CSX (CSX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $67.37B
• Dividend Yield: 1.42%
• Average Volume (3M): 11.40M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.75
• Revenue Growth: -3.80%
• EPS Growth: -17.32%
• Country: US
• Employees: 23,400
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 0.44
• Shares Outstanding: 1,862,137,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 12,486,637
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 11,395,059
• PEG Ratio: -5.55
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.30
• P/FCF Ratio: 22.99
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.27
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.69
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 15.53
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 13.54
• 1Y Price Target: $39.69
• Price Target Upside: 9.34% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 17
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.89
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $14.71B

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: $41.00 ▲(12.95% Upside)

CSX's overall stock score reflects strong operational improvements and strategic initiatives, including leadership changes and infrastructure project completions. The company's robust cash flow and positive technical indicators further support the score. However, high leverage and valuation concerns slightly temper the outlook.

Positive Factors

Infrastructure Projects Completion

Completing major infrastructure projects enhances CSX's capacity and resiliency, positioning the company for improved operational efficiency and long-term growth.

Leadership Changes

Strategic leadership appointments are expected to strengthen CSX’s focus and advance long-term growth, leveraging Boone and Kenney's expertise for operational success.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation indicates effective cash management, providing CSX with the financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Significant leverage poses risks to financial stability, potentially limiting CSX's ability to invest in growth and navigate economic downturns.

Decline in Coal Revenue

A decline in coal revenue, a significant business segment, could impact CSX's overall revenue and profitability, challenging its growth prospects.

Profit Margin Pressure

Decreasing profit margins suggest rising costs or inefficiencies, which could hinder CSX's ability to maintain profitability and competitive positioning.

CSX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services. The company offers rail services; and transportation of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. It transports chemicals, agricultural and food products, automotive, minerals, forest products, fertilizers, and metals and equipment; and coal, coke, and iron ore to electricity-generating power plants, steel manufacturers, and industrial plants, as well as exports coal to deep-water port facilities. The company also offers intermodal transportation services through a network of approximately 30 terminals transporting manufactured consumer goods in containers; and drayage services, including the pickup and delivery of intermodal shipments. It serves the automotive industry with distribution centers and storage locations, as well as connects non-rail served customers through transferring products, such as plastics and ethanol from rail to trucks. The company operates approximately 19,500 route mile rail network, which serves various population centers in 23 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, as well as owns and leases approximately 3,500 locomotives. It also serves production and distribution facilities through track connections. CSX Corporation was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

CSX generates revenue primarily through its freight transportation services. The company charges customers for the transportation of goods via rail, with rates varying based on the type of cargo, distance, and service level. Key revenue streams include coal transport, which remains a significant portion of its business, intermodal freight services that involve transporting shipping containers, and bulk commodities like agricultural products. Additionally, CSX has developed partnerships with various logistics companies and industries that enhance its service offerings, allowing for more integrated solutions. The company also benefits from economies of scale due to its extensive rail network, which helps in reducing operational costs and improving profitability.

CSX Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CSX demonstrates strong cash flow performance and revenue growth, although profitability margins have faced some pressure. The balance sheet reflects high leverage, which could be a risk factor. Overall, the company is financially stable with room for improvement in profitability and leverage management.

Income Statement

CSX has shown a solid revenue growth rate of 5.94% in the TTM, reversing the previous year's slight decline. The gross profit margin stands at 36.64%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 19.21% from 23.87% in the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting a potential decrease in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.54, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity has decreased to 23.14% from 27.76%, showing a decline in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

CSX has achieved an impressive free cash flow growth rate of 88.29% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.56, showing efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 81.84%, highlighting effective cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.00B	14.54B	14.66B	14.85B	12.52B	10.58B
Gross Profit	5.50B	5.51B	5.60B	5.93B	5.29B	4.44B
EBITDA	6.30B	7.07B	7.27B	7.66B	7.09B	5.76B
Net Income	2.88B	3.47B	3.67B	4.17B	3.78B	2.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	43.28B	42.76B	42.21B	41.91B	40.53B	39.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	618.00M	1.00B	1.44B	2.09B	2.32B	3.13B
Total Debt	19.64B	18.99B	19.02B	18.54B	16.84B	17.16B
Total Liabilities	30.52B	30.26B	30.23B	29.29B	27.03B	26.68B
Stockholders Equity	12.76B	12.50B	11.98B	12.63B	13.50B	13.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.78B	2.72B	3.27B	3.49B	3.31B	2.64B
Operating Cash Flow	4.62B	5.25B	5.55B	5.62B	5.10B	4.26B
Investing Cash Flow	-3.03B	-2.60B	-2.29B	-2.13B	-1.88B	-649.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-2.62B	-3.06B	-3.87B	-3.77B	-4.11B	-1.44B

CSX Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 36.30
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.13, above the 50-day MA of 35.68, and above the 200-day MA of 33.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSX.

CSX Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CSX	78 Outperform	$67.37B	23.52	22.60%	1.42%	-3.80%	-17.32%
CNR	77 Outperform	$83.45B	18.41	22.24%	2.62%	0.23%	-13.22%
NSC	75 Outperform	$70.08B	21.85	20.46%	1.85%	0.48%	22.88%
CP	74 Outperform	$90.16B	21.75	9.32%	0.82%	4.02%	21.39%
UNP	72 Outperform	$134.73B	19.28	41.62%	2.32%	1.06%	8.21%
ODFL	71 Outperform	$36.28B	34.91	25.06%	0.71%	-5.90%	-13.16%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

CSX Corporate Events

CSX Announces Key Leadership Changes for Growth

On October 29, 2025, CSX Corporation announced key leadership changes with Kevin S. Boone appointed as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Sean R. Pelkey, and Maryclare T. Kenney promoted to Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer. These appointments aim to strengthen CSX’s strategic focus and advance its long-term growth objectives, with Boone and Kenney bringing extensive expertise and proven track records to their new roles. The changes are expected to enhance CSX’s operational success and position it as a leading railroad company in the nation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSX) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CSX stock, see the CSX Stock Forecast page.

CSX Completes $300 Million Notes Offering

On October 23, 2025, CSX Corporation successfully completed a public offering of $300 million in 5.050% Notes due 2035, expanding upon a previous issuance from March 2025. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance CSX’s capital structure and potentially strengthen its position in the market, providing additional resources for future growth and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSX) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CSX stock, see the CSX Stock Forecast page.