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Generac Holdings (GNRC)
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Generac Holdings (GNRC) AI Stock Analysis

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GNRC

Generac Holdings

(NYSE:GNRC)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$216.00
▲(21.23% Upside)
Generac Holdings scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting strategic growth initiatives and robust revenue growth. Technical indicators support a bullish outlook, although valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield slightly dampen the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial performance
Generac reported a strong second quarter, with key financial metrics including revenue and earnings above guidance and consensus expectations.
Market opportunity
Generac's entry into the data center market marks a multi-year growth inflection, with management calling it the most needle-moving opportunity in decades.
Product growth
The residential HSB segment continues to set the bar higher, new products will allow price increases, ecobee is reporting growth, and the telecom business is seeing increased spending.
Negative Factors
Competitive disadvantage
GNRC’s new PWRmicro line is only expected to start shipping later, so the company will likely be behind competitors seeing safe harbor deals.
Competitive pressure
Larger competitors in the data center space have deep relationships and proven scale, potentially limiting the company's ability to gain meaningful share.
Market challenges
The residential solar business underperformed due to a sluggish solar market, reputational challenges related to product recall, and limited market share.

Generac Holdings (GNRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Generac Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenerac Holdings Inc. is a leading manufacturer of backup power generation products and energy management solutions. Founded in 1959 and headquartered in Waukesha, Wisconsin, the company primarily operates in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. Generac's core product offerings include standby generators, portable generators, and energy storage systems, as well as advanced power management technologies designed to provide reliable energy solutions for customers facing power outages or seeking to optimize energy usage.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenerac generates revenue primarily through the sale of its power generation products, including residential and commercial standby generators, portable generators, and related accessories. The company also earns income through the sale of energy storage systems and smart energy management solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers and businesses, as well as partnerships with distributors, retailers, and contractors who resell Generac's products. Additionally, Generac benefits from recurring revenue through service contracts and maintenance agreements for installed products. The growth in demand for backup power solutions, driven by increasing frequency of power outages and rising interest in renewable energy sources, significantly contributes to its earnings.

Generac Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong revenue growth, successful market entry into data centers, and improved financial metrics. While certain areas like home standby and rental equipment faced challenges, the overall performance and strategic initiatives position the company well for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Expectations
The second quarter results exceeded expectations, driven by C&I product sales to industrial distributors and increased shipments of residential energy storage systems. Adjusted EBITDA margins also surpassed forecasts.
Revenue Growth
Overall net sales increased by 6% year-over-year to $1.06 billion. Residential product sales grew by 7%, and C&I product sales increased by 5%.
Data Center Market Entry
Strong receptivity in the data center market with a global backlog exceeding $150 million. This segment is expected to contribute significantly to future growth.
International Segment Performance
International sales increased by 7%, with robust adjusted EBITDA growth due to favorable price/cost dynamics and foreign currency impact.
Free Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Free cash flow conversion guidance for 2025 was raised to 90%-100%, and approximately 393,000 shares were repurchased for $50 million.
Debt Management
Amendment and extension of the existing term loan and revolving credit facility, resulting in favorable terms and maturity extension to 2030.
Negative Updates
Home Standby Sales Plateau
Home standby sales were flat year-over-year despite a higher baseline demand, mainly due to decreased power outages.
Rental Equipment Market Weakness
Shipments to rental equipment customers remained soft, with anticipated continued weakness in the second half of the year.
Challenges in Residential Solar Market
The residential solar market is expected to contract significantly due to policy changes, requiring recalibration of investments.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter 2025 earnings call, Generac Holdings, Inc. provided updated guidance reflecting their strong performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $1.06 billion, with residential product sales up 7% and commercial and industrial (C&I) product sales up 5%. Adjusted EBITDA margins improved to nearly 18%, bolstered by a 170 basis point expansion in gross margins due to favorable pricing and cost dynamics. Generac narrowed its full-year net sales growth assumption to 2%-5% and raised the low end of its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range to 18%-19%. The company is focused on offsetting tariff costs through pricing strategies and supply chain initiatives. Additionally, Generac announced progress in new product developments, including the introduction of large megawatt generators for data centers, contributing to a $150 million backlog in this segment. The company anticipates further growth driven by its expanding dealer network, residential energy technology solutions, and entry into the data center market, with shipments expected to begin in the second half of the year.

Generac Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Generac Holdings demonstrates strong financial health, driven by consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. While profitability margins are solid, the declining EBITDA margin and increasing debt warrant attention. The company maintains a balanced capital structure, but should monitor leverage to sustain long-term growth and stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Generac Holdings exhibits solid profitability with a consistent gross profit margin of around 40% in recent periods. The net profit margin improved to 8.2% in TTM from 7.6% last year, indicating better cost management. Revenue growth has been steady with a 2.7% increase in TTM. However, the declining EBITDA margin from 15.6% in 2024 to 12.1% in TTM suggests increased operating expenses or lower efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 in TTM, reflecting moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 47.7%, indicating a solid capital structure. Return on equity improved to 14% in TTM, showcasing effective use of shareholders' funds. However, the rising total debt levels over time are a concern for future financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Generac's cash flow position is strong, with a 13.1% growth in free cash flow in TTM, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.89, indicating effective cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.90 underscores the company's ability to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.41B4.30B4.02B4.56B3.74B2.49B
Gross Profit1.76B1.67B1.37B1.52B1.36B957.65M
EBITDA700.19M670.92M554.53M719.43M816.52M547.96M
Net Income360.45M325.26M203.09M350.27M533.39M349.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.39B5.11B5.09B5.17B4.88B3.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.53M281.28M200.99M132.72M147.34M655.13M
Total Debt1.59B1.48B1.73B1.60B1.32B1.07B
Total Liabilities2.81B2.61B2.74B2.80B2.61B1.78B
Stockholders Equity2.57B2.49B2.34B2.26B2.21B1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow683.52M604.57M392.61M-27.67M301.16M424.40M
Operating Cash Flow682.08M741.30M521.67M58.52M411.16M486.53M
Investing Cash Flow-228.00M-208.71M-178.06M-134.23M-817.29M-124.09M
Financing Cash Flow-453.64M-448.83M-277.14M64.04M-102.97M-30.43M

Generac Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price178.18
Price Trends
50DMA
171.46
Positive
100DMA
146.52
Positive
200DMA
148.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.78
Positive
RSI
44.06
Neutral
STOCH
10.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 178.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 191.62, above the 50-day MA of 171.46, and above the 200-day MA of 148.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNRC.

Generac Holdings Risk Analysis

Generac Holdings disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Generac Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Generac Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$9.39B26.1024.94%1.43%2.92%-9.78%
78
Outperform
$8.73B41.7115.02%8.90%29.18%
77
Outperform
$10.45B29.5914.59%9.69%54.29%
71
Outperform
$12.41B26.0412.25%1.70%4.73%-19.15%
64
Neutral
$9.70B38.863.84%0.95%-7.88%
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.657.61%2.01%2.80%-14.92%
49
Neutral
$36.05M-61.47%123.75%66.85%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNRC
Generac Holdings
181.30
41.69
29.86%
DCI
Donaldson Company
81.04
12.41
18.08%
IEX
IDEX
164.93
-27.49
-14.29%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
145.56
-2.00
-1.36%
SPXC
SPX
187.81
46.96
33.34%
LASE
Laser Photonics Corp.
2.05
-3.94
-65.78%

Generac Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Generac Holdings Amends Credit Agreement with Lenders
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Generac Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries amended their Credit Agreement with a syndicate of lenders, led by JPMorgan Chase Bank. The amendment includes replacing the existing term loan and revolving credit facilities with new ones, totaling $700 million and $1 billion respectively, both maturing on July 1, 2030. Additionally, the amendment eliminates the credit spread adjustment linked to the transition from LIBOR to SOFR and updates the credit spread pricing grid based on the Total Leverage Ratio.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025