Icl (ICL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.92B
• Dividend Yield: 2.97%
• Average Volume (3M): 597.98K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 21.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.86
• Revenue Growth: -1.22%
• EPS Growth: -14.31%
• Country: US
• Employees: 12,349
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): 0.09
• Shares Outstanding: 1,290,672,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 548,835
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 597,978
• PEG Ratio: -0.43
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.11
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.93
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.44
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.43
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.63
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.06
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.87
• 1Y Price Target: $6.60
• Price Target Upside: 9.82% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.50 ▲(8.15% Upside)

ICL's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call highlighted some growth in specialties-driven sales, geopolitical tensions and declining EBITDA present challenges. The valuation suggests potential overvaluation, further impacting the score.

Positive Factors

Specialties-driven Sales Growth

The growth in specialties-driven sales indicates strong demand for ICL's specialized products, which can lead to sustained revenue growth and market differentiation.

Potash Supply Agreements

Securing potash supply deals with major markets like China and India strengthens ICL's market position and ensures stable revenue streams from these strategic regions.

Improved Operating Cash Flow

The increase in operating cash flow enhances ICL's ability to fund operations and invest in growth opportunities, supporting long-term financial health.

Negative Factors

Declining EBITDA

A decline in EBITDA suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact ICL's ability to invest in future growth and innovation.

Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical tensions can disrupt operations and supply chains, posing risks to ICL's production capabilities and financial performance.

Free Cash Flow Challenges

Challenges in free cash flow generation may limit ICL's financial flexibility and ability to invest in strategic initiatives, affecting long-term growth.

Icl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. It operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Innovative Ag Solutions (IAS). The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out of a solution that is a by-product of the potash production process, as well as bromine-based compounds; produces various grades of potash, salt, magnesium chloride, and magnesia products; and produces and markets phosphorous-based flame retardants and other phosphorus-based products. The Potash segment extracts potash from the Dead Sea; mines and produces potash and salt; produces Polysulphate; produces, markets, and sells magnesium and magnesium alloys, as well as related by-products, including chlorine and sylvinite; and sells salt. The Phosphate Solutions segment uses phosphate commodity products to produce specialty products; produces and markets phosphate-based fertilizers, as well as sulphuric acid, green phosphoric acid, and phosphate fertilizers; and manufactures thermal phosphoric acid for various industrial end markets, such as oral care, cleaning products, paints and coatings, water treatment, asphalt modification, construction, and metal treatment. It also develops and produces functional food ingredients and phosphate additives for use in the processed meat, poultry, seafood, dairy, beverage, and baked goods markets; and produces milk and whey proteins for the food ingredients industry. The IAS segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fertilizers based primarily on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate, including water soluble specialty, liquid, soluble, and controlled-release fertilizers. It sells its products through marketing companies, agents, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Israel Chemicals Ltd. and changed its name to ICL Group Ltd in May 2020. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

How the Company Makes Money

ICL generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from the sale of fertilizers, particularly potash and phosphate, which are crucial for global agriculture. The company also produces bromine and its derivatives, which are utilized in various industries, including flame retardants and water treatment. Additionally, ICL offers specialty products for health and nutrition, such as food additives and nutraceuticals. Strategic partnerships with agricultural and industrial companies enhance its distribution and market reach. The company's focus on innovation and sustainable practices also helps it to capture emerging market opportunities, further contributing to its earnings.

Icl Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ICL demonstrates a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth has resumed, profitability margins are under pressure. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, but declining return on equity is a concern. Cash flow challenges, particularly in free cash flow, highlight potential liquidity risks.

Income Statement

ICL's income statement shows moderate performance with a gross profit margin of 32.87% and a net profit margin of 5.66% in the TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 1.16% TTM, indicating a slight recovery from previous declines. However, margins have decreased compared to earlier years, suggesting pressure on profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is 6.71% TTM, showing a decline from previous years. The equity ratio stands at 48.60%, suggesting a solid equity base.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -19.07% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the decline in free cash flow is a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.95B	6.84B	7.54B	10.02B	6.96B	5.04B
Gross Profit	2.25B	2.26B	2.67B	5.03B	2.61B	1.49B
EBITDA	1.44B	1.37B	1.67B	4.04B	1.66B	821.00M
Net Income	367.00M	407.00M	647.00M	2.16B	783.00M	24.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.38B	11.32B	11.63B	11.75B	11.08B	9.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	701.00M	442.00M	592.00M	508.00M	564.00M	314.00M
Total Debt	2.92B	2.29B	2.69B	2.82B	3.01B	2.78B
Total Liabilities	6.11B	5.33B	5.59B	6.04B	6.34B	5.58B
Stockholders Equity	6.01B	5.72B	5.77B	5.46B	4.53B	3.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	437.96M	755.00M	815.00M	1.28B	454.00M	178.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.26B	1.47B	1.59B	2.02B	1.06B	804.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-883.98M	-694.00M	-863.00M	-754.00M	-579.00M	-583.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-87.74M	-846.00M	-712.00M	-1.30B	-244.00M	-105.00M

Icl Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 6.01
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.18, below the 50-day MA of 6.28, and below the 200-day MA of 6.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ICL.

Icl Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CF	72 Outperform	14.84B	11.98	26.23%	2.23%	9.53%	36.15%
UAN	72 Outperform	970.19M	11.03	27.79%	10.02%	8.15%	77.68%
MOS	65 Neutral	11.40B	12.18	7.56%	2.50%	-7.71%	297.49%
ICL	63 Neutral	$7.92B	21.27	6.24%	2.97%	-1.22%	-14.31%
FMC	58 Neutral	4.28B	43.46	2.24%	7.00%	1.16%	-92.85%
IPI	57 Neutral	414.66M	-1.90	-41.55%	―	11.93%	-311.34%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%

Icl Corporate Events

ICL Group Ltd. Announces Results of 2025 Annual General Meeting

On September 4, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where all proposed resolutions were approved by the required majority. Key outcomes included the re-election of several directors and the reappointment of Somekh Chaikin, a member firm of KPMG International, as the company’s independent auditor. These decisions are expected to reinforce ICL’s governance structure and ensure continuity in its financial oversight, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence positively.

ICL Group Announces $55 Million Dividend Distribution

ICL Group Ltd. announced a dividend distribution of approximately $55 million, with a dividend per share of $0.04260 in US dollars and ILS 0.1442436 in Shekels, based on the exchange rate published by the Bank of Israel. The record date for the dividend is September 3, 2025, and the payment date is September 17, 2025. The announcement outlines the withholding tax rates applicable to Israeli and foreign residents, indicating a 25% rate for individuals and companies, with potential adjustments based on international tax treaties.

ICL Group Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results with Increased Sales

ICL Group Ltd. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing a year-over-year increase in sales to $1.8 billion, although operating income and net income saw declines compared to the previous year. The company’s specialties-driven businesses, including Industrial Products, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions, contributed to sales growth, while the Potash segment experienced a drop in sales due to lower quantities and contract pricing with India and China. Despite these challenges, ICL expects improvement in Potash sales in the third quarter due to increased contract and spot prices. The company reiterated its full-year 2025 guidance for specialties-driven EBITDA and noted the impact of geopolitical unrest on Potash production in Israel.

ICL Group Declares $55 Million Dividend for September 2025

On August 5, 2025, ICL Group Ltd.’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.04260 per share, totaling approximately $55 million. The dividend, subject to currency conversion for some shareholders, will be paid on September 17, 2025, with a record date of September 3, 2025. The announcement highlights the company’s financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders, with implications for tax withholding rates for Israeli and foreign residents.

ICL Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results Driven by Specialty Businesses

ICL Group Ltd. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on August 6, 2025, highlighting a rise in sales driven by its specialty businesses. The company achieved $1.8 billion in total sales and $351 million in adjusted EBITDA, with specialties-driven sales increasing by 8% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter. The report noted stable agricultural fundamentals and improved pricing trends, while demand in construction remained soft. The company also benefited from anti-dumping measures, particularly in bromine prices, and expects current trends to continue into the second half of 2025.

ICL Group Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Amid Strong 2024 Performance

ICL Group Ltd. announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, scheduled for September 4, 2025, where they will discuss re-election of directors, reappointment of auditors, and present audited financial statements for 2024. Despite challenges in Israel during 2024, ICL reported $6.8 billion in sales and $1.5 billion in adjusted EBITDA, with a strong focus on specialties-driven businesses. The company emphasized its commitment to innovation, strategic growth, and maintaining a high dividend yield, while continuing to prioritize employee safety and operational continuity.

ICL Group Unveils 2024 ESG Report Highlighting Sustainability Efforts

ICL Group Ltd. announced the release of its 2024 Annual Corporate Responsibility (ESG) Report on June 30, 2025. The report, which aligns with various international sustainability standards, provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s ESG initiatives and addresses climate-change risks and opportunities, enhancing ICL’s commitment to sustainable development.

ICL Group Secures Potash Supply Deals with China and India for 2025

ICL Group Ltd. announced on June 25, 2025, that it has signed agreements to supply potash to customers in China and India for the year 2025. In China, the agreement includes the supply of 750,000 metric tons of potash, with an option for an additional 340,000 metric tons, at a price of $346 per ton. In India, the agreement with Indian Potash Limited covers the supply of 400,000 metric tons, with an option for an additional 100,000 metric tons, priced at $349 per ton. These agreements are part of ICL’s multi-year supply frameworks, enhancing its market presence in these key regions.