Icl (ICL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $8.58B
• Dividend Yield: 3.16%
• Average Volume (3M): 604.53K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.83
• Revenue Growth: -1.22%
• EPS Growth: -14.31%
• Country: US
• Employees: 12,349
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): 0.09
• Shares Outstanding: 1,290,672,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 456,345
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 604,534
• PEG Ratio: -0.43
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.11
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.93
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.44
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.63
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.06
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.87
• 1Y Price Target: $6.50
• Price Target Upside: -0.15% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: $5.50 ▼(-15.51% Downside)

ICL's overall stock score is driven by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the company shows some revenue growth, profitability and cash flow challenges persist. The stock's technical analysis indicates a downtrend, and valuation metrics suggest it may be overvalued. The earnings call provided a balanced view, but geopolitical tensions and cost pressures remain concerns.

Positive Factors

Specialties-Driven Sales Growth

Growth in specialties-driven sales indicates strong demand and effective market positioning, enhancing revenue stability and diversification.

Improved Operating Cash Flow

Improved cash flow enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against market fluctuations.

Global Market Resilience

Resilience in global markets supports long-term growth, as stable demand and pricing trends mitigate risks from economic volatility.

Negative Factors

Geopolitical Challenges

Geopolitical tensions pose risks to operational stability and supply chain continuity, potentially impacting production and profitability.

Funding Cut for U.S. Project

Loss of funding for the U.S. project may lead to a strategic setback and financial write-off, affecting future growth prospects in the region.

Declining Free Cash Flow

Declining free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Icl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) is a global specialty minerals and chemicals company headquartered in Israel. It operates in three main sectors: agriculture, industrial products, and health. ICL is a leading producer of potash, bromine, and phosphate solutions, providing essential materials for fertilizers, food additives, and industrial applications. The company focuses on sustainable practices and innovation to meet the increasing demand for minerals and chemicals across diverse markets.

How the Company Makes Money

ICL generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from the sale of fertilizers, particularly potash and phosphate, which are crucial for global agriculture. The company also produces bromine and its derivatives, which are utilized in various industries, including flame retardants and water treatment. Additionally, ICL offers specialty products for health and nutrition, such as food additives and nutraceuticals. Strategic partnerships with agricultural and industrial companies enhance its distribution and market reach. The company's focus on innovation and sustainable practices also helps it to capture emerging market opportunities, further contributing to its earnings.

Icl Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ICL demonstrates a mixed financial performance. Revenue growth has resumed, but profitability margins are under pressure. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, though declining return on equity is a concern. Cash flow challenges, particularly in free cash flow, highlight potential liquidity risks.

Income Statement

ICL's income statement shows moderate performance with a gross profit margin of 32.87% and a net profit margin of 5.66% in the TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 1.16% TTM, indicating a slight recovery from previous declines. However, margins have decreased compared to earlier years, suggesting pressure on profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is 6.71% TTM, showing a decline from previous years. The equity ratio stands at 48.60%, suggesting a solid equity base.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -19.07% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the decline in free cash flow is a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.95B	6.84B	7.54B	10.02B	6.96B	5.04B
Gross Profit	2.25B	2.26B	2.67B	5.03B	2.61B	1.49B
EBITDA	1.44B	1.37B	1.67B	4.04B	1.66B	821.00M
Net Income	367.00M	407.00M	647.00M	2.16B	783.00M	24.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.38B	11.32B	11.63B	11.75B	11.08B	9.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	701.00M	442.00M	592.00M	508.00M	564.00M	314.00M
Total Debt	2.92B	2.29B	2.69B	2.82B	3.01B	2.78B
Total Liabilities	6.11B	5.33B	5.59B	6.04B	6.34B	5.58B
Stockholders Equity	6.01B	5.72B	5.77B	5.46B	4.53B	3.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	437.96M	755.00M	815.00M	1.28B	454.00M	178.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.26B	1.47B	1.59B	2.02B	1.06B	804.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-883.98M	-694.00M	-863.00M	-754.00M	-579.00M	-583.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-87.74M	-846.00M	-712.00M	-1.30B	-244.00M	-105.00M

Icl Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 6.51
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.40, above the 50-day MA of 6.29, and above the 200-day MA of 6.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICL.

Icl Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
UAN	72 Outperform	$1.05B	8.23	42.00%	9.91%	16.52%	141.96%
CF	68 Neutral	$13.19B	9.82	27.46%	2.44%	12.59%	31.40%
MOS	65 Neutral	$7.91B	6.47	10.00%	3.40%	3.82%	239.39%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
ICL	55 Neutral	$8.58B	23.38	6.24%	3.16%	-1.22%	-14.31%
IPI	53 Neutral	$348.61M	―	-33.37%	―	8.88%	-349.99%
FMC	48 Neutral	$1.68B	―	-11.52%	16.58%	-13.42%	-136.59%

Icl Corporate Events

ICL Group Secures Agreement with Israeli Government on Dead Sea Concession Assets

On November 5, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. signed a Memorandum of Understandings (MOU) with the Government of Israel regarding the valuation and future transfer of assets related to the Dead Sea Concession. This agreement aims to provide certainty about asset valuation and payment timing, allowing ICL to plan for the concession’s expiration in 2030. The MOU outlines that the government will pay ICL $2.54 billion for the assets, with additional compensation for investments in salt harvesting solutions. The agreement also sets the stage for ICL’s potential involvement in future concession operations, pending economic viability and government approval.

ICL Group Faces Funding Cut for U.S. LFP Project

ICL Group Ltd. announced that the U.S. Department of Energy has decided to discontinue funding for its lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode active material manufacturing plant project in St. Louis, United States. This decision, part of a broader review to align grants with the Congressional budget framework, may lead ICL to recognize an investment write-off of approximately $40 million if the company decides to discontinue the project, impacting its strategy and financial statements.

ICL Group Ltd. Announces Results of 2025 Annual General Meeting

On September 4, 2025, ICL Group Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where all proposed resolutions were approved by the required majority. Key outcomes included the re-election of several directors and the reappointment of Somekh Chaikin, a member firm of KPMG International, as the company’s independent auditor. These decisions are expected to reinforce ICL’s governance structure and ensure continuity in its financial oversight, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence positively.

ICL Group Announces $55 Million Dividend Distribution

ICL Group Ltd. announced a dividend distribution of approximately $55 million, with a dividend per share of $0.04260 in US dollars and ILS 0.1442436 in Shekels, based on the exchange rate published by the Bank of Israel. The record date for the dividend is September 3, 2025, and the payment date is September 17, 2025. The announcement outlines the withholding tax rates applicable to Israeli and foreign residents, indicating a 25% rate for individuals and companies, with potential adjustments based on international tax treaties.