CVR Partners (UAN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.01B
• Dividend Yield: 12.33%
• Average Volume (3M): 38.31K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.54
• Revenue Growth: 16.52%
• EPS Growth: 141.96%
• Country: US
• Employees: 316
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): 4.08
• Shares Outstanding: 10,569,637
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 18,540
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 38,310
• PEG Ratio: -0.20
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.74
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.53
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.08
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.37
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.25
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.35
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.10
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: $103.00 ▲(8.13% Upside)

CVR Partners' stock is supported by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, with a high dividend yield and low P/E ratio. However, challenges such as high leverage, cash flow constraints, and geopolitical uncertainties temper the overall score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The positive revenue growth trend suggests a recovery and potential for continued market expansion, supporting long-term financial health.

High Utilization Rates

High utilization rates indicate efficient operations and strong demand, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage.

Strong Demand Outlook

A strong demand outlook supports long-term revenue stability and growth, driven by favorable market conditions and product demand.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can pose financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.

Cash Flow Constraints

Cash flow constraints can hinder the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, affecting long-term financial health.

Geopolitical Uncertainty

Geopolitical uncertainties can disrupt supply chains and pricing, posing risks to market stability and long-term strategic planning.

CVR Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CVR Partners, LP (UAN) is a leading producer of nitrogen fertilizer products, primarily serving the agricultural sector. The company operates in the fertilizer manufacturing industry and is focused on producing and distributing ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions. With production facilities located in the Midwest, CVR Partners plays a vital role in supporting crop production by providing essential nutrients that enhance agricultural productivity.

How the Company Makes Money

CVR Partners generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizers, including ammonia and UAN solutions. The company benefits from a diverse customer base that includes agricultural cooperatives, wholesalers, and retailers, allowing them to sell their products across various market segments. Key revenue streams are derived from the direct sales of these fertilizers to farmers and agricultural businesses. Additionally, the company capitalizes on favorable pricing dynamics in the agricultural sector, which can fluctuate based on supply and demand, thereby impacting their earnings. Significant partnerships with agricultural distributors and cooperative marketing agreements also contribute to their financial performance, as they help expand market reach and improve sales volume. Overall, CVR Partners' revenue model is closely tied to the agricultural cycles and the demand for crop nutrients, making it sensitive to changes in farming trends and commodity prices.

CVR Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CVR Partners shows strong profitability and revenue growth, with a healthy net profit margin of 20.7%. However, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.79 and cash flow constraints, such as a negative free cash flow growth rate of -1.5%, present significant risks.

Income Statement

CVR Partners has shown a strong recovery in its income statement metrics over the past years. The TTM data indicates a healthy gross profit margin of 26.9% and a net profit margin of 20.7%, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 6.7% TTM, indicating a rebound from previous declines. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from its peak in 2022, suggesting some pressure on cost control or pricing power.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.79 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if earnings decline. However, the return on equity is strong at 41.4% TTM, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced approach to asset financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow metrics reveal some concerns, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -1.5% TTM, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.12 TTM, suggesting potential issues in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow constraints despite profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	614.53M	525.32M	681.48M	835.58M	532.58M	349.95M
Gross Profit	165.37M	118.86M	232.46M	352.37M	162.04M	24.84M
EBITDA	271.11M	178.90M	281.10M	403.16M	212.67M	41.35M
Net Income	127.22M	60.90M	172.43M	286.80M	78.16M	-98.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.04B	1.02B	975.33M	1.10B	1.13B	1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	156.18M	90.86M	45.28M	86.34M	112.52M	30.56M
Total Debt	584.92M	585.02M	550.48M	557.71M	615.88M	639.49M
Total Liabilities	718.70M	725.65M	672.45M	688.59M	784.86M	718.64M
Stockholders Equity	318.50M	293.07M	302.88M	411.81M	342.20M	314.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	138.45M	113.47M	219.33M	256.80M	168.13M	1.14M
Operating Cash Flow	184.03M	150.54M	243.53M	301.46M	188.72M	19.74M
Investing Cash Flow	-38.95M	-31.89M	-2.72M	-44.62M	-20.34M	-18.55M
Financing Cash Flow	-99.43M	-73.07M	-281.86M	-283.02M	-86.43M	-7.63M

CVR Partners Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 95.26
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.04, above the 50-day MA of 93.79, and above the 200-day MA of 82.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UAN.

CVR Partners Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
UAN	69 Neutral	$1.01B	8.03	42.00%	12.33%	16.52%	141.96%
MOS	65 Neutral	$7.72B	6.30	10.00%	3.70%	3.82%	239.39%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
ICL	60 Neutral	$6.56B	18.12	6.15%	3.36%	1.77%	-8.72%
IPI	53 Neutral	$364.41M	-1.88	-33.37%	―	8.88%	-349.99%
SMG	50 Neutral	$3.44B	23.61	―	4.52%	-3.93%	―
FMC	47 Neutral	$1.65B	-3.09	-11.52%	16.68%	-13.42%	-136.59%

CVR Partners Corporate Events

CVR Partners Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results

CVR Partners reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $43 million and EBITDA of $71 million, significantly higher than the previous year’s figures. The company announced a cash distribution of $4.02 per common unit, reflecting favorable market conditions and strong demand for ammonia during the fall application season. Despite a slight decrease in production, the average realized gate prices for ammonia and UAN increased substantially, contributing to the improved financial performance.