CVR Partners LP (UAN)
:UAN
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CVR Partners (UAN) AI Stock Analysis

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UAN

CVR Partners

(NYSE:UAN)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$105.00
▲(14.57% Upside)
CVR Partners' stock is supported by strong valuation metrics and positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance and favorable market conditions. However, financial performance is mixed, with concerns over cost management and cash flow challenges. The stock's attractive dividend yield and undervaluation present opportunities for investors, but attention to operational expenses and geopolitical risks is necessary.

CVR Partners (UAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVR Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCVR Partners, LP (UAN) is a leading producer of nitrogen fertilizers, primarily focused on serving the agricultural sector. The company operates in the fertilizer manufacturing industry, with its core products including urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solution and ammonia. CVR Partners aims to enhance crop yields and agricultural productivity by providing high-quality fertilizer solutions to farmers and agricultural distributors across the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVR Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of its nitrogen fertilizer products, particularly UAN and ammonia. The company benefits from a strong demand for its fertilizers, driven by the need for enhanced crop production in the agricultural sector. Key revenue streams include direct sales to farmers and distributors, as well as long-term contracts with agricultural cooperatives. Additionally, CVR Partners may experience fluctuations in revenue based on market prices for nitrogen fertilizers, which can be influenced by various factors such as crop planting seasons, global supply and demand dynamics, and input costs. Strategic partnerships with agricultural organizations and cooperatives also play a vital role in expanding its market reach and ensuring consistent sales.

CVR Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a generally positive financial performance with strong sales and distribution figures. There were notable achievements in pricing and demand outlook. However, challenges such as increased operating expenses, potential turnaround delays, and geopolitical uncertainties were highlighted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales of $164 million, net income of $43 million, and EBITDA of $71 million for the third quarter of 2025.
Increased Distribution
The Board of Directors declared a third quarter distribution of $4.02 per common unit.
High Utilization Rates
Consolidated ammonia plant utilization was 95%, despite some planned and unplanned downtime.
Significant Price Increases
UAN and ammonia prices increased 52% and 33%, respectively, from the prior year period.
Strong Demand Outlook
Expectations of favorable market conditions for the remainder of the year and into the first half of 2026.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Direct operating expenses increased by approximately $7 million relative to the third quarter of 2024, primarily due to higher natural gas and electricity costs.
Turnaround Delays
An ammonia release during the Coffeyville facility's turnaround could delay completion of turnaround work by a few days.
Geopolitical Uncertainty
Potential tariffs on Russian fertilizer imports could impact pricing, and ongoing geopolitical conflicts are affecting the nitrogen fertilizer industry.
Trade Tensions Impacting Agriculture
Ongoing trade friction with China could impact soybean production numbers.
Company Guidance
During the CVR Partners Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided several key financial metrics and operational guidance. The company reported net sales of $164 million, net income of $43 million, and an EBITDA of $71 million for the third quarter. The Board declared a distribution of $4.02 per common unit, which will be paid on November 17, 2025. Ammonia plant utilization was at 95%, with combined ammonia production totaling 208,000 gross tons and UAN production reaching 337,000 tons. The company sold 328,000 tons of UAN at an average price of $348 per ton and 48,000 tons of ammonia at an average price of $531 per ton. For the fourth quarter, CVR Partners anticipates ammonia utilization rates between 80% and 85%, impacted by a planned turnaround at the Coffeyville facility. Direct operating expenses are projected to be between $58 million and $63 million, while total capital spending is expected to range from $30 million to $35 million, with turnaround expenses anticipated between $15 million and $20 million. The company highlighted tight global nitrogen fertilizer inventories and favorable pricing conditions expected to persist into 2026.

CVR Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CVR Partners demonstrates a mixed financial performance. The income statement shows profitability and revenue growth, but cost management needs improvement. The balance sheet reflects better leverage management, but equity strength is a concern. Cash flow challenges highlight liquidity risks. The company should focus on enhancing cost efficiency, strengthening equity, and improving cash flow generation to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
CVR Partners has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 6.66% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. However, the gross profit margin is negative, which is concerning. The net profit margin is positive at 0.91%, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, suggesting operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a mixed performance with strengths in profitability but weaknesses in cost management.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.79 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. The return on equity is strong at 41.38%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential risks in financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet shows improvement in leverage but highlights the need for stronger equity positioning.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating challenges in generating free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow management issues. Overall, the cash flow statement indicates potential liquidity concerns and the need for improved cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue614.53M525.32M681.48M835.58M532.58M349.95M
Gross Profit165.37M118.86M232.46M352.37M162.04M24.84M
EBITDA271.11M178.90M281.10M403.16M212.67M41.35M
Net Income127.22M60.90M172.43M286.80M78.16M-98.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.04B1.02B975.33M1.10B1.13B1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments156.18M90.86M45.28M86.34M112.52M30.56M
Total Debt569.12M572.89M550.48M549.73M610.64M639.49M
Total Liabilities718.70M725.65M672.45M688.59M784.86M718.64M
Stockholders Equity318.50M293.07M302.88M286.80M342.20M314.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.55M113.47M219.33M256.80M168.13M1.14M
Operating Cash Flow12.79M150.54M243.53M301.46M188.72M19.74M
Investing Cash Flow-38.95M-31.89M-2.72M-44.62M-20.34M-18.55M
Financing Cash Flow-99.43M-73.07M-281.86M-283.02M-86.43M-7.63M

CVR Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.65
Price Trends
50DMA
89.28
Positive
100DMA
86.90
Positive
200DMA
78.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.70
Negative
RSI
78.23
Negative
STOCH
56.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.73, above the 50-day MA of 89.28, and above the 200-day MA of 78.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UAN.

CVR Partners Risk Analysis

CVR Partners disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVR Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVR Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.05B8.2442.00%12.02%16.52%141.96%
65
Neutral
$8.27B6.7610.00%3.34%3.82%239.39%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$7.36B20.046.15%3.24%1.77%-8.72%
53
Neutral
$351.79M-33.37%8.88%-349.99%
50
Neutral
$3.28B22.934.71%-3.93%
48
Neutral
$1.74B-11.52%16.69%-13.42%-136.59%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UAN
CVR Partners
99.17
36.39
57.96%
FMC
FMC
13.90
-38.27
-73.36%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
26.20
-0.64
-2.38%
MOS
Mosaic Co
26.05
1.00
3.99%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
56.73
-15.11
-21.03%
ICL
Icl
5.46
1.09
24.94%

CVR Partners Corporate Events

CVR Partners Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 31, 2025

CVR Partners, LP is a Delaware limited partnership headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, specializing in the production, marketing, and distribution of nitrogen fertilizer products, primarily urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) and ammonia, used to enhance crop yield and quality.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
CVR Partners Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

CVR Partners reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $43 million and EBITDA of $71 million, significantly higher than the previous year’s figures. The company announced a cash distribution of $4.02 per common unit, reflecting favorable market conditions and strong demand for ammonia during the fall application season. Despite a slight decrease in production, the average realized gate prices for ammonia and UAN increased substantially, contributing to the improved financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (UAN) stock is a Buy with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Partners stock, see the UAN Stock Forecast page.

CVR Partners LP Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 2, 2025

CVR Partners LP’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by increased sales volumes and pricing. Despite facing challenges such as downtime, rising operating costs, and geopolitical disruptions, the company maintained a balanced outlook, emphasizing strategic projects aimed at boosting capacity and reliability.

CVR Partners Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 1, 2025

CVR Partners, LP is a Delaware-based limited partnership that specializes in the production, marketing, and distribution of nitrogen fertilizer products, including urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) and ammonia, primarily used in agriculture to enhance crop yield and quality.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025