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Cvr Partners Lp Common Units R (UAN)
NYSE:UAN
US Market

CVR Partners (UAN) AI Stock Analysis

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CVR Partners

(NYSE:UAN)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(13.98%Upside)
CVR Partners receives a strong overall stock score driven by positive earnings performance and robust technical indicators. The financial performance, while mixed, benefits from a strong balance sheet and cash flow management. Valuation metrics are appealing, offering a high dividend yield and reasonable P/E ratio. Despite some risks highlighted in the earnings call, the positive outlook and strategic financial management underscore the stock's potential.

CVR Partners (UAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVR Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer products in the United States. The company offers ammonia products for agricultural and industrial customers; and urea and ammonium nitrate products to agricultural customers, as well as retailers and distributors. CVR GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. CVR Partners, LP was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVR Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of its nitrogen fertilizer products, namely ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN). The company operates manufacturing facilities that convert natural gas into ammonia, which is then further processed into UAN solutions. These fertilizers are sold to distributors and agricultural retailers who supply them to farmers. The demand for CVR Partners' products is driven by the agricultural sector's need for effective crop nutrients to increase food production. Additionally, the company's earnings are influenced by natural gas prices, agricultural commodity prices, and seasonal factors affecting planting and harvesting cycles.

CVR Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.21%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights a strong financial performance with significant net sales, income, and high ammonia utilization, supported by favorable agricultural conditions. However, challenges such as declining UAN prices, increased operating expenses, and potential impacts of tariffs are noteworthy. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is positive due to the outweighing financial and operational strengths.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales of $143 million, net income of $27 million, and EBITDA of $53 million for the first quarter of 2025. A distribution of $2.26 per common unit was declared.
High Ammonia Utilization and Production
Consolidated ammonia plant utilization was at 101%, with combined ammonia production of 216,000 gross tons.
Increased Ammonia Prices
Ammonia prices increased by 5% from the prior year period.
Favorable Agricultural Conditions
USDA estimates suggest strong demand for nitrogen fertilizer with 95 million acres of corn and 83 million acres of soybeans to be planted in 2025.
Significant Liquidity Position
Total liquidity of $172 million, including $122 million in cash.
Negative Updates
UAN Price Decline
UAN prices declined by 4% due to some delayed shipments of 2024 fill season volumes.
Increased Operating Expenses
Direct operating expenses increased by approximately $1 million due to higher natural gas and electricity costs.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs on both fertilizer and grains could impact domestic prices and farmer economics, with geopolitical risks also posing a threat.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, CVR Partners reported net sales of $143 million, net income of $27 million, and EBITDA of $53 million. The Board of Directors declared a distribution of $2.26 per common unit, which will be paid on May 19th. The facilities achieved a consolidated ammonia plant utilization rate of 101%, producing 216,000 gross tons of ammonia and 348,000 tons of UAN. Sales included approximately 336,000 tons of UAN at an average price of $256 per ton and 60,000 tons of ammonia at an average price of $554 per ton. Total liquidity at the end of the quarter was $172 million, comprising $122 million in cash and $50 million available under the ABL facility. Looking forward, the company anticipates an ammonia utilization rate of 93% to 97% and direct operating expenses between $57 million and $62 million in the second quarter. Total capital spending for 2025 is estimated to range from $50 million to $60 million, primarily for maintenance. Additionally, the USDA projects corn plantings at 95 million acres and soybean plantings at 83 million acres for the spring, supporting strong demand for nitrogen fertilizer.

CVR Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CVR Partners presents a mixed financial picture. The company faces revenue and profitability challenges, but operational efficiency is maintained. The balance sheet is strong, with no debt and significant cash reserves, providing stability. Cash flow remains positive, although it has decreased, pointing to effective cash management. Overall, while there are areas of concern, particularly in revenue and profit margins, the company remains financially stable.
Income Statement
62
Positive
CVR Partners' income statement shows a decline in total revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is negative, indicating cost pressures. The net profit margin has decreased significantly compared to the previous year, highlighting reduced profitability. The company has shown negative revenue growth compared to 2023, but maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong position with zero debt and a healthy cash balance, enhancing financial stability. The equity ratio is robust, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity compared to previous years suggests potential challenges in equity retention or asset growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with positive free cash flow in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), although it has decreased compared to the prior year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The company effectively manages its capital expenditures to ensure positive free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
540.52M525.32M681.48M835.58M532.58M349.95M
Gross Profit
133.93M118.86M232.46M352.37M162.04M24.84M
EBIT
104.89M90.35M201.41M239.15M66.66M-69.25M
EBITDA
132.59M178.90M281.10M403.16M212.67M41.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
75.41M60.90M172.43M286.80M78.16M-98.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
121.78M90.86M45.28M86.34M112.52M30.56M
Total Assets
1.01B1.02B975.33M1.10B1.13B1.03B
Total Debt
0.00572.89M550.48M549.73M610.64M639.49M
Net Debt
452.05M482.04M505.20M463.39M498.13M608.93M
Total Liabilities
712.29M725.65M672.45M688.59M784.86M718.64M
Stockholders Equity
301.66M404.42M302.88M286.80M342.20M314.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
79.14M113.47M219.33M256.80M168.13M1.14M
Operating Cash Flow
163.51M150.54M243.53M301.46M188.72M19.74M
Investing Cash Flow
-32.38M-31.89M-2.72M-44.62M-20.34M-18.55M
Financing Cash Flow
-73.98M-73.07M-281.86M-283.02M-86.43M-7.63M

CVR Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price86.86
Price Trends
50DMA
78.08
Positive
100DMA
76.39
Positive
200DMA
72.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.33
Negative
RSI
77.94
Negative
STOCH
70.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 86.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.82, above the 50-day MA of 78.08, and above the 200-day MA of 72.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.94 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UAN.

CVR Partners Risk Analysis

CVR Partners disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVR Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVR Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CFCF
80
Outperform
$16.32B13.2926.14%2.00%0.66%25.75%
UAUAN
79
Outperform
$886.48M11.7625.16%10.78%-7.27%-9.30%
FMFMC
72
Outperform
$5.19B15.968.81%5.58%1.45%-70.85%
MOMOS
69
Neutral
$11.34B30.863.09%2.46%-13.37%-50.63%
IPIPI
60
Neutral
$492.59M-35.32%0.63%-369.50%
SMSMG
57
Neutral
$3.59B124.284.98%4.32%0.75%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.26-21.09%3.98%2.91%-30.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UAN
CVR Partners
86.86
19.56
29.06%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
100.74
28.94
40.31%
FMC
FMC
42.74
-10.36
-19.51%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
36.99
13.05
54.51%
MOS
Mosaic Co
36.01
9.67
36.71%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
62.24
0.34
0.55%

CVR Partners Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CVR Partners Approves 2025 Long-Term Incentive Plan
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, CVR Partners, LP, a company involved in the production of nitrogen fertilizer products, held a Special Meeting of Unitholders where they approved the 2025 Long-Term Incentive Plan. This plan allows the company to grant various unit-based awards to eligible participants over a ten-year period. The unitholders also ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
CVR Partners Reports Strong Q1 2025 Performance
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

CVR Partners reported a strong performance in the first quarter of 2025 with a net income of $27 million, or $2.56 per common unit, and EBITDA of $53 million on net sales of $143 million. This marks an improvement from the first quarter of 2024, where the net income was $13 million. The company declared a cash distribution of $2.26 per common unit, reflecting its focus on high plant utilization and cash flow generation amid tight supply and demand balances for nitrogen fertilizer products.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.