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CVR Partners LP (UAN)
NYSE:UAN
US Market
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CVR Partners (UAN) AI Stock Analysis

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UAN

CVR Partners

(NYSE:UAN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$147.00
▲(54.31% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/30/26
UAN scores well overall due to constructive technical momentum and attractive valuation (low P/E and high yield), supported by a strong recent quarter and operational execution. The score is held back mainly by balance-sheet leverage and the business’s cyclical volatility, plus some cost/capex and distribution variability risks discussed on the call.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent trailing-twelve-month operating cash flow (~$170M) and meaningful free cash flow (~$112M) provide durable internal liquidity to fund maintenance capex, brownfield growth, and distributions without immediate reliance on capital markets, supporting multi-quarter execution and financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 2.23 leaves the partnership exposed to downside across the fertilizer cycle; elevated leverage increases sensitivity to profit compressions or prolonged weak prices, constraining capital allocation flexibility and raising refinancing or covenant risks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent trailing-twelve-month operating cash flow (~$170M) and meaningful free cash flow (~$112M) provide durable internal liquidity to fund maintenance capex, brownfield growth, and distributions without immediate reliance on capital markets, supporting multi-quarter execution and financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors

CVR Partners (UAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVR Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer products in the United States. The company offers ammonia products for agricultural and industrial customers; and urea and ammonium nitrate...
How the Company Makes Money
CVR Partners makes money by producing and selling nitrogen fertilizer products, primarily UAN solution and ammonia. Revenue is generated when these products are sold to customers (generally via wholesalers, distributors, and/or other marketing cha...

CVR Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights a strong quarter driven by higher realized prices (UAN +34%, ammonia +24%), robust profitability (net income $50M, EBITDA $78M), very high ammonia utilization (103%), a $4.00/unit distribution, healthy liquidity ($178M) and clear execution on brownfield and feedstock diversification projects to support future capacity and reliability. Offsetting these positives are modest declines in total sales volumes due to East Dubuque outages, higher direct operating costs (≈$9M increase YoY excluding inventory), geopolitical-driven global supply tightness and energy-price divergence that introduce market uncertainty and potential cost pressures. Management is conservatively reserving capital while funding growth from cash reserves, which may temper near-term distributable cash but supports long-term reliability and capacity gains.
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales of $180.0 million, net income of $50.0 million (or $4.72 per common unit), and EBITDA of $78.0 million for Q1 2026.
Negative Updates
Slight Sales Volume Decline
Total sales volumes were down slightly versus 2025, primarily due to lower UAN production and sales following minor planned and unplanned outages at East Dubuque during the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales of $180.0 million, net income of $50.0 million (or $4.72 per common unit), and EBITDA of $78.0 million for Q1 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance for 2026 included an ammonia utilization target of 95%–100% (Q1 ran at 103%), direct operating expenses (ex‑inventory and turnarounds) of $57–$62 million, and total capital spending of $28–$32 million (earlier in the quarter they also referenced $60–$75 million of total capex with $35–$45 million of maintenance capex; Q1 capex was $14 million, $8 million maintenance), a goal to operate plants above 95% of nameplate capacity excluding turnarounds, expected brownfield projects to increase consolidated ammonia capacity by ~7% (Coffeyville up to ~8%), planned funding for growth from cash reserves, and continued reserving of capital; they closed Q1 with $178 million liquidity (cash $128M, $50M ABL availability, including ~$17M customer prepayments), reported Q1 EBITDA of ~$78M, net cash needs of ~$36M, cash available for distribution of ~$42M, and declared a $4.00 per unit distribution.

CVR Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM profitability and solid free cash flow are positives, but high leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.23) and pronounced cyclicality/volatility in revenue, margins, and cash flows constrain the financial profile for a cyclical fertilizer business.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue643.22M606.04M525.32M681.48M835.58M532.58M
Gross Profit163.00M163.37M118.86M232.46M352.37M162.04M
EBITDA266.42M211.64M178.90M281.10M403.16M212.67M
Net Income121.49M98.66M60.90M172.43M286.80M78.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B969.46M1.02B975.33M1.10B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments128.09M69.24M90.86M45.28M86.34M112.52M
Total Debt579.40M593.42M597.15M550.48M557.71M615.88M
Total Liabilities706.44M703.71M725.65M672.45M688.59M784.86M
Stockholders Equity311.74M265.74M293.07M302.88M411.81M342.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.05M98.84M113.47M219.33M256.80M168.13M
Operating Cash Flow170.02M149.64M150.54M243.53M301.46M188.72M
Investing Cash Flow-51.12M-44.09M-31.89M-2.72M-44.62M-20.34M
Financing Cash Flow-112.60M-127.17M-73.07M-281.86M-283.02M-86.43M

CVR Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price95.26
Price Trends
50DMA
119.16
Positive
100DMA
110.36
Positive
200DMA
98.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
48.54
Neutral
STOCH
49.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UAN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 95.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.06, below the 50-day MA of 119.16, and below the 200-day MA of 98.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UAN.

CVR Partners Risk Analysis

CVR Partners disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVR Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVR Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.42B6.7137.06%12.33%19.00%61.11%
70
Outperform
$528.48M-212.042.30%17.13%
63
Neutral
$3.45B3.69-33.72%4.52%-1.89%216.52%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$7.30B10.959.96%3.70%8.36%207.85%
59
Neutral
$7.14B-25.243.77%3.36%4.56%-44.50%
45
Neutral
$1.82B-1.92-83.04%16.68%-16.63%-865.93%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UAN
CVR Partners
134.70
61.90
85.04%
FMC
FMC
14.56
-19.64
-57.42%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
39.34
1.15
3.01%
MOS
Mosaic Co
22.97
-6.57
-22.24%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
59.39
6.85
13.05%
ICL
Icl
5.53
-1.10
-16.60%

CVR Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
CVR Partners Delivers Strong First-Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
CVR Partners reported strong first-quarter 2026 results on April 29, 2026, posting net income of $50 million, or $4.72 per common unit, and EBITDA of $78 million on net sales of $180 million, up from $27 million in net income and $53 million in EB...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CVR Partners Announces New Independent Director and Governance Updates
Neutral
Mar 18, 2026
On March 17, 2026, CVR Partners’ general partner appointed Trevor Turbidy to the Board of Directors of CVR GP, LLC, adding him to the Audit, Compensation, Environmental, Health Safety, and Conflicts committees and designating him an indepen...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CVR Partners Faces NYSE Non‑Compliance After Director’s Death
Negative
Mar 4, 2026
CVR Partners, LP announced that independent director Brian A. Goebel, who joined the board in October 2025 and chaired the Audit Committee while serving on the Compensation and Environmental, Health Safety committees, passed away on February 20, ...
DividendsFinancial Disclosures
CVR Partners Posts Q4 Loss But Maintains 2025 Payouts
Neutral
Feb 18, 2026
CVR Partners, a nitrogen fertilizer producer specializing in ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate solutions for agricultural markets, operates major facilities in Coffeyville, Kansas, and East Dubuque, Illinois. Its infrastructure includes large-scal...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026