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Generac Holdings (GNRC)
NYSE:GNRC
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Generac Holdings (GNRC) AI Stock Analysis

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GNRC

Generac Holdings

(NYSE:GNRC)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$215.00
▲(5.99% Upside)
Generac Holdings has a robust financial performance supported by strong revenue growth and cash flow, although increasing debt and declining EBITDA margins require attention. Technical analysis indicates strong upward momentum but also highlights overbought conditions. Valuation is less favorable, with a high P/E ratio and no dividend yield. Positive sentiments from the latest earnings call further support the stock's potential but caution is advised due to market challenges.
Positive Factors
Data Center Market Opportunity
Generac's entry into the data center market marks a multi-year growth inflection, with management calling it the most needle-moving opportunity in decades.
Strategic Shift
There is a positive sentiment on the strategic shift away from underperforming clean tech investments, which should raise margin performance.
Negative Factors
Residential Solar Business Challenges
The residential solar business underperformed due to a sluggish solar market, reputational challenges related to product recall, and limited market share.
Tariff Overhangs
Tariff overhangs persist as guidance assumes current rates, leaving the potential for margin pressure if revised.

Generac Holdings (GNRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Generac Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenerac Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells power generation equipment, energy storage systems, and other power products for the residential, and light commercial and industrial markets worldwide. The company offers engines, alternators, batteries, electronic controls, steel enclosures, and other components. It also provides residential automatic standby generators ranging in output from 7.5kW to 150kW; air-cooled engine residential standby generators ranging from 7.5kW to 26kW; liquid-cooled engine generators with outputs ranging from 22kW to 150kW; and Mobile Link, a remote monitoring system for home standby generators. In addition, the company offers various portable generators ranging in size from 800W to 17.5kW; outdoor power equipment, such as trimmers, field and brush mowers, log splitters, stump grinders, chipper shredders, lawn and leaf vacuums, pressure washers, and water pumps; and clean energy solution under the PWRcell and PWRview brands. Further, it provides light towers, mobile generators, and mobile energy storage systems; commercial mobile pumps and dust-suppression equipment; various gaseous-engine control systems and accessories; light-commercial standby generators ranging from 22kW to 150kW and related transfer switches providing three-phase power for small and mid-sized businesses; and industrial generators ranging in output from 10kW to 3,250kW used as emergency backup for healthcare, telecom, datacom, commercial office, retail, municipal, and manufacturing markets. Additionally, the company sells aftermarket service parts and product accessories to dealers. It distributes its products through independent residential dealers, industrial distributors and dealers, national and regional retailers, e-commerce partners, electrical, HVAC and solar wholesalers, catalogs, equipment rental companies and distributors, and solar installers; and directly to end users. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Waukesha, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenerac generates revenue primarily through the sale of its power generation products, including residential and commercial standby generators, portable generators, and related accessories. The company also earns income through the sale of energy storage systems and smart energy management solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers and businesses, as well as partnerships with distributors, retailers, and contractors who resell Generac's products. Additionally, Generac benefits from recurring revenue through service contracts and maintenance agreements for installed products. The growth in demand for backup power solutions, driven by increasing frequency of power outages and rising interest in renewable energy sources, significantly contributes to its earnings.

Generac Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 34.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in sales growth, margin improvement, and strategic expansions, particularly in the data center segment. However, challenges remain in certain C&I markets and the residential solar market due to policy changes. The overall sentiment is positive, with a forward-looking perspective on growth opportunities and strategic investments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Revenue Growth
Overall net sales increased 6% year-over-year to $1.06 billion for the quarter, driven by a 7% increase in residential product sales and a 5% increase in C&I product sales.
Improved Gross and EBITDA Margins
Gross margins expanded by 170 basis points to 39.3%, leading to adjusted EBITDA margins increasing to nearly 18%.
Strong Performance in Data Center Segment
The global backlog for data center products grew to more than $150 million, with shipments expected to begin in the second half of the year.
Growth in Energy Storage and Ecobee Sales
Shipments of energy storage systems increased significantly, and ecobee sales had a record quarter, contributing to a positive EBITDA for the first half of 2025.
Expanding Dealer Network
The company ended the quarter with roughly 9,300 industrial dealers, an increase of approximately 400 over the prior year.
Revised Full-Year Guidance
Full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook increased at the midpoint of the guidance range, with expectations of over $400 million in free cash flow for fiscal 2025.
Negative Updates
Softness in Certain C&I End Markets
Despite overall sales growth, there was softness in shipments to national rental accounts and other international markets.
Challenges in Residential Solar Market
The residential solar market is expected to contract due to policy-related changes, leading to potential adjustments in investment levels.
Impact of Tariffs and Pricing Strategy Adjustments
The company had to navigate evolving tariff landscapes and make pricing strategy adjustments, impacting revenue growth assumptions.
Lower Home Standby Sales Year-Over-Year
Home standby sales were flat year-over-year, affected by lower power outages compared to a strong prior year period.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Generac Holdings, Inc. reported strong financial performance, surpassing expectations due to increased commercial and industrial (C&I) product sales and residential energy storage systems. Net sales rose by 6% year-over-year to $1.06 billion, with residential sales up 7% and C&I sales increasing by 5%. Adjusted EBITDA margins improved to nearly 18%, driven by a 170 basis point expansion in gross margins. The company narrowed its full-year net sales growth assumption and raised the low end of its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance, reflecting improved operational leverage and favorable pricing dynamics. Generac also highlighted the launch of its large megawatt generators for data centers, contributing to a growing global backlog exceeding $150 million. Additionally, they continue to focus on optimizing their supply chain and cost reduction initiatives to offset tariff impacts, while also advancing new product developments and expanding their dealer network.

Generac Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Generac Holdings maintains a solid financial position with stable profitability and effective cash flow management. The company demonstrates consistent revenue growth and efficient operational performance, bolstered by a balanced leverage structure. However, attention to debt levels is necessary for long-term stability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Generac Holdings shows a stable revenue base with a TTM gross profit margin of 39.01% and a net profit margin of 7.68%. The company demonstrates a moderate revenue growth rate of 1.23% from the previous year. While the EBIT margin is 12.76%, indicating efficient operations, the EBITDA margin of 14.76% reflects consistent profitability. Overall, the income statement portrays a solid financial performance, though growth is modest.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, indicating a balanced leverage position. The company has an ROE of 13.52%, demonstrating decent returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 48.80%, suggesting a strong equity position relative to assets. While the company maintains a sound capital structure, the slightly high total debt level warrants attention.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Generac Holdings exhibits robust cash flow generation with a free cash flow growth rate of 9.34%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.06, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.98, indicating strong cash conversion efficiency. The company effectively manages its cash flows, supporting operational stability and future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.41B4.30B4.02B4.56B3.74B2.49B
Gross Profit1.76B1.67B1.37B1.52B1.36B957.65M
EBITDA533.90M670.92M554.53M723.93M834.64M549.29M
Net Income360.45M325.26M203.09M350.27M533.39M349.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.39B5.11B5.09B5.17B4.88B3.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.53M281.28M200.99M132.72M147.34M655.13M
Total Debt1.59B1.48B1.73B1.60B1.32B1.07B
Total Liabilities2.81B2.61B2.74B2.80B2.61B1.78B
Stockholders Equity2.57B2.49B2.34B2.26B2.21B1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow683.52M604.57M392.61M-27.67M301.16M424.40M
Operating Cash Flow682.08M741.30M521.67M58.52M411.16M486.53M
Investing Cash Flow-228.00M-208.71M-178.06M-134.23M-817.29M-124.09M
Financing Cash Flow-453.64M-448.83M-277.14M64.04M-102.97M-30.43M

Generac Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price202.85
Price Trends
50DMA
153.04
Positive
100DMA
136.49
Positive
200DMA
147.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.69
Negative
RSI
81.81
Negative
STOCH
93.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 202.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 175.92, above the 50-day MA of 153.04, and above the 200-day MA of 147.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.81 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNRC.

Generac Holdings Risk Analysis

Generac Holdings disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Generac Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Generac Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$17.40B28.9917.15%0.90%-0.25%-7.32%
76
Outperform
$10.00B19.8927.60%1.85%-3.53%-7.46%
75
Outperform
$24.41B10.7316.72%1.13%-8.23%54.92%
74
Outperform
$9.10B29.3317.75%0.66%2.96%12.62%
71
Outperform
$11.67B33.6914.59%9.69%54.29%
67
Neutral
$9.49B38.023.84%0.91%-7.88%
58
Neutral
HK$13.61B5.49-2.78%5.73%2.29%-57.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNRC
Generac Holdings
202.85
52.23
34.68%
DOV
Dover
179.40
1.50
0.84%
PNR
Pentair
109.01
25.35
30.30%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
154.57
-1.66
-1.06%
AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
73.64
-4.48
-5.73%
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
274.42
90.30
49.04%

Generac Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Generac Holdings Amends Credit Agreement with Lenders
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Generac Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries amended their Credit Agreement with a syndicate of lenders, led by JPMorgan Chase Bank. The amendment includes replacing the existing term loan and revolving credit facilities with new ones, totaling $700 million and $1 billion respectively, both maturing on July 1, 2030. Additionally, the amendment eliminates the credit spread adjustment linked to the transition from LIBOR to SOFR and updates the credit spread pricing grid based on the Total Leverage Ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNRC) stock is a Buy with a $175.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Generac Holdings stock, see the GNRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025