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SHLD - ETF AI Analysis

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SHLD

Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
SHLD, the Global X Defense Tech ETF, earns a solid overall rating mainly because many of its largest holdings—like General Dynamics, RTX, Northrop Grumman, and Palantir—show strong financial performance, healthy order backlogs, and positive growth outlooks. However, several key positions such as Rheinmetall, BAE Systems, Saab, and Leonardo face bearish technical trends and valuation concerns, which weigh on the fund’s rating. The main risk factor is the ETF’s concentration in defense and defense-tech names, where high valuations and periods of negative price momentum can impact many holdings at the same time.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown strong gains over the past month, three months, and year to date, indicating solid recent momentum.
Leading Defense Companies in Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, such as major U.S. and European defense contractors, have delivered strong or steady performance, helping support the fund’s returns.
Global Diversification Within Defense
Holdings spread across the U.S. and several European and other countries help reduce the risk of being tied to the economic or political conditions of a single market.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration in Industrials
With most of the portfolio in industrials and a smaller slice in technology, the fund is heavily exposed to the defense and aerospace cycle rather than the broader market.
Meaningful Single-Stock and Theme Concentration
A handful of large defense names make up a significant share of the ETF, so setbacks at these companies or in the defense industry could weigh heavily on performance.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s fee is higher than many broad market index ETFs, which slightly reduces the net return investors keep over time.

SHLD vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SHLD Summary

The Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) tracks the Global X Defense Tech Index, focusing on companies involved in defense technology, aerospace, cybersecurity, and related tools used by militaries and governments. It holds well-known names like Lockheed Martin and RTX, giving investors a way to invest in defense and advanced tech in one fund, with stocks from the U.S. and several European countries. Someone might consider SHLD for potential long-term growth tied to defense spending and innovation. A key risk is that it is heavily concentrated in defense and tech, so its price can swing sharply with changes in government budgets or global tensions.
How much will it cost me?The Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) has an expense ratio of 0.5%, which means you’ll pay $5 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed to focus on a niche sector like defense technology, requiring more research and specialized management.
What would affect this ETF?The Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) could benefit from increased government spending on defense and advancements in technologies like artificial intelligence and cybersecurity, which are key areas of focus for its top holdings. However, it may face challenges from geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes, or reduced defense budgets in certain regions, which could negatively impact its performance. Its global exposure and reliance on the industrials and technology sectors make it sensitive to broader economic conditions and sector-specific trends.

SHLD Top 10 Holdings

SHLD is very much a pure-play bet on global defense, with industrial heavyweights like Lockheed Martin, Rheinmetall, and RTX doing most of the heavy lifting as their shares keep rising on strong backlogs and steady demand. European names such as BAE Systems, Saab, and Leonardo add an international flavor and have also been climbing, giving the fund a solid global footprint rather than a U.S.-only story. The main weak spot is Palantir, whose recent slide in AI-driven defense software is quietly tugging on performance even as the hardware giants power ahead.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Lockheed Martin8.38%$585.21M$137.67B30.94%
70
Outperform
RTX7.53%$525.97M$269.87B60.86%
74
Outperform
General Dynamics7.19%$501.93M$99.03B45.80%
80
Outperform
Rheinmetall7.10%$496.22M€84.88B151.04%
63
Neutral
Palantir Technologies6.64%$464.07M$394.94B107.75%
74
Outperform
L3Harris Technologies4.70%$328.25M$67.44B70.11%
70
Neutral
Northrop Grumman4.46%$311.67M$96.87B40.95%
76
Outperform
BAE Systems4.26%$297.22M£58.69B79.26%
61
Neutral
Saab AB4.21%$294.20Mkr382.41B206.25%
70
Outperform
Leonardo Spa4.05%$283.03M€33.21B95.87%
60
Neutral

SHLD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
67.68
Positive
100DMA
67.36
Positive
200DMA
62.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.92
Positive
RSI
70.10
Negative
STOCH
55.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.99, equal to the 50-day MA of 67.68, and equal to the 200-day MA of 62.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 70.10 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHLD.

SHLD Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$7.20B0.50%
$9.22B0.39%
$8.51B0.55%
$7.51B0.75%
$1.10B0.75%
$1.08B0.39%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
77.22
37.96
96.69%
IGF
iShares Global Infrastructure ETF
BAI
iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF
ARKK
Ark Innovation Etf
ARKX
ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF
EXI
iShares Global Industrials ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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