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Fincantieri S.p.A. (IT:FCT)
:FCT

Fincantieri S.p.A. (FCT) AI Stock Analysis

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IT

Fincantieri S.p.A.

(LSE:FCT)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€16.50
▲(7.84%Upside)
Fincantieri S.p.A. shows strong technical momentum, contributing positively to its score. Financial performance is improving, reflecting revenue growth and better profitability metrics, but high leverage and operational inefficiencies pose risks. Valuation is weak due to a negative P/E ratio without dividend yield, impacting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Dividend Prospects
The 2025 guidance shows further progression expected on BP targets, over-delivering on deleverage and with a potential return to dividend distribution.
Financial Health
The new net debt guidance implies an improvement of €200m, indicating better financial health.
Financial Performance
The company's FY24 results were broadly in line with expectations, with solid progression on profitability and strong delivery on deleverage and bottom line improvements.
Revenue Growth
The company is showing positive progression in Offshore, with revenues up by 47% in the quarter, accelerating compared to previous quarters.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
Guidance has been improved on revenues, now seen in excess of €8.0bn, and on leverage ratio, now between 4.5x and 5.0x.
Market Competition
Strong opportunities are noted in the defense market, particularly in South-East Asia, the Middle-East, and Western countries like Norway, indicating increasing competition.

Fincantieri S.p.A. (FCT) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Fincantieri S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFincantieri S.p.A. (FCT) is one of the world's largest shipbuilding groups, with a strong presence in the design and construction of complex vessels, including cruise ships, naval vessels, and offshore units. The company operates across multiple sectors, such as cruise ship construction, naval shipbuilding, and offshore and specialized vessels, serving both commercial and government clients. Fincantieri is headquartered in Trieste, Italy, and has shipyards and facilities in several countries worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyFincantieri S.p.A. generates revenue primarily through the design and construction of a wide range of vessels, including cruise ships, naval ships, and offshore vessels. The company secures contracts from both commercial clients, such as cruise lines and shipping companies, and government entities for naval and defense-related projects. Additionally, Fincantieri offers maintenance, repair, and conversion services for ships, which provide a recurring revenue stream. The company also engages in partnerships and collaborations with other industry leaders to enhance its technological capabilities and expand its market reach. These key revenue streams and strategic partnerships significantly contribute to Fincantieri's earnings.

Fincantieri S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.41B7.45B7.35B6.80B5.78B5.77B
Gross Profit
-351.92M1.55B1.34B1.49B1.05B1.25B
EBIT
-1.60B110.38M-195.64M198.42M-132.40M82.69M
EBITDA
250.93M395.24M3.80M383.08M19.03M179.95M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-32.50M-52.83M-323.95M21.78M-244.52M-123.91M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
691.83M757.27M564.58M1.24B1.27B381.79M
Total Assets
0.008.71B8.71B9.08B8.69B7.26B
Total Debt
0.002.91B3.21B3.56B3.82B2.02B
Net Debt
691.83M2.16B2.65B2.32B2.54B1.64B
Total Liabilities
0.008.28B8.12B8.25B7.92B6.21B
Stockholders Equity
956.54M433.12M585.50M818.58M761.47M1.02B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
391.80M378.40M-352.60M504.56M-852.72M-256.78M
Operating Cash Flow
666.08M636.73M-57.72M862.37M-543.39M22.24M
Investing Cash Flow
-173.41M-104.95M-225.01M-535.22M-376.02M-310.18M
Financing Cash Flow
-395.45M-331.26M-389.52M-377.51M1.82B-7.95M

Fincantieri S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.30
Price Trends
50DMA
11.92
Positive
100DMA
10.28
Positive
200DMA
7.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.21
Negative
RSI
66.55
Neutral
STOCH
52.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:FCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.98, above the 50-day MA of 11.92, and above the 200-day MA of 7.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:FCT.

Fincantieri S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ITWBD
77
Outperform
€3.59B18.1311.69%2.27%18.70%
ITLDO
75
Outperform
€31.34B29.2112.77%0.51%16.17%63.09%
73
Outperform
€549.58M90.292.02%0.69%38.67%-6.16%
ITPRY
71
Outperform
€16.51B23.5515.32%1.39%20.34%25.32%
ITIVG
68
Neutral
€5.85B12.27
1.95%-7.61%62.12%
66
Neutral
$4.48B12.245.32%248.54%4.09%-12.10%
ITFCT
64
Neutral
€5.03B
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:FCT
Fincantieri S.p.A.
15.30
10.73
235.09%
IT:WBD
Webuild SpA
3.58
1.53
74.54%
IT:PRY
Prysmian SpA
58.84
0.85
1.47%
IT:LDO
Leonardo Spa
53.14
29.70
126.67%
IT:AVIO
Avio S.p.A.
21.20
9.66
83.76%
IT:IVG
Iveco Group NV
17.24
5.87
51.63%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.