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Emerson Electric Company (EMR)
NYSE:EMR

Emerson Electric Company (EMR) AI Stock Analysis

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EMR

Emerson Electric Company

(NYSE:EMR)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$154.00
â–²(15.81% Upside)
Emerson Electric Company demonstrates strong financial performance and positive momentum, supported by strategic initiatives and a positive earnings outlook. However, high valuation metrics and regional challenges temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market strategies and product demand, supporting long-term business expansion and sustainability.
Strategic Projects
Winning significant contracts enhances Emerson's market position and revenue potential, reinforcing its competitive edge in strategic sectors.
Shareholder Returns
The share repurchase plan reflects confidence in future growth and commitment to returning value to shareholders, supporting stockholder interests.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Concerns
Decreasing free cash flow growth may limit Emerson's ability to invest in new opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.
Regional Challenges
Continued regional challenges could hinder revenue growth and market expansion, affecting Emerson's global competitive position.
Software Contract Renewals
The impact of software contract renewals poses a risk to earnings, potentially affecting Emerson's profitability and financial stability.

Emerson Electric Company (EMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Emerson Electric Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmerson Electric Company (EMR) is a global technology and engineering company that provides innovative solutions across various sectors, including automation, climate technologies, and commercial and residential solutions. Headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, Emerson operates through two primary business segments: Automation Solutions, which offers process control systems, measurement instruments, and software for industrial applications, and Commercial & Residential Solutions, which includes heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and refrigeration technologies. The company is committed to enhancing efficiency and sustainability in its offerings, catering to a diverse range of industries, including oil and gas, manufacturing, and residential construction.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmerson Electric Company generates revenue through multiple streams primarily from the sale of products and services in its two main business segments. The Automation Solutions segment earns money by providing advanced technologies for process automation, including control systems, software, and related services, which are essential for industries aiming to enhance operational efficiency and reliability. The segment also benefits from recurring revenue through service agreements and long-term contracts. In the Commercial & Residential Solutions segment, the company earns income from HVAC systems, tools, and appliances, which are sold directly to consumers and businesses. Additionally, Emerson has established significant partnerships with other companies and industries, allowing it to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, all of which contribute to its overall revenue growth and sustainability.

Emerson Electric Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Intelligent Devices Revenue Breakdown
Intelligent Devices Revenue Breakdown
Analyzes revenue from intelligent devices, indicating demand for automation and smart technology solutions and the company’s strength in this innovative market.
Chart InsightsEmerson's Intelligent Devices segment shows a mixed performance. Final Control and Measurement and Analytical segments are experiencing steady growth, driven by strong demand in Process and Hybrid markets. However, Discrete Automation faces challenges, with a decline in revenue, particularly in Europe and China. Despite these challenges, Emerson's acquisition of AspenTech and effective tariff mitigation strategies are expected to support a recovery in discrete sales in the second half of 2025, aligning with the company's positive outlook and strategic focus on enhancing profitability and shareholder returns.
Data provided by:The Fly

Emerson Electric Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Emerson reported strong financial performance and growth in key markets, with significant strategic wins and a positive outlook for 2026. However, challenges in Europe and China, as well as impacts from software renewals and reduced sustainability projects, present concerns.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Demand in Key Markets
Emerson saw resilient demand with underlying orders growing 6% in Q4, driven by Test & Measurement up 27% and robust North America, India, and Middle East and Africa markets.
Record Financial Performance
Emerson achieved an adjusted segment EBITDA margin of 27.5% in Q4 and 27.6% for the year, with adjusted earnings per share up 9% to $6 and free cash flow up 12% to $3.24 billion.
Significant Wins in Strategic Projects
Emerson secured major contracts with Entergy for 3 power generation facilities and with Bechtel Energy for the automation of the Woodside Louisiana LNG project.
Expansion in Test & Measurement
Orders in Test & Measurement grew 27% in Q4, driven by semiconductor, aerospace and defense, and broad-based portfolio business.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal 2026
Guidance for sales growth of 5.5% with adjusted earnings per share projected between $6.35 to $6.55. ACV is projected to grow 10% plus.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Europe and China
Softer demand in Europe and China impacted Emerson's performance, with Europe down 2% in sales for the year and muted demand expected to continue in 2026.
Impact of Software Contract Renewals
A $120 million headwind from lower value of software contracts up for renewal is expected in 2026, impacting Q1 adjusted EPS by $0.07 and full-year EPS by $0.15.
Weakness in Discrete Markets
Discrete businesses finished the year up only 1% with lingering weakness in automotive and factory automation, particularly in Europe and China.
Softness in Sustainability and Decarbonization Projects
A significant reduction in the outlook for sustainability and decarbonization projects, leading to a $1.5 billion reduction in the project funnel.
Company Guidance
During Emerson's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed guidance and performance metrics. Emerson reported a 6% increase in underlying orders for Q4, with Test & Measurement orders rising by an impressive 27%. For the full year, underlying sales grew 3%, slightly below expectations due to softer markets in Europe and China, but the company achieved strong profitability with an adjusted EPS of $6, up 9%, and generated $3.24 billion in free cash flow, marking a 12% increase year-over-year. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Emerson is guiding for a 5.5% sales growth with underlying sales growth of 4%. The company projects an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 28% and expects adjusted EPS to be between $6.35 and $6.55. Emerson plans significant capital returns, including $1 billion in share repurchases and $1.2 billion in dividends, reflecting a 5% increase per share. The company also anticipates a 10%+ growth in Annual Contract Value (ACV) as they continue to invest in digital transformation.

Emerson Electric Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Emerson Electric Company shows strong revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, with a 33.3% increase in revenue and a gross profit margin of 52.8%. However, the net profit margin decreased slightly, and there are concerns about declining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Emerson Electric Company has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 33.3% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin improved to 52.8%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased to 12.7% from the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. Overall, the income statement reflects solid growth and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is not available for the latest year, which limits the assessment of profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial position with stockholders' equity covering a substantial portion of total assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
There is a decline in free cash flow growth, which is a concern for cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, limiting the analysis of cash flow efficiency. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating some level of cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.02B18.02B17.49B15.16B13.80B12.93B
Gross Profit9.52B9.52B8.88B7.43B6.31B5.73B
EBITDA4.95B4.86B4.03B4.21B3.50B2.69B
Net Income2.29B2.29B1.97B13.22B3.23B2.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.96B41.96B44.25B42.75B35.67B24.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.54B1.54B3.59B8.05B1.80B2.35B
Total Debt13.76B13.76B8.36B8.56B10.69B7.08B
Total Liabilities21.67B21.67B16.74B16.15B19.36B14.79B
Stockholders Equity20.28B20.28B21.64B20.69B10.36B9.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.67B2.67B2.91B274.00M2.39B2.99B
Operating Cash Flow3.10B3.10B3.33B637.00M2.92B3.58B
Investing Cash Flow-666.00M-593.00M-5.36B12.41B-5.33B-2.12B
Financing Cash Flow-4.44B-4.51B-2.46B-6.82B2.05B-2.42B

Emerson Electric Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price132.98
Price Trends
50DMA
132.01
Positive
100DMA
132.28
Positive
200DMA
125.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.67
Positive
RSI
49.15
Neutral
STOCH
15.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EMR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 132.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.86, above the 50-day MA of 132.01, and above the 200-day MA of 125.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EMR.

Emerson Electric Company Risk Analysis

Emerson Electric Company disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Emerson Electric Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Emerson Electric Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$110.39B31.1627.30%0.80%0.22%26.66%
76
Outperform
$74.71B32.8710.91%1.61%2.97%18.14%
75
Outperform
$123.43B31.7820.69%1.31%8.24%6.21%
72
Outperform
$69.95B26.3023.84%1.51%-1.78%27.35%
71
Outperform
$72.57B24.2791.71%2.44%-0.41%-10.88%
71
Outperform
$44.45B51.6424.24%1.34%0.98%-7.51%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
132.98
10.97
8.99%
CMI
Cummins
506.72
162.23
47.09%
ETN
Eaton
317.80
-16.04
-4.80%
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
250.14
-2.48
-0.98%
PH
Parker Hannifin
874.81
233.86
36.49%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
395.87
109.69
38.33%

Emerson Electric Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Emerson Electric Approves Special Performance Awards for Executives
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Emerson Electric’s Compensation Committee approved a Special Performance-based Award for CEO Lal Karsanbhai and COO Ram Krishnan, recognizing their leadership in the company’s automation transformation. The awards, consisting of long-term stock options with exercise prices set at significant premiums, aim to align the executives’ interests with shareholders, ensuring leadership continuity and supporting Emerson’s pay-for-performance philosophy.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emerson Electric Announces Major Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Emerson Electric Co. announced its Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 50 million shares of its common stock, supplementing a previous authorization from March 2020. This move is part of Emerson’s strategy to return cash to shareholders, alongside a 5% increase in its quarterly cash dividend. The company reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, with significant margin expansion and robust cash generation. Emerson’s performance was bolstered by the successful integration of AspenTech and Test & Measurement, achieving $200 million in cost synergies. The company remains optimistic about sustainable growth driven by long-term secular trends and plans to return approximately $2.2 billion to shareholders in 2026 through share repurchases and dividends.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025