HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $9.75B
• Dividend Yield: 3.79%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.93M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.10
• Revenue Growth: -9.55%
• EPS Growth: 27.65%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,297
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): 2.44
• Shares Outstanding: 183,948,230
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,317,125
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,932,489
• PEG Ratio: -0.43
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.73
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.24
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.52
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.20
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.44
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.44
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.20
• 1Y Price Target: $60.45
• Price Target Upside: 12.72% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11
• EPS Forecast (FY): 4.76
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $26.60B

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $57.00 ▲(6.28% Upside)

HF Sinclair Corporation's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call highlights and positive technical indicators. The company's financial performance is stable, but profitability margins remain a concern. The valuation score is low due to a negative P/E ratio, although the dividend yield offers some compensation. The renewables segment poses challenges, but strategic growth initiatives provide a positive outlook.

Positive Factors

Midstream Expansion

The planned Midstream expansion addresses supply-demand imbalances in key markets, enhancing HF Sinclair's market position and long-term growth potential by increasing capacity and optimizing infrastructure.

Cash Generation

Strong cash generation supports shareholder returns and financial stability, reflecting efficient operations and strategic focus on enhancing reliability and optimizing the portfolio.

Refining Segment Performance

The substantial increase in refining segment EBITDA indicates improved operational efficiency and market dynamics, strengthening HF Sinclair's core business and long-term profitability.

Negative Factors

Renewables Segment Challenges

Challenges in the Renewables segment, with negative EBITDA, highlight difficulties in adapting to market conditions, potentially impacting diversification and long-term growth.

Lubricants & Specialties Segment Decline

Decline in the Lubricants & Specialties segment EBITDA suggests margin pressures and reduced sales volumes, indicating potential ongoing challenges in these markets.

Profitability Margins

Low profitability margins indicate potential inefficiencies and competitive pressures, which could limit HF Sinclair's ability to improve financial performance and shareholder value.

HF Sinclair Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company. It produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. The company also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming; and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, it supplies fuels to approximately 1,300 independent Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 300 additional locations, as well as engages in the growing renewables business. Further, the company produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum industry. HF Sinclair Corporation was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

HF Sinclair Corporation generates revenue primarily through its refining operations, which involves the conversion of crude oil into various refined products that are sold to wholesale and retail customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as other petrochemical products. Additionally, the company earns income from its transportation and logistics services, which facilitate the movement of crude oil and finished products. Strategic partnerships with crude oil suppliers and distribution networks play a vital role in optimizing operational efficiency and enhancing profitability. Market dynamics, including crude oil prices and refining margins, significantly influence the company's overall earnings.

HF Sinclair Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

HF Sinclair Corporation exhibits a mixed financial performance with strengths in revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, but faces challenges in profitability margins. The company has shown resilience with improved cash flow generation, although there is room for enhancing operational efficiency. Overall, HF Sinclair maintains a stable financial position with potential for growth in profitability.

Income Statement

HF Sinclair Corporation shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a modest gross profit margin of 2.07% and a net profit margin of 1.46%, which are relatively low compared to industry standards. However, the company has demonstrated a positive revenue growth rate of 16.3% in the TTM period, recovering from previous declines. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also low, at 0.56% and 4.95% respectively, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of HF Sinclair Corporation reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, indicating a conservative leverage approach. The return on equity (ROE) is 4.23% in the TTM period, showing moderate profitability. The equity ratio stands at 54.64%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the company maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a 12.07% increase in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is 76.86%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Despite past fluctuations, the company has improved its cash flow position, supporting its operational and financial stability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	26.90B	28.58B	31.96B	38.20B	18.39B	11.18B
Gross Profit	2.64B	3.21B	5.14B	6.82B	2.63B	649.86M
EBITDA	1.63B	1.22B	3.12B	4.77B	1.42B	-99.61M
Net Income	393.49M	177.00M	1.59B	2.92B	558.32M	-601.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	17.26B	16.64B	17.72B	18.13B	12.92B	11.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.45B	800.00M	1.35B	1.67B	234.44M	1.37B
Total Debt	387.00M	3.10B	3.18B	3.72B	3.60B	3.58B
Total Liabilities	7.77B	7.30B	7.48B	8.11B	6.62B	5.78B
Stockholders Equity	9.43B	9.28B	10.17B	9.24B	5.69B	5.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	917.53M	640.00M	1.91B	3.25B	-406.73M	127.77M
Operating Cash Flow	1.17B	1.11B	2.30B	3.78B	406.68M	457.93M
Investing Cash Flow	-514.40M	-468.00M	-371.32M	-774.49M	-1.33B	-330.16M
Financing Cash Flow	-426.27M	-1.18B	-2.24B	-1.56B	-211.80M	353.23M

HF Sinclair Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 53.63
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DINO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.79, above the 50-day MA of 52.37, and above the 200-day MA of 40.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DINO.

HF Sinclair Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VLO	75 Outperform	$51.58B	35.20	6.07%	2.62%	-8.48%	-56.92%
PSX	73 Outperform	$54.70B	37.10	5.38%	3.40%	-10.56%	-53.06%
MPC	70 Outperform	$55.97B	19.85	15.98%	1.86%	-6.37%	-25.83%
DINO	68 Neutral	$9.75B	25.50	4.07%	3.79%	-9.55%	27.65%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CVI	63 Neutral	$3.64B	22.28	21.78%	7.55%	-7.21%	135.72%
PBF	55 Neutral	$4.09B	―	-9.47%	3.18%	-15.35%	-81.94%

HF Sinclair Corporation Corporate Events

HF Sinclair Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results

HF Sinclair Corporation, based in Dallas, Texas, is an independent energy company specializing in the production and marketing of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, lubricants, and specialty products. The company operates refineries across several U.S. states and provides transportation, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum industry.

HF Sinclair Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results

HF Sinclair Corporation, headquartered in Dallas, Texas, is an independent energy company that produces and markets high-value light products such as gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, and lubricants, operating refineries across several U.S. states and providing petroleum product transportation and storage services.

HF Sinclair’s Earnings Call: Balanced Sentiment with Strategic Focus

The recent earnings call for HF Sinclair Corporation presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both significant achievements and ongoing challenges. The company celebrated notable successes in shareholder returns and improvements in the refining and marketing segments, while acknowledging difficulties in the renewables and lubricants & specialties areas.