HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.93B
• Dividend Yield: 4.75%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.37M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 35.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.96
• Revenue Growth: -11.17%
• EPS Growth: -109.60%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,297
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 47
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): -0.27
• Shares Outstanding: 188,409,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,631,878
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,369,843
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.14
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 3.23
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.56
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.11
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.36
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.15
• 1Y Price Target: $40.29
• Price Target Upside: -7.51% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: $47.00 ▲(7.90%Upside)

HF Sinclair Corporation's overall stock score reflects a blend of strengths and challenges. The financial performance is stable but impacted by recent operational difficulties. Technical analysis suggests strong momentum, yet valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. The earnings call highlighted both strategic successes and financial setbacks, contributing to a balanced outlook.

Positive Factors

Earnings

DINO results beat expectations, while it is positioned well to take advantage of seasonally strengthening cracks in its inland markets.

Marketing Performance

Marketing posted a record as DINO expands store count.

Negative Factors

Investor Sentiment

Investors are expected to favor larger peers who offer higher distribution yields and healthier refining unit margins.

Refining Segment

The refining segment faced significant challenges due to weaker crack spreads and lower margin capture.

HF Sinclair Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company. It produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. The company also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming; and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, it supplies fuels to approximately 1,300 independent Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 300 additional locations, as well as engages in the growing renewables business. Further, the company produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum industry. HF Sinclair Corporation was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

HF Sinclair Corporation makes money through its core operations in refining and marketing petroleum products. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by the sale of refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. HF Sinclair owns and operates a network of refineries that convert crude oil into these high-demand products, which are then distributed through various channels including retail outlets and wholesale markets. Additionally, the company generates income from its logistics operations, which involve the transportation and storage of petroleum products. Key revenue streams include the sale of refined products, logistics services, and specialty products. Significant partnerships with suppliers and distributors, as well as its strategic positioning in energy markets, also contribute to its earnings.

HF Sinclair Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

HF Sinclair Corporation shows a robust balance sheet with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio and stable stockholder equity. However, recent operational challenges have led to negative net income, impacting overall financial health. Strong cash management practices partially mitigate these issues.

Income Statement

HF Sinclair Corporation has shown a volatile revenue trend with recent declines. The TTM data indicates a negative EBIT and net income, suggesting operational challenges. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 28.2% TTM but is offset by negative net profit margins. Previous years showed stronger performance, indicating potential for recovery if operational issues are addressed.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio stands at a solid 55.9% TTM, suggesting financial stability. However, a decrease in cash reserves could pose liquidity risks. Stockholders' equity has remained relatively stable over the years, reflecting consistent shareholder value.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains positive, showing capability to cover operational expenses despite negative net income. The free cash flow has decreased recently, which may affect future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, suggesting good cash management practices.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	27.92B	28.58B	31.96B	38.20B	18.39B	11.18B
Gross Profit	1.69B	3.21B	5.14B	6.82B	2.63B	1.43B
EBITDA	825.43M	1.22B	3.12B	4.76B	1.43B	-103.86M
Net Income	-141.66M	177.00M	1.59B	2.92B	558.32M	-514.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	16.54B	16.64B	17.72B	18.13B	12.92B	11.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	547.00M	800.00M	1.35B	1.67B	234.44M	1.37B
Total Debt	3.13B	3.10B	3.10B	3.56B	3.44B	3.43B
Total Liabilities	7.29B	7.30B	7.48B	8.11B	6.62B	5.78B
Stockholders Equity	9.19B	9.28B	10.17B	9.24B	5.69B	5.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	486.09M	640.00M	1.91B	3.25B	-406.73M	127.77M
Operating Cash Flow	705.73M	1.11B	2.30B	3.78B	406.68M	457.93M
Investing Cash Flow	-463.30M	-468.00M	-371.32M	-774.49M	-1.33B	-330.16M
Financing Cash Flow	-926.54M	-1.18B	-2.24B	-1.56B	-211.80M	353.23M

HF Sinclair Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 43.56
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DINO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.87, above the 50-day MA of 36.22, and above the 200-day MA of 36.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DINO.

HF Sinclair Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PSX	76 Outperform	$50.18B	28.09	6.48%	3.90%	-7.61%	-66.18%
SUN	73 Outperform	$8.11B	9.54	26.11%	6.77%	-3.59%	22.77%
MPC	72 Outperform	$52.21B	23.87	12.37%	2.14%	-6.39%	-64.50%
Sector *	67 Neutral	$14.88B	9.77	6.38%	5.30%	4.12%	-66.77%
DINO	66 Neutral	$7.93B	35.13	-1.49%	4.75%	-11.17%	-109.60%
VLO	66 Neutral	$43.23B	48.66	3.73%	3.28%	-8.44%	-85.95%
PBF	48 Neutral	$2.58B	―	-18.01%	4.94%	-16.30%	-160.78%

HF Sinclair Corporation Corporate Events

HF Sinclair Highlights Strategic Initiatives in Energy Transition

In March 2025, HF Sinclair Corporation presented to investors, highlighting its strategic initiatives and operational capabilities across various segments. The company has made significant investments in renewable diesel projects, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and supporting alternative energy systems. HF Sinclair’s focus on sustainability and innovation positions it as a key player in the energy transition, with implications for its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.