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Fmc Corp. (FMC)
NYSE:FMC

FMC (FMC) AI Stock Analysis

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FMC

FMC

(NYSE:FMC)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▼(-2.42% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses, higher leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow). Offsetting factors include a neutral-to-slightly improving technical picture, a high dividend yield (tempered by loss-making earnings), and an earnings call that pairs near-term headwinds with a clear deleveraging and cost-reduction plan.
Positive Factors
Pipeline: new active ingredients growth
Rapid growth in new active ingredients provides durable diversification away from legacy products. A multi-year commercialization path (guide to $300–$400M in 2026 and >$2B by 2035) implies sustained revenue upside and less reliance on any single molecule, improving long-term resilience.
Gross margin resilience
Stable gross margin near 37% indicates underlying product pricing power and cost structure at the manufacturing/COGS level. That resilience gives management room to restore operating profit through SG&A cuts and manufacturing efficiency without needing full price recovery, aiding durable margin recovery.
Concrete liquidity and deleveraging actions
Material quarter-end cash generation and visible net-debt reductions support execution of a >$1B debt-paydown plan and refinancing steps. Improved liquidity and covenant flexibility reduce immediate solvency risk and enable structured asset sales/licensing to restore balance-sheet health over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Negative operating cash flow in the latest year and a multi-year volatile cash conversion profile undermine the company's ability to organically fund capex, debt service and restructuring. This forces reliance on asset sales/licensing and increases refinancing and execution risk over the coming 2–6 months.
High leverage and weakened balance sheet
A rapid rise in leverage and a sharply reduced equity base constrain financial flexibility, raise interest and covenant sensitivity, and limit capacity for strategic investment. Elevated net leverage amplifies the impact of any further earnings weakness and elevates refinancing risk on upcoming maturities.
Core competitiveness and generic pressure
Structural competitiveness problems—high-cost manufacturing footprint and post-patent generic entry on key molecule Rynaxypyr—imply sustained pricing and volume pressure. These issues can depress EBITDA recovery timelines and force ongoing restructuring or margin concessions over multiple quarters.

FMC (FMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FMC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFMC Corporation, an agricultural sciences company, provides crop protection, plant health, and professional pest and turf management products. It develops, markets, and sells crop protection chemicals that include insecticides, herbicides, and fungicides; and biologicals, crop nutrition, and seed treatment products, which are used in agriculture to enhance crop yield and quality by controlling a range of insects, weeds, and diseases, as well as in non-agricultural markets for pest control. The company markets its products through its own sales organization and through alliance partners, independent distributors, and sales representatives. It operates in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. FMC Corporation was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyFMC generates revenue primarily through the sale of its agricultural products, which include crop protection chemicals and specialty solutions. The company operates through various segments, including the Crop Protection segment, which is its largest revenue contributor, offering a diverse portfolio of herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides. Additionally, FMC earns income from its Lithium segment, which supplies lithium compounds for electric vehicle batteries and other applications. Key revenue streams include direct sales to farmers, distributors, and agricultural retailers, along with strategic partnerships with agricultural organizations and collaborations with research institutions to enhance product development. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability also plays a crucial role in attracting customers and driving sales growth, as farmers increasingly seek environmentally friendly solutions to improve crop yields.

FMC Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsFMC's revenue trends reveal strong growth in EMEA and Latin America, supported by higher herbicide sales and a successful growing season. However, North America and Asia face declines, exacerbated by destocking and competitive pressures in India, prompting a strategic divestment. Despite these regional challenges, FMC's focus on cost efficiencies and new product launches is expected to drive future growth, with a projected 14% increase in adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025. Investors should watch for the impact of pricing pressures and FX headwinds on overall performance.
Data provided by:The Fly

FMC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balances clear operational progress and strategic actions (debt-reduction plan, strong Q4 cash generation, accelerating new active ingredients and an actionable manufacturing-cost reduction target) against material near-term headwinds (declining 2026 revenue guidance, a sharply weaker Q1 EBITDA and low Q1 margin, core portfolio competitiveness issues, negative FY2025 free cash flow, and broad generic pressure on Rynaxypyr). Management presented a concrete multi-year plan and initiated a strategic review to maximize shareholder value, but 2026 is positioned as a challenging transition year.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Review and Potential Sale
Board authorized a formal strategic review including potential sale of the company; financial and legal advisers retained. This process runs in parallel with operational execution to maximize shareholder value.
Debt Reduction Plan and India Sale Progress
Targeting >$1 billion of debt paydown in 2026 via asset sales and licensing (including sale of India commercial business). India sale progressing with binding bids expected in Q2 2026.
Strong Quarter Cash Generation and Reduced Net Debt
Q4 GAAP cash from operations of $657 million (+$230 million vs prior year quarter) and Q4 free cash flow of $623 million. Net debt at quarter end ~ $3.5 billion, down >$550 million vs Q3.
New Active Ingredients: Rapid Growth and Long-Term Upside
Sales of four new active ingredients grew ~54% from ~$130 million in 2024 to ~$200 million in 2025. 2026 sales for new actives guided to $300–$400 million; management still expects >$2 billion of cumulative sales by 2035.
Rynaxypyr Branded Earnings Expected to Hold
Despite post-patent generic entry, branded Rynaxypyr earnings are expected to be in line with prior year in 2026 due to higher volumes of advanced offerings and lower costs offsetting lower prices.
Focused Operational Priorities and Manufacturing Cost Target
Clear operational priorities: strengthen balance sheet, improve competitiveness of core portfolio, execute post-patent Rynaxypyr strategy, and grow new actives. Target to lower manufacturing cost of non-diamide products by at least 35% by 2027.
Improved Liquidity and Covenant Flexibility
Reworked revolving credit facility with covenant covenant allowance (6x through 2026) and plan to manage upcoming $500 million bond maturity (October) with refinancing intent in H1 2026.
Negative Updates
Full-Year 2026 Revenue and EBITDA Guidance Down
2026 full-year sales guidance of $3.6–$3.8 billion, which is down ~5% at the midpoint versus prior year. Full-year adjusted EBITDA guided to $670–$730 million (below prior-year levels).
Weak Q1 Outlook with Large EBITDA Decline
Q1 2026 sales guidance $725–$775 million (down ~5% vs prior year); adjusted EBITDA expected $45–$50 million, a 58% decline YoY. Q1 EBITDA margin expected to be ~7% (abnormally low due to fixed costs, tariffs and unfavorable Q1 manufacturing costs).
Q4 2025 Revenue and Profit Pressure
Q4 sales $1.08 billion, down 11% YoY (5% decline like-for-like excluding India). Price declined 6% and volumes down 1%. Q4 adjusted EBITDA $280 million, down 17% YoY (down 8% like-for-like). Adjusted EPS $1.20, down 33% YoY driven by lower EBITDA and higher interest.
Core Portfolio Competitiveness Challenges
Core product sales excluding Rynaxypyr were approximately $2.2 billion in 2025; nearly $1 billion of this came from high-cost manufacturing facilities. Competitiveness issues expected to be a sales headwind in 2026 while manufacturing footprint is restructured.
Post-Patent Generic Pressure on CTPR (Rynaxypyr) and Partners
Generic CTPR offerings announced broadly (notably US and Brazil) following patent expirations; expected increased resistance in some crops and reduced partner orders, contributing to lower partner sales and pricing pressure.
Full-Year Free Cash Flow and 2025 Cash Performance
2025 free cash flow was negative $165 million and full-year cash from operations was negative $6 million (including $103 million of restructuring spend). 2026 free cash flow guided to -$65 million to +$65 million (breakeven at midpoint), including $130 million restructuring spend.
Tariffs and Q1 Cost Headwinds
Tariffs expected to be a $20 million headwind (nearly all in Q1). Q1 manufacturing costs expected to be unfavorable, adding to the quarter's margin pressure before improving later in the year.
Uncertainty from Registration Delays and Regional Execution
New active shortfall vs expectations in 2025 (missed $250 million target; actual ~$200 million) mainly driven by later-than-expected registration for Isoflex in Great Britain and softer-than-expected direct sales in Brazil; registration timing remains a key driver for hitting 2026 new AIs range.
Company Guidance
FMC’s 2026 guidance calls for full‑year sales of $3.6–$3.8 billion (about a 5% decline at the midpoint) with price a mid‑single‑digit headwind and the removal of India a ~2% full‑year (first‑half concentrated) drag; full‑year adjusted EBITDA is guided to $670–$730 million. First‑quarter sales are guided to $725–$775 million (‑5% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA $45–$50 million (‑58% YoY) and an abnormally low EBITDA margin of ~7% driven by unfavorable Q1 manufacturing costs and ~$20 million of tariffs (mostly booked in Q1). FMC is targeting >$1 billion of debt paydown via asset sales and licensing (India sale with binding bids expected in Q2), expects 2026 free cash flow of –$65 million to +$65 million (breakeven at midpoint) including $130 million of restructuring spend, and projects net debt of ~$3.5 billion at year‑end down from Q3 (net leverage ~4.1x TTM EBITDA, covenant leverage 4.6x vs. a 6.0x covenant through 2026) with an expected ~0.5‑turn leverage reduction in 2026. Operational priorities include lowering manufacturing costs for the $2.2 billion core (ex‑Rynaxypyr) portfolio — nearly $1 billion of which is from high‑cost facilities — by at least 35% by 2027, executing a post‑patent Rynaxypyr strategy (2025 Rynaxypyr sales ~>$800 million; branded Rynaxypyr earnings expected flat in 2026), and growing new active ingredients (sales rose to ~$200 million in 2025 from ~$130 million in 2024, with 2026 forecast $300–$400 million and >$2 billion by 2035), positioning the company for mid‑teens EBITDA growth in 2027–2028.

FMC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials deteriorated materially: a swing to a large net loss, rising leverage as equity fell (debt-to-equity ~1.94), and negative operating/free cash flow in the latest year. Gross margin stability is a partial offset, but the collapse in operating profitability and cash generation drives elevated risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Profitability deteriorated sharply in the latest annual period, with revenue down ~2% and a swing from solid profitability in 2024 to a large net loss in 2025 (net margin deeply negative). While gross margin held roughly stable (~37%), operating performance collapsed (negative EBIT/EBITDA), indicating heavy cost pressure and/or significant charges below the gross profit line. The multi-year pattern shows weakening momentum: revenue has been declining since 2022 and the latest year marks a pronounced break from prior earnings power.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Leverage increased meaningfully: debt rose while equity fell sharply in 2025, pushing debt-to-equity to ~1.94 (vs. ~0.78 in 2024). Total assets declined, and the large loss likely pressured the capital base, reducing financial flexibility. The company is not at extreme leverage for the industry, but the rapid deterioration in equity and higher balance-sheet risk are notable concerns.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation weakened significantly in 2025, with operating cash flow turning negative and free cash flow also negative, a major reversal versus strong positive free cash flow in 2024. Over the broader period, cash flow has been volatile (notably negative in 2023 as well), which raises questions about working-capital swings and the durability of cash conversion through the cycle. Negative operating cash flow in the most recent year is a clear near-term red flag.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.47B4.25B4.49B5.80B5.05B
Gross Profit1.28B1.58B1.91B2.39B2.19B
EBITDA-1.71B737.40M786.20M1.30B1.19B
Net Income-2.24B339.90M1.32B736.50M739.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.69B11.65B11.93B11.17B10.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments584.50M357.30M302.40M572.00M516.80M
Total Debt4.07B3.50B4.11B3.42B3.34B
Total Liabilities7.59B7.14B7.49B7.77B7.53B
Stockholders Equity2.10B4.49B4.41B3.38B3.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.20M603.20M-520.30M440.10M720.00M
Operating Cash Flow-80.20M671.10M-386.40M582.40M820.10M
Investing Cash Flow-99.70M263.60M-154.40M-266.40M-112.00M
Financing Cash Flow386.00M-870.10M331.50M-237.40M-747.90M

FMC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.86
Price Trends
50DMA
14.70
Positive
100DMA
18.25
Negative
200DMA
28.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
47.63
Neutral
STOCH
45.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.47, above the 50-day MA of 14.70, and below the 200-day MA of 28.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FMC.

FMC Risk Analysis

FMC disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FMC reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FMC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$14.95B10.6829.62%2.56%12.59%31.40%
65
Neutral
$9.34B7.6410.00%3.70%3.82%239.39%
62
Neutral
$4.05B47.244.52%-3.93%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$7.10B31.413.86%3.36%1.77%-8.72%
49
Neutral
$1.81B-0.83-66.80%16.68%-13.42%-136.59%
41
Neutral
$160.30M-0.11-46.59%55.04%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMC
FMC
14.86
-21.71
-59.37%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
99.46
23.33
30.65%
MOS
Mosaic Co
30.16
5.19
20.78%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
69.81
11.39
19.50%
ICL
Icl
5.39
-0.61
-10.17%
USBC
USBC
0.40
-3.13
-88.61%

FMC Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
FMC Faces Potential Non-Cash Impairment Charges
Negative
Dec 12, 2025

FMC Company is facing a significant decrease in its stock price, prompting it to test its goodwill and other intangible assets for impairment as per generally accepted accounting principles. This could lead to a substantial non-cash impairment charge, although it is not expected to affect the company’s cash flows from current or future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMC) stock is a Sell with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FMC stock, see the FMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
FMC Amends Credit Agreement, Extends Covenant Relief
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 8, 2025, FMC Corporation and its subsidiaries entered into an amendment to their credit agreement, which modifies financial covenants and extends the covenant relief period to December 31, 2028. The amendment imposes limits on subsidiary indebtedness and dividend increases, and requires maintaining a minimum value of intellectual property, with provisions for asset liens if credit ratings fall below specified levels.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMC) stock is a Sell with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FMC stock, see the FMC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
FMC Board Member Anthony DiSilvestro Resigns
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Anthony DiSilvestro resigned from FMC Corporation’s Board of Directors and all its committees due to increased professional commitments and scheduling conflicts after becoming the Chief Financial Officer of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. on November 25, 2025. FMC expressed gratitude for his service and contributions during his tenure on the Board.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMC) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FMC stock, see the FMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026