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Watts Water (WTS)
NYSE:WTS
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Watts Water Technologies (WTS) AI Stock Analysis

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WTS

Watts Water Technologies

(NYSE:WTS)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$452.00
▲(49.45% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/01/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (expanding margins, low leverage, solid ROE) and a strong technical uptrend (price well above major moving averages). These positives are tempered by a less attractive valuation (high P/E and low yield) and near-term risks highlighted on the earnings call, particularly the Q1 free-cash-flow drop and geopolitical/tariff-related uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Improving Profitability
Sustained margin expansion reflects durable pricing power, higher-value engineered product mix, and productivity gains. Higher gross and net margins support stronger free cash generation and ROE, enabling reinvestment, dividends, and M&A without relying on transient market tailwinds.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Weakness
A sharp near‑term FCF decline driven by working capital and inventory puts pressure on cash conversion and could constrain discretionary spending if persistent. If elevated receivables or stockpiles remain, the company may face timing risk on M&A funding, buybacks, or meeting conversion targets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Profitability
Sustained margin expansion reflects durable pricing power, higher-value engineered product mix, and productivity gains. Higher gross and net margins support stronger free cash generation and ROE, enabling reinvestment, dividends, and M&A without relying on transient market tailwinds.
Read all positive factors

Watts Water Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product Category
Revenue by Product Category
Shows how sales split across product lines (for example valves, pumps, water treatment and fire protection), revealing which products drive growth and margins and where changes in customer demand or product mix could materially affect revenue and profitability.
Chart InsightsGrowth is increasingly concentrated in Residential & Commercial Flow Control and Drainage & Water Re‑Use, while HVAC & Gas has lagged but shows signs of recovery late in 2025; Water Quality remains a small, stable contributor. Management’s product rationalization will shave near‑term organic sales (removing lower‑margin retail/OEM lines) but should improve mix and margins, while recent tuck‑ins and a ramping data‑center initiative (higher‑margin stainless cooling) are driving reported revenue gains—expect stronger top‑line but some short‑term margin dilution from acquisitions.
Data provided by:The Fly

Watts Water Technologies (WTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Watts Water Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Watts Water Technologies, Inc. is a global enterprise that creates, produces, and distributes a comprehensive range of products and systems designed to regulate and optimize the movement and conservation of liquids and energy within and around bot...
How the Company Makes Money
Watts primarily makes money by selling engineered water-management and water-quality products and solutions for building and infrastructure applications. Its revenue model is predominantly product sales (rather than recurring subscription-based re...

Watts Water Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strong operational quarter with record sales, margin expansion, double-digit organic growth, and accretive expansion into data centers, complemented by a 21% dividend increase and active M&A integration. Offsetting these positives are a sharp decline in first-quarter free cash flow driven by working capital and inventory builds, geopolitical and tariff uncertainty (including a modest direct impact from the Middle East conflict), softness in residential end markets, and near-term margin headwinds from prior-year comparisons and 80/20 product rationalization. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance while remaining cautious on the duration of geopolitical risks and tariffs.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Results
Q1 sales of $677 million, up 21% reported and 12% organically; adjusted operating income of $136 million, up 28% year-over-year; adjusted EPS of $3.04, up 28% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Significant Free Cash Flow Decline
Q1 free cash flow of $7 million versus $46 million in prior-year Q1; decline driven by higher accounts receivable from increased sales volume, timing of annual customer rebate payments, and inventory build related to tariffs and strategic stock-up.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Results
Q1 sales of $677 million, up 21% reported and 12% organically; adjusted operating income of $136 million, up 28% year-over-year; adjusted EPS of $3.04, up 28% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed its full‑year 2026 guidance, calling for consolidated organic sales growth of +2% to +6% and reported sales growth of +8% to +12% (while maintaining adjusted EBITDA and adjusted operating margin outlooks) and assuming the Middle East conflict is short‑term, the current tariff structure stays in place, and no IEPA refunds; for Q2 they guide reported sales +10% to +14% and organic +4% to +8% (Americas mid‑ to high‑single‑digit growth, Europe low‑single‑digit decline, APMEA low‑ to mid‑single‑digit growth), with Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.3%–22.9% and operating margin of 20.0%–20.6%, reflecting ~70 bps of acquisition dilution, a ~120‑bp headwind from last year’s ~$6M nonrecurring price‑cost benefit plus an estimated $20M pull‑forward, an expected ~$5–6M margin impact and roughly $8M sales headwind from the Middle East, incremental Q2 acquisition sales of $25M–$30M in the Americas and ~ $5M in APMEA, a ~ $5M FX benefit, targeted 80/20 rationalization impacts of ~$2M (Europe) and ~$6M (Americas) in Q2, a company goal of free cash flow conversion ≥90% of net income for the year, and a 21% dividend increase beginning in June.

Watts Water Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals: strong and improving profitability (TTM gross margin ~49% vs ~42% in 2021; net margin ~14% vs ~9%) and steady multi-year revenue growth to ~$2.56B TTM. Balance sheet is conservatively levered (debt-to-equity ~0.09) with strong ROE (~18%). Main offsets are near-term softness versus 2025 in operating profitability and a decline in TTM free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating some cash-conversion headwinds.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.56B2.44B2.25B2.06B1.98B1.81B
Gross Profit1.26B1.21B1.06B960.90M874.30M767.10M
EBITDA572.70M513.40M455.10M401.00M354.30M285.50M
Net Income366.40M340.80M291.20M262.10M251.50M165.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.94B2.88B2.40B2.31B1.93B1.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments374.70M405.50M386.90M350.10M310.80M242.00M
Total Debt197.80M197.70M197.00M298.30M147.60M141.90M
Total Liabilities843.50M853.50M689.10M796.10M630.30M682.40M
Stockholders Equity2.10B2.03B1.71B1.51B1.30B1.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow317.30M356.30M325.80M281.10M195.90M154.10M
Operating Cash Flow364.70M402.00M361.10M310.80M224.00M180.80M
Investing Cash Flow-236.10M-302.80M-124.70M-343.10M-22.90M-30.70M
Financing Cash Flow-101.80M-96.90M-190.50M69.00M-121.70M-118.60M

Watts Water Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price302.45
Price Trends
50DMA
317.73
Positive
100DMA
312.38
Positive
200DMA
296.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.41
Negative
RSI
61.97
Neutral
STOCH
73.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 302.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 343.27, below the 50-day MA of 317.73, and above the 200-day MA of 296.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WTS.

Watts Water Technologies Risk Analysis

Watts Water Technologies disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Watts Water Technologies reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Watts Water Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$12.31B33.6918.38%0.70%14.22%25.22%
74
Outperform
$8.64B16.6828.42%2.04%0.23%4.76%
72
Outperform
$11.40B42.8112.67%17.39%20.78%
71
Outperform
$3.91B18.6320.74%1.09%6.57%43.96%
69
Neutral
$9.25B26.6015.93%1.17%0.83%26.77%
68
Neutral
$14.87B77.987.18%-0.51%-44.42%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
368.55
120.42
48.53%
FLS
Flowserve
72.34
20.86
40.51%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
252.66
104.33
70.34%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
24.97
0.82
3.38%
AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
62.72
-3.94
-5.91%
SPXC
SPX
227.74
57.77
33.99%

Watts Water Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Watts Water Shareholders Back Board, Pay, and Auditor
Positive
May 20, 2026
Watts Water Technologies, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 19, 2026, where shareholders elected nine directors, including Rebecca J. Boll, Michael J. Dubose, David A. Dunbar, Kenneth Napolitano, Joseph T. Noonan, Robert J. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2026