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Ingersoll Rand (IR)
NYSE:IR

Ingersoll Rand (IR) AI Stock Analysis

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IR

Ingersoll Rand

(NYSE:IR)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
â–²(10.58%Upside)
Ingersoll Rand's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are major strengths, driving the overall assessment. Technical analysis presents a mixed picture, with neutral indicators, while valuation raises concerns of potential overvaluation. The company's strategic initiatives and solid financial foundation position it well, though challenges like margin pressures and tariff impacts must be managed.
Positive Factors
Mergers and Acquisitions
The M&A pipeline remains robust with 8 smaller businesses currently under LOI, which suggests potential future growth.
Service Revenue Growth
IR's plan to drive recurring service revenue to ~$1B by the end of 2027 from a bit over $300mn in 2024 indicates a strong focus on long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Risks
Concern remains that U.S. trade and foreign policy could lead to customer spending delays, with the company overexposed to markets outside the U.S.
Short-term Challenges
Concerns were mostly focused on near-term issues such as orders and margins, indicating potential short-term challenges.

Ingersoll Rand (IR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ingersoll Rand Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIngersoll Rand (IR) is a global industrial company that provides mission-critical flow creation products and industrial solutions. The company operates across various sectors, including industrial technologies, precision and science technologies, and specialty vehicle technologies. Its core products and services include air compressors, pumps, power tools, lifting and material handling equipment, and fluid management systems, which are used in industries such as manufacturing, transportation, energy, and healthcare.
How the Company Makes MoneyIngersoll Rand generates revenue through the sale of its diverse portfolio of industrial products and solutions. The company's key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of air compressors and pumps, which are essential for various industrial applications. Additionally, Ingersoll Rand offers aftermarket services, including maintenance, repair, and parts replacement, which provide a recurring revenue stream. Significant partnerships with distributors and direct sales to large industrial clients also contribute to its earnings. The company leverages its global presence and innovation in product design to maintain competitive pricing and expand its market share.

Ingersoll Rand Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong start to the year with robust order growth and cash flow generation. However, challenges remain with deferred revenue recognition, anticipated organic volume decline, and the need to mitigate tariff impacts. While strategic moves in M&A and share repurchases are positive, these are counterbalanced by the pressures on margins and the dynamic global environment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start in Q1 2025
Ingersoll Rand delivered 10% total order growth with a book-to-bill of 1.1 times. Organic orders increased by 3.3%, and a record Q1 free cash flow of $223 million was achieved.
M&A and Share Repurchase Strategy
The company closed six transactions this year, with a weighted average purchase multiple of approximately nine times. Additionally, the Board authorized an additional $1 billion of share repurchases, bringing total authorization to $2 billion.
Record Q1 Free Cash Flow
Ingersoll Rand reported a record Q1 free cash flow of $223 million, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Positive Developments in PST Segment
Precision and Science Technologies (PST) segment saw orders up 28% year-over-year, with organic orders up 3%. Adjusted EBITDA was up approximately 16% year-over-year with a margin of 29.1%.
Negative Updates
Revenue Recognition Delay
Approximately $15 million in revenue anticipated for the first quarter was deferred to the second quarter due to customer requests.
Organic Volume Decline and Margin Pressure
Organic volume is expected to be down 4% for the year, with adjusted EBITDA margin declining year-over-year due to the flow-through of organic volume and the expected dilutive impact from recently acquired companies.
Tariff Impact and Mitigation
The company faces an approximate $150 million tariff impact, with mitigation efforts in place, including pricing actions and a tariff war room. However, these actions are expected to take time and may not materially impact results in the year.
Company Guidance
Ingersoll Rand provided guidance for the full year 2025 during their Q1 earnings call, maintaining total revenue expectations despite a positive start. They experienced 10% total order growth and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times, with organic orders up by 3.3%. Free cash flow reached a record $223 million for Q1. The company plans up to $750 million in share repurchases by the end of 2025, supported by a robust $4.2 billion liquidity and a net leverage of 1.6 times. They expect adjusted EBITDA margins to remain flat due to a $150 million tariff impact, offset by pricing actions. The guidance includes an expected adjusted tax rate of 23% and net interest expense of approximately $220 million. The company remains optimistic, with strong order momentum and a continued focus on bolt-on acquisitions and share repurchases to drive shareholder value.

Ingersoll Rand Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ingersoll Rand shows strong revenue and profit growth, with improved leverage ratios and robust cash flow generation. The financial health is solid, with effective cost management and operational efficiency. Minor areas for improvement in cash flow growth exist, but overall, the company is well-positioned within its sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ingersoll Rand has demonstrated strong revenue growth with consistent increases over the years, particularly a notable increase from 2022 to the TTM. The gross profit margin remains healthy, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin and EBIT margin are robust, reflecting strong operational efficiency. However, EBITDA margins have slightly decreased in TTM compared to the previous annual period, suggesting potential areas for cost optimization.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity ratio, showcasing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM, indicating reduced leverage risk which is a positive signal for investors. ROE is strong, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet exhibits a solid foundation with manageable liabilities and increasing equity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has shown consistent growth, supporting the company's liquidity position. The free cash flow has also increased, indicating that the company effectively converts revenue into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow growth rate has slowed slightly in the TTM, which could suggest a need for monitoring future liquidity trends.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.28B7.24B6.88B5.92B5.15B4.91B
Gross Profit
3.10B3.17B2.88B2.33B1.99B1.61B
EBIT
1.40B1.30B1.16B817.30M565.70M85.70M
EBITDA
1.79B1.79B1.65B1.31B1.04B686.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
822.90M838.60M778.70M604.70M562.50M-32.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.12B1.54B1.60B1.61B2.11B1.75B
Total Assets
14.99B18.01B15.56B14.77B15.15B16.06B
Total Debt
2.78B4.81B2.77B2.75B3.44B3.90B
Net Debt
1.66B3.27B1.17B1.14B1.33B2.15B
Total Liabilities
5.61B7.76B5.72B5.51B6.08B6.87B
Stockholders Equity
9.32B10.18B9.78B9.20B9.00B9.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.43B1.25B1.27B765.70M551.40M865.60M
Operating Cash Flow
1.49B1.40B1.38B860.30M615.50M914.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.10B-3.11B-1.06B-332.90M914.30M-37.90M
Financing Cash Flow
1.78B1.71B-337.50M-954.00M-1.16B328.70M

Ingersoll Rand Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price83.20
Price Trends
50DMA
77.95
Positive
100DMA
82.25
Positive
200DMA
89.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.18
Positive
RSI
57.53
Neutral
STOCH
83.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.45, above the 50-day MA of 77.95, and below the 200-day MA of 89.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IR.

Ingersoll Rand Risk Analysis

Ingersoll Rand disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ingersoll Rand reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Uncertainties with respect to the development, and use of artificial intelligence in our business and products may result in harm to our business and reputation. Q4, 2024

Ingersoll Rand Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ETETN
80
Outperform
$126.88B32.7320.84%1.28%7.00%16.84%
ITITW
79
Outperform
$72.96B21.92107.62%2.41%-1.85%12.04%
PHPH
76
Outperform
$85.73B25.8227.16%1.07%-0.23%22.41%
IRIR
74
Outperform
$34.17B41.878.09%0.09%5.27%0.61%
EMEMR
73
Outperform
$71.40B30.309.82%1.66%6.49%24.14%
68
Neutral
$37.62B25.00-33.93%1.76%-0.88%9.98%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.295.40%3.67%4.15%-12.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IR
Ingersoll Rand
83.20
-8.18
-8.95%
ETN
Eaton
325.71
10.91
3.47%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
126.49
21.90
20.94%
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
246.62
16.94
7.38%
PH
Parker Hannifin
671.75
173.61
34.85%
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
95.40
-0.15
-0.16%

Ingersoll Rand Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ingersoll Rand Appoints Michelle Swanenburg to Board
Positive
Apr 3, 2025

On April 3, 2025, Ingersoll Rand Inc. announced the appointment of Michelle Swanenburg to its Board of Directors. Swanenburg, who is currently the head of Human Resources at T. Rowe Price, brings over twenty years of strategic HR leadership experience. Her expertise is expected to enhance Ingersoll Rand’s focus on workforce growth and innovation, aligning with their strategic imperative to deploy talent effectively. Swanenburg’s appointment is seen as a move to strengthen the company’s human capital management and corporate governance, potentially impacting its global operations and stakeholder engagement positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.