Generac Holdings (GNRC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $9.34B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.21M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.09
• Revenue Growth: 5.52%
• EPS Growth: 9.03%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,389
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Industrial - Machinery
• EPS (TTM): 1.83
• Shares Outstanding: 58,684,067
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,667,810
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,209,125
• PEG Ratio: 0.44
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 15.27
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.18
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.53
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.42
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.42
• 1Y Price Target: $205.69
• Price Target Upside: 33.75% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15
• EPS Forecast (FY): 6.67
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.30B

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $164.00 ▲(6.64% Upside)

Generac Holdings' overall stock score reflects a combination of mixed financial performance, bearish technical indicators, and a high valuation. The earnings call highlighted challenges in residential sales but noted growth in commercial and industrial sectors. The company's focus on data center power solutions offers long-term growth potential, but current market conditions and valuation concerns weigh on the score.

Positive Factors

Commercial & Industrial Growth

The growth in commercial and industrial sales, driven by telecom and industrial channels, indicates strong market demand and diversification beyond residential products.

Data Center Market Expansion

The expansion in the data center market with increased backlog suggests a robust demand for Generac's products, positioning the company well in a growing sector.

International Sales Increase

Growth in international sales, particularly in Europe and Australia, highlights Generac's expanding global footprint and potential for further market penetration.

Negative Factors

Decline in Residential Sales

A significant decline in residential sales reflects vulnerability to external factors like power outage frequency, impacting overall revenue stability.

Overall Net Sales Decline

The decline in net sales indicates challenges in maintaining growth momentum, potentially affecting long-term revenue and profitability.

Lower Free Cash Flow

Reduced free cash flow due to higher inventory levels and lower operating income could strain liquidity and limit investment in growth opportunities.

Generac Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Generac Holdings Inc. is a leading manufacturer of backup power generation products and energy management solutions. Founded in 1959 and headquartered in Waukesha, Wisconsin, the company primarily operates in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. Generac's core product offerings include standby generators, portable generators, and energy storage systems, as well as advanced power management technologies designed to provide reliable energy solutions for customers facing power outages or seeking to optimize energy usage.

How the Company Makes Money

Generac generates revenue primarily through the sale of its power generation products, including residential and commercial standby generators, portable generators, and related accessories. The company also earns income through the sale of energy storage systems and smart energy management solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers and businesses, as well as partnerships with distributors, retailers, and contractors who resell Generac's products. Additionally, Generac benefits from recurring revenue through service contracts and maintenance agreements for installed products. The growth in demand for backup power solutions, driven by increasing frequency of power outages and rising interest in renewable energy sources, significantly contributes to its earnings.

Generac Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Generac Holdings demonstrates a mixed financial performance. Despite a decline in revenue growth, the company maintains strong profitability with healthy margins. The balance sheet reflects moderate stability with manageable leverage, though ROE has decreased. Cash flow generation has weakened, raising potential liquidity concerns, but significant free cash flow is still being generated.

Income Statement

Generac Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a decline in revenue growth rate at -1.34%, indicating a contraction in sales compared to previous periods. However, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 39.45% and a net profit margin of 7.19%, reflecting strong cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 10.23% and 14.54%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational performance. Despite the recent revenue decline, the company has demonstrated resilience in maintaining profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Generac Holdings reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.60, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity (ROE) is 12.30%, which is reasonable but shows a decline from previous years, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is 47.23%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet shows a stable financial position with manageable leverage, though there is room for improvement in ROE.

Cash Flow

Generac Holdings' cash flow statement presents some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate has declined by 24.95% in the TTM period, indicating potential issues in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.41, suggesting that cash flow from operations is not fully covering net income, which could be a concern for liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 88.65%, indicating that the company is still generating significant free cash flow relative to its net income. While cash flow generation has weakened, the company remains capable of generating free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.35B	4.30B	4.02B	4.56B	3.74B	2.49B
Gross Profit	1.72B	1.67B	1.37B	1.52B	1.36B	957.65M
EBITDA	632.91M	670.92M	554.53M	719.43M	816.52M	547.96M
Net Income	312.87M	325.26M	203.09M	350.27M	533.39M	349.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.60B	5.11B	5.09B	5.17B	4.88B	3.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	300.01M	281.28M	200.99M	132.72M	147.34M	655.13M
Total Debt	1.42B	1.48B	1.73B	1.60B	1.32B	1.07B
Total Liabilities	2.95B	2.61B	2.74B	2.80B	2.61B	1.78B
Stockholders Equity	2.64B	2.49B	2.34B	2.26B	2.21B	1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	512.96M	604.57M	392.61M	-27.67M	301.16M	424.40M
Operating Cash Flow	588.17M	741.30M	521.67M	58.52M	411.16M	486.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-181.48M	-208.71M	-178.06M	-134.23M	-817.29M	-124.09M
Financing Cash Flow	-324.54M	-448.83M	-277.14M	64.04M	-102.97M	-30.43M

Generac Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 153.79
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 153.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 178.45, below the 50-day MA of 176.84, and above the 200-day MA of 150.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNRC.

Generac Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DCI	78 Outperform	$10.02B	28.37	24.94%	1.33%	2.92%	-9.78%
SPXC	75 Outperform	$11.12B	46.43	12.76%	―	12.60%	24.02%
IEX	75 Outperform	$12.59B	26.60	12.21%	1.68%	7.09%	-2.29%
RRX	69 Neutral	$9.14B	35.60	3.89%	0.99%	-4.99%	22.16%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
GNRC	59 Neutral	$9.34B	29.27	12.38%	―	5.52%	9.03%
LASE	44 Neutral	$69.88M	-10.09	-61.47%	―	123.75%	66.85%

Generac Holdings Corporate Events

Generac Holdings Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results

Generac Holdings Inc. is a global leader in energy technology solutions, specializing in power generation equipment, energy storage systems, and energy management devices for residential, commercial, and industrial markets. The company is renowned for creating the first affordable backup generator and continues to innovate in energy technology.

Generac Holdings’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Future Outlook

Generac Holdings’ recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, reflecting robust growth in the commercial and industrial sectors, particularly within the data center market. However, this positive outlook was tempered by significant declines in residential sales, attributed to an exceptionally low outage environment and a reduction in the overall sales outlook for 2025.

Generac Holdings Grapples with Uncertainty in AI-Driven Data Center Market

Generac Holdings faces significant uncertainty in projecting growth within the data center market, a sector increasingly driven by the rise of artificial intelligence and its demand for robust infrastructure, including backup power solutions. While the potential appears promising, the rapid evolution of this industry presents challenges in accurately forecasting market sustainability and growth. The company’s ability to manage these demands effectively, requiring substantial capital and resources, is crucial to achieving its growth, revenue, and profitability objectives. Failure to navigate these complexities could adversely impact Generac Holdings’ financial performance and strategic goals.