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Thermon Group Holdings Inc. (THR)
NYSE:THR
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Thermon Group Holdings (THR) AI Stock Analysis

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THR

Thermon Group Holdings

(NYSE:THR)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(13.15%Upside)
Thermon Group Holdings scores a solid 78.5, driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's robust cash flow, strategic initiatives, and corporate events bolster its growth potential. However, valuation concerns and macroeconomic uncertainties slightly temper the overall outlook.

Thermon Group Holdings (THR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Thermon Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThermon Group Holdings, Inc. is a global leader in providing highly engineered thermal solutions for process industries. The company specializes in the design, manufacture, and supply of industrial heating solutions, including electric heat tracing systems, tubing bundles, and process heating products. Thermon's technologies are used to maintain temperature, ensure safety, and improve efficiency in various sectors such as oil and gas, chemical processing, power generation, and food and beverage.
How the Company Makes MoneyThermon Group Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its thermal management solutions and related services. The company's key revenue streams include the manufacture and sale of electric and steam heat tracing systems, which are critical for temperature maintenance in pipelines and tanks. Additionally, the company offers installation, maintenance, and support services, providing a recurring revenue stream. Strategic partnerships and contracts with major players in the oil and gas, petrochemical, and power industries significantly contribute to Thermon's earnings. The company also benefits from long-term relationships with its clients, which often lead to repeat business and service contracts.

Thermon Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strong organic growth, strategic achievements, and margin expansion, tempered by challenges from tariffs and economic uncertainty. While there are some areas of concern such as large CapEx revenue softness and potential macroeconomic headwinds, the overall momentum and strategic progress provide a balanced view.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Growth and Bookings Momentum
The company reported 3% organic growth in Q4 2025, the first in over a year, and a 29% increase in backlog from last year. The book-to-bill ratio was 1.08 times for the year, demonstrating favorable trends in end markets.
Operational Excellence and Margin Expansion
EBITDA margin for Q4 2025 was 22.7%, a 423 basis point improvement from last year. Adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal 2025 was 22%, up 86 basis points from last year.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
The company achieved its goal of 70% revenue from diverse end markets two years early and reported significant advancements in its 3D initiatives, contributing $93 million in revenue.
Share Repurchase and Financial Discipline
Thermon repurchased over $14 million in shares during Q4 and refreshed its share repurchase authorization to $50 million. The company finished fiscal 2025 with a net leverage of just under one times.
Positive Impact of Acquisitions
The acquisition of Vapor Power expanded the addressable market by 25%, and the Fati acquisition doubled its backlog due to strong demand from legacy customers.
Negative Updates
Softness in Large CapEx Revenue
Large capital project revenue was down 5% year-over-year in Q4 2025, reflecting continued softness despite improved booking momentum.
Tariff and Trade Challenges
Tariffs present challenges with an expected annualized impact of $16 to $20 million on a gross basis, with a net impact of $4 to $6 million after mitigation.
Economic Uncertainty and Potential Slowdown
The company expressed caution due to broader macro uncertainty and potential headwinds in the second half of fiscal 2026, despite strong order momentum and backlog.
Company Guidance
During the Thermon Group Holdings' Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, CEO Bruce Thames highlighted significant metrics related to the company's performance and strategic initiatives. The company achieved 3% organic growth in Q4, marking the first positive growth in over a year, driven by increased activity in the LNG market. Thermon's backlog as of March 31st rose by 29% compared to the previous year, with a 20% increase in organic backlog. The EBITDA margin for Q4 was 22.7%, a 423 basis point improvement from the previous year, reflecting operational excellence and a favorable revenue mix. For fiscal 2025, Thermon reported a revenue of $498 million, up by 1% year-over-year despite a 37% decline in large capital projects, and adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 86 basis points to 22%. The company generated $536 million in bookings with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.08, and free cash flow reached $53 million. Thermon also made significant strides with its 3D initiatives—diversification, decarbonization, and digitization—contributing $93 million to revenue. The acquisition of Vapor Power contributed to a 25% increase in the sales pipeline, and the backlog growth was supported by a strong bid pipeline, up 25% from the previous year. The company also returned over $14 million to shareholders via a share repurchase program and made $14.5 million in optional debt repayments, maintaining a net leverage of just under one times.

Thermon Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thermon Group Holdings has shown strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profit margins, and robust cash flow management. While liabilities have increased, the improved debt-to-equity ratio and solid equity growth mitigate potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Thermon Group Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth with a notable increase in total revenue from $276.2M in 2021 to $498.2M in 2025. Gross profit margins remain consistently healthy, averaging around 45%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown steady improvement, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. The net profit margin has also improved, demonstrating effective cost management. Overall, the income statement portrays a solid growth trajectory with robust profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a consistent increase in stockholders' equity, growing from $346.4M in 2020 to $495.3M in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over time, suggesting a reduction in leverage risk. The equity ratio has remained robust, indicating a strong capital structure. However, the total liabilities have increased, which should be monitored for potential risks. Overall, the balance sheet is solid with a positive trend in equity growth and manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Thermon Group Holdings has demonstrated strong cash flow management, with free cash flow consistently positive and growing from $22.1M in 2021 to $52.9M in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective conversion of earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio also reflects a strong cash generation capability. Despite some fluctuations in capital expenditures, the company's cash flow position remains healthy and supports ongoing operational and investment needs.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue498.21M494.63M440.59M355.67M276.18M
Gross Profit222.90M211.56M185.13M140.12M117.24M
EBITDA102.78M95.36M74.33M54.45M30.26M
Net Income53.52M51.59M33.67M20.09M877.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets755.45M767.74M649.63M636.67M617.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.54M48.63M35.63M41.45M40.12M
Total Debt151.69M187.49M128.28M141.64M161.40M
Total Liabilities260.14M292.85M230.64M237.47M148.50M
Stockholders Equity495.31M474.89M418.99M399.20M379.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.87M54.94M48.26M23.53M22.16M
Operating Cash Flow63.12M65.95M57.71M28.75M30.29M
Investing Cash Flow-14.97M-109.52M-44.55M-4.53M-7.83M
Financing Cash Flow-56.42M56.53M-13.46M-22.66M-28.20M

Thermon Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.28
Price Trends
50DMA
27.79
Positive
100DMA
27.68
Positive
200DMA
28.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
53.76
Neutral
STOCH
80.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.16, above the 50-day MA of 27.79, and below the 200-day MA of 28.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for THR.

Thermon Group Holdings Risk Analysis

Thermon Group Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Thermon Group Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Thermon Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$940.78M18.0911.03%0.72%3.69%
73
Outperform
$1.09B21.0913.70%1.79%2.60%51.33%
71
Outperform
$1.54B23.1111.04%1.41%1.35%-40.63%
68
Neutral
$1.27B34.204.27%0.98%-5.39%12.14%
65
Neutral
$11.04B15.744.60%2.11%3.27%-26.87%
54
Neutral
$1.52B-18.22%4.16%0.31%-423.59%
35
Underperform
$1.57B-45.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THR
Thermon Group Holdings
28.28
-2.91
-9.33%
GRC
Gorman-Rupp Company
41.13
1.69
4.28%
HI
Hillenbrand
20.93
-19.22
-47.87%
HLIO
Helios Technologies
36.81
-6.43
-14.87%
TNC
Tennant Co
81.55
-20.58
-20.15%
NNE
Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.
36.07
26.21
265.82%

Thermon Group Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Thermon Group Re-elects Directors and Ratifies KPMG
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

During the 2025 annual meeting held on July 28, Thermon Group Holdings announced the re-election of several directors, including John Clarke, Linda Dalgetty, and others, with varying levels of support. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, was ratified, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on a non-binding advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (THR) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermon Group Holdings stock, see the THR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thermon Group Holdings Amends Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with several lenders and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. This agreement, which amends a prior credit agreement from September 2021, includes a $115 million revolving credit facility and a $125 million term loan facility, both secured and set to mature on July 24, 2030. The facilities will be used for refinancing existing debt and general corporate purposes. The agreement includes financial covenants, security interests, and guarantees by various subsidiaries, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (THR) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermon Group Holdings stock, see the THR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thermon Group Appoints New COO to Drive Growth
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Thermon Group Holdings announced the appointment of Thomas Cerovski as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Cerovski, who has been with Thermon since 2019, will focus on executing the company’s strategic pillars to drive growth in decarbonization, digitization, and diversification. His extensive experience in the energy and industrial sectors positions him to lead Thermon in its next phase of growth, aiming to enhance shareholder value and expand the company’s installed base for recurring revenue.

The most recent analyst rating on (THR) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermon Group Holdings stock, see the THR Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thermon Group Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Thermon Group Holdings announced its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 results, reporting significant financial growth. The company achieved a 5% increase in fourth-quarter revenue and a 68% rise in net income, reflecting strong performance and strategic acquisitions. Throughout fiscal 2025, Thermon successfully integrated acquisitions, expanded its market presence, and maintained a robust financial position, with a focus on decarbonization, digitization, and diversification strategies. The company enters fiscal 2026 with strong bookings momentum and a solid backlog, despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (THR) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermon Group Holdings stock, see the THR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025