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QVAL - ETF AI Analysis

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QVAL

Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF (QVAL)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
QVAL’s rating suggests it is a solid but not flawless value-focused ETF, supported by strong holdings like Newmont Mining, TechnipFMC, Mueller Industries, and Taylor Morrison, which all benefit from robust financial performance, reasonable valuations, and generally supportive technical trends. However, weaker names such as CNH Industrial and Cinemark, which face revenue pressures, high leverage, and bearish technical signals, likely weigh on the overall rating. The main risk factor is that several holdings show signs of overbought technical conditions or operational challenges, which could increase volatility for the fund.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains over the past three months and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Strong Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions have delivered strong year-to-date results, helping support the fund’s overall performance.
Reasonable Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is moderate for an actively managed, quantitative strategy, so fees are not excessively high relative to its approach.
Negative Factors
Single-Country Concentration
Almost all assets are invested in U.S. companies, which means the fund offers little geographic diversification.
Sector Tilts
Heavy exposure to areas like consumer cyclical, health care, and energy can make returns more sensitive to downturns in those specific sectors.
Limited Mega-Cap Exposure
The fund’s focus on more specialized value holdings means it may lag broader U.S. market indexes during periods when large, well-known growth stocks are leading.

QVAL vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

QVAL Summary

QVAL is the Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF. It doesn’t track a traditional index, but instead follows a value-investing theme across the whole U.S. stock market, using a rules-based process to pick companies that look cheap compared with their business strength. It holds a mix of sectors like consumer, health care, energy, and industrials, with names such as Altria Group and Newmont Mining in the portfolio. Someone might invest in QVAL to seek long-term growth from undervalued U.S. stocks and to diversify across many industries. A key risk is that value stocks can stay out of favor for long periods, so the share price can be quite volatile.
How much will it cost me?The Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF (QVAL) has an expense ratio of 0.29%, which means you’ll pay $2.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed, using a sophisticated quantitative approach to select undervalued stocks. Active management typically involves more research and decision-making, which can lead to higher costs.
What would affect this ETF?The Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF (QVAL) could benefit from a strong U.S. economy and increased investor interest in undervalued stocks, particularly in sectors like Health Care and Consumer Cyclical, which make up a significant portion of its holdings. However, it may face challenges if economic conditions worsen, impacting consumer spending or if regulatory changes negatively affect industries like Health Care or Materials. Additionally, rising interest rates could pressure growth prospects for some companies in its portfolio.

QVAL Top 10 Holdings

QVAL is leaning hard into classic U.S. value names, with a noticeable tilt toward cyclical and commodity-linked plays. Freeport-McMoRan, Newmont, and CF Industries have been doing the heavy lifting lately, riding rising metals and materials sentiment. Industrials like Allison Transmission and Mueller Industries are also pulling their weight with steady-to-strong momentum. On the softer side, Altria looks a bit tired, and Cinemark’s mixed signals and choppy trading can occasionally trip up returns. Overall, the fund is U.S.-only and relatively diversified across old-economy sectors rather than Big Tech high-flyers.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Verizon2.35%$11.61M$206.48B19.32%
81
Outperform
AT&T2.24%$11.08M$199.31B11.08%
71
Outperform
PPG Industries2.17%$10.75M$29.40B11.12%
67
Neutral
United Parcel2.17%$10.73M$101.81B3.77%
72
Outperform
Carnival2.17%$10.71M$45.63B27.96%
78
Outperform
Coterra Energy2.16%$10.69M$24.01B14.72%
73
Outperform
Comcast2.15%$10.62M$116.86B-8.20%
74
Outperform
Devon Energy2.14%$10.56M$27.68B31.38%
79
Outperform
Merck & Company2.13%$10.53M$296.13B41.33%
80
Outperform
PulteGroup2.12%$10.46M$26.80B30.57%
70
Outperform

QVAL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
50.40
Positive
100DMA
48.37
Positive
200DMA
46.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.97
Negative
RSI
71.03
Negative
STOCH
91.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QVAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.05, equal to the 50-day MA of 50.40, and equal to the 200-day MA of 46.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QVAL.

QVAL Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$492.82M0.28%
$800.02M0.13%
$568.74M0.40%
$397.77M0.38%
$313.81M0.60%
$211.84M0.50%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QVAL
Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF
53.90
9.19
20.55%
VFVA
Vanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF
LSVD
LSV Disciplined Value ETF
AIVL
WisdomTree U.S. AI Enhanced Value Fund
BUSA
Brandes U.S. Value ETF
GVLU
Gotham 1000 Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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