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Saab AB (SE:SAAB.B)
:SAAB.B
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Saab AB (SAAB.B) AI Stock Analysis

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Saab AB

(LSE:SAAB.B)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
kr594.00
▲(6.22%Upside)
Saab AB's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive guidance from the recent earnings call. The company's strategic growth in key segments and sustainability efforts contribute positively. However, relatively high valuation metrics and cash flow challenges present potential risks.

Saab AB (SAAB.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Saab AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaab AB is a Swedish aerospace and defense company that specializes in developing, manufacturing, and marketing advanced systems and products for military defense and civil security. The company operates in various sectors including aeronautics, advanced weaponry, radar systems, and cyber security. Saab's core products and services include fighter aircraft like the Gripen, various missile systems, radar technologies, and command and control systems, catering primarily to government and defense agencies worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneySaab AB generates revenue through the sale of its defense and security solutions to governments and defense agencies around the world. Key revenue streams include contracts for the development and production of fighter aircraft, missile systems, and radar technologies. Saab's business model is heavily reliant on securing long-term contracts with national governments and international defense organizations. Additionally, the company engages in partnerships and collaborations with other aerospace and defense companies to expand its product offerings and market reach. Research and development play a crucial role in maintaining the company's competitive edge and securing future contracts.

Saab AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong positive outlook for Saab with significant growth in orders and segments like Dynamics and Surveillance. The company upgraded its annual growth guidance and showed substantial progress in sustainability and diversity. However, challenges in cash flow management, under-absorption in certain areas, and specific project delays were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Order Intake and Growth
Order intake reached approximately SEK 28 billion with a significant increase of 32% compared to the same quarter last year. The backlog increased by 8% year-over-year, reaching SEK 198 billion.
Upgraded Guidance
The company upgraded its growth guidance to 16%-20% from the previous 12%-16%, driven by strong first-half performance and confidence in delivering from the backlog.
Dynamics Segment Performance
The Dynamics segment experienced a 72% growth in sales compared to the same quarter last year, attributed to unusually high deliveries and successful capacity ramp-up.
Surveillance Segment Growth
Surveillance grew more than 20% year-on-year, driven by good project execution and a significant decision from France to acquire GlobalEye.
Sustainability Progress
Saab reduced its CO2 emissions by 34% compared to the base year 2020, with a target of 42% reduction by 2030 and Net Zero by 2050. Most of Saab's aircraft can now operate using sustainable air fuels.
Increased Female Employment
The share of women employees and female managers in the company is increasing, enhancing company diversity and attractiveness.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow Challenges
Despite improvements, the operational cash flow remains negative at SEK 1.2 billion for the first half of the year, primarily due to high working capital tied up and increased investments.
Under-absorption in Aeronautics
Aeronautics experienced under-absorption and low production rates in the T-7 environment in West Lafayette, Indiana, impacting its profitability.
Kockums Segment Issues
The underwater systems business unit within Kockums is facing challenges with development and certification contracts, pulling down the segment's overall performance.
Company Guidance
In Saab's Q2 earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company reported a substantial increase in order intake, achieving SEK 28 billion, despite the absence of exceptionally large contracts from the previous year. Dynamics demonstrated remarkable growth, with deliveries surging by 72% compared to the same quarter last year. This performance enabled Saab to raise its full-year guidance for organic sales growth from 12-16% to 16-20%, supported by a strong pipeline and robust demand in the defense market. The company also managed a significant improvement in its EBIT margin, now at 10%, and highlighted a positive operational cash flow of SEK 5.1 billion. Saab's backlog increased by 8% year-over-year, reaching SEK 198 billion, with Dynamics and Surveillance accounting for 71% of this total. The call emphasized the strategic importance of ramping up production capacity and investing in research and development to maintain a competitive edge, particularly in AI and autonomous systems. Saab also noted progress in sustainability efforts, with a 34% reduction in CO2 emissions from its 2020 baseline.

Saab AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saab AB exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and effective cash management. The balance sheet reflects prudent financial management with controlled leverage. Continuous improvement in free cash flow supports the company's financial flexibility. However, attention to debt levels is recommended.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Saab AB demonstrates strong growth in revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 21.87%, and the net profit margin is 7.14%, indicating solid profitability. Revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 2.52%, with a remarkable increase from 2023 to 2024 at 23.53%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 9.03% and 11.54%, respectively, underscoring effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, showing a conservative leverage approach. Return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 12.22%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio stands at 37.55%, reflecting a healthy proportion of equity financing. However, the incremental increase in total debt over time warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Saab AB displays strong cash flow generation with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.96 in TTM, highlighting excellent cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, indicating healthy cash retention after capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM is an impressive 106.06%, demonstrating substantial improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue63.75B51.61B42.01B39.15B35.43B
Gross Profit13.66B11.26B8.89B8.21B5.68B
EBITDA8.49B7.36B4.84B4.35B2.75B
Net Income4.17B3.38B2.19B1.93B1.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.82B82.76B72.36B65.04B60.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.74B13.47B12.86B11.84B10.38B
Total Debt10.38B10.04B9.99B9.72B10.00B
Total Liabilities64.01B50.40B42.49B41.79B38.92B
Stockholders Equity35.50B32.03B29.49B22.98B21.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.89B2.92B2.34B3.19B2.91B
Operating Cash Flow6.73B6.46B4.65B5.71B5.80B
Investing Cash Flow-4.18B-5.92B-2.44B-4.70B-4.00B
Financing Cash Flow-1.93B-1.23B-1.18B-1.64B-1.13B

Saab AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price559.20
Price Trends
50DMA
477.72
Positive
100DMA
435.20
Positive
200DMA
334.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.77
Negative
RSI
68.30
Neutral
STOCH
44.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SAAB.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 559.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 495.98, above the 50-day MA of 477.72, and above the 200-day MA of 334.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:SAAB.B.

Saab AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
kr299.08B57.7113.06%0.42%22.75%41.68%
78
Outperform
kr701.14B22.8328.28%2.11%0.54%1.79%
76
Outperform
kr297.54B20.5416.41%2.40%-1.82%12.60%
74
Outperform
kr172.03B23.1418.80%2.04%6.40%18.28%
70
Outperform
kr276.49B24.809.32%1.53%-1.12%14.34%
68
Neutral
kr251.60B29.90
1.75%3.92%4.96%
58
Neutral
HK$14.28B4.63-3.01%6.76%3.67%-54.16%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:SAAB.B
Saab AB
559.20
319.29
133.08%
SE:ALFA
Alfa Laval AB
424.20
-32.90
-7.20%
SE:HEXA.B
Hexagon AB
103.00
-12.40
-10.75%
SE:SAND
Sandvik AB
237.20
27.34
13.03%
SE:EPI.A
Epiroc AB
200.50
1.58
0.79%
SE:ATCO.B
Atlas Copco AB
131.60
-26.41
-16.71%

Saab AB Corporate Events

Saab Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Upward Growth Outlook
Jul 18, 2025

Saab AB reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, showcasing significant growth in sales and profitability. The company saw a 32% organic sales growth, with a notable 73% increase in the Dynamics sector. Despite a negative operational cash flow due to capacity investments, Saab’s net income rose by 53%, and the company improved its net liquidity position. The outlook for 2025 has been revised upwards, with expectations of organic sales growth between 16-20% and continued EBIT growth.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

France Intends to Procure Saab’s GlobalEye Aircraft
Jun 18, 2025

Saab and France’s defence procurement agency have signed a joint declaration of intent for France to acquire Saab’s GlobalEye Early Warning and Control aircraft, enhancing French Armed Forces’ situational awareness across multiple domains. This potential procurement, announced at the Paris Air Show, signifies a strategic move for Saab, potentially strengthening its position in the defence industry through expanded operations in France.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Sell with a SEK375.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Royal Thai Air Force Selects Saab’s Gripen E/F Fighter
Jun 4, 2025

The Royal Thai Air Force has selected Saab’s Gripen E/F as its new multi-role fighter, marking a significant step in their procurement process with Saab and the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration. Although no contract has been signed yet, the selection includes a long-term offset package aimed at enhancing Thailand’s national security and strategic independence, potentially creating jobs and investments across various sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Saab’s Strategic Focus on Growth and Innovation at Capital Markets Day 2025
May 27, 2025

At its Capital Markets Day 2025, Saab announced strategic priorities aimed at future growth, including capacity expansion, digital transformation, and accelerated development of future capabilities. The company plans to scale up operations, focus on market expansion, and enhance its technological leadership through partnerships and mergers. Saab’s commitment to innovation and empowering its workforce positions it well for capturing market opportunities and achieving sustainable value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Sell with a SEK375.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 19, 2025