tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
ICL Group (ICL)
NYSE:ICL

Icl (ICL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
465 Followers

Top Page

ICL

Icl

(NYSE:ICL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼(-7.83% Downside)
ICL's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with resumed revenue growth but pressure on profitability. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided positive guidance but also highlighted significant challenges. These factors combined result in a moderate overall score.

Icl (ICL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Icl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionICL Group Ltd. is a global leader in the production of fertilizers, specialty chemicals, and other industrial products. Headquartered in Israel, ICL operates in various sectors, including agriculture, food, and industrial applications. The company focuses on delivering high-quality potash, phosphorus, and other essential nutrients to enhance agricultural productivity, alongside a range of specialty solutions for various industries, such as water treatment, oil and gas, and pharmaceuticals.
How the Company Makes MoneyICL generates revenue through multiple key streams primarily centered around its fertilizer and specialty products. The company's largest revenue source comes from the sale of potash and phosphate fertilizers, which are essential for crop production. Additionally, ICL has a significant presence in specialty fertilizers and solutions that cater to specific agricultural needs, allowing for premium pricing. The company also derives income from its industrial products, including bromine and magnesium, which are utilized in diverse sectors such as automotive and electronics. Strategic partnerships with agricultural enterprises and distribution networks enhance market reach and stability, contributing positively to ICL's earnings. Furthermore, ICL's focus on innovation and sustainable practices fosters long-term customer relationships and helps in expanding its market share.

Icl Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted ICL's revenue growth and strategic focus on expanding its Specialty Crop Nutrition and Specialty Food Solutions segments as key growth areas. However, challenges such as declining sales in the Industrial Products segment, market difficulties in Brazil, and the impact of higher raw material costs were notable concerns. The discontinuation of the LFP battery materials project also marked a strategic shift.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Increase
Sales were $1.853 billion, up 6% year-over-year. Specialties-driven businesses' sales increased by 3%.
Potash Division Performance
Potash division sales were $453 million with EBITDA of $169 million. The average potash price improved by 6% sequentially and nearly 20% year-over-year.
Phosphate Solutions Growth
Strong quarter sales of $605 million, up 5% on an annual basis. Specialty Food Phosphates delivered its strongest quarter in 2 years.
Strategic Focus on Growth Engines
ICL plans to focus on Specialty Crop Nutrition and Specialty Food Solutions as future growth engines, with targeted organic and M&A growth strategies.
Negative Updates
Industrial Products Sales Decline
Sales of $295 million were down slightly year-over-year due to softness in the construction end market.
Brazil Market Challenges
Sales and profit decreased in Brazil due to low soy prices, reduced farmer affordability, rising raw material costs, and increased interest rates for farmers.
Impact of Higher Raw Material Costs
Overall profitability was impacted by higher raw material costs, especially for sulfur.
LFP Battery Materials Project Discontinued
ICL decided not to move further downstream into cathode active materials for LFP batteries, canceling projects in St. Louis, U.S. and Spain due to high investment costs and market conditions.
Company Guidance
During ICL's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 6% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching $1.853 billion. Specialty-driven businesses contributed $1.461 billion, marking a 3% rise. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA improved by 4% to $398 million, with an adjusted diluted EPS of $0.10. The potash division reported sales of $453 million and an EBITDA of $169 million, with potash prices averaging $353 per ton, up nearly 20% from the previous year. The Phosphate Solutions division saw sales increase to $605 million, with EBITDA at $134 million. Overall, operating cash flow rose by $40 million sequentially to $308 million. The company maintained its 2025 guidance, expecting specialty-driven business EBITDA between $0.95 billion and $1.15 billion and potash sales volumes between 4.3 million and 4.5 million metric tons.

Icl Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Icl Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.51
Price Trends
50DMA
5.72
Negative
100DMA
5.93
Negative
200DMA
6.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Negative
RSI
35.73
Neutral
STOCH
30.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.20, above the 50-day MA of 5.72, and above the 200-day MA of 6.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICL.

Icl Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$12.28B9.4927.46%2.54%12.59%31.40%
69
Neutral
$1.01B7.9342.00%12.48%16.52%141.96%
65
Neutral
$7.55B6.1710.00%3.70%3.82%239.39%
60
Neutral
$6.43B17.426.15%3.49%1.77%-8.72%
53
Neutral
$361.45M-1.78-33.37%8.88%-349.99%
47
Neutral
$1.66B-3.13-11.52%16.68%-13.42%-136.59%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICL
Icl
4.98
0.23
4.84%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
78.70
-4.15
-5.01%
UAN
CVR Partners
95.48
29.68
45.11%
FMC
FMC
13.32
-33.67
-71.65%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
26.92
4.60
20.61%
MOS
Mosaic Co
23.80
0.26
1.10%

Icl Corporate Events

ICL Group Announces Dead Sea Concession Draft Bill for Public Comments
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. announced the publication of a draft bill of law for public comments concerning the future concession of the Dead Sea. This draft bill outlines proposed terms for the future concession, including regulatory provisions, revenue structures, and environmental regulations. The draft bill is part of the legislative process and aims to ensure maximum benefit for the State of Israel and the public. The company is currently reviewing the draft and will provide comments within the specified timeframe. The final implications of the draft bill on ICL Group’s operations remain uncertain as it is still in the initial stages of the legislative process.

ICL Group Faces $70-90 Million Water Fee Ruling Impact
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. announced that the Israeli Supreme Court ruled in favor of petitions requiring the company to pay water fees for water extraction in the Dead Sea Concession area, effective retroactively from January 1, 2018. This decision overturns a previous exemption based on the Israeli Ministry of Justice’s legal opinion. As a result, ICL estimates it will incur costs between $70-90 million for the period up to September 2025, with additional annual costs of $10-12 million expected until the concession’s expiration in 2030. The ruling could significantly impact ICL’s financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 and alter its cost structure moving forward.

ICL Group Announces $62 Million Dividend Distribution
Dec 1, 2025

ICL Group Ltd. announced a dividend distribution of approximately $62 million, with a dividend per share of $0.04800 for US dollar payments and ILS 0.1566720 for payments in Shekels. The record date for shareholders is December 2, 2025, with the payment scheduled for December 17, 2025. The announcement outlines the withholding tax rates applicable to Israeli and foreign residents, which vary depending on the shareholder’s residency and applicable international tax treaties. This distribution reflects ICL’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

ICL Group Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Shift
Nov 12, 2025

ICL Group Ltd. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a year-over-year increase in sales to $1.9 billion and a slight rise in operating income to $230 million. The company is focusing on profitable growth through its specialty businesses and optimizing its portfolio for cost efficiency. ICL announced a strategic shift away from downstream battery materials projects due to market changes and will instead focus on core businesses and new growth engines in specialty crop and food solutions. Additionally, ICL signed a memorandum of understanding with the State of Israel regarding the Dead Sea Concession, which is expected to provide long-term regulatory clarity and business certainty.

ICL Group Announces $62 Million Dividend for December 2025
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, ICL Group Ltd.’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.048 per share, totaling approximately $62 million. The dividend, subject to currency conversion adjustments for some shareholders, will be paid on December 17, 2025, to those registered by December 2, 2025. The announcement outlines various withholding tax rates applicable to different shareholder categories, reflecting the company’s commitment to shareholder returns and its strategic financial management.

ICL Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance Amid Market Challenges
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a 6% year-over-year increase in total sales, reaching $1.9 billion. The company’s adjusted EBITDA rose by 4% to $398 million, driven by a 3% increase in specialties-driven sales. ICL maintained its leadership in the global bromine market, with improved EBITDA due to higher prices, and experienced mixed performance in flame retardants and strong results in specialty minerals. The report indicates stable trends consistent with the first half of 2025, despite mixed end-market conditions, particularly in construction.

ICL Group Discontinues LFP Cathode Activities Amid Funding Cuts
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. announced its decision to discontinue its lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode active material activities in the United States and terminate a joint venture in Spain. This decision followed the U.S. Department of Energy’s withdrawal of funding for the St. Louis facility and the absence of European Union funding for the Spanish project, amidst lower-than-expected demand in the electric vehicle market and regulatory changes. As a result, ICL will record a $40 million asset write-off in its fourth-quarter financial statements but will continue to focus on supplying raw materials to the battery materials market.

ICL Group Secures Agreement with Israeli Government on Dead Sea Concession Assets
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. signed a Memorandum of Understandings (MOU) with the Government of Israel regarding the valuation and future transfer of assets related to the Dead Sea Concession. This agreement aims to provide certainty about asset valuation and payment timing, allowing ICL to plan for the concession’s expiration in 2030. The MOU outlines that the government will pay ICL $2.54 billion for the assets, with additional compensation for investments in salt harvesting solutions. The agreement also sets the stage for ICL’s potential involvement in future concession operations, pending economic viability and government approval.

ICL Group Faces Funding Cut for U.S. LFP Project
Oct 9, 2025

ICL Group Ltd. announced that the U.S. Department of Energy has decided to discontinue funding for its lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode active material manufacturing plant project in St. Louis, United States. This decision, part of a broader review to align grants with the Congressional budget framework, may lead ICL to recognize an investment write-off of approximately $40 million if the company decides to discontinue the project, impacting its strategy and financial statements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025