tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
The Middleby Corp (MIDD)
NASDAQ:MIDD

The Middleby (MIDD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
379 Followers

Top Page

MIDD

The Middleby

(NASDAQ:MIDD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$135.00
▼(-8.56% Downside)
The Middleby Corporation's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. Strong cash flow and strategic corporate events are positive factors, while profitability issues and valuation concerns weigh on the score. The technical analysis suggests mixed signals, with short-term bullish momentum but potential bearish pressure.
Positive Factors
Strategic Shift
The sale and spin-off of non-core segments allow Middleby to focus on its core commercial foodservice business, enhancing growth potential and operational efficiency.
Cash Generation
Robust cash flow indicates efficient operations and provides financial flexibility for strategic investments and debt management, supporting long-term stability.
Innovation and Expansion
New facilities enhance manufacturing capabilities and customer collaboration, fostering innovation and supporting long-term growth in key markets.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could strain financial resources and limit reinvestment opportunities, affecting long-term competitiveness and growth.
Impairment Charges
Significant impairment charges reflect underlying business challenges and can impact financial health, reducing shareholder value and future investment capacity.
Tariff-Related Headwinds
Tariff-related revenue impacts highlight vulnerability to external economic factors, potentially affecting market competitiveness and profitability in key segments.

The Middleby (MIDD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Middleby Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Middleby Corporation designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and services a range of foodservice, food processing, and residential kitchen equipment in the United States, Canada, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Latin America. Its Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group segment offers conveyor, combi, convection, baking, proofing, deck, speed cooking, and hydrovection ovens; ranges, fryers, rethermalizers; steam cooking, food warming, catering, induction cooking, and countertop cooking equipment; heated cabinets, charbroilers, ventless cooking systems, kitchen ventilation, toasters, griddles, charcoal grills, professional mixers, stainless steel fabrication, custom millwork, professional refrigerators, blast chillers, cold rooms, ice machines, and freezers; and soft serve ice cream, coffee and beverage dispensing, home and professional craft brewing equipment, fry dispensers, bottle filling and canning equipment, and IoT solutions. The company's Food Processing Equipment Group segment provides batch, baking, proofing, conveyor belt, and continuous processing ovens; frying and automated thermal processing systems; tumblers, massagers, grinders, slicers, reduction and emulsion systems, mixers, formers, and blenders; battering, breading, and seeding equipment; water cutting systems, food presses, food suspension equipment, filling and depositing solutions, and forming equipment; and food safety, food handling, freezing, and defrosting and packaging equipment for customers producing hot dog, dinner sausage, poultry, and lunchmeat, as well as muffin, cookie, and bread products. Its Residential Kitchen Equipment Group segment offers kitchen equipment comprising cookers, stoves, dishwashers, microwaves, cooktops, wine coolers, ice machines, and ventilation and outdoor equipment. The company was formerly known as Middleby Marshall Oven Company and changed its name to The Middleby Corporation in 1985. The company was founded in 1888 and is based in Elgin, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyMiddleby generates revenue primarily through the sale of its kitchen and food processing equipment, which includes both standard and custom-built products for various foodservice and industrial applications. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales, distribution agreements, and service contracts. Key revenue streams are driven by the sale of cooking and food preparation equipment, which is bolstered by ongoing demand from the hospitality and food processing industries. Additionally, Middleby benefits from after-sales service and maintenance contracts, providing ongoing revenue from existing customers. Strategic partnerships with major foodservice chains and manufacturers further enhance its market presence and contribute to earnings through bulk orders and exclusive agreements.

The Middleby Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with several segments exceeding expectations and strategic investments showing positive results. However, the company faced significant challenges, including a large impairment charge and tariff-related headwinds, leading to a mixed overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Revenue and EPS Expectations
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $980 million, exceeding the top end of guidance. Adjusted EBITDA was $196 million, and adjusted EPS was $2.37, both surpassing expectations.
Positive Organic Growth in Commercial Foodservice
Commercial Foodservice segment returned to positive organic growth with a 1.6% increase in sales, driven by general market, institutional customers, and emerging restaurant chains.
Strong Order Growth in Food Processing
Food Processing segment experienced a strong order rate, especially in international markets, positioning the company to capture deferred capital projects.
Significant Share Repurchases
Middleby repurchased over 3.5 million shares, reducing share count by 6.4% during 2025, reflecting a strong belief in the undervaluation of the company's shares.
New Facility and Innovation Center Openings
Opened a new state-of-the-art facility in Greenville, Michigan, and a flagship innovation center in Venice, Italy, to enhance manufacturing, customer collaboration, and technology development.
Negative Updates
Noncash Impairment Charge
A $709 million noncash impairment charge was recorded for the Residential Kitchen business as part of a strategic review.
Tariff-Related Headwinds
Tariff impacts had a detrimental effect on revenue, particularly in the Residential segment's outdoor products, with a net EBITDA impact of approximately $12 million in Q3.
Challenges with Large QSR Customers
Ongoing softness among large QSR customers due to lower traffic and cost pressures impacted the Commercial Foodservice segment.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Middleby Corp. reported strong financial performance, surpassing guidance with total revenue of $980 million, adjusted EBITDA of $196 million, and adjusted EPS of $2.37. The company recorded a noncash impairment charge of $709 million related to its Residential Kitchen business, as part of a strategic review aimed at maximizing shareholder value. Each of Middleby's three segments—Commercial Foodservice, Residential Kitchen, and Food Processing—either met or exceeded expectations. The Commercial Foodservice segment experienced organic growth in sales for the first time since Q3 2023, with a 1.6% increase, driven by gains in the general market and institutional customers, despite ongoing challenges among large QSR customers. The Residential segment saw growth in premium indoor brands but faced headwinds in outdoor product sales due to tariffs. The Food Processing segment showed improved international market performance, with Q3 revenues exceeding $201 million and an organic EBITDA margin of 21%. The company anticipates continued growth, driven by strategic investments and innovations, particularly in its ice and beverage platform, which is expected to be a key growth driver. Looking ahead, Middleby expects Q4 revenue between $990 million and $1,020 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $200 million to $210 million and EPS ranging from $2.19 to $2.34. For the full year, the company forecasts revenues of $3.85 billion to $3.89 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $779 million to $789 million, and adjusted EPS of $8.99 to $9.14.

The Middleby Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Middleby shows strong operational margins and improved leverage, but faces challenges with declining revenue growth and negative free cash flow growth. Profitability remains consistent, but revenue and cash flow pressures need addressing for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The Middleby shows a stable gross profit margin around 38% in TTM, with a net profit margin of 11%. However, the revenue growth rate has declined significantly by 35.5% in TTM, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 16.96% and 20.19% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency despite revenue contraction.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.66 in TTM, reflecting better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity is stable at 11.65%, indicating consistent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 49.39%, suggesting a balanced capital structure, though the high debt levels remain a concern.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.75 in TTM, showing adequate cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -6.07%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, indicating some pressure on cash reserves. The decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.88B3.88B4.04B4.03B3.25B2.51B
Gross Profit1.47B1.47B1.53B1.45B1.19B882.05M
EBITDA39.60M796.72M797.35M791.45M801.90M439.25M
Net Income-202.37M428.43M400.88M436.57M488.49M207.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.35B7.28B6.91B6.87B6.38B5.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments175.13M689.53M247.50M162.00M180.36M268.10M
Total Debt2.10B2.52B2.54B2.83B2.44B1.75B
Total Liabilities3.42B3.64B3.66B4.08B3.89B3.23B
Stockholders Equity2.94B3.64B3.25B2.80B2.49B1.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow591.15M637.51M541.81M263.03M371.85M482.88M
Operating Cash Flow679.21M686.82M628.79M332.55M423.40M524.78M
Investing Cash Flow-225.09M-158.53M-155.74M-348.32M-1.01B-106.76M
Financing Cash Flow-894.02M-73.77M-390.94M7.63M502.79M-252.47M

The Middleby Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price147.64
Price Trends
50DMA
127.83
Positive
100DMA
131.37
Positive
200DMA
137.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.89
Negative
RSI
73.89
Negative
STOCH
85.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MIDD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 147.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 131.04, above the 50-day MA of 127.83, and above the 200-day MA of 137.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MIDD.

The Middleby Risk Analysis

The Middleby disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Middleby reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Middleby Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$9.03B20.6720.97%1.17%3.19%69.89%
77
Outperform
$10.13B43.3412.76%12.60%24.02%
66
Neutral
$5.98B199.921.58%7.81%
65
Neutral
$5.58B23.777.33%-0.75%9.22%
64
Neutral
$4.36B50.885.80%0.60%6.44%101.24%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$7.44B-33.53-6.20%0.27%-159.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MIDD
The Middleby
147.64
12.69
9.40%
NPO
Enpro
207.11
37.31
21.97%
FLS
Flowserve
71.06
13.88
24.27%
SPXC
SPX
203.17
57.44
39.42%
GTES
Gates Industrial
21.61
0.99
4.80%
MIR
Mirion Technologies
23.55
5.95
33.81%

The Middleby Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
The Middleby Sells Stake in Residential Kitchen Business
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, The Middleby Corporation announced it will sell a 51% stake in its Residential Kitchen business to 26North Partners LP, valuing the business at $885 million. This transaction, along with the planned spin-off of its Food Processing business, marks a strategic shift for Middleby towards becoming a pure-play leader in commercial foodservice equipment. The deal will provide Middleby with $540 million in cash proceeds, which will be used to repurchase shares and optimize its capital structure, while retaining a 49% stake in the new joint venture. This move is expected to enhance Middleby’s growth potential in the commercial foodservice sector, focusing on automation, innovation, and new market opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025