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Generac Holdings (GNRC)
NYSE:GNRC

Generac Holdings (GNRC) AI Stock Analysis

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GNRC

Generac Holdings

(NYSE:GNRC)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$164.00
▲(13.24% Upside)
Generac Holdings' overall stock score reflects a combination of mixed financial performance, bearish technical indicators, and a high valuation. The company's strong profitability and growth in the commercial and industrial sectors are offset by declining residential sales and reduced sales outlook. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The earnings call highlighted both opportunities and challenges, contributing to a cautious outlook.

Generac Holdings (GNRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Generac Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenerac Holdings Inc. is a leading manufacturer of backup power generation products and energy solutions, primarily serving residential, commercial, and industrial markets. Headquartered in Waukesha, Wisconsin, the company specializes in the design and production of a wide range of products, including home standby generators, portable generators, and energy storage systems. Generac's innovative technology also extends into the renewable energy sector, providing integrated energy solutions that cater to the growing demand for sustainable power sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenerac makes money primarily through the sale of its generators and energy products, which are sold through a broad network of distributors, retailers, and direct sales channels. The company generates significant revenue from residential products, particularly home standby generators, which are increasingly popular among homeowners seeking reliable power during outages. Additionally, Generac earns revenue from commercial and industrial sectors through larger scale generator solutions and energy management systems. The company also benefits from recurring revenue streams through service contracts, maintenance, and parts sales. Strategic partnerships with retailers, utility companies, and contractors enhance its market reach and contribute to sales growth. Furthermore, the rising demand for clean energy solutions has opened new avenues for Generac's energy storage and management products, further diversifying its revenue streams.

Generac Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted robust growth in the commercial and industrial sectors, particularly within the data center market. However, these positives were countered by significant declines in residential sales due to an exceptionally low outage environment and a reduction in the overall sales outlook for 2025.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Commercial & Industrial Product Sales Growth
Sales in the C&I product category increased by 9% during the quarter, driven by strong performance in domestic telecom and industrial distributor channels, as well as initial shipments of large megawatt generators to data center customers.
Data Center Market Expansion
Significant momentum in the data center market with backlog for large megawatt generators doubling to over $300 million in the last 90 days, providing a meaningful tailwind for C&I product growth.
International Sales Increase
International sales grew by 11%, supported by strong C&I product shipments in Europe and Australia, and favorable foreign currency impact.
Residential Energy Technology Solutions Growth
Sales outperformed expectations, led by energy storage systems, especially in Puerto Rico, supporting strong growth for residential energy technology solutions.
Negative Updates
Decline in Residential Product Sales
Residential product sales decreased 13% to $627 million due to a significantly lower power outage environment impacting home standby and portable generator shipments.
Overall Net Sales Decline
Net sales decreased by 5% to $1.11 billion compared to the prior year, driven by the weak outage environment.
Lower Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow decreased to $96 million compared to $184 million in the prior year, due to increased inventory levels and lower operating income.
Reduced 2025 Outlook
Updated guidance projects flat net sales growth for 2025 compared to prior year, down from previous guidance of 2% to 5% growth.
Company Guidance
During Generac Holdings Inc.'s third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that highlighted a mixed outlook, with several key metrics and trends. Overall net sales declined by 5% year-over-year to $1.11 billion, influenced by a 13% drop in residential net sales due to weaker demand for home standby and portable generators amidst a historically low power outage environment. However, commercial and industrial (C&I) product sales grew by 9%, driven by strong performance in the domestic telecom sector, industrial distributor channels, and international markets. The backlog for large megawatt generators doubled to over $300 million, reflecting significant momentum in the data center market. Generac also noted a sequential improvement in close rates and home standby generator consultations, despite year-over-year declines. The company is adjusting its full-year 2025 net sales guidance to be flat compared to the previous year, with residential product sales expected to decline in the mid-single-digit percent range and C&I product sales anticipated to increase similarly. Gross margin guidance was slightly reduced due to unfavorable sales mix and lower manufacturing absorption. Adjusted EBITDA margin is guided to approximately 17% for 2025, down from previous expectations, with free cash flow conversion from adjusted net income projected at 80%. The company remains optimistic about long-term growth prospects, driven by mega-trends such as rising power prices and increased demand for data center power.

Generac Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Generac Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price144.82
Price Trends
50DMA
164.85
Negative
100DMA
174.25
Negative
200DMA
151.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.14
Positive
RSI
37.94
Neutral
STOCH
13.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 144.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.71, below the 50-day MA of 164.85, and below the 200-day MA of 151.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNRC.

Generac Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.51B28.4324.96%1.28%2.37%-6.93%
77
Outperform
$10.81B44.2312.76%12.60%24.02%
75
Outperform
$13.26B28.0112.21%1.60%7.09%-2.29%
69
Neutral
$9.57B37.303.89%0.97%-4.99%22.16%
59
Neutral
$9.12B27.5612.38%5.52%9.03%
41
Neutral
$62.49M-7.90-61.47%123.75%66.85%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNRC
Generac Holdings
155.36
-0.76
-0.49%
DCI
Donaldson Company
91.12
23.90
35.55%
IEX
IDEX
177.19
-29.93
-14.45%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
141.63
-12.83
-8.31%
SPXC
SPX
207.33
64.12
44.77%
LASE
Laser Photonics Corp.
2.60
-3.18
-55.02%

Generac Holdings Corporate Events

Generac Holdings Faces Challenges in the AI-Driven Data Center Market
Nov 6, 2025

Generac Holdings faces uncertainty in the rapidly evolving data center market, driven by the increasing demand for AI-related infrastructure. The company’s projections for growth, revenue, and profitability in this sector may not materialize as expected, posing a risk to their financial stability. Significant capital investment and resource allocation are required to manage this growth, which could strain their management team and operational capabilities. Failure to effectively navigate these challenges may hinder Generac’s ability to capitalize on market opportunities and respond to competitive pressures.

Generac Holdings Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Generac Holdings Inc. is a global leader in energy technology solutions, specializing in power generation equipment, energy storage systems, and energy management devices for residential, commercial, and industrial markets. The company is renowned for creating the first affordable backup generator and continues to innovate in energy technology.

Generac Holdings’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Future Outlook
Oct 30, 2025

Generac Holdings’ recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, reflecting robust growth in the commercial and industrial sectors, particularly within the data center market. However, this positive outlook was tempered by significant declines in residential sales, attributed to an exceptionally low outage environment and a reduction in the overall sales outlook for 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025