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Saab AB (SE:SAAB.B)
:SAAB.B
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Saab AB (SAAB.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:SAAB.B

Saab AB

(LSE:SAAB.B)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
kr594.00
▲(16.70% Upside)
Saab AB's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators support a positive trend, the high P/E ratio suggests the stock is expensive, which could limit further upside. Challenges in cash flow management and specific project delays are risks to monitor.

Saab AB (SAAB.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Saab AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaab AB (publ) provides products, services, and solutions for the military defense, aerospace, and civil security markets worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Aeronautics, Dynamics, Surveillance, Kockums, and Combitech. The company develops military and civil aviation technology, as well as conducts studies on manned and unmanned aircraft systems. It also provides ground combat weapons, missile systems, torpedoes, unmanned underwater vehicles, training and simulation systems, and signature management systems for armed forces; and niche products for the civil and defense market, such as underwater vehicles for the offshore industry. In addition, the company offers solutions for safety and security, surveillance and decision support, and threat detection, location, and protection, which include airborne, ground-based and naval radar, electronic warfare, and combat systems, as well as C4I solutions. Further, it provides product integration, support, technical maintenance, and logistics services, as well as products, solutions, and services. Additionally, the company offers technology for traffic management and public safety; and supports industry, defense, and public sectors with services comprising cyber security, artificial intelligence, and big data analysis. It also provides submarines with the Stirling system for air independent propulsion, surface combatants, mine hunting systems, and autonomous vessels; and systems development, systems integration, information security, systems security, communications, mechanics, and technical product information. Saab AB (publ) was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneySaab AB generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of defense and security products and services. Key revenue streams include the sale of military aircraft such as the Gripen fighter jet, submarines, and various defense systems and equipment. The company also earns revenue from long-term contracts and project-based work with governments and defense agencies, which often include maintenance, support, and upgrades for their products. Additionally, Saab has established significant partnerships and collaborations with other defense contractors and governmental bodies, which further contribute to its earnings through joint projects and technology sharing.

Saab AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant growth in order intake and Dynamics segment, along with an upward revision in growth guidance. However, challenges in cash flow, margin pressure, and specific segment underperformance balanced the positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Intake
Order intake reached SEK 28 billion, a substantial growth of 32% compared to the same quarter last year, even without large contracts.
Strong Dynamics Performance
The Dynamics segment grew by 72% compared to last year, with significant deliveries and capacity ramp-up.
Upgraded Guidance
Guidance for growth was increased from 12%-16% to 16%-20%, reflecting strong performance and market demand.
Sustainability Achievements
Saab reduced CO2 emissions by 34% compared to 2020 and is on track to achieve its 2030 and 2050 sustainability targets.
Innovative AI Integration
Successful integration of an AI agent in the Gripen E for complex air battle scenarios, demonstrating advanced architectural capabilities.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow Challenges
Despite improvement, operational cash flow remains negative due to high inventory levels and investments.
Under-absorption in Aeronautics
The Aeronautics segment faces under-absorption and low production rates in the T-7 environment in West Lafayette, Indiana.
Pressure on Gross Margin
Gross margin declined year-over-year due to higher corporate costs related to IT security and digitalization efforts.
Continued Negative Impact from Underwater Systems
Saab Kockums' profitability is affected by ongoing development and certification challenges in the underwater systems business unit.
Company Guidance
In the call, Saab's CEO, Micael Johansson, highlighted a strong Q2 performance, noting a 32% growth in order intake to SEK 28 billion and an EBIT margin improvement. The company upgraded its fiscal year 2025 guidance, projecting sales growth between 16% and 20%, up from the previous 12% to 16% range, due to robust demand and effective delivery from their backlog. Dynamics reported a 72% year-over-year sales increase, contributing significantly to the positive results. Cash flow, while still negative, improved compared to last year, with expectations of a positive cash flow by year-end. The backlog increased by 8% to SEK 198 billion, with Dynamics and Surveillance making up 71% of it. The company is investing in capacity expansion and R&D to meet strong market demand, driven by geopolitical tensions and new defense spending targets from NATO, which includes a 5% GDP spending goal on defense across member countries.

Saab AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saab AB exhibits strong financial health characterized by consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and effective cash management. The balance sheet reflects prudent financial management with controlled leverage. Continuous improvement in free cash flow supports the company's financial flexibility and potential for future investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Saab AB demonstrates strong growth in revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 21.87%, and the net profit margin is 7.14%, indicating solid profitability. Revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 2.52%, with a remarkable increase from 2023 to 2024 at 23.53%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 9.03% and 11.54%, respectively, underscoring effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, showing a conservative leverage approach. Return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 12.22%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio stands at 37.55%, reflecting a healthy proportion of equity financing. However, the incremental increase in total debt over time warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Saab AB displays strong cash flow generation with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.96 in TTM, highlighting excellent cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, indicating healthy cash retention after capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM is an impressive 106.06%, demonstrating substantial improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.97B63.75B51.61B42.01B39.15B35.43B
Gross Profit15.17B13.66B11.26B8.89B8.21B5.68B
EBITDA7.74B8.49B7.36B4.84B4.35B2.75B
Net Income5.20B4.17B3.38B2.19B1.93B1.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets105.89B99.82B82.76B72.36B65.04B60.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.81B11.74B13.47B12.86B11.84B10.38B
Total Debt9.89B10.38B10.04B9.99B9.72B10.00B
Total Liabilities65.94B64.01B50.40B42.49B41.79B38.92B
Stockholders Equity39.62B35.50B32.03B29.49B22.98B21.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.06B1.89B2.92B2.34B3.19B2.91B
Operating Cash Flow11.04B6.73B6.46B4.65B5.71B5.80B
Investing Cash Flow-8.48B-4.18B-5.92B-2.44B-4.70B-4.00B
Financing Cash Flow-2.08B-1.93B-1.23B-1.18B-1.64B-1.13B

Saab AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price509.00
Price Trends
50DMA
504.89
Positive
100DMA
472.68
Positive
200DMA
369.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
49.37
Neutral
STOCH
34.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SAAB.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 509 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 517.65, above the 50-day MA of 504.89, and above the 200-day MA of 369.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:SAAB.B.

Saab AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
kr264.96B51.0214.05%0.36%22.75%41.98%
63
Neutral
$10.76B16.247.41%2.07%2.60%-16.34%
$73.28M-0.45%
€53.60M40.7832.79%
€616.31M95.39-19.55%
€142.07M-128.43%
63
Neutral
kr2.84B51.69
2.26%-13.34%-46.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:SAAB.B
Saab AB
509.00
274.06
116.65%
ACCMF
AAC Clyde Space
11.69
8.11
226.54%
DE:8QL
AVTECH Sweden AB
1.03
0.61
145.24%
DE:8QA
MilDef Group AB
13.16
6.48
97.01%
DE:1G2
GomSpace Group AB
0.96
0.51
113.33%
SE:CTT
CTT Systems AB
237.50
-35.17
-12.90%

Saab AB Corporate Events

Saab Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Upward Growth Outlook
Jul 18, 2025

Saab AB reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, showcasing significant growth in sales and profitability. The company saw a 32% organic sales growth, with a notable 73% increase in the Dynamics sector. Despite a negative operational cash flow due to capacity investments, Saab’s net income rose by 53%, and the company improved its net liquidity position. The outlook for 2025 has been revised upwards, with expectations of organic sales growth between 16-20% and continued EBIT growth.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

France Intends to Procure Saab’s GlobalEye Aircraft
Jun 18, 2025

Saab and France’s defence procurement agency have signed a joint declaration of intent for France to acquire Saab’s GlobalEye Early Warning and Control aircraft, enhancing French Armed Forces’ situational awareness across multiple domains. This potential procurement, announced at the Paris Air Show, signifies a strategic move for Saab, potentially strengthening its position in the defence industry through expanded operations in France.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Sell with a SEK375.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Royal Thai Air Force Selects Saab’s Gripen E/F Fighter
Jun 4, 2025

The Royal Thai Air Force has selected Saab’s Gripen E/F as its new multi-role fighter, marking a significant step in their procurement process with Saab and the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration. Although no contract has been signed yet, the selection includes a long-term offset package aimed at enhancing Thailand’s national security and strategic independence, potentially creating jobs and investments across various sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Saab’s Strategic Focus on Growth and Innovation at Capital Markets Day 2025
May 27, 2025

At its Capital Markets Day 2025, Saab announced strategic priorities aimed at future growth, including capacity expansion, digital transformation, and accelerated development of future capabilities. The company plans to scale up operations, focus on market expansion, and enhance its technological leadership through partnerships and mergers. Saab’s commitment to innovation and empowering its workforce positions it well for capturing market opportunities and achieving sustainable value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Sell with a SEK375.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025