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Regal Rexnord (RRX)
NYSE:RRX
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Regal Rexnord (RRX) AI Stock Analysis

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RRX

Regal Rexnord

(NYSE:RRX)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$260.00
▲(26.58% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/01/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance anchored by strong free cash flow, supported by a clear technical uptrend. Offsetting factors include a demanding valuation (high P/E, low yield) and earnings-call risks around margin pressure and tariff/rare-earth uncertainty, with leadership transitions a modest additional consideration.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained high free cash flow (~$805M TTM) gives Regal Rexnord durable financial flexibility to pay down debt, fund targeted investments (NPD, data center capacity, salesforce) and support cross-selling that underpin long-term growth and resilience across cycles.
Negative Factors
Moderate Leverage
Meaningful net debt (~$4.9B, D/E ~0.71) leaves less balance-sheet flexibility versus peers; while improving, leverage constrains capital allocation options and raises sensitivity to cyclical revenue or margin shocks over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained high free cash flow (~$805M TTM) gives Regal Rexnord durable financial flexibility to pay down debt, fund targeted investments (NPD, data center capacity, salesforce) and support cross-selling that underpin long-term growth and resilience across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Regal Rexnord (RRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regal Rexnord Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Regal Rexnord Corporation, formerly known as Regal Beloit Corporation, is a global enterprise that designs, manufactures, and distributes a comprehensive range of industrial products. Its offerings include industrial powertrain solutions, mechanic...
How the Company Makes Money
Regal Rexnord makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling engineered industrial components and systems. Its revenue is largely transaction-based, generated from the sale of products such as electric motors and motor systems, drives and cont...

Regal Rexnord Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive growth story: order momentum (notably a 34% surge in AMC orders), raised top-line growth assumptions across segments, maintained earnings and cash-flow guidance, and a sizable multi-year data center opportunity. However, Q1 margins were pressured (adjusted EBITDA down ~120 bps), AMC margins have faced sustained YoY declines, PES residential HVAC remains weak (sales down >20%), and tariff/rare earth uncertainties and OEM-heavy mix create measured conservatism in margin guidance. On balance the positives (strong orders, improved demand visibility, upgraded sales guidance, and strategic wins/cross-sell) outweigh the near-term margin and end-market challenges.
Positive Updates
Enterprise Orders and Backlog Growth
Orders in the quarter were up 8.5% on a daily basis versus prior year, and backlog rose 6.7% sequentially versus Q4, with enterprise orders in April up 4.6% on a daily basis.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Compression
Company adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.6% in Q1, down ~120 basis points year-over-year; management cited mix, tariff/price-cost effects, rare earth magnet constraints and higher growth investments as drivers of margin pressure.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Enterprise Orders and Backlog Growth
Orders in the quarter were up 8.5% on a daily basis versus prior year, and backlog rose 6.7% sequentially versus Q4, with enterprise orders in April up 4.6% on a daily basis.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Regal Rexnord updates 2026 guidance assuming enterprise sales growth of roughly 4.5% (up 150 bps vs. prior), an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.2%, adjusted EPS of $10.20–$11.00 (midpoint ≈10% EPS growth) and cash flow of $650 million, while excluding remaining cost synergies; unmitigated tariff exposure is revised to $127 million (from $155M) and the company expects to be dollar-cost neutral by mid‑2026 and margin‑neutral by year‑end. Q1 results that inform the guide included daily orders +8.5% YoY, backlog +6.7% sequentially, April orders +4.6% daily, sales +4.3% (+1.6% organic), adjusted gross margin 37.7%, company adjusted EBITDA margin 20.6% (down 120 bps YoY), adjusted EPS $2.17 (+~1% YoY) and adjusted free cash flow roughly flat. By segment, AMC Q1 sales +12.1% organic, orders +34% and book‑to‑bill 1.24 (AMC full‑year sales guide raised to high‑single‑digits; midpoint EBITDA margin ~20.5%); IPS Q1 sales +2.8% organic, orders down 1.4% (book‑to‑bill 1.09) with IPS full‑year sales guide to mid‑single‑digits and margin midpoint down ~50 bps; PES Q1 sales −10.3% organic, orders down ~60 bps (book‑to‑bill 1.13) with full‑year sales now guided to flat to low‑single‑digit and Q1 PES EBITDA 15.8% (above prior range). Management notes upside potential from mix improvements, ePOD volume, possible IEEPA refunds and synergy realization, but is remaining measured given geopolitical and macro uncertainties.

Regal Rexnord Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid underlying operations and cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$903M; free cash flow ~$805M) support quality and flexibility, but constraints include thin net margins (~4.8%), historically uneven earnings (loss in 2023), and a moderately levered balance sheet (TTM debt ~$4.9B; debt-to-equity ~0.71) with low ROE (~4%).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
76
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.00B5.93B6.03B6.25B5.22B3.81B
Gross Profit2.25B2.22B2.20B2.11B1.70B1.07B
EBITDA1.19B1.20B1.17B971.00M1.04B573.00M
Net Income286.60M279.50M196.20M-57.40M488.90M229.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.78B13.92B14.03B15.43B10.27B10.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments401.00M521.70M393.50M574.00M688.50M672.80M
Total Debt4.86B5.06B5.61B6.55B2.14B2.04B
Total Liabilities6.97B7.07B7.77B9.07B3.85B3.96B
Stockholders Equity6.81B6.84B6.26B6.34B6.39B6.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow805.10M893.10M499.90M596.20M352.40M303.20M
Operating Cash Flow903.40M990.80M609.40M715.30M436.20M357.70M
Investing Cash Flow-84.90M-71.00M275.40M-4.98B-113.30M-175.70M
Financing Cash Flow-737.00M-814.10M-1.10B4.20B-274.20M-117.60M

Regal Rexnord Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price205.40
Price Trends
50DMA
211.60
Positive
100DMA
206.53
Positive
200DMA
176.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.72
Negative
RSI
57.25
Neutral
STOCH
55.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 205.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 218.36, below the 50-day MA of 211.60, and above the 200-day MA of 176.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RRX.

Regal Rexnord Risk Analysis

Regal Rexnord disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regal Rexnord reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regal Rexnord Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$12.73B34.8418.38%0.70%14.22%25.22%
74
Outperform
$8.56B16.5328.42%2.04%0.23%4.76%
72
Outperform
$11.60B43.5612.67%17.39%20.78%
71
Outperform
$10.26B23.4228.13%1.28%4.44%25.08%
70
Outperform
$12.69B39.6016.30%0.49%7.18%5.22%
68
Neutral
$15.27B53.094.23%0.97%1.54%22.59%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RRX
Regal Rexnord
229.36
78.87
52.41%
DCI
Donaldson Company
88.52
18.33
26.12%
AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
62.14
-4.55
-6.82%
SPXC
SPX
231.72
59.17
34.29%
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
381.20
130.36
51.97%
CR
Crane Company
219.80
28.36
14.82%

Regal Rexnord Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Regal Rexnord Names New Industrial Powertrain Solutions Leader
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
On June 1, 2026, Milwaukee-based Regal Rexnord announced that Mark Klossner has been appointed Executive Vice President President of its Industrial Powertrain Solutions segment, effective immediately. He succeeds Jerry Morton, who has led IPS sin...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Regal Rexnord Shareholders Back Board, Pay, and Auditor
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
Regal Rexnord Corporation held its 2026 annual meeting of shareholders on April 28, 2026, where investors voted on board elections, executive pay, and the company’s external auditor. Shareholders cast votes representing 63,726,776 shares out...
Executive/Board Changes
Regal Rexnord Announces CEO Transition to Aamir Paul
Positive
Apr 22, 2026
On April 22, 2026, Regal Rexnord announced that Aamir Paul will succeed Louis V. Pinkham as Chief Executive Officer no later than July 1, 2026, following the conclusion of Paul’s responsibilities at Schneider Electric. Paul will also join th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2026