Icl (ICL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $6.91B
• Dividend Yield: 3.36%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.18M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.94
• Revenue Growth: 1.77%
• EPS Growth: -8.72%
• Country: US
• Employees: 12,349
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): 0.10
• Shares Outstanding: 1,290,672,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,312,776
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,184,797
• PEG Ratio: -0.43
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.11
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.93
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.80
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.35
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.14
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.00
• 1Y Price Target: $6.30
• Price Target Upside: 17.76% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.00 ▲(12.15% Upside)

ICL's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with resumed revenue growth but pressure on profitability. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided positive guidance but also highlighted significant challenges. These factors combined result in a moderate overall score.

Positive Factors

Strategic Focus on Growth Engines

ICL's strategic focus on expanding its specialty segments positions the company for sustainable growth by leveraging high-margin, innovative products.

Dead Sea Concession Agreement

The agreement provides long-term regulatory clarity and business certainty, enabling ICL to plan strategically for future operations and investments.

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.

Negative Factors

Declining Profit Margins

Decreasing profit margins can impact the company's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive pricing, affecting long-term profitability.

Industrial Products Sales Decline

Declining sales in the Industrial Products segment reflect challenges in key markets, potentially limiting growth and diversification efforts.

Discontinued LFP Battery Materials Project

The discontinuation of the LFP project indicates strategic setbacks and potential missed opportunities in the growing EV market.

Icl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. It operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Innovative Ag Solutions (IAS). The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out of a solution that is a by-product of the potash production process, as well as bromine-based compounds; produces various grades of potash, salt, magnesium chloride, and magnesia products; and produces and markets phosphorous-based flame retardants and other phosphorus-based products. The Potash segment extracts potash from the Dead Sea; mines and produces potash and salt; produces Polysulphate; produces, markets, and sells magnesium and magnesium alloys, as well as related by-products, including chlorine and sylvinite; and sells salt. The Phosphate Solutions segment uses phosphate commodity products to produce specialty products; produces and markets phosphate-based fertilizers, as well as sulphuric acid, green phosphoric acid, and phosphate fertilizers; and manufactures thermal phosphoric acid for various industrial end markets, such as oral care, cleaning products, paints and coatings, water treatment, asphalt modification, construction, and metal treatment. It also develops and produces functional food ingredients and phosphate additives for use in the processed meat, poultry, seafood, dairy, beverage, and baked goods markets; and produces milk and whey proteins for the food ingredients industry. The IAS segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fertilizers based primarily on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate, including water soluble specialty, liquid, soluble, and controlled-release fertilizers. It sells its products through marketing companies, agents, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Israel Chemicals Ltd. and changed its name to ICL Group Ltd in May 2020. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

How the Company Makes Money

ICL generates revenue through multiple key streams primarily centered around its fertilizer and specialty products. The company's largest revenue source comes from the sale of potash and phosphate fertilizers, which are essential for crop production. Additionally, ICL has a significant presence in specialty fertilizers and solutions that cater to specific agricultural needs, allowing for premium pricing. The company also derives income from its industrial products, including bromine and magnesium, which are utilized in diverse sectors such as automotive and electronics. Strategic partnerships with agricultural enterprises and distribution networks enhance market reach and stability, contributing positively to ICL's earnings. Furthermore, ICL's focus on innovation and sustainable practices fosters long-term customer relationships and helps in expanding its market share.

Icl Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ICL's financial performance shows a mixed picture. Revenue growth has resumed, but profitability metrics have seen some pressure. The balance sheet remains strong with moderate leverage and a solid equity base. However, the decline in free cash flow is a concern that needs to be addressed to ensure long-term financial health.

Income Statement

ICL has shown a modest revenue growth rate of 1.44% in the TTM period, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is stable at 32.29%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 5.28%, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 11.39% and 19.99%, respectively, suggesting operational efficiency despite the challenges.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 indicates a moderate level of leverage, which is manageable. Return on equity is at 6.26%, showing a decline from previous years, but the equity ratio remains strong at 50.04%, indicating a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

ICL's free cash flow has decreased by 27.63% in the TTM period, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, suggesting that cash generation from operations is adequate but has room for improvement. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, indicating that a significant portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.05B	6.84B	7.54B	10.02B	6.96B	5.04B
Gross Profit	2.25B	2.26B	2.67B	5.03B	2.61B	1.49B
EBITDA	1.33B	1.38B	1.67B	4.04B	1.72B	634.00M
Net Income	369.00M	407.00M	647.00M	2.16B	783.00M	11.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.26B	11.32B	11.63B	11.75B	11.08B	9.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	476.00M	442.00M	592.00M	508.00M	564.00M	314.00M
Total Debt	2.68B	2.29B	2.69B	2.82B	3.01B	2.73B
Total Liabilities	5.88B	5.33B	5.59B	6.04B	6.34B	5.58B
Stockholders Equity	6.13B	5.72B	5.77B	5.46B	4.53B	3.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	316.89M	650.00M	815.00M	1.38B	454.00M	178.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.16B	1.36B	1.59B	2.13B	1.06B	804.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-856.63M	-711.00M	-863.00M	-747.00M	-579.00M	-583.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-336.02M	-724.00M	-712.00M	-1.42B	-244.00M	-105.00M

Icl Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 5.35
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.48, above the 50-day MA of 5.35, and below the 200-day MA of 6.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICL.

Icl Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CF	70 Outperform	$14.54B	11.24	27.46%	2.56%	12.59%	31.40%
UAN	68 Neutral	$1.09B	8.60	42.00%	12.33%	16.52%	141.96%
MOS	65 Neutral	$8.73B	7.13	10.00%	3.70%	3.82%	239.39%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
ICL	60 Neutral	$6.91B	18.71	6.15%	3.36%	1.77%	-8.72%
IPI	58 Neutral	$440.94M	-2.17	-33.37%	―	8.88%	-349.99%
FMC	47 Neutral	$1.97B	-3.71	-11.52%	16.68%	-13.42%	-136.59%

Icl Corporate Events

ICL Signs 2026 Potash Supply Contracts With Chinese Customers

On December 23, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. reported that, under its 2025–2027 framework arrangements with Chinese customers, it has signed contracts to deliver 750,000 metric tons of potash to China during 2026, with a mutual option for an additional 330,000 metric tons, priced in line with recent Chinese contract settlements at $348 per ton CIFFO. The new agreements reinforce ICL’s long-term sales visibility in one of its core fertilizer markets and underscore the company’s ongoing role as a key supplier to China’s agricultural sector within its existing multi‑year commercial framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Files December 2025 Investor Presentation Highlighting Growth in Crop Nutrition and Functional Ingredients

On a Form 6-K for December 2025, ICL Group Ltd. furnished an investor presentation to provide all shareholders equal access to materials it plans to use in upcoming investor meetings. The presentation, accompanied by extensive legal and forward-looking disclaimers, underscores ICL’s strategic emphasis on profitable growth engines in specialty crop nutrition and functional food ingredients, highlighting market estimates that point to mid‑single‑digit compound annual growth and more than 40% growth potential in specialty crop nutrition. It also details the company’s strong geographic presence, particularly in North America, Latin America (mainly Brazil), Europe and Asia-Pacific, reinforcing ICL’s view that it is well positioned to capture a significant share of a $35 billion addressable market in functional ingredients, an area seen as important for its long‑term growth and competitive positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Announces Dead Sea Concession Draft Bill for Public Comments

On December 3, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. announced the publication of a draft bill of law for public comments concerning the future concession of the Dead Sea. This draft bill outlines proposed terms for the future concession, including regulatory provisions, revenue structures, and environmental regulations. The draft bill is part of the legislative process and aims to ensure maximum benefit for the State of Israel and the public. The company is currently reviewing the draft and will provide comments within the specified timeframe. The final implications of the draft bill on ICL Group’s operations remain uncertain as it is still in the initial stages of the legislative process.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $5.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Faces $70-90 Million Water Fee Ruling Impact

On December 3, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. announced that the Israeli Supreme Court ruled in favor of petitions requiring the company to pay water fees for water extraction in the Dead Sea Concession area, effective retroactively from January 1, 2018. This decision overturns a previous exemption based on the Israeli Ministry of Justice’s legal opinion. As a result, ICL estimates it will incur costs between $70-90 million for the period up to September 2025, with additional annual costs of $10-12 million expected until the concession’s expiration in 2030. The ruling could significantly impact ICL’s financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 and alter its cost structure moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $5.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Announces $62 Million Dividend Distribution

ICL Group Ltd. announced a dividend distribution of approximately $62 million, with a dividend per share of $0.04800 for US dollar payments and ILS 0.1566720 for payments in Shekels. The record date for shareholders is December 2, 2025, with the payment scheduled for December 17, 2025. The announcement outlines the withholding tax rates applicable to Israeli and foreign residents, which vary depending on the shareholder’s residency and applicable international tax treaties. This distribution reflects ICL’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $5.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Shift

ICL Group Ltd. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a year-over-year increase in sales to $1.9 billion and a slight rise in operating income to $230 million. The company is focusing on profitable growth through its specialty businesses and optimizing its portfolio for cost efficiency. ICL announced a strategic shift away from downstream battery materials projects due to market changes and will instead focus on core businesses and new growth engines in specialty crop and food solutions. Additionally, ICL signed a memorandum of understanding with the State of Israel regarding the Dead Sea Concession, which is expected to provide long-term regulatory clarity and business certainty.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Announces $62 Million Dividend for December 2025

On November 11, 2025, ICL Group Ltd.’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.048 per share, totaling approximately $62 million. The dividend, subject to currency conversion adjustments for some shareholders, will be paid on December 17, 2025, to those registered by December 2, 2025. The announcement outlines various withholding tax rates applicable to different shareholder categories, reflecting the company’s commitment to shareholder returns and its strategic financial management.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance Amid Market Challenges

On November 12, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a 6% year-over-year increase in total sales, reaching $1.9 billion. The company’s adjusted EBITDA rose by 4% to $398 million, driven by a 3% increase in specialties-driven sales. ICL maintained its leadership in the global bromine market, with improved EBITDA due to higher prices, and experienced mixed performance in flame retardants and strong results in specialty minerals. The report indicates stable trends consistent with the first half of 2025, despite mixed end-market conditions, particularly in construction.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Discontinues LFP Cathode Activities Amid Funding Cuts

On November 11, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. announced its decision to discontinue its lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode active material activities in the United States and terminate a joint venture in Spain. This decision followed the U.S. Department of Energy’s withdrawal of funding for the St. Louis facility and the absence of European Union funding for the Spanish project, amidst lower-than-expected demand in the electric vehicle market and regulatory changes. As a result, ICL will record a $40 million asset write-off in its fourth-quarter financial statements but will continue to focus on supplying raw materials to the battery materials market.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.

ICL Group Secures Agreement with Israeli Government on Dead Sea Concession Assets

On November 5, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. signed a Memorandum of Understandings (MOU) with the Government of Israel regarding the valuation and future transfer of assets related to the Dead Sea Concession. This agreement aims to provide certainty about asset valuation and payment timing, allowing ICL to plan for the concession’s expiration in 2030. The MOU outlines that the government will pay ICL $2.54 billion for the assets, with additional compensation for investments in salt harvesting solutions. The agreement also sets the stage for ICL’s potential involvement in future concession operations, pending economic viability and government approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICL) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icl stock, see the ICL Stock Forecast page.