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Roper Technologies (ROP)
NASDAQ:ROP

Roper Technologies (ROP) AI Stock Analysis

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ROP

Roper Technologies

(NASDAQ:ROP)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$408.00
â–²(11.78% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins and strong free-cash-flow conversion) and a generally constructive, cash-flow-focused 2026 outlook, offset by very weak technicals (price below major moving averages and negative momentum). Valuation is modestly supportive but not cheap given the premium P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Very strong cash conversion
Roper converts nearly all reported earnings into cash (FCF-to-net income ~0.97) and generated ~31% of revenue as FCF in FY2025. Durable high cash conversion underpins repeatable funding for M&A, buybacks, debt service and reinvestment without relying on external financing.
High and sustainable margins
Consistently high gross and net margins reflect differentiated products, pricing power in niche verticals, and operational leverage. Such structural profitability supports reinvestment, resilience through cycles, and sustained free cash flow generation even if top-line growth moderates.
Ample liquidity and disciplined capital deployment
Roper’s balance of active M&A ($3.3B deployed) plus meaningful buyback capacity and revolver availability gives strategic optionality. Durable access to capital and a proven M&A track record enable bolt‑on growth in high-margin vertical software franchises over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Organic growth shortfall
Repeatedly missing organic growth targets signals potential demand softness or execution gaps in core end markets. Slower organic compounding limits the company’s ability to rely solely on internal growth for long‑term revenue expansion and increases dependence on acquisitions to hit targets.
GovCon/Deltek exposure
Significant exposure to government contracting through Deltek introduces structural cyclicality and policy risk. Prolonged GovCon weakness can persistently depress perpetual license and services revenue, making a chunk of Roper’s software growth more vulnerable to external funding cycles.
Operational execution risk at ProCare
Implementation delays and execution issues at ProCare and related payments businesses reduce customer retention, slow monetization, and compress near‑term margins. If execution fixes take multiple quarters, these operational problems can erode recurring revenue growth and hamper long‑term margin sustainability.

Roper Technologies (ROP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Roper Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoper Technologies, Inc. designs and develops software, and engineered products and solutions. The company offers management, campus solutions, diagnostic and laboratory information management, enterprise management, information solutions, transportation management, financial and compliance management, and cloud-based financial analytics and performance management software; cloud-based software to the property and casualty insurance industry; and software, services, and technologies for foodservice operations. It also provides cloud-based data, collaboration, and estimating automation software; electronic marketplace; visual effects and 3D content software; wireless sensor network and solutions; cloud-based software for the life insurance and financial services industries; supply chain software; health care service and software; RFID card readers; data analytics and information; and pharmacy software solutions. In addition, the company offers precision rubber and polymer testing instruments, and data analysis software; ultrasound accessories; testing and analyzing plastic solutions; dispensers and metering pumps; control valves; precision weighing equipment; automated surgical scrub and linen dispensing equipment; water meters; optical and electromagnetic measurement systems; automated leak detection equipment; medical devices; products and services for water and gas utilities; and equipment and consumables. It also provides temperature control and emergency shutoff valves; turbomachinery control hardware, software, and services; specialized pumps; flow meter calibrators and controllers; vibration monitoring systems and controls; analytical instrument; drilling power section; and pressure and level sensors. The company was formerly known as Roper Industries, Inc. and changed its name to Roper Technologies, Inc. in April 2015. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Sarasota, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoper Technologies generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering specialized software and engineered products that command premium pricing due to their advanced technology and unique applications. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on recurring revenues from software subscriptions and maintenance contracts, which provide a stable income base. Additionally, Roper benefits from selling high-margin engineered products and solutions across its various business segments. Strategic acquisitions of complementary businesses have also played a significant role in enhancing its revenue base, allowing Roper to expand its market reach and product offerings. Partnerships with key players in various industries further contribute to its earnings by facilitating access to new markets and enhancing product distribution.

Roper Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue streams by business unit, showing which areas contribute most to sales and where there might be potential for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsRoper Technologies is experiencing robust growth in its Application Software segment, with revenue nearly doubling since 2021. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on AI advancements and recent acquisitions, such as Subsplash. Despite challenges in government contracting and tariffs affecting Neptune, the company remains confident, as evidenced by its $3 billion share repurchase authorization and strong free cash flow growth. The Network Software segment also shows steady growth, benefiting from strategic evolution and AI integration, positioning Roper well for continued financial strength and market expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Roper Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced. The company delivered solid reported outcomes — double‑digit revenue and EBITDA growth, strong free cash flow, robust bookings and active capital deployment — and has meaningful balance sheet capacity and a clear AI and M&A strategy. Offsetting this are several material operating headwinds: organic growth came in below expectations, Deltek (GovCon exposure), ProCare execution delays, Neptune normalization and a muted freight market at DAT. Management is conservative in 2026 guidance (excluding assumed recoveries at key underperformers) while signaling steps to address execution issues and scale AI productization. Overall the call reflects steady underlying financial strength coupled with portfolio-specific challenges that temper near-term upside.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Financial Performance
FY2025 revenue $7.9B, up 12% YoY; EBITDA $3.1B (39.8% margin), up 11% YoY; adjusted DEPS $20, up 9% YoY; free cash flow ~ $2.5B, up 8% YoY and representing ~31% of revenue.
Quarterly Outperformance and Margin Expansion
Q4 revenue $2.06B, up 10% YoY (acquisitions +5%, organic +4%); Q4 EBITDA $818M, up 10% YoY; adjusted DEPS $5.21, above guidance; core EBITDA margin expanded ~60 bps in Q4, with a ~54% incremental margin.
Bookings and Recurring Revenue Momentum
Enterprise software bookings grew in the low double-digit range for FY2025; recurring revenue trends: Application Software recurring grew ~7% organic for the year and recurring revenue grew ~6% in Q4 (Network recurring also ~6% in Q4).
Active Capital Deployment and Strong Liquidity
Deployed $3.3B on vertical software acquisitions in 2025 (including Central Reach and Subsplash); repurchased 1.1M shares for $500M in Q4 (avg ~ $446) with $2.5B remaining on a $3B authorization; entering 2026 with net leverage ~2.9x, ~$300M cash, ~$2.7B revolver availability and >$6B capacity for M&A and buybacks.
Application Software & Select Segment Strength
Application Software segment revenue grew 16% (FY), organic +5%, with EBITDA margins ~42.5% and core margin improvement ~80 bps; specific businesses showing strength include Aderant, Vertafore, PowerPlan, Central Reach (ahead of model) and Subsplash (strong start).
Focused AI Strategy and Dedicated Leadership
Management emphasized AI as a monetizable, workflow-embedded opportunity and hired Shane Luke and Eddie Raphael to lead a Roper AI accelerator to coach businesses, build a small strike team, and create reusable AI components; AI upside not included in base 2026 guidance (treated as incremental upside).
Negative Updates
Organic Growth Below Expectations
Organic growth underperformed management’s expectations in 2025: FY organic growth ~5.5% (below targets) and Q4 organic growth 4% (primary driver of missing the firm's internal outlook); nonrecurring revenue weakness was a headwind (Application Software nonrecurring down ~8% in Q4).
Deltek / GovCon Headwinds Impacting Results
Deltek underperformed due to prolonged government shutdown and related GovCon commercial weakness; perpetual license revenue was meaningfully impacted, leaving Deltek at the lower end of mid-single-digit growth for the year versus prior mid-single-digit-plus performance. Management did not bake an improvement at Deltek into 2026 guidance.
ProCare Execution and Implementation Delays
ProCare did not meet expectations in 2025 primarily due to implementation timing across software and payments which delayed customer time-to-value and weighed on payments volumes; leadership changes and operational fixes are underway but the business was a material underperformer.
Neptune / TEP Backlog Normalization and Cost Surcharge Effects
Neptune experienced backlog normalization and was modestly down; earlier tariff-related cost increases and copper-driven surcharges impacted the business in 2025 and management is conservatively underwriting limited recovery in 2026 (first half more challenged).
DAT & Freight Market Headwinds
DAT faced a muted freight market; while organic and recurring metrics showed improvement (organic ~5% for DAT, recurring ~6%), nonrecurring revenue was down (~3% in Network) and margins were pressured by recent bolt-on investments that are scaling into profitability. Guidance assumes no meaningful freight market recovery.
Recent Guidance Conservatism and Prior Misses
Management acknowledged organic growth shortfalls and has issued a conservative 2026 guide (total revenue growth ~8%, organic 5–6%, adjusted DEPS $21.30–$21.55) that explicitly excludes potential improvements at Deltek and DAT; the company noted it missed expectations in recent quarters and is taking a cautious posture in its outlook.
Company Guidance
Roper guided 2026 to roughly 8% full‑year revenue growth with 5–6% organic growth, adjusted DEPS of $21.30–$21.55 (Q1 DEPS $4.95–$5.00), a full‑year effective tax rate near 21% (about 22% in Q1), and expects free cash flow to be safely over 30% of revenue (driven by working‑capital and cash‑tax improvements); the guide does not assume improvement at Deltek (GovCon) or DAT (freight), underwrites modest top‑line weakness at Neptune, anticipates stronger second‑half organic growth as Central Reach and Subsplash turn organic, does not bake in meaningful AI revenue uplift, and reflects ample capital flexibility—entering 2026 with net leverage ~2.9x, roughly $300M cash, ~$2.7B available on the revolver (> $6B total deployment capacity), and $2.5B remaining on the $3B repurchase authorization after $500M (1.1M shares at just under $446) bought in Q4.

Roper Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: consistent revenue growth, very high profitability (gross margin ~69%, net margin ~20%) and solid cash conversion (FCF-to-net income ~0.97). Balance sheet leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.46), though ROE (~8.1%) and slight gross margin pressure temper the score.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Roper Technologies has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 3.39% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 68.96% and a net profit margin of 20.34%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 29.90% and 43.93%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin compared to previous periods suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity is at 8.08%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds, though slightly lower than previous years. The equity ratio stands at 57.80%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Roper Technologies exhibits strong cash flow management with a 5.98% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.81, indicating healthy cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.97, reflecting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. These metrics highlight the company's ability to generate cash and sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.72B7.04B6.18B5.37B4.83B4.85B
Gross Profit5.32B4.88B4.31B3.75B3.41B3.27B
EBITDA3.38B3.04B2.66B2.12B1.88B1.78B
Net Income1.57B1.55B1.36B1.19B1.10B949.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.58B31.33B28.17B26.98B23.71B24.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments320.00M188.20M214.30M792.80M351.50M308.30M
Total Debt9.45B7.67B6.37B6.71B7.96B9.62B
Total Liabilities14.59B12.47B10.72B10.94B12.15B13.54B
Stockholders Equity19.99B18.87B17.44B16.04B11.56B10.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.46B2.33B1.93B664.30M1.95B1.48B
Operating Cash Flow2.52B2.39B2.04B734.60M2.01B1.53B
Investing Cash Flow-3.29B-3.47B-2.13B1.21B-142.90M-6.07B
Financing Cash Flow822.10M1.07B-499.50M-1.47B-1.81B4.14B

Roper Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price365.00
Price Trends
50DMA
432.93
Negative
100DMA
460.27
Negative
200DMA
506.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-18.04
Positive
RSI
17.99
Positive
STOCH
24.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 365 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 414.70, below the 50-day MA of 432.93, and below the 200-day MA of 506.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 17.99 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ROP.

Roper Technologies Risk Analysis

Roper Technologies disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Roper Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Roper Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$115.62B33.4127.30%0.79%0.22%26.66%
79
Outperform
$51.22B35.1014.63%0.59%3.67%10.44%
76
Outperform
$83.38B36.6810.91%1.58%2.97%18.14%
71
Outperform
$38.79B25.387.93%0.73%13.95%6.80%
71
Outperform
$74.92B25.0691.71%2.43%-0.41%-10.88%
71
Outperform
$46.65B54.1224.24%1.33%0.98%-7.51%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROP
Roper Technologies
365.00
-206.87
-36.17%
AME
Ametek
226.62
43.30
23.62%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
150.72
22.94
17.95%
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
262.86
8.41
3.31%
PH
Parker Hannifin
948.40
248.18
35.44%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
426.73
151.77
55.20%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026