tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Regal Rexnord (RRX)
NYSE:RRX

Regal Rexnord (RRX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
499 Followers

Top Page

RRX

Regal Rexnord

(NYSE:RRX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$154.00
▲(0.88% Upside)
Regal Rexnord's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are significant strengths, indicating potential for future growth. However, technical indicators suggest bearish trends, and valuation metrics imply the stock may be overvalued, which could limit upside potential.
Positive Factors
Strong Order Growth
The increase in orders and backlog indicates a robust demand for Regal Rexnord's products, suggesting sustained revenue growth and market strength in the coming months.
Data Center Market Expansion
Expansion in the data center market positions Regal Rexnord to capitalize on growing demand for digital infrastructure, supporting long-term growth and diversification.
Favorable Cash Flow and Debt Management
Strong cash flow generation and proactive debt reduction enhance financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Tariff and Rare Earth Magnet Challenges
Ongoing tariff and supply chain issues may pressure margins and operational efficiency, potentially hindering profitability and growth.
Lowered 2025 Guidance
The lowered earnings guidance indicates potential challenges in meeting profitability targets, which could affect investor confidence and strategic planning.
Weakness in Medical End Market
Challenges in the medical segment due to supply chain issues may limit growth opportunities and affect segment performance in the near term.

Regal Rexnord (RRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regal Rexnord Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) is a global leader in the engineering and manufacturing of power transmission and motion control products. The company operates in diverse sectors including industrial, commercial, and aerospace markets, providing a wide range of solutions such as bearings, gears, motors, and drive systems. Regal Rexnord's core products are designed to enhance operational efficiency and reliability across various applications, enabling customers to optimize their machinery and processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegal Rexnord generates revenue primarily through the sale of its extensive portfolio of power transmission and motion control products. The company employs a multi-channel distribution strategy that includes direct sales, distributors, and online platforms, allowing it to reach a broad customer base across different industries. Key revenue streams include the sale of components like bearings, motors, and gear drives, as well as aftermarket services and support, which provide recurring income. Additionally, Regal Rexnord benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) and system integrators, enhancing its market presence and enabling the company to leverage new technologies and innovations. The company's investment in research and development also plays a crucial role in maintaining a competitive edge, helping to drive sales of advanced, energy-efficient products that meet evolving customer demands.

Regal Rexnord Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in orders and positive momentum in the data center market, suggesting strong future prospects. However, challenges related to tariffs and rare earth magnet sourcing, along with guidance adjustments, presented notable headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Order Growth
Third quarter orders were up 9.8% versus the prior year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.05. The backlog increased by 6%, indicating strong future growth prospects.
Significant Data Center Market Wins
The company booked $135 million in data center orders in Q3 and an additional $16 million in October. The data center business grew from $30 million five years ago to $130 million this year, with a strong bid pipeline approaching $1 billion.
Favorable Free Cash Flow and Debt Management
Generated $174 million of free cash flow in Q3, used primarily to pay down debt, ending the quarter with no variable rate debt.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Expectations for solid growth in 2026 driven by strong order momentum, with projected free cash flow of almost $900 million and a net debt leverage target of 2.5x by year-end.
Negative Updates
Tariff and Rare Earth Magnet Challenges
The company faced additional tariffs announced in August and incremental challenges in sourcing rare earth magnets, impacting margins and shipment capabilities.
Lowered 2025 Guidance
Adjusted EPS guidance was narrowed and lowered to $9.50 to $9.80, reflecting margin headwinds from tariffs and rare earth supply chain issues.
Weakness in Medical End Market
Sales in the medical end market were impacted by rare earth magnet availability and project timing, affecting the performance of the AMC segment.
Company Guidance
During the Regal Rexnord Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided various metrics and guidance for the future. Third quarter sales increased by approximately 2%, and orders rose by about 10%, signaling strong top-line momentum. Specifically, orders on a daily basis were up 9.8% versus the prior year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.05, and the backlog grew by 6%. The company reported a 70 basis point organic sales growth and an adjusted gross margin of 37.6%, despite an 80 basis point decline due to mix and rare earth magnet availability issues. Adjusted EBITDA margin was steady at 22.7%, while adjusted earnings per share increased to $2.51. Free cash flow for the quarter was $174 million, primarily used to pay down debt, with no variable rate debt remaining. Looking ahead, the company has set its full-year adjusted EPS guidance between $9.50 and $9.80 and anticipates generating $625 million in free cash flow. Regal Rexnord is also planning for low to mid-single-digit sales growth in 2026, driven by strong order backlogs and data center market opportunities, with expectations for generating nearly $900 million in free cash flow next year.

Regal Rexnord Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regal Rexnord demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management, positioning it well in the industrial machinery sector. While profitability margins and return on equity are areas for improvement, the company's reduced leverage and robust cash generation provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Regal Rexnord shows a strong revenue growth rate of 33.5% in the TTM, indicating robust sales performance. The gross profit margin of 37% is healthy, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.38%, suggesting potential areas for improving profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.73 in the TTM, showing a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity is modest at 3.94%, indicating room for enhancing shareholder returns. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth is strong at 5.46% in the TTM, highlighting effective cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.82 indicates solid cash flow management. Free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.90, suggesting efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.87B6.03B6.25B5.22B3.81B2.91B
Gross Profit2.17B2.20B2.11B1.70B1.07B828.40M
EBITDA1.18B1.17B971.00M1.04B573.00M447.20M
Net Income257.30M196.20M-57.40M488.90M229.60M189.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.87B14.03B15.43B10.27B10.37B4.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments400.00M393.50M574.00M688.50M672.80M611.30M
Total Debt4.93B5.61B6.55B2.14B2.04B1.15B
Total Liabilities7.10B7.77B9.07B3.85B3.96B2.01B
Stockholders Equity6.76B6.26B6.34B6.39B6.37B2.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow936.40M499.90M596.20M352.40M303.20M387.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.04B609.40M715.30M436.20M357.70M435.40M
Investing Cash Flow-72.60M275.40M-4.98B-113.30M-175.70M-37.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.02B-1.10B4.20B-274.20M-117.60M-147.60M

Regal Rexnord Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price152.66
Price Trends
50DMA
141.89
Positive
100DMA
144.10
Positive
200DMA
135.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.83
Negative
RSI
63.09
Neutral
STOCH
84.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 152.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 141.38, above the 50-day MA of 141.89, and above the 200-day MA of 135.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RRX.

Regal Rexnord Risk Analysis

Regal Rexnord disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regal Rexnord reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regal Rexnord Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.63B28.7524.96%1.26%2.37%-6.93%
77
Outperform
$9.46B18.3428.21%2.01%-1.64%-2.50%
77
Outperform
$10.85B47.9512.76%12.60%24.02%
77
Outperform
$8.92B27.5917.81%0.72%4.18%16.05%
71
Outperform
$10.96B34.3818.09%0.48%-0.37%21.77%
69
Neutral
$9.88B38.503.89%0.92%-4.99%22.16%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RRX
Regal Rexnord
152.66
-14.53
-8.69%
DCI
Donaldson Company
93.07
22.05
31.05%
AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
68.58
-2.45
-3.45%
SPXC
SPX
224.76
69.23
44.51%
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
277.92
61.72
28.55%
CR
Crane Company
192.93
28.82
17.56%

Regal Rexnord Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Regal Rexnord Secures New Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Regal Rexnord Corporation entered into a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with a group of financial institutions, facilitated by JPMorgan Chase Bank. This agreement replaces the previous credit arrangement from March 2022 and includes an $850 million unsecured Delayed Draw Term Loan and a $1.5 billion revolving line of credit. The new credit facilities are intended to refinance existing debt, cover fees and expenses, and support the company’s working capital and general corporate purposes. The agreement imposes financial covenants and restrictions on the company and its subsidiaries, aiming to maintain financial stability and operational flexibility.

Executive/Board Changes
Regal Rexnord Announces CEO Louis Pinkham’s Departure
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Regal Rexnord Corporation announced the planned departure of CEO Louis Pinkham as part of a CEO succession process. Pinkham, who has led the company since April 2019, will remain in his role until March 31, 2026, or until a successor is appointed, ensuring a smooth transition. Under his leadership, the company has seen significant growth, with its enterprise value increasing to $15 billion. The Board of Directors has initiated a search for a new CEO, assisted by an executive search firm, and has expressed gratitude for Pinkham’s contributions, positioning the company for its next growth phase.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025