves, seals, and related services for the oil and gas, chemical, power generation, and water management industries. With a focus on innovation and engineering excellence, the company supports critical operations that require precise control of fluids and gases.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlowserve makes money primarily through the sale of its engineered products and aftermarket services. The company's revenue streams include the manufacturing and distribution of industrial pumps, valves, seals, and related systems, which are essential for various industrial processes. Flowserve also generates significant income from its aftermarket services, offering maintenance, repair, and replacement parts to extend the lifecycle and efficiency of its products. Additionally, the company engages in partnerships and long-term contracts with major players in the oil and gas, chemical, and power industries, which contribute to its stable revenue base. The diversity of its product offerings and the essential nature of its services in critical industries underpin Flowserve's financial performance.

Flowserve Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in bookings, revenue, and margin expansion, with notable achievements in the nuclear and power sectors. However, challenges related to tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainty were significant concerns. Cash flow issues also posed challenges. Overall, strong operational results were offset by external economic pressures.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Bookings grew 18% to $1.2 billion, revenue increased 5%, adjusted gross margins expanded 180 basis points to 33.5%, and adjusted EPS increased by nearly 25% to $0.72.
Record Aftermarket Bookings
Aftermarket bookings reached almost $690 million, marking the fourth consecutive quarter above $600 million, benefiting from a significant $50 million nuclear order.
Nuclear and Power Sector Growth
Nuclear bookings exceeded $100 million for the third consecutive quarter, while power bookings rose more than 45% compared to the prior year.
Operational Excellence and Margin Expansion
Adjusted operating margins increased to 12.8%, with FPD operating margins reaching 17.7%, a 280 basis point improvement, and FCD also showed margin expansion.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact Concerns
The company faces a potential $90 million to $100 million annualized gross impact from tariffs, with significant exposure in the flow control side of the business.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Concerns over macroeconomic uncertainty and potential slowdown in project bookings in the second half of 2025 due to global market volatility and tariffs.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash from operations was a $50 million use of cash in the quarter, driven by higher temporary working capital requirements.
Company Guidance
During Flowserve's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance underpinned by a strong start to the year. Bookings increased by 18% to $1.2 billion, and revenue rose by 5%, contributing to an adjusted operating margin of 12.8%. The adjusted earnings per share reached $0.72, marking a 25% increase from the previous year. The book-to-bill ratio was 1.07, with notable growth in aftermarket bookings and nuclear activity. Flowserve's 3D strategy accounted for 31% of total awards. Despite potential macroeconomic uncertainties and the impact of tariffs, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, projecting organic growth of 3% to 5% and adjusted EPS of $3.10 to $3.30, representing an 18% to 25% year-over-year increase. The company also highlighted its strategic actions to mitigate tariff impacts, aiming to fully offset an estimated $90 million to $100 million annualized gross impact through price adjustments and supply chain optimizations.

Flowserve Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flowserve exhibits a strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth, effective cost control, and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with reduced leverage, and cash flows are robust despite some fluctuations.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Flowserve has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a positive trajectory, achieving a revenue growth rate of 6.8% from 2023 to 2024 and a further increase in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 32.1% TTM, indicating effective cost control. The net profit margin is stable around 6.1% TTM, showing consistent profitability. EBIT margin of 10.7% and EBITDA margin of 12.1% TTM highlight solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 TTM, significantly reduced from previous years, indicating lower financial leverage and improved risk profile. Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 13.6% TTM, suggesting efficient use of equity capital to generate profits. The equity ratio of 37.9% TTM demonstrates a balanced approach to funding with a strong equity base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Flowserve's cash flow performance shows a positive trend with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 TTM, indicating robust cash generation relative to profits. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.11 TTM suggests strong cash flow coverage. The free cash flow growth rate, however, shows a decrease from 2023 to TTM, highlighting potential volatility in cash generation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.61B4.56B4.32B3.62B3.54B3.73B
Gross Profit
1.48B1.43B1.30B994.29M1.05B1.12B
EBIT
494.51M462.28M333.55M197.22M270.76M250.28M
EBITDA
559.17M541.05M374.42M291.58M385.19M351.06M
Net Income Common Stockholders
282.44M282.76M186.74M188.69M125.95M130.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
540.80M675.44M545.68M434.97M658.45M1.10B
Total Assets
5.48B5.50B5.11B4.79B4.75B5.31B
Total Debt
228.71M1.69B1.40B1.46B1.50B1.94B
Net Debt
-312.09M1.01B858.92M1.03B843.79M842.87M
Total Liabilities
3.35B3.45B3.13B2.93B2.91B3.55B
Stockholders Equity
2.08B2.01B1.94B1.82B1.80B1.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
233.97M344.29M258.41M-116.30M195.18M253.13M
Operating Cash Flow
313.12M425.31M325.77M-40.01M250.12M310.54M
Investing Cash Flow
-384.90M-387.21M-68.58M-6.09M-59.48M-41.70M
Financing Cash Flow
87.48M117.50M-153.01M-150.01M-599.71M147.59M

Flowserve Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price46.46
Price Trends
50DMA
46.61
Negative
100DMA
51.04
Negative
200DMA
53.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
41.24
Neutral
STOCH
14.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.23, below the 50-day MA of 46.61, and below the 200-day MA of 53.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLS.

Flowserve Risk Analysis

Flowserve disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flowserve reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flowserve Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ITITT
82
Outperform
$11.97B23.9419.27%0.92%6.99%23.25%
78
Outperform
$7.50B36.7015.24%10.78%30.05%
77
Outperform
$5.71B26.266.93%-4.01%-8.86%
74
Outperform
$6.65B29.109.07%11.65%340.94%
FLFLS
72
Outperform
$6.19B22.1814.00%1.81%4.23%20.40%
MIMIR
66
Neutral
$4.74B-0.68%7.25%87.34%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.225.40%3.63%4.14%-12.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLS
Flowserve
46.46
0.11
0.24%
GTLS
Chart Industries
144.21
1.75
1.23%
ITT
ITT
150.46
23.21
18.24%
SPXC
SPX
154.45
16.31
11.81%
GTES
Gates Industrial
21.69
5.65
35.22%
MIR
Mirion Technologies
19.90
9.40
89.52%

Flowserve Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Flowserve Announces Merger Agreement with Chart Industries
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Flowserve Corporation and Chart Industries announced a merger agreement to combine in an all-stock merger of equals, creating a leader in industrial process technologies. The merger, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, aims to enhance the combined company’s market position with a global platform serving diverse high-growth markets. The merger is anticipated to generate significant cost synergies and be accretive to adjusted EPS in the first year, benefiting shareholders and stakeholders with a robust financial profile and expanded service capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLS) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flowserve stock, see the FLS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Flowserve Holds 2025 Annual Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Flowserve held its virtual 2025 Annual Meeting with 114,371,672 shares present, representing 86.86% of eligible shares. During the meeting, shareholders elected directors for terms expiring in 2026, approved executive compensation, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and rejected a proposal to eliminate the one-year holding period requirement for calling a special shareholder meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLS) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flowserve stock, see the FLS Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Flowserve Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

Flowserve Corporation reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a strong start to the year with significant growth in bookings and operating income. The company achieved first quarter bookings of $1.2 billion, with record aftermarket bookings and a notable increase in power bookings. Operating income rose by 17% compared to the previous year, and the company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, despite global uncertainties due to increasing tariffs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.