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Saab AB (SE:SAAB.B)
:SAAB.B

Saab AB (SAAB.B) AI Stock Analysis

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Saab AB

(LSE:SAAB.B)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
Saab AB demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and effective cash management, leading to an overall high financial health score. The positive momentum in technical analysis supports the stock's upward trend, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation concerns arise from a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield, indicating potential overvaluation. The latest earnings call was favorable, highlighting record sales and improved margins, though challenges in certain segments were noted. Overall, Saab AB's stock is promising, with strong fundamentals and positive market sentiment, but investors should remain mindful of valuation and specific business risks.

Saab AB (SAAB.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Saab AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaab AB is a Swedish aerospace and defense company that operates primarily across the sectors of aeronautics, defense and security, and civil security. The company is renowned for its development and manufacturing of advanced military technology and systems, including fighter aircraft, missile systems, and radar systems. Saab also provides a range of civil security solutions, offering products and services that enhance public safety and security.
How the Company Makes MoneySaab AB generates revenue through the sale of advanced defense and security systems, including fighter jets, submarines, and radar systems, primarily to government and military clients worldwide. The company also earns income from service contracts for maintenance, support, and upgrades of its products. Additionally, Saab's civil security division provides technology and solutions for public safety, contributing to its revenue. Key partnerships with governments and defense contractors, as well as long-term contracts and projects, significantly support the company's earnings.

Saab AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 25, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record sales and a growing order backlog. Significant capacity expansion and sustainability achievements were highlighted. However, concerns about certain business areas and order backlog duration were noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Backlog
Order backlog increased by 19% year-over-year, reaching SEK 189 billion, with 74% from international customers.
Strong Sales Growth
The company reported its highest Q1 sales ever, growing by 11.3%, with Dynamics showing a 20% increase and Aeronautics rising by 12%.
EBIT Margin Improvement
EBIT margin improved from 8.4% in Q1 2024 to 9.2% this quarter, driven by strong project execution and currency effects.
Capacity Expansion and Employment
The company expanded capacity across multiple locations and hired an additional 800 employees.
Sustainability Milestones
Reduced greenhouse gas emissions by 31% since 2020, with a target of 42% by 2030.
Negative Updates
Civil Business Impact on Surveillance
The civil side of the Surveillance business negatively impacted sales and profitability.
Aeronautics Under-Absorption
Production levels for the T7 in Indiana have not yet reached the desired levels, affecting profitability.
Challenges in Order Backlog Duration
Order backlog for Kockums is down 21%, raising concerns about sustaining sales in 2026.
Company Guidance
In Saab's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance focusing on several key metrics. Sales were reported at SEK 15.8 billion, marking their best first-quarter performance ever, with organic growth of 11.3%. The order backlog increased to SEK 189 billion, a 19% rise year-over-year, with international customers accounting for 74% of it. The EBIT margin improved to 9.2%, up from 8.4% the previous year, driven by strong execution across all business areas. Dynamics and Surveillance made a significant impact, together representing 72% of the total order backlog. Operational cash flow also saw a notable improvement, with Dynamics contributing significantly due to high customer payments. Saab reiterated its 2025 guidance, projecting organic sales growth of 12% to 16% and a higher EBIT growth rate, while maintaining a robust balance sheet with a net liquidity position, SEK 12.7 billion in liquid investments, and a strong equity-to-asset ratio of 37.8%.

Saab AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saab AB exhibits strong financial health characterized by consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and effective cash management. The balance sheet reflects prudent financial management with controlled leverage. Continuous improvement in free cash flow supports the company's financial flexibility and potential for future investments. While the financial outlook is positive, careful attention to debt levels and maintaining growth momentum is recommended.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Saab AB demonstrates strong growth in revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 21.87%, and the net profit margin is 7.14%, indicating solid profitability. Revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 2.52%, with a remarkable increase from 2023 to 2024 at 23.53%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 9.03% and 11.54%, respectively, underscoring effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, showing a conservative leverage approach. Return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 12.22%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio stands at 37.55%, reflecting a healthy proportion of equity financing. However, the incremental increase in total debt over time warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Saab AB displays strong cash flow generation with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.96 in TTM, highlighting excellent cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, indicating healthy cash retention after capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM is an impressive 106.06%, demonstrating substantial improvement in cash efficiency.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
65.36B63.75B51.61B42.01B39.15B35.43B
Gross Profit
14.30B13.66B11.26B8.89B8.21B5.68B
EBIT
5.90B5.66B4.42B3.27B2.89B256.00M
EBITDA
7.54B8.49B7.36B4.84B4.35B2.75B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.67B4.17B3.38B2.19B1.93B1.07B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.21B11.74B13.47B12.86B11.84B10.38B
Total Assets
101.68B99.82B82.76B72.36B65.04B60.57B
Total Debt
10.17B10.38B10.04B9.99B9.72B10.00B
Net Debt
6.83B7.54B7.91B7.12B8.02B7.72B
Total Liabilities
63.21B64.01B50.40B42.49B41.79B38.92B
Stockholders Equity
38.19B35.50B32.03B29.49B22.98B21.47B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.90B1.89B2.92B2.34B3.19B2.91B
Operating Cash Flow
9.14B6.73B6.46B4.65B5.71B5.80B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.40B-4.18B-5.92B-2.44B-4.70B-4.00B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.68B-1.93B-1.23B-1.18B-1.64B-1.13B

Saab AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price487.25
Price Trends
50DMA
434.69
Positive
100DMA
360.22
Positive
200DMA
295.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
16.67
Negative
RSI
64.20
Neutral
STOCH
79.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SAAB.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 487.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 462.75, above the 50-day MA of 434.69, and above the 200-day MA of 295.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 16.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:SAAB.B.

Saab AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
kr168.27B21.8618.80%2.10%6.40%18.28%
80
Outperform
kr246.87B28.84
1.78%7.22%-2.59%
78
Outperform
kr266.16B56.9913.06%0.37%20.34%35.97%
78
Outperform
kr721.17B22.6227.15%2.15%0.54%1.79%
77
Outperform
kr261.16B17.7315.81%2.79%-1.09%15.72%
77
Outperform
kr257.16B23.079.32%1.61%-1.12%14.34%
66
Neutral
$4.48B12.245.32%248.54%4.09%-12.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:SAAB.B
Saab AB
511.40
263.98
106.69%
SE:ALFA
Alfa Laval AB
413.50
-56.23
-11.97%
SE:HEXA.B
Hexagon AB
97.40
-17.79
-15.45%
SE:SAND
Sandvik AB
213.00
-4.83
-2.22%
SE:EPI.A
Epiroc AB
217.30
3.84
1.80%
SE:ATCO.B
Atlas Copco AB
138.35
-32.11
-18.84%

Saab AB Corporate Events

Royal Thai Air Force Selects Saab’s Gripen E/F Fighter
Jun 4, 2025

The Royal Thai Air Force has selected Saab’s Gripen E/F as its new multi-role fighter, marking a significant step in their procurement process with Saab and the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration. Although no contract has been signed yet, the selection includes a long-term offset package aimed at enhancing Thailand’s national security and strategic independence, potentially creating jobs and investments across various sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Saab’s Strategic Focus on Growth and Innovation at Capital Markets Day 2025
May 27, 2025

At its Capital Markets Day 2025, Saab announced strategic priorities aimed at future growth, including capacity expansion, digital transformation, and accelerated development of future capabilities. The company plans to scale up operations, focus on market expansion, and enhance its technological leadership through partnerships and mergers. Saab’s commitment to innovation and empowering its workforce positions it well for capturing market opportunities and achieving sustainable value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:SAAB.B) stock is a Sell with a SEK375.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saab AB stock, see the SE:SAAB.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.