HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.03B
• Dividend Yield: 5.45%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.62M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 35.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.02
• Revenue Growth: -11.17%
• EPS Growth: -109.60%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,297
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): -0.27
• Shares Outstanding: 188,409,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,494,179
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,617,209
• PEG Ratio: -0.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.52
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.48
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.09
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.15
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.80
• 1Y Price Target: $41.38
• Price Target Upside: 10.91% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: $41.00 ▲(9.89%Upside)

HF Sinclair Corporation's stock score reflects strong technical momentum and a stable financial foundation, offset by current operational and earnings challenges. Strategic moves in renewable energy offer long-term growth potential but require careful execution.

Positive Factors

Dividends

DINO's dividend yield is 6%, which is considered safe despite limited free cash flow generation this year.

Financial Performance

DINO results beat expectations, while it is positioned well to take advantage of seasonally strengthening cracks in its inland markets.

Future Outlook

The company anticipates a relatively positive outlook for 2025 with a tighter supply-demand balance for refined products.

Negative Factors

Market Competition

Investors are expected to favor larger peers who offer higher distribution yields and healthier refining unit margins.

Price Target

The price target for HF Sinclair Corporation has been lowered from $43.00 to $35.00.

Refining Challenges

The refining segment faced significant challenges due to weaker crack spreads and lower margin capture.

HF Sinclair Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HF Sinclair Corporation, trading under the symbol DINO, is an energy company primarily engaged in refining and marketing petroleum products. The company operates in sectors including refining, marketing, and logistics, delivering a range of products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, and specialty lubricants. HF Sinclair leverages an integrated network of refineries and distribution channels to serve customers across various regions.

How the Company Makes Money

HF Sinclair Corporation makes money through its core operations in refining and marketing petroleum products. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by the sale of refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. HF Sinclair owns and operates a network of refineries that convert crude oil into these high-demand products, which are then distributed through various channels including retail outlets and wholesale markets. Additionally, the company generates income from its logistics operations, which involve the transportation and storage of petroleum products. Key revenue streams include the sale of refined products, logistics services, and specialty products. Significant partnerships with suppliers and distributors, as well as its strategic positioning in energy markets, also contribute to its earnings.

HF Sinclair Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

HF Sinclair Corporation shows a robust balance sheet with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio and stable stockholder equity. However, recent operational challenges have led to negative net income, impacting overall financial health. Strong cash management practices partially mitigate these issues.

Income Statement

HF Sinclair Corporation has shown a volatile revenue trend with recent declines. The TTM data indicates a negative EBIT and net income, suggesting operational challenges. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 28.2% TTM but is offset by negative net profit margins. Previous years showed stronger performance, indicating potential for recovery if operational issues are addressed.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio stands at a solid 55.9% TTM, suggesting financial stability. However, a decrease in cash reserves could pose liquidity risks. Stockholders' equity has remained relatively stable over the years, reflecting consistent shareholder value.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains positive, showing capability to cover operational expenses despite negative net income. The free cash flow has decreased recently, which may affect future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, suggesting good cash management practices.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
27.92B	28.58B	31.96B	38.20B	18.39B	11.18B
	Gross Profit
1.69B	3.21B	5.14B	6.82B	2.63B	1.43B
	EBIT
-67.64M	261.00M	2.20B	4.05B	262.10M	-188.45M
	EBITDA
825.43M	1.22B	3.12B	4.76B	1.43B	-103.86M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-141.66M	177.00M	1.59B	2.92B	558.32M	-514.90M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
885.16M	800.00M	1.35B	1.67B	234.44M	1.37B
	Total Assets
12.16B	16.64B	17.72B	18.13B	12.92B	11.51B
	Total Debt
2.83B	3.10B	3.10B	3.56B	3.44B	3.43B
	Net Debt
1.94B	2.30B	1.74B	1.89B	3.20B	2.07B
	Total Liabilities
5.66B	7.30B	7.48B	8.11B	6.62B	5.78B
	Stockholders Equity
5.98B	9.28B	10.17B	9.24B	5.69B	5.17B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
486.09M	640.00M	1.91B	3.25B	-406.73M	127.77M
	Operating Cash Flow
705.73M	1.11B	2.30B	3.78B	406.68M	457.93M
	Investing Cash Flow
-463.30M	-468.00M	-371.32M	-774.49M	-1.33B	-330.16M
	Financing Cash Flow
-926.54M	-1.18B	-2.24B	-1.56B	-211.80M	353.23M

HF Sinclair Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 37.31
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DINO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.29, above the 50-day MA of 32.50, and above the 200-day MA of 36.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DINO.

HF Sinclair Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PSX	72 Outperform	$46.57B	26.07	6.48%	4.00%	-7.61%	-66.18%
MPC	72 Outperform	$49.97B	22.85	12.37%	2.22%	-6.39%	-64.50%
DINO	71 Outperform	$7.03B	35.13	-1.49%	5.45%	-11.17%	-109.60%
VLO	70 Neutral	$40.20B	45.25	3.73%	3.43%	-8.44%	-85.95%
SUN	68 Neutral	$8.14B	9.58	26.11%	6.74%	-3.59%	22.77%
Sector *	58 Neutral	$7.35B	3.36	-4.49%	5.60%	0.82%	-49.15%
PBF	48 Neutral	$2.12B	―	-18.01%	5.66%	-16.30%	-160.78%

HF Sinclair Corporation Corporate Events

HF Sinclair Highlights Strategic Initiatives in Energy Transition

In March 2025, HF Sinclair Corporation presented to investors, highlighting its strategic initiatives and operational capabilities across various segments. The company has made significant investments in renewable diesel projects, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and supporting alternative energy systems. HF Sinclair’s focus on sustainability and innovation positions it as a key player in the energy transition, with implications for its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.