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Iveco Group NV (IT:IVG)
:IVG

Iveco Group NV (IVG) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:IVG

Iveco Group NV

(IVG)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
€20.00
▲(6.72% Upside)
Iveco Group NV's stock score reflects a balanced financial performance with strong cash flow and operational efficiency. Positive technical momentum supports the stock, but valuation concerns and challenges in the truck segment weigh on the score. Strategic improvements in the bus and powertrain segments provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Bus Segment Growth
The bus segment's growth and market position strengthen Iveco's revenue base, providing a buffer against challenges in other segments.
Powertrain Segment Recovery
Recovery in the powertrain segment indicates potential for future growth and diversification, enhancing long-term business stability.
Efficiency Program
The efficiency program's cost savings enhance operational efficiency, improving margins and financial health over the long term.
Negative Factors
Truck Segment Challenges
Declining revenues in the truck segment highlight market challenges, potentially impacting overall profitability and growth.
High Financial Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, potentially affecting long-term financial stability and investment capacity.
Declining Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth indicates market or operational challenges, which may hinder future expansion and profitability.

Iveco Group NV (IVG) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Iveco Group NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIveco Group NV (IVG) is a leading global manufacturer of commercial vehicles, specializing in the production of light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks, vans, buses, and specialty vehicles. The company operates through several key sectors, including transportation and logistics solutions, with a strong emphasis on sustainable mobility. Its core products encompass a diverse range of vehicles tailored for various industries, coupled with innovative services that enhance operational efficiency and environmental performance.
How the Company Makes MoneyIveco Group NV generates revenue primarily through the sale of its commercial vehicles, which includes trucks, buses, and vans. The company benefits from multiple revenue streams, including direct vehicle sales, aftersales services such as maintenance and repairs, and the provision of financing solutions for customers. Significant partnerships with other manufacturers, suppliers, and technology firms enhance its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, the growing demand for sustainable and efficient transportation solutions contributes to its earnings, as the company invests in electric and alternative fuel vehicles, aligning with global trends towards greener logistics.

Iveco Group NV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the bus and powertrain segments, with promising signs of recovery in engine volumes and a robust order book. However, significant challenges remain in the truck segment, particularly with light commercial vehicles, and overall financial performance has declined. The sentiment is balanced between positive long-term strategic moves and current operational challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Bus Segment Performance
The bus segment showed strong performance with net revenues up 31.4% in Q3 2025, and deliveries increased by 20% compared to Q3 2024. Iveco Bus maintained its #2 position in the European market with a 21.3% market share year-to-date.
Powertrain Segment Recovery
Engine volumes in the Powertrain segment increased by 1% compared to Q3 2024, marking the first sign of recovery after nearly two years of decline. New third-party customer contracts were signed with Lindner and JCB.
Order Book Strength
The order book remains robust, with a notable framework agreement signed with Ildefrance Mobility for up to 4,000 low and zero-emission buses and coaches between 2026 and 2032.
Efficiency Program Acceleration
The company's efficiency program is expected to deliver a significant EUR 150 million in savings for the current year, with additional areas of improvement identified for further savings.
Negative Updates
Truck Segment Challenges
The truck net revenues totaled EUR 2 billion in Q3 2025, down 11% versus the prior year, mainly due to lower delivery rates in light-duty trucks and a challenging environment in the chassis cab subsegment.
LCV Market Decline
European deliveries of light commercial vehicles were down 27% year-over-year, affecting profitability in the truck segment.
Financial Performance Decline
Consolidated net revenues contracted by 3.6% year-over-year, and the adjusted EBIT margin of industrial activities contracted by 210 basis points compared to Q3 2024.
Medium and Heavy Truck Order Decline
European order intake for medium and heavy trucks declined by 3% year-over-year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 0.82, reflecting a softer demand environment.
Company Guidance
During the Iveco Group conference call for the third quarter of 2025, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic actions. Iveco reported consolidated net revenues of EUR 3.1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year contraction of 3.6%. The truck industry faced a challenging market, with European deliveries down 27% for light commercial vehicles, while the worldwide truck book-to-bill ratio improved by 25 basis points to 1.0. The bus unit saw a 31.4% increase in net revenues, boosted by higher volumes and a strong order book. In the powertrain sector, engine volumes showed a 1% increase, marking the first sign of recovery after a prolonged decline. The group's adjusted EBIT was EUR 111 million, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 3.6%. Iveco's financial guidance for 2025 includes adjusted EBIT between EUR 830 million and EUR 880 million and industrial net revenues expected to decline by 3% to 5% year-over-year. The company is also on track with its efficiency program, targeting EUR 150 million in CapEx and OpEx savings, and anticipates the completion of its defense business sale by the first half of 2026.

Iveco Group NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iveco Group NV shows a balanced financial performance with strong cash flow generation and operational efficiency. However, challenges in revenue growth and high financial leverage pose risks. The company needs to improve net profit margins and manage debt levels for long-term stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Iveco Group NV shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 16-17% over recent periods, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at approximately 2.17% TTM, reflecting challenges in translating revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 2.24% TTM, suggesting potential market or operational challenges. Despite these issues, EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown slight improvements, indicating operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Iveco Group NV highlights a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.28 TTM, which poses a risk of financial leverage. The return on equity is moderate at 12.46% TTM, suggesting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing. These factors suggest a need for careful management of financial leverage to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Iveco Group NV's cash flow statement shows positive trends, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 45.07% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15, reflecting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.46 TTM further underscores the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings, providing a cushion for debt servicing and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.48B15.29B16.21B14.36B12.65B10.41B
Gross Profit2.32B2.65B2.70B1.97B1.77B949.00M
EBITDA1.48B1.50B1.26B992.00M837.00M173.00M
Net Income263.00M349.00M218.00M147.00M52.00M-408.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.79B19.44B18.39B16.01B16.56B15.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.24B3.48B2.64B2.23B780.00M599.00M
Total Debt5.85B6.37B5.93B4.43B5.79B5.31B
Total Liabilities15.10B16.67B15.99B13.62B14.25B13.29B
Stockholders Equity2.63B2.70B2.35B2.35B2.29B2.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow927.00M248.00M366.00M630.00M-25.00M158.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.63B1.20B1.34B1.41B539.00M559.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.16B-284.00M-2.22B-1.34B-45.00M-90.00M
Financing Cash Flow-368.00M68.00M1.49B1.34B-88.00M-407.00M

Iveco Group NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.74
Price Trends
50DMA
18.48
Positive
100DMA
18.39
Positive
200DMA
17.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
63.46
Neutral
STOCH
68.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:IVG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.67, above the 50-day MA of 18.48, and above the 200-day MA of 17.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:IVG.

Iveco Group NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
€4.64B11.283.23%-0.22%-12.64%
76
Outperform
€4.90B22.3610.99%0.72%-2.00%2.11%
73
Outperform
€3.49B13.9515.86%2.32%21.15%17.26%
69
Neutral
€4.27B16.7842.37%2.73%30.91%40.89%
65
Neutral
€6.47B18.911.76%-7.26%14.20%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
€5.46B42.0514.30%18.44%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:IVG
Iveco Group NV
18.74
9.65
106.16%
IT:FCT
Fincantieri S.p.A.
16.84
9.96
144.84%
IT:BRE
Brembo SPA
9.28
0.47
5.39%
IT:IP
Interpump Group SPA
45.96
3.21
7.50%
IT:MAIRE
MaireTecnimont SpA
13.04
5.13
64.79%
IT:WBD
Webuild SpA
3.49
0.72
25.97%

Iveco Group NV Corporate Events

IDV Expands Contract with Italian Army for Tactical Trucks
Dec 1, 2025

IDV, a brand of Iveco Group specializing in defense vehicles, has secured a contract to supply an additional 658 tactical-logistic trucks to the Italian Army, enhancing the original agreement for 1,453 vehicles. This expansion will modernize the Army’s fleet and improve operational capabilities, with deliveries continuing until 2039. The contract highlights IDV’s role in bolstering Italy’s land defense capabilities and underscores the company’s strategic positioning in the defense sector.

Iveco Group NV Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Strategic Shifts
Nov 6, 2025

Iveco Group NV reported a challenging third quarter in 2025, highlighting a decrease in EBIT and net profit compared to the previous year. Despite these challenges, the company is optimistic about future profitability improvements due to strategic initiatives like the Efficiency Program and new contracts in the bus segment. The sale of its Defence business is proceeding as planned, which is expected to streamline operations and focus on core business areas.

Iveco Group to Present Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 23, 2025

Iveco Group N.V. announced that it will present its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 6, 2025. The announcement includes a live audio webcast of the conference call, which will be accessible to stakeholders, and the related press release and presentation materials will be available on the company’s website. This event is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

DLL and Iveco Group Launch Joint Venture to Boost Sustainable Mobility in Europe
Oct 1, 2025

DLL and Iveco Group have formed a joint venture named GATE to accelerate the transition to low and zero-emission commercial vehicles in Europe. With DLL acquiring a majority stake, the JV aims to expand sustainable mobility solutions across Europe, leveraging financial support and expertise to enhance its growth strategy and broaden its market reach.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025