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Leonardo Spa (IT:LDO)
:LDO
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Leonardo Spa (LDO) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:LDO

Leonardo Spa

(LDO)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
€60.00
▲(14.81% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strengthening financial performance (growth, improving profitability, and deleveraging) and supportive technical momentum. This is partially offset by only moderate profit-to-free-cash-flow conversion and a valuation that looks less compelling given the P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Revenue expansion across 2023–2025 reflects durable demand for Leonardo’s platforms, electronics and services. Combined with long-term program deliveries and recurring aftermarket/service streams, this growth trend supports multiyear top-line visibility and lowers cyclicality risks.
Negative Factors
Weak FCF Conversion
Although operating cash flow and FCF improved to €2.0B and ~€1.0B respectively, free cash flow converting only half of net income and prior volatility limit discretionary capacity for buybacks, large dividends or rapid deleveraging, constraining durability of returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Revenue expansion across 2023–2025 reflects durable demand for Leonardo’s platforms, electronics and services. Combined with long-term program deliveries and recurring aftermarket/service streams, this growth trend supports multiyear top-line visibility and lowers cyclicality risks.
Read all positive factors

Leonardo Spa (LDO) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Leonardo Spa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Leonardo S.p.A. is a prominent industrial and technology firm with operations spanning Italy, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the United States, and other international markets. The company's core activities are centered around helicopters...
How the Company Makes Money
Leonardo makes money primarily by selling aerospace and defense products and by delivering long-term services tied to those products. Key revenue streams include: (1) Platform sales and programs: revenue from the design, manufacture, and delivery ...

Leonardo Spa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are improving: strong revenue growth, rising net margin (~4.3% in 2023 to ~6.3% in 2025), and a healthier balance sheet with materially lower leverage (debt/equity down to ~0.47x in 2025). The key constraint is cash-flow quality: free cash flow is improving but only ~50% of net income in 2025 and has been volatile historically.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.59B19.50B17.76B15.29B14.71B14.13B
Gross Profit1.83B1.73B1.45B1.22B1.22B1.05B
EBITDA2.37B2.51B2.38B1.71B1.80B1.43B
Net Income1.13B1.22B1.07B658.00M927.00M586.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.06B34.51B33.67B30.69B28.58B28.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments986.00M3.24B2.56B2.41B1.51B2.48B
Total Debt4.51B4.49B4.70B4.93B4.61B5.67B
Total Liabilities25.74B23.77B23.47B22.13B20.53B21.54B
Stockholders Equity9.67B9.56B8.99B7.80B7.18B6.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.14B977.00M646.00M404.00M523.00M190.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.27B1.99B1.54B1.19B1.28B805.00M
Investing Cash Flow-2.73B-605.00M-753.00M-262.00M-924.00M-604.00M
Financing Cash Flow-349.00M-611.00M-678.00M-12.00M-1.40B30.00M

Leonardo Spa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.26
Price Trends
50DMA
51.33
Positive
100DMA
53.48
Positive
200DMA
52.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Negative
RSI
64.94
Neutral
STOCH
78.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:LDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.23, above the 50-day MA of 51.33, and below the 200-day MA of 52.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:LDO.

Leonardo Spa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
€4.09B15.9417.62%1.35%6.69%9.29%
74
Outperform
€1.33B82.942.08%0.52%21.60%84.46%
72
Outperform
€31.70B28.2713.19%1.21%10.11%7.22%
61
Neutral
€4.86B18.5917.64%-0.60%39.15%
61
Neutral
€682.13M20.087.61%4.42%-4.62%-24.28%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
48
Neutral
€40.76B99.452.66%0.66%3.00%-33.57%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:LDO
Leonardo Spa
55.12
8.36
17.87%
IT:AVIO
Avio S.p.A.
29.03
4.63
18.98%
IT:FCT
Fincantieri S.p.A.
13.56
-3.22
-19.17%
IT:PIA
Piaggio & C. SPA
1.94
0.08
4.07%
IT:REY
Reply SPA
109.80
-19.98
-15.40%
IT:STMMI
STMicroelectronics NV
45.68
24.14
112.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026