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Regal Rexnord (RRX)
NYSE:RRX
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Regal Rexnord (RRX) AI Stock Analysis

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RRX

Regal Rexnord

(NYSE:RRX)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$167.00
▲(12.67% Upside)
Regal Rexnord's overall stock score reflects its solid financial health and operational efficiency, supported by strong cash flow generation. While technical indicators show a positive trend, valuation concerns and mixed earnings call results temper the outlook. The company's ability to navigate market challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Growth and Margins
The improved portfolio with an enhanced growth/margin profile indicates potential for outperformance regardless of the cyclical backdrop.
Market Recovery
There is a clearer path for the stock to work from here as estimates reacceleration with an end market recovery.
Order Growth
Daily order growth inflected positive for the first time since 2Q22, aided by easier comps.
Negative Factors
Revenue Pressure
RRX missed 3Q operationally and 2024 guidance was reset lower due to incremental revenue pressure.
Sales Growth Outlook
Management sees limited organic sales growth in 2025, with ongoing demand headwinds.

Regal Rexnord (RRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regal Rexnord Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegal Rexnord Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells industrial powertrain solutions, power transmission components, electric motors and electronic controls, air moving products, and specialty electrical components and systems worldwide. It operates through four segments: Commercial Systems, Industrial Systems, Climate Solutions, and Motion Control Solutions. The Commercial Systems segment provides AC and DC motors, electronic variable speed controls, fans, blowers, and precision stator and rotor kits. The Industrial Systems segment offers AC motors for industrial applications; electric alternators for prime and standby power applications to data centers, distributed energy, microgrid, rental marine, agriculture, healthcare, mobile, and defense markets; and switchgear for healthcare, government, and waste water applications, as well as residential, commercial, and industrial applications. The Climate Solutions segment provides fractional motors, electronic variable speed controls, and blowers for use in a residential and light commercial air moving applications; and fractional horsepower motors and blowers for white goods, water heating equipment, small pumps, compressors, and fans. The Motion Control Solutions segment offers bearings; conveyors; disc, gear, grid, elastomeric, and torsionally soft couplings; mechanical power transmission drives and components; worm gearing, shaft configuration, helical, bevel, helical bevel, worm, hypoid, and spur gearing products; and aerospace components. This segment serves beverage, bulk handling, metal, special machinery, energy, and aerospace and general industrial markets. The company sells its products directly to original equipment manufacturers and end-users through a network of direct and independent sales representatives, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Regal Beloit Corporation. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Beloit, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegal Rexnord generates revenue through multiple key streams, including the sale of its extensive range of products such as bearings, motors, and drive systems, which are essential for many industrial applications. The company also earns money through service agreements, providing maintenance, repair, and support for its products. Additionally, Regal Rexnord benefits from strategic partnerships with other industry leaders, enhancing its market reach and innovation capabilities. Factors contributing to its earnings include a focus on research and development, enabling the introduction of advanced products that meet evolving customer needs, as well as its ability to capitalize on trends in automation and energy efficiency.

Regal Rexnord Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Regal Rexnord's earnings call presented a mixed performance with solid free cash flow generation and significant data center order wins offset by organic sales declines in key segments and challenges related to rare earth magnet availability. While the company is optimistic about future growth driven by backlog and cross-sell synergies, these positives are balanced by ongoing market headwinds and operational challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow
Regal Rexnord generated $493 million of free cash flow in the second quarter, including $368.5 million from an accounts receivable securitization program. This program is net accretive to earnings by allowing the acceleration of paying down higher-cost debt.
Data Center Order Success
The company secured a significant $35 million data center order expected to boost future growth. This order is part of a larger project expected to result in 5 similarly sized orders.
Cross-Sell Synergies
Regal Rexnord is on track to achieve $250 million in cross-sell synergies following the Rexnord and Altra transactions, adding $50 million this year.
Positive Orders in July
In July, daily organic orders increased by 4.4%, driven primarily by strength in data centers.
Improved Margins in Power Efficiency Solutions
Second-quarter sales in the Power Efficiency Solutions segment were up 6.5% on an organic basis, with adjusted EBITDA margins improving by 1 point to 17.1%.
Negative Updates
Sales Decline in AMC Segment
Automation and Motion Control (AMC) sales declined by 3.4% on an organic basis due to weakness in the medical market, project timing, and availability challenges related to rare earth magnets.
Lower Organic Sales in Industrial Powertrain Solutions
Sales in the Industrial Powertrain Solutions segment were down 4.4% organically, primarily due to project timing impacts in metals and mining.
Rare Earth Magnet Constraints
Challenges in securing rare earth magnets led to delayed shipments and plant shutdowns, affecting AMC's profitability with a $6 million impact in Q2.
Lower Orders in PES Segment
Orders in the Power Efficiency Solutions segment were down 5.4% on a daily basis, largely driven by anticipated headwinds in residential HVAC.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, Regal Rexnord provided comprehensive guidance for the remainder of the year and into 2026. The company reported a slight decline in organic sales by 1.2% compared to the previous year, with significant impacts from project timing in metals and mining and rare earth magnet constraints. However, strength in residential and commercial HVAC and aerospace helped offset these challenges. Orders were down 2.5% on a daily basis with a book-to-bill ratio of 0.98, impacted by a large data center order that shifted to July. The adjusted gross margin rose slightly to 38.2%, while the adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 20 basis points. Adjusted earnings per share were $2.48, an 8.3% increase year-over-year. Regal Rexnord maintained its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range between $9.70 and $10.30, while addressing tariffs, which are expected to have a neutral impact on the adjusted EBITDA margin by mid-2026. The company's backlog grew significantly, providing a positive outlook for low single-digit sales growth in the latter half of 2025 and into 2026. Cross-sell synergies are on track to contribute an incremental $50 million this year, bolstered by a growing cross-sell funnel valued at nearly $300 million.

Regal Rexnord Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regal Rexnord demonstrates solid financial health with strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet. Despite challenges in revenue growth, the company maintains operational efficiency and a strong equity position, providing a foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Regal Rexnord's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth, but the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 36.65%. The net profit margin is modest at 3.96%, reflecting some profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is low at 3.66%, suggesting limited profitability from equity investments. However, the equity ratio of 48.18% reflects a strong equity base, providing financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a robust free cash flow growth rate of 70.49% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 3.97, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.83, highlighting efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.85B6.03B6.25B5.22B3.81B2.91B
Gross Profit2.17B2.19B2.11B1.67B1.09B808.70M
EBITDA919.70M1.16B971.00M1.04B573.00M447.20M
Net Income250.40M196.20M-57.40M488.90M229.60M187.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.90B14.03B15.43B10.27B10.28B4.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments320.10M393.50M574.00M688.50M672.80M611.30M
Total Debt5.00B5.61B6.55B2.02B1.92B1.07B
Total Liabilities7.19B7.77B9.07B3.85B3.93B2.01B
Stockholders Equity6.70B6.26B6.34B6.39B6.31B2.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow887.90M499.90M596.20M352.40M303.20M387.90M
Operating Cash Flow993.50M609.40M715.30M436.20M357.70M435.40M
Investing Cash Flow-79.00M275.40M-4.98B-113.30M-175.70M-37.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.11B-1.10B4.20B-274.20M-117.60M-147.60M

Regal Rexnord Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price148.22
Price Trends
50DMA
146.58
Positive
100DMA
132.61
Positive
200DMA
142.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
50.95
Neutral
STOCH
67.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 148.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.46, above the 50-day MA of 146.58, and above the 200-day MA of 142.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RRX.

Regal Rexnord Risk Analysis

Regal Rexnord disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regal Rexnord reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regal Rexnord Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.94B42.8815.02%8.90%29.18%
77
Outperform
$8.66B24.9524.58%1.51%3.26%-7.70%
77
Outperform
$6.95B24.1113.91%1.58%3.15%14.18%
71
Outperform
$11.67B33.6914.59%9.69%54.29%
67
Neutral
$9.49B38.023.84%0.91%-7.88%
65
Neutral
$6.60B17.5512.06%-1.70%10.24%
63
Neutral
$10.80B16.556.58%2.06%2.37%-15.86%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RRX
Regal Rexnord
148.22
-8.04
-5.15%
DCI
Donaldson Company
74.29
2.84
3.97%
FLS
Flowserve
53.01
6.39
13.71%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
198.97
49.93
33.50%
SPXC
SPX
186.56
33.36
21.78%
MIDD
The Middleby
134.23
-4.87
-3.50%

Regal Rexnord Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Regal Rexnord Announces Leadership Transition in August
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

Regal Rexnord Corporation announced that Kevin Zaba, Executive Vice President & President of Automation & Motion Control, will retire on December 31, 2025. Kevin Long will succeed him starting August 14, 2025, ensuring a smooth transition period until the retirement date.

The most recent analyst rating on (RRX) stock is a Buy with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regal Rexnord stock, see the RRX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Regal Rexnord Approves Bylaws Amendments for Governance Flexibility
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Regal Rexnord Corporation’s Board of Directors approved significant amendments to the company’s Bylaws, allowing for remote shareholder meetings and aligning proxy rules with SEC requirements. These changes, effective immediately, aim to enhance corporate governance and operational flexibility, potentially impacting shareholder engagement and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (RRX) stock is a Buy with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regal Rexnord stock, see the RRX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025