Mueller Water Products (MWA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.79B
• Dividend Yield: 1.12%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.35M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: 8.75%
• EPS Growth: 64.82%
• Country: US
• Employees: 3,400
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Industrial - Machinery
• EPS (TTM): 0.38
• Shares Outstanding: 156,349,170
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,331,207
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,348,031
• PEG Ratio: 0.84
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.18
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.57
• P/FCF Ratio: 17.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.07
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.83
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.78
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.80
• 1Y Price Target: $27.20
• Price Target Upside: 12.21% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: $26.00 ▲(7.26% Upside)

Mueller Water Products' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, indicating robust growth and profitability. However, technical analysis shows bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. The valuation is fair, but the dividend yield is modest.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Mueller's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful product adoption, enhancing its competitive position.

Leadership Transition

The appointment of a new CEO with internal experience ensures continuity and potential strategic renewal, supporting long-term growth.

Margin Expansion

Improved margins reflect operational efficiency and pricing power, which are crucial for sustaining profitability and competitive advantage.

Negative Factors

Residential Construction Slowdown

A slowdown in residential construction could dampen sales growth, affecting revenue from a key market segment in the near term.

Cash Flow Challenges

Challenges in cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to invest in new projects and innovations, impacting future expansion.

Impact of Tariffs

Tariff impacts can increase costs, potentially squeezing margins and affecting competitive pricing, posing a risk to profitability.

Mueller Water Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) is a leading manufacturer and supplier of water infrastructure and management solutions in North America. The company operates primarily through two segments: Mueller and Krausz. Its core products include water distribution and transmission systems, valves, hydrants, metering solutions, and other related services that support the efficient management and distribution of water resources. Mueller Water Products focuses on innovation and technology to improve water management systems and enhance sustainability in water usage.

How the Company Makes Money

Mueller Water Products generates revenue through the sale of its products, which include a wide range of water-related infrastructure components such as valves, hydrants, and water meters. The company primarily serves municipalities and utility companies, which are its key customers. Revenue streams include direct product sales, ongoing maintenance contracts, and service agreements. Additionally, the company benefits from partnerships with municipalities for infrastructure projects, as well as collaborations with engineering firms and contractors. Economic factors such as government infrastructure spending and community investments in water systems significantly influence Mueller’s earnings. The company also invests in research and development to create innovative solutions that address evolving water management challenges, thereby enhancing its market position and revenue potential.

Mueller Water Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mueller Water Products demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth, improving profitability, and a balanced capital structure. The decline in free cash flow growth is a potential risk, but overall financial performance remains robust, supported by efficient operations and effective cost management.

Income Statement

Mueller Water Products shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.72% and consistent improvement over the past years. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 34.9%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 10.67% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.28% and 19.08%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.48 in the TTM, indicating a stronger equity position and reduced leverage. Return on equity is robust at 17.30%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 53.69%, reflecting a solid capital structure with a good balance between debt and equity.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains strong with a coverage ratio of 0.93, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has declined by 10.04% in the TTM, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.77, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.43B	1.31B	1.28B	1.25B	1.11B	964.10M
Gross Profit	520.80M	459.00M	379.50M	364.30M	358.50M	328.20M
EBITDA	316.50M	250.10M	188.90M	175.70M	177.20M	177.30M
Net Income	191.70M	115.90M	85.50M	76.60M	70.40M	72.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.84B	1.64B	1.50B	1.50B	1.52B	1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	431.50M	309.90M	160.30M	146.50M	227.50M	208.90M
Total Debt	451.60M	477.50M	472.10M	473.70M	475.50M	474.90M
Total Liabilities	857.20M	825.80M	793.50M	828.80M	823.10M	754.30M
Stockholders Equity	981.70M	810.10M	711.50M	669.30M	694.90M	640.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	172.00M	191.40M	61.40M	-2.40M	94.00M	72.60M
Operating Cash Flow	219.30M	238.80M	109.00M	52.30M	156.70M	140.30M
Investing Cash Flow	-47.10M	-47.20M	-42.10M	-54.90M	-81.70M	-67.50M
Financing Cash Flow	-58.30M	-46.00M	-48.80M	-72.00M	-58.80M	-41.40M

Mueller Water Products Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 24.24
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MWA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 24.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.08, below the 50-day MA of 24.88, and below the 200-day MA of 25.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MWA.

Mueller Water Products Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FLS	79 Outperform	$9.07B	20.76	20.97%	1.18%	3.19%	69.89%
WTS	73 Outperform	$9.20B	28.47	17.81%	0.72%	4.18%	16.05%
MWA	71 Outperform	$3.79B	19.92	21.40%	1.12%	8.75%	64.82%
MIR	66 Neutral	$6.60B	220.88	1.58%	―	7.81%	―
MIDD	64 Neutral	$5.95B	―	-6.20%	―	0.27%	-159.24%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
GNRC	59 Neutral	$8.90B	28.86	12.38%	―	5.52%	9.03%

Mueller Water Products Corporate Events

Mueller Water Products Reports Record Earnings and Positive Outlook

Mueller Water Products’ recent earnings call was characterized by a strong financial performance and a positive outlook for future growth. The company reported record-breaking results for fiscal 2025, despite challenges such as tariffs and a slowdown in residential construction. Strategic initiatives and operational improvements have positioned Mueller well for continued success.

Mueller Water Products Highlights FY2025 Financial Performance

Mueller Water Products has released an updated investor presentation highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported $1,430 million in net sales for FY2025 and emphasized its commitment to sustainability, having identified significant water loss savings and reduced waste. The presentation underscores Mueller’s focus on operational excellence, customer experience, and innovation to drive growth and expand margins.

The most recent analyst rating on (MWA) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mueller Water Products stock, see the MWA Stock Forecast page.

Mueller Water Products Reports Record 2025 Results

Mueller Water Products, Inc. is a leading manufacturer and marketer of products and solutions used in the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water in North America, known for its comprehensive portfolio that includes valves, hydrants, and metering products. The company has reported record financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, with significant increases in net sales and net income, highlighting its strong market position and operational efficiency. Key financial metrics include a 9.4% increase in net sales for the quarter and an 8.7% increase for the fiscal year, alongside a substantial rise in net income per diluted share to $0.33 for the quarter and $1.22 for the fiscal year. The company’s adjusted EBITDA also saw notable growth, reaching $91.8 million for the quarter and $326.2 million for the year. Looking ahead, Mueller Water Products is poised for continued growth, leveraging its strong market position and investments in infrastructure to drive further sales and margin expansion in fiscal 2026.

Mueller Water Products Announces CEO Retirement and Successor

On November 6, 2025, Mueller Water Products announced the retirement of CEO Marietta E. Zakas, effective February 9, 2026, with Paul McAndrew appointed as her successor. McAndrew, who has been with the company since 2022, will also join the Board of Directors. Zakas will serve as a Senior Advisor until December 31, 2026, ensuring a smooth transition. This leadership change is part of a strategic succession plan aimed at maintaining the company’s positive momentum and operational success. The transition is expected to have significant implications for Mueller’s future growth and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (MWA) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mueller Water Products stock, see the MWA Stock Forecast page.

Mueller Water Products Increases Quarterly Dividend

On October 23, 2025, Mueller Water Products announced an increase in its quarterly cash dividend by approximately 4.5% to $0.070 per share, up from $0.067 per share. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value and may positively impact investor sentiment and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (MWA) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mueller Water Products stock, see the MWA Stock Forecast page.

Mueller Water Products Highlights Q3 FY25 Financials

Mueller Water Products released an updated investor presentation highlighting their financial performance and strategic priorities. The company reported net sales of $1,397 million and adjusted EBITDA of $306.9 million for the last twelve months ending Q3 FY25. They emphasized their commitment to operational excellence, customer experience, and sustainability, with significant achievements in water loss savings and waste reduction. These efforts are aimed at supporting future growth and enhancing their market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (MWA) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mueller Water Products stock, see the MWA Stock Forecast page.

Mueller Water Products Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer

On August 15, 2025, Mueller Water Products appointed Richelle R. Feyerherm as the new Chief Accounting Officer, replacing Suzanne G. Smith. Ms. Feyerherm, who has been with the company since 2019, will receive a compensation package including a base salary, bonus, and restricted stock units. The transition is supported by a consulting agreement with Ms. Smith to ensure continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (MWA) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mueller Water Products stock, see the MWA Stock Forecast page.