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Otis Worldwide (OTIS)
NYSE:OTIS

Otis Worldwide (OTIS) AI Stock Analysis

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OTIS

Otis Worldwide

(NYSE:OTIS)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$95.00
▲(8.99% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by durable profitability and strong, consistent free cash flow plus constructive 2026 guidance led by service/modernization. These positives are weighed down by elevated financial risk from high debt and negative equity, with technicals and valuation both reading as neutral-to-slightly-cautious.
Positive Factors
Large, growing maintenance portfolio
A ~2.5M unit maintenance base that has grown for 14 consecutive quarters provides a durable recurring revenue stream, high service density and cross‑sell opportunities (repairs, modernization). This stabilizes cash flows, supports margins and underpins long‑term organic growth.
Modernization backlog surge
Rapidly growing modernization orders and a +30% backlog create forward revenue visibility in a higher‑margin segment. Modernization demand converts installed base into recurring modernization cycles, boosting sustainable margin expansion and reducing reliance on cyclical new equipment.
Strong cash generation and conversion
Consistent, record FCF and high free‑cash‑flow to net‑income conversion (~90%) underpin durable capital returns and reinvestment capacity. Reliable cash generation supports dividends, buybacks and targeted M&A while providing a buffer versus cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity and high leverage
Negative equity and elevated leverage reduce financial flexibility, heighten refinancing and covenant risks, and increase sensitivity to interest‑rate rises. This constrains strategic options (bolt‑on M&A, aggressive buybacks) and amplifies downside in slower demand periods.
China structural weakness and churn
Sustained weakness and higher contractual churn in China undermine both new equipment and service retention, limiting lifetime value from that installed base. Regional volatility reduces predictability of service revenues and pressures margin sustainability in a material geographic bucket.
New equipment sales and margin pressure
Weakness and margin compression in new equipment, driven by pricing, tariffs and mix, reduce overall profitability and make earnings more dependent on service/modernization. Protracted low margins in equipment can limit total company margin recovery and cash generation upside.

Otis Worldwide (OTIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Otis Worldwide Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOtis Worldwide Corporation manufactures, installs, and services elevators and escalators in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, New Equipment and Service. The New Equipment segment designs, manufactures, sells, and installs a range of passenger and freight elevators, as well as escalators and moving walkways for residential and commercial buildings, and infrastructure projects. The Service segment performs maintenance and repair services, as well as modernization services to upgrade elevators and escalators. It had a network of approximately 34,000 service mechanics operating approximately 1,400 branches and offices. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Farmington, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyOtis generates revenue through two main streams: the sale of new equipment and ongoing service contracts. The New Equipment segment includes the design, manufacturing, and installation of elevators and escalators, which typically involves significant upfront capital investment from customers. The Service segment, which constitutes a substantial portion of Otis's revenue, includes maintenance, modernization, and repair services for existing installations. This recurring revenue model benefits from long-term contracts, providing a steady cash flow. Additionally, strategic partnerships with construction firms and property developers enhance Otis's market reach. The company's investments in technology, such as smart elevators and predictive maintenance systems, also help drive revenue by attracting customers seeking advanced solutions that improve operational efficiency.

Otis Worldwide Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Remaining Performance Obligations
Remaining Performance Obligations
Indicates the total value of contracted work that has yet to be completed, providing a glimpse into future revenue streams and business stability.
Chart InsightsOtis Worldwide's remaining performance obligations have shown a consistent upward trend, reflecting strong demand and a growing backlog, which increased by 14% at constant currency. Despite challenges in new equipment sales, particularly in China and the Americas, the company's focus on modernization and service growth is evident. The earnings call highlights a robust service-driven business model, with modernization orders up 12% and a 4% expansion in the maintenance portfolio, supporting future revenue stability and growth. This strategic focus is crucial as Otis navigates tariff impacts and regional market weaknesses.
Data provided by:The Fly

Otis Worldwide Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong service-driven performance, record cash generation, accelerating modernization demand and meaningful product and connectivity progress. These positives are tempered by persistent weakness and structural churn in China, near-term new equipment headwinds and some tariff/interest pressures. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (mid-to-high single digit EPS growth, $15.0–$15.3B sales range, $1.6–$1.7B free cash flow) while retaining a conservative tone. On balance, operational momentum, strong cash flow and backlog growth outweigh the regional and equipment-related challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Free Cash Flow
Q4 adjusted free cash flow was a record $817 million; full-year adjusted free cash flow was approximately $1.6 billion, supporting $1.5 billion returned to shareholders in 2025.
Service-Led Revenue and Margin Expansion
Q4 organic sales +1% overall; service organic sales +5% in Q4. Service operating profit expanded 100 basis points to a 25.5% margin in Q4 and service operating profit was $638 million (up $49M at constant currency). Total adjusted operating profit margin expanded 70 basis points to 16.6% in Q4.
Modernization Surge and Backlog
Modernization orders increased 43% in the quarter at constant currency and modernization backlog grew 30% at constant currency, the highest backlog since spin and positioning the company for 2026 revenue growth.
Maintenance Portfolio Growth and Scale
Maintenance portfolio reached ~2.5 million units (largest in industry) and grew 4% (fourteenth consecutive quarter of growth), supporting recurring revenue and service density benefits.
Strong EPS and Profitability Performance
Q4 adjusted EPS grew ~11% (highest level this year). Full-year adjusted EPS increased 6% to $4.05, driven by operational performance, FX benefit and lower share count.
Product Innovation and Connectivity Adoption
Launched Gen3 product family and new AI-driven tools (AI inspection robot, Otis AI agent); connected units approached ~1.1 million and subscription revenue grew 35% in 2025, supporting recurring digital revenue.
Capital Allocation and 2026 Cash Flow Guidance
Returned ~$1.5 billion in 2025; 2026 guidance targets $1.6–$1.7 billion adjusted free cash flow, a 40% dividend payout target and approximately $800 million in share repurchases (flexible for bolt-on M&A).
Geographic and Large Project Wins
Notable contract wins include Shanghai Metro escalators (>490 units), London Underground escalator program (172 escalators), Dallas pediatric hospital (39 elevators), and Armani Halston KLCC (26 Skyrise units), demonstrating commercial execution across regions.
Negative Updates
New Equipment Sales Weakness and Margin Pressure
Q4 new equipment organic sales declined 6%; new equipment operating profit fell $15 million at constant currency and new equipment margin contracted ~110 basis points to 3.6%. New equipment backlog grew only 2% year-over-year (excluding China +9%).
China Market Decline and Structural Churn
China new equipment market remained weak: the Chinese market declined meaningfully in 2025 (company cited market down ~13% in 2025) and management expects China to decline ~8% in 2026. China exhibits structurally higher churn and shorter contract durations, pressuring retention and margins; China represented ~11% of total company revenue for 2025.
Repair Volumes Softer Than Expected
Repair growth was solid but slightly softer than expectations in Q4; management cited investments in service excellence that temporarily weighed on repair execution and conversion, contributing to near-term softness.
Tariff, Commodity and Interest Headwinds
New equipment margins were impacted by unfavorable pricing/tariff headwinds and mix. Management noted higher interest expense and modest commodity headwinds (e.g., steel/copper), plus wage inflation and mix/churn pressures that partially offset productivity gains.
Phased Recovery and Conservative Near-Term EPS Phasing
Q1 2026 EPS expected to be near flat due to timing (tariffs, compares, project execution). Management intentionally provided conservative full-year EPS guidance (mid- to high-single digit growth) despite operational acceleration.
Retention Pressure in China Impacts Total Retention
While retention stabilized outside China, total company retention remained pressured by China’s higher churn and annual contract dynamics, limiting portfolio-value growth in the near term.
Company Guidance
Otis guided 2026 for organic sales growth of low‑ to mid‑single digits (total net sales $15.0–$15.3B), driven by service (service organic growth mid‑ to high‑single digits, Q1 service organic ≈6%) while new equipment is expected to be down low‑single‑digits to flat; management expects a one‑to‑two‑point improvement in service growth vs. 2025, modernization revenue “in the teens” on strong backlog (modernization backlog +30% YoY) and repair accelerating (targeting >10% repair growth). Financials: constant‑currency service operating profit to increase by ~$200M YoY, adjusted EPS to grow mid‑ to high‑single digits (Q1 EPS ~flat), adjusted free cash flow $1.6–$1.7B, dividend payout target ~40% and ~$800M of share repurchases. Management noted China should moderate (market down ~8% in 2026, weighing early‑year sales) and emphasized continued margin and productivity gains from the service flywheel.

Otis Worldwide Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistent free cash flow and steady operating margins support quality earnings, but the balance sheet is a major risk due to high debt and persistently negative shareholders’ equity. Net margin also declined in 2025 versus 2024.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has been fairly stable over the last several years with modest growth in 2023–2025 (2025 revenue up slightly vs. 2024), but growth is not strong or consistent (including a decline in 2022). Profitability remains solid for an industrial business: gross margin has gradually improved (roughly 29% in 2022 to ~30% in 2025) and operating margin has been steady in the mid-teens. A key weakness is the drop in net margin in 2025 (~9.6%) versus 2024 (~11.5%), which suggests higher below-the-line costs or other headwinds despite stable operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage is the core concern. Total debt remains high (about $8.8B in 2025) and, critically, shareholders’ equity is negative across all periods shown, which weakens balance sheet flexibility and makes equity-based leverage and return measures unfavorable. Total assets have also trended down versus 2021 levels. While the business is profitable, the capital structure increases financial risk and reduces room to absorb shocks compared with peers carrying positive equity and lower leverage.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
Cash generation is a strength. Operating cash flow has been consistently strong and relatively steady (about $1.6B in 2025), and free cash flow remains high (about $1.44B in 2025). Free cash flow has also covered most of net income across years (around ~0.90–0.93 in 2021–2025), indicating earnings quality is supported by cash. The main drawback is that operating cash flow is modest relative to total debt (coverage ratio around ~0.20–0.28 historically and ~0.21 in 2025), meaning deleveraging capacity is solid but not fast given the debt load.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.43B14.26B14.21B13.69B14.30B
Gross Profit4.40B4.26B4.23B3.94B4.21B
EBITDA2.26B2.23B2.37B2.22B2.30B
Net Income1.38B1.65B1.41B1.25B1.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.65B11.32B10.12B9.82B12.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.10B2.30B1.27B1.19B1.56B
Total Debt8.75B8.74B7.31B7.21B7.79B
Total Liabilities15.92B16.04B14.84B14.48B15.26B
Stockholders Equity-5.39B-4.85B-4.92B-4.87B-3.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B1.44B1.49B1.45B1.59B
Operating Cash Flow1.60B1.56B1.63B1.56B1.75B
Investing Cash Flow-406.00M-239.00M-183.00M-33.00M-89.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.42B-234.00M-1.35B-3.65B58.00M

Otis Worldwide Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price87.16
Price Trends
50DMA
88.30
Negative
100DMA
89.23
Negative
200DMA
91.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
43.73
Neutral
STOCH
29.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OTIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 87.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.16, below the 50-day MA of 88.30, and below the 200-day MA of 91.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OTIS.

Otis Worldwide Risk Analysis

Otis Worldwide disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Otis Worldwide reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Otis Worldwide Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$120.16B34.7225.79%0.79%0.22%26.66%
77
Outperform
$76.65B25.1993.75%2.43%-0.41%-10.88%
71
Outperform
$48.25B55.9824.24%1.33%0.98%-7.51%
69
Neutral
$83.50B36.7310.91%1.58%2.97%18.14%
69
Neutral
$35.14B65.985.35%0.10%4.20%-34.47%
64
Neutral
$33.57B24.611.88%0.73%-15.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
87.16
-5.61
-6.05%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
152.10
26.55
21.15%
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
278.91
28.86
11.54%
PH
Parker Hannifin
964.33
281.29
41.18%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
430.31
163.34
61.18%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
93.72
1.15
1.24%

Otis Worldwide Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Otis Worldwide Appoints Enrique Miñarro Viseras as COO
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Otis Worldwide’s board appointed Enrique Miñarro Viseras as Chief Operating Officer, effective January 16, 2026, following his tenure as President of Otis EMEA and later Otis EMEA & Latin America since October 2023 and his prior senior leadership roles at Ingersoll Rand. In connection with the promotion, the company approved a new compensation package that raises his base salary to $820,000, increases his short-term incentive target to 120% of salary, and makes him eligible for an annual equity award targeted at $3.5 million from fiscal 2026, signaling Otis’s commitment to retaining and incentivizing top leadership as it strengthens its global operational management structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (OTIS) stock is a Buy with a $116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Otis Worldwide stock, see the OTIS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026