HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $8.62B
• Dividend Yield: 5.47%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.32M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 35.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.98
• Revenue Growth: -11.17%
• EPS Growth: -109.60%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,297
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): -0.27
• Shares Outstanding: 188,409,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,022,225
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,316,478
• PEG Ratio: 0.31
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.92
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 17.38
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.28
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.09
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.84
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.84
• 1Y Price Target: $46.67
• Price Target Upside: 6.38% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: $47.00 ▲(7.13%Upside)

HF Sinclair Corporation's overall stock score reflects a blend of strengths and challenges. The financial performance is stable but impacted by recent operational difficulties. Technical analysis suggests strong momentum, yet valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. The earnings call highlighted both strategic successes and financial setbacks, contributing to a balanced outlook.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

DINO results beat expectations, while it is positioned well to take advantage of seasonally strengthening cracks in its inland markets.

Management Strategy

Management successfully implementing the producers tax credit could narrow the Renewable Diesel loss to break-even.

Marketing Expansion

Marketing posted a record as DINO expands store count.

Negative Factors

Earnings Challenges

Earnings momentum stalled by seasonal factors.

Renewables Segment

Renewables segment throughput margins are approaching break-even due to continued policy uncertainty.

Valuation Concerns

DINO trades above the view of fair value at around $42/sh.

HF Sinclair Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HF Sinclair Corporation, trading under the symbol DINO, is an energy company primarily engaged in refining and marketing petroleum products. The company operates in sectors including refining, marketing, and logistics, delivering a range of products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, and specialty lubricants. HF Sinclair leverages an integrated network of refineries and distribution channels to serve customers across various regions.

How the Company Makes Money

HF Sinclair Corporation makes money through its core operations in refining and marketing petroleum products. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by the sale of refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. HF Sinclair owns and operates a network of refineries that convert crude oil into these high-demand products, which are then distributed through various channels including retail outlets and wholesale markets. Additionally, the company generates income from its logistics operations, which involve the transportation and storage of petroleum products. Key revenue streams include the sale of refined products, logistics services, and specialty products. Significant partnerships with suppliers and distributors, as well as its strategic positioning in energy markets, also contribute to its earnings.

HF Sinclair Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

HF Sinclair Corporation shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement reveals operational challenges with negative EBIT and net income, but a healthy gross profit margin. The balance sheet is stable with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, though liquidity risks are present due to decreased cash reserves. Cash flow remains positive, indicating good cash management despite recent declines in free cash flow.

Income Statement

HF Sinclair Corporation has shown a volatile revenue trend with recent declines. The TTM data indicates a negative EBIT and net income, suggesting operational challenges. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 28.2% TTM but is offset by negative net profit margins. Previous years showed stronger performance, indicating potential for recovery if operational issues are addressed.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio stands at a solid 55.9% TTM, suggesting financial stability. However, a decrease in cash reserves could pose liquidity risks. Stockholders' equity has remained relatively stable over the years, reflecting consistent shareholder value.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains positive, showing capability to cover operational expenses despite negative net income. The free cash flow has decreased recently, which may affect future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, suggesting good cash management practices.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	28.58B	31.96B	38.20B	18.39B	11.18B
Gross Profit	3.21B	5.14B	6.82B	2.63B	1.43B
EBITDA	1.22B	3.12B	4.76B	1.42B	-99.61M
Net Income	177.00M	1.59B	2.92B	558.32M	-601.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	16.64B	17.72B	18.13B	12.92B	11.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	800.00M	1.35B	1.67B	234.44M	1.37B
Total Debt	3.10B	3.10B	3.56B	3.44B	3.43B
Total Liabilities	7.30B	7.48B	8.11B	6.62B	5.78B
Stockholders Equity	9.28B	10.17B	9.24B	5.69B	5.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	640.00M	1.91B	3.25B	-406.73M	127.77M
Operating Cash Flow	1.11B	2.30B	3.78B	406.68M	457.93M
Investing Cash Flow	-468.00M	-371.32M	-774.49M	-1.33B	-330.16M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.18B	-2.24B	-1.56B	-211.80M	353.23M

HF Sinclair Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 43.87
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DINO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.83, above the 50-day MA of 40.15, and above the 200-day MA of 36.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DINO.

HF Sinclair Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PSX	76 Outperform	$52.09B	29.16	6.48%	3.74%	-7.61%	-66.18%
SUN	72 Outperform	$8.03B	9.45	26.11%	6.72%	-3.59%	22.77%
MPC	68 Neutral	$54.54B	24.94	12.37%	2.08%	-6.39%	-64.50%
Sector *	67 Neutral	$15.28B	9.73	6.25%	5.18%	4.49%	-71.88%
DINO	66 Neutral	$8.62B	35.13	-1.49%	5.47%	-11.17%	-109.60%
VLO	65 Neutral	$46.21B	52.02	3.07%	3.14%	-11.72%	-86.21%
PBF	54 Neutral	$2.81B	―	-18.01%	4.42%	-16.30%	-160.78%

HF Sinclair Corporation Corporate Events

HF Sinclair Highlights Strategic Initiatives in Energy Transition

In March 2025, HF Sinclair Corporation presented to investors, highlighting its strategic initiatives and operational capabilities across various segments. The company has made significant investments in renewable diesel projects, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and supporting alternative energy systems. HF Sinclair’s focus on sustainability and innovation positions it as a key player in the energy transition, with implications for its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.