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Chart Industries (GTLS)
NYSE:GTLS

Chart Industries (GTLS) AI Stock Analysis

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GTLS

Chart Industries

(NYSE:GTLS)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$204.00
▼(-1.59% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is primarily held back by weakening recent financial performance (sharp profitability compression, reduced free cash flow, and still-elevated leverage) and an expensive valuation (P/E ~250). Technicals are moderately supportive with the stock holding above key moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum, while the leadership update is a modest positive.
Positive Factors
Diversified end markets & backlog
A nearly $5.9B backlog and order strength across carbon capture, data centers, nuclear, marine and industrial gases indicate durable demand diversity. This breadth reduces single-market exposure and supports multi-quarter revenue visibility as backlog converts to revenue, aiding planning and capacity use.
Margin resilience (gross)
Stable gross margins near the low-to-mid 30% range point to structural pricing power or cost control in core engineered equipment. Even with volatile net margins, steady gross margin suggests underlying product economics remain intact, supporting recovery in profitability as overheads normalize.
Strategic acquisition approved
Shareholder-approved acquisition by a large energy equipment firm represents a structural change that can unlock scale, distribution, and R&D resources. Integration with Baker Hughes could strengthen sales channels, reduce cost of capital, and accelerate deployment of Chart’s technologies across energy markets.
Negative Factors
Profits compressed sharply
A collapse in net margin to roughly 1% signals persistent earnings vulnerability from cost, pricing, or integration pressures. Low net profitability reduces retained earnings, weakens return on capital, and makes the business more sensitive to cyclical downturns or execution missteps over the coming quarters.
Elevated leverage
Leverage above parity limits financial flexibility and raises fixed interest obligations. With debt still above equity, the company has less cushion versus operating volatility; this heightens refinancing and covenant risk and constrains discretionary investment until margins and cash flow stabilize.
Inconsistent cash generation
Sharp FCF deterioration and historical variability undermine the firm's ability to self-fund capex, service debt, and absorb integration costs. Unstable cash generation increases dependence on external financing and elevates execution risk during multi-quarter recovery or merger-related transitions.

Chart Industries (GTLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chart Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChart Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells engineered equipment for the energy and industrial gas industries worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Cryo Tank Solutions, Heat Transfer Systems, Specialty Products, and Repair, Service & Leasing. It provides bulk and packaged gas cryogenic solutions for the storage, distribution, vaporization, and application of industrial gases; cryogenic trailers, ISO containers, bulk storage tanks, loading facilities, and regasification equipment for delivering liquefied natural gas (LNG) into virtual pipeline applications; and large vacuum insulated storage tanks as equipment for purchasers of standard liquefaction plants. The company also offers process technology, liquefaction train, and critical equipment for the LNG, including small to mid-scale facilities, floating LNG applications, and large base-load export facilities; brazed aluminum, Core-in-Kettle, heat exchangers, cold boxes, air cooled heat exchangers, pressure vessels, and pipe works; and air cooled heat exchangers and axial cooling fans for the power, heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refining applications. In addition, it provides highly engineered equipment that is used in specialty end-market applications for hydrogen, LNG, biogas, CO2 Capture, food and beverage, aerospace, lasers, cannabis, and water treatment; and cryogenic components, including vacuum insulated pipes, specialty liquid nitrogen, end-use equipment, and cryogenic flow meters. Additionally, it provides extended warranties, plant start-up, parts, 24/7 support, monitoring and process optimization, repairing, maintenance, and upgrading services; plant services on equipment, including brazed aluminum heat exchangers, cold boxes, etc.; and service locations that undertake installation, service, repair, maintenance, and refurbishment of cryogenic products, as well as equipment leasing solutions. The company was founded in 1859 and is based in Ball Ground, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyChart Industries generates revenue through the sale of its specialized equipment and services related to industrial gases and energy solutions. Key revenue streams include the sale of cryogenic storage tanks, gas processing systems, and related components, as well as aftermarket services such as installation and maintenance. The company also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major players in various industries, which provide a steady stream of income. Additionally, Chart's focus on innovative technologies and sustainable practices positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions, thus enhancing its earnings potential.

Chart Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant order growth, revenue, and margin improvements. The company showed resilience with robust demand trends across key segments, a strong backlog, and reiterated a positive outlook for 2025. However, challenges such as negative free cash flow and the potential impact of global tariffs were noted, alongside a decline in CTS orders. Overall, the sentiment remains positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Order Growth
Orders increased by 17.3% compared to Q1 2024, reaching $1.32 billion, including Woodside Louisiana LNG Phase 2. Specialty Products orders increased by 24.6%, and Repair Service & Leasing (RSL) orders grew by 36.1%.
Revenue and Margin Improvements
Sales organically grew by 6.6% to $1 billion with a gross margin of 33.9%. Adjusted EBITDA was $231.1 million, representing a 23.1% margin. Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 38.8%.
Strong Backlog and Demand Trends
The company reiterated its strong backlog, with LNG making up a quarter. Demand trends are positive across most business areas, and the commercial pipeline remains robust at approximately $24 billion.
Cost Synergies and Operational Efficiencies
Achieved a 190-basis point expansion in adjusted operating income margin due to cost synergies from the integration of Howden and improved operational efficiencies.
Positive Outlook for 2025
The company reiterated its full-year guidance for 2025, anticipating sales between $4.65 billion and $4.85 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $1.175 billion and $1.225 billion.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $80.1 million, although it represented an improvement of $55.6 million compared to Q1 2024.
Impact of Global Tariffs
Gross annual estimated impact from tariffs is approximately $50 million, with mitigation actions underway to manage the impact.
Decline in CTS Orders
Cryo Tank Solutions (CTS) orders decreased by 4.2% compared to Q1 2024, although they increased sequentially by over 10% from Q4 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Chart Industries 2025 First Quarter Results Conference Call, the company provided extensive guidance on their financial performance and outlook. Orders increased by 17.3% to $1.32 billion compared to the first quarter of 2024, with sales organically growing by 6.6% to $1 billion. The gross margin remained robust at 33.9%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter above this threshold, while adjusted operating income margin expanded by 190 basis points due to cost synergies from the Howden integration. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $231.1 million, up by 80 basis points, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 38.8% to $1.86. Despite negative free cash flow of $80.1 million typical for the first quarter, it showed an improvement of $55.6 million from the previous year. The net leverage ratio stood at 2.91, with a target of 2 to 2.5 by the end of 2025. The company reiterated its full-year guidance, anticipating sales between $4.65 billion and $4.85 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $1.175 billion and $1.225 billion. They also highlighted strong demand trends across various sectors, including LNG, space exploration, nuclear, and data centers, while maintaining a significant commercial pipeline valued at approximately $24 billion.

Chart Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show meaningful multi-year scaling, but the latest year saw a sharp revenue decline and a steep profitability drop (net margin compressed to ~1.0% from ~5.3%). Leverage remains elevated (debt still above equity) and free cash flow fell sharply in 2025, making results more sensitive to margin pressure and execution risk.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue scaled meaningfully from 2020 to 2024, but momentum weakened in the latest annual period with a sharp revenue decline (2025) and a steep drop in profitability. Gross margin stayed relatively steady around the low-to-mid 30% range recently, but net margin compressed heavily (from ~5.3% in 2024 to ~1.0% in 2025), indicating costs, pricing, or integration/expense pressure. Overall, the business shows an ability to grow, but earnings quality and year-to-year stability are inconsistent.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet is moderately leveraged for an industrial name, with debt running above equity recently (debt-to-equity around ~1.10 in 2025 vs ~1.32 in 2024), showing some improvement but still elevated. Equity has grown since 2020, supporting a larger asset base, yet returns on equity remain low in the most recent year (~1.3% in 2025), reflecting weak profitability relative to the capital structure. The company has scale and an improving leverage trend, but the debt load leaves less room for error if earnings remain pressured.
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
Cash generation is positive in recent years, with operating cash flow and free cash flow solidly positive in 2024–2025, but free cash flow fell sharply in 2025 (large negative growth). Cash conversion versus earnings is mixed: free cash flow is below net income in 2024–2025, and operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of debt (coverage in the mid-teens to high-20%s over 2020–2025). Earlier volatility (negative operating and free cash flow in 2021) highlights variability, so cash flow supports operations but doesn’t yet look consistently strong relative to leverage.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.26B4.16B3.35B1.61B1.32B
Gross Profit1.44B1.39B1.04B407.40M324.20M
EBITDA358.40M916.90M578.20M212.50M165.40M
Net Income40.70M218.50M47.30M24.00M59.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.81B9.12B9.10B5.90B3.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments366.00M308.60M188.30M663.60M122.20M
Total Debt3.56B3.74B3.90B2.32B883.90M
Total Liabilities6.43B6.13B6.16B3.22B1.42B
Stockholders Equity3.23B2.83B2.79B2.68B1.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow204.80M382.20M31.60M6.60M-74.00M
Operating Cash Flow294.70M503.00M167.20M80.80M-21.30M
Investing Cash Flow-93.60M-141.30M-3.99B-101.60M-361.20M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-243.70M1.41B2.50B381.90M

Chart Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price207.30
Price Trends
50DMA
206.82
Positive
100DMA
204.38
Positive
200DMA
191.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
56.69
Neutral
STOCH
81.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GTLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 207.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 207.23, above the 50-day MA of 206.82, and above the 200-day MA of 191.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GTLS.

Chart Industries Risk Analysis

Chart Industries disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chart Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chart Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$10.96B32.3118.25%0.70%4.18%16.05%
76
Outperform
$11.32B45.0313.56%12.60%24.02%
73
Outperform
$11.27B33.4916.49%1.17%3.19%69.89%
68
Neutral
$16.19B25.1117.48%0.96%0.83%-1.32%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$14.70B52.664.27%0.97%-4.99%22.16%
47
Neutral
$9.91B250.062.25%5.47%-75.40%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GTLS
Chart Industries
207.30
43.79
26.78%
FLS
Flowserve
88.52
36.57
70.40%
PNR
Pentair
99.19
8.38
9.23%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
220.98
98.23
80.02%
SPXC
SPX
226.94
88.34
63.74%
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
328.74
120.53
57.89%

Chart Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Chart Industries Names Gerry Vinci as New President
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Chart Industries’ board of directors has appointed Chief Human Resources Officer Gerry Vinci as president of the company, effective January 6, 2026, and decided not to name an interim chief executive officer. Vinci, 60, has led Chart’s human resources function since 2016 and has been an executive officer since 2017, bringing prior senior HR and legal experience from Dover Corporation, Harsco Corporation and Sunoco; his employment terms remain unchanged aside from a routine annual base salary increase, signaling leadership continuity and stability for stakeholders as the company prepares for this planned transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTLS) stock is a Hold with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chart Industries stock, see the GTLS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Chart Industries Grants Executive Retention Bonuses Amid Merger
Neutral
Dec 29, 2025

On December 22 and December 29, 2025, Chart Industries, Inc. entered into retention letter agreements with three senior executives in connection with its planned merger with Baker Hughes Company. Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary Herbert Hotchkiss and Chief Human Resources Officer Gerry Vinci will each receive a one-time $750,000 retention bonus, paid on or before December 31, 2025, designed both to keep them in their roles through up to nine months after the merger closes and to mitigate potential adverse tax consequences for the company and the executives; the bonuses are subject to repayment if they resign without good reason or are terminated for cause before that date or before any termination of the merger agreement. Separately, Chief Technology Officer Joseph Belling is eligible for a $200,000 retention bonus that vests 12 months after the merger closes, with accelerated vesting if the merger is completed and his employment is subsequently terminated without cause or he resigns for good reason before that anniversary, underscoring Chart’s efforts to secure key leadership continuity through the merger process.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTLS) stock is a Hold with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chart Industries stock, see the GTLS Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing Changes
Chart Industries to Convert Preferred Stock to Common
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Chart Industries, Inc. will automatically convert its outstanding depositary shares, linked to its 6.75% Series B Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, into common stock. This conversion will occur without action from shareholders, with each depositary share converting into 0.3526 shares of common stock, and any fractional shares settled in cash. Trading of these depositary shares on the NYSE will be suspended and the shares are expected to be delisted, impacting the company’s stock structure and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GTLS) stock is a Hold with a $214.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chart Industries stock, see the GTLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026