Cf Industries Holdings (CF) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $13.69B
• Dividend Yield: 2.45%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.22M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.19
• Revenue Growth: 12.59%
• EPS Growth: 31.40%
• Country: US
• Employees: 2,800
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): 2.28
• Shares Outstanding: 161,972,960
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,138,662
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,215,699
• PEG Ratio: -0.87
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.09
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.59
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.78
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.00
• 1Y Price Target: $91.80
• Price Target Upside: 12.71% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12
• EPS Forecast (FY): 8.64
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $6.91B

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $89.00 ▲(9.27% Upside)

CF Industries Holdings' overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and solid financials, tempered by weak technical indicators and valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and market demand provide a positive outlook, but operational efficiency and cash flow growth need attention.

Positive Factors

Environmental Achievements

Significant reduction in emissions enhances sustainability credentials, aligns with global environmental trends, and may improve regulatory compliance and brand reputation.

Strategic Growth Initiatives

This project positions CF Industries as a leader in low-emission fertilizer production, potentially capturing market share and meeting future regulatory standards.

Strong Market Demand

Sustained demand for nitrogen fertilizers supports revenue growth and pricing power, benefiting CF Industries' long-term financial performance.

Negative Factors

Operational Challenges

Operational disruptions can impact production efficiency and increase costs, potentially affecting short-term financial performance and operational reliability.

Cost Challenges

Rising costs may pressure margins and require strategic adjustments, impacting profitability and investment capacity in the medium term.

Free Cash Flow Decline

Decreasing free cash flow growth could limit financial flexibility and investment in growth initiatives, affecting long-term strategic positioning.

Cf Industries Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products; and compound fertilizer products with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. It primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.

How the Company Makes Money

CF Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its fertilizer products, which are sold to farmers, distributors, and agricultural cooperatives. The company's major revenue streams include the sale of nitrogen products, which account for the largest portion of its earnings, as well as phosphate fertilizers. CF Industries benefits from its extensive production capabilities, which include multiple manufacturing facilities strategically located to serve both domestic and international markets. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its distribution network and supply chain efficiency. Additionally, fluctuations in global agricultural commodity prices, government policies related to agriculture and environmental regulations, and demand for crop nutrients significantly influence the company's financial performance.

Cf Industries Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CF Industries Holdings demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and a stable balance sheet. The company shows positive revenue growth and robust profit margins, though operational efficiency and cash flow generation face challenges.

Income Statement

CF Industries Holdings shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 35-38% and a net profit margin of approximately 20-23% in recent years. The TTM revenue growth rate of 5.19% indicates a positive trend after a decline in previous years. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased from their peak in 2022, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio improving to 0.43 in TTM from higher levels in previous years. Return on equity remains robust at around 22.86% in TTM, though it has decreased from 2022. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.01, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining cash flow levels.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.74B	5.94B	6.63B	11.19B	6.54B	4.12B
Gross Profit	2.68B	2.06B	2.65B	5.89B	2.36B	834.00M
EBITDA	2.31B	2.81B	3.27B	6.28B	2.61B	1.53B
Net Income	1.38B	1.22B	1.52B	3.35B	917.00M	317.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	14.20B	13.47B	14.38B	13.31B	12.38B	12.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.84B	1.61B	2.03B	2.32B	1.63B	683.00M
Total Debt	3.40B	3.25B	3.23B	3.23B	3.72B	4.22B
Total Liabilities	6.51B	5.87B	6.00B	5.46B	6.34B	6.42B
Stockholders Equity	7.70B	4.99B	5.72B	5.05B	3.21B	2.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.71B	1.75B	2.26B	3.39B	2.35B	922.00M
Operating Cash Flow	2.63B	2.27B	2.76B	3.85B	2.87B	1.23B
Investing Cash Flow	-903.00M	-469.00M	-1.68B	-440.00M	-466.00M	-299.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.76B	-2.21B	-1.37B	-2.70B	-1.46B	-542.00M

Cf Industries Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 81.45
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 81.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.95, below the 50-day MA of 86.43, and below the 200-day MA of 85.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CF.

Cf Industries Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
UAN	72 Outperform	$1.04B	8.15	42.00%	9.91%	16.52%	141.96%
CF	68 Neutral	$13.69B	11.05	27.46%	2.45%	12.59%	31.40%
MOS	65 Neutral	$8.32B	6.80	10.00%	3.49%	3.82%	239.39%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
ICL	55 Neutral	$8.51B	23.17	6.24%	2.68%	-1.22%	-14.31%
SMG	50 Neutral	$3.23B	22.65	―	4.71%	-3.93%	―
FMC	48 Neutral	$1.68B	―	-11.52%	17.89%	-13.42%	-136.59%

Cf Industries Holdings Corporate Events

CF Industries Reports Strong Earnings and Strategic Growth

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, primarily operating in the chemical industry with a focus on sustainable practices and low-carbon solutions.

CF Industries Holdings Secures $750 Million Credit Agreement

On September 4, 2025, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiary CF Industries, Inc. entered into a $750 million senior unsecured First Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement with Citibank as the administrative agent. This agreement, which extends the company’s revolving credit facility to September 4, 2030, aims to support various corporate purposes, including working capital and acquisitions, and reflects the company’s strategic financial planning to maintain operational flexibility and leverage management.

The most recent analyst rating on (CF) stock is a Buy with a $94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cf Industries Holdings stock, see the CF Stock Forecast page.

CF Industries Announces CEO Transition Plan

On September 5, 2025, CF Industries Holdings announced that W. Anthony Will will retire as president and CEO on January 4, 2026, with Christopher D. Bohn elected as his successor. Mr. Will, who has led the company since 2014, will continue as a senior advisor until March 15, 2026, and will not seek re-election to the board in 2026. Mr. Bohn, currently the executive vice president and COO, has been with CF Industries for 16 years and has played a key role in strategic initiatives such as the Blue Point joint venture and the acquisition of the Waggaman ammonia facility. His appointment reflects the board’s confidence in his leadership and strategic vision to continue the company’s growth and focus on clean energy solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CF) stock is a Buy with a $94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cf Industries Holdings stock, see the CF Stock Forecast page.

CF Industries Reports Strong Earnings Amid Market Challenges

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. recently held an earnings call that showcased a strong financial and operational performance, highlighting significant progress in strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions. Despite these positive outcomes, the call also addressed concerns regarding operational disruptions, farmer economics, and geopolitical challenges impacting the supply chain.

CF Industries Reports Strong Earnings Amid Strategic Advances

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., a prominent player in the hydrogen and nitrogen products sector, continues to make strides in the global market with its extensive manufacturing and distribution network. The company, headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois, is recognized for its commitment to sustainable energy solutions and its significant role in the nitrogen industry.