CVR Energy (CVI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.10B
• Dividend Yield: 14.64%
• Average Volume (3M): 968.76K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 268.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.21
• Revenue Growth: -16.21%
• EPS Growth: -130.18%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,595
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): -0.58
• Shares Outstanding: 100,530,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,041,156
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 968,764
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.77
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -17.29
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.67
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.07
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -64.71
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.03
• 1Y Price Target: $23.50
• Price Target Upside: -27.67% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: $31.00 ▼(-4.59%Downside)

CVR Energy's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges with declining revenues and negative margins. While technical indicators show strong momentum, overbought conditions could lead to a pullback. The high dividend yield may not be sustainable given the company's current profitability issues. Improvements in certain segments provide some optimism, but broader challenges remain.

Positive Factors

Fertilizer Segment

The Fertilizer segment is expected to see sequentially higher EBITDA due to seasonal strength in ammonia.

Financial Performance

CVI posted a beat against lowered expectations for the fourth quarter, with particularly strong results in the Renewables segment.

Liquidity

CVI added approximately $400 million in liquidity with the recent sale of its 50% interest in Midway Pipeline and a new $325 million term loan.

Negative Factors

Dividend Reinstatement

Management needs to get past the turnarounds and weak refining outlook to reinstate the dividend, which is a key overhang on the stock.

Earnings

The large turnaround at Coffeyville will keep results subdued in the short term.

Refining Outlook

A more front-loaded impact of the Coffeyville turnaround suggests a lower refining volume outlook combined with higher capital expenditures.

CVR Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CVR Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States. It operates in two segments, Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The Petroleum segment refines and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, and other refined products. It also owns and operates a coking medium-sour crude oil refinery in southeast Kansas; and a crude oil refinery in Wynnewood, Oklahoma, as well as supporting logistics assets. This segment primarily serves retailers, railroads, farm co-operatives, and other refiners/marketers. The Nitrogen Fertilizer segment owns and operates a nitrogen fertilizer plant in North America that utilizes a pet coke gasification process to produce nitrogen fertilizer products; and a nitrogen fertilizer facility in East Dubuque, Illinois that produces nitrogen fertilizers in the form of ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN). It primarily markets UAN products to agricultural customers; and ammonia products to agricultural and industrial customers. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. CVR Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P.

How the Company Makes Money

CVR Energy generates revenue through two main business segments: petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing. The petroleum refining segment involves the production and sale of high-value transportation fuels, such as gasoline and diesel, and other refined products. Key revenue streams include the sale of refined products to wholesale customers, retailers, and directly to consumers through various channels. The nitrogen fertilizer segment involves the production and sale of ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), which are essential for agricultural crop production. Sales in this segment are primarily made to agricultural retailers and distributors. CVR Energy's earnings are significantly influenced by factors such as crude oil prices, refining margins, and agricultural demand, as well as strategic partnerships and market conditions.

CVR Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CVR Energy is facing challenges with declining revenues and margins, particularly with gross profit and net profit margins turning sharply negative or low, impacting its overall profitability. Despite the elimination of debt strengthening the balance sheet, reduced cash flows indicate potential operational difficulties. Revenue growth and margin improvement are necessary to enhance financial performance.

Income Statement

The company experienced a significant decline in revenue from $9.25 billion in 2023 to $7.61 billion in TTM, indicating revenue contraction. Gross profit margin turned negative at -18.8% for TTM, a concerning indicator. Net profit margin plummeted to just 0.09% in TTM from 8.3% in 2023, showing profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins also decreased, highlighting operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows improvement in leverage and liquidity. The company has cleared its total debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, enhancing financial stability. Stockholders' equity ratio improved to 16.49% from 18.0% in 2023. However, the total assets have decreased, indicating possible asset reduction or write-offs.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow decreased significantly from $948 million in 2023 to $306 million in TTM, indicating reduced cash generation from operations. The free cash flow also declined, but the company managed to maintain a positive free cash flow of $168 million. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income is robust but declined compared to previous periods.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.39B	7.61B	9.25B	10.90B	7.24B	3.93B
Gross Profit	-32.00M	197.00M	1.27B	1.13B	218.00M	-189.00M
EBITDA	127.00M	394.00M	1.44B	1.26B	369.00M	-7.00M
Net Income	-198.00M	7.00M	769.00M	644.00M	74.00M	-320.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.25B	4.26B	4.71B	4.12B	3.91B	3.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	695.00M	987.00M	581.00M	510.00M	510.00M	667.00M
Total Debt	0.00	1.94B	2.20B	1.61B	1.67B	1.71B
Total Liabilities	3.48B	3.48B	3.67B	3.59B	3.35B	2.96B
Stockholders Equity	580.00M	703.00M	847.00M	531.00M	553.00M	1.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-160.00M	172.00M	686.00M	693.00M	-159.00M	-193.00M
Operating Cash Flow	32.00M	404.00M	948.00M	967.00M	90.00M	90.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-148.00M	-121.00M	-239.00M	-271.00M	-423.00M	-423.00M
Financing Cash Flow	167.00M	-482.00M	-40.00M	-696.00M	-315.00M	355.00M

CVR Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 32.49
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.09, above the 50-day MA of 24.74, and above the 200-day MA of 21.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.56 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVI.

CVR Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SUN	71 Outperform	$8.05B	9.48	26.11%	6.77%	-3.59%	22.77%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$15.23B	10.08	6.34%	5.20%	4.06%	-66.99%
DINO	66 Neutral	$8.46B	35.13	-1.49%	4.47%	-11.17%	-109.60%
VLO	65 Neutral	$46.56B	52.42	3.73%	3.03%	-8.44%	-85.95%
PBF	59 Neutral	$2.98B	―	-18.01%	4.26%	-16.30%	-160.78%
CVI	55 Neutral	$3.10B	268.82	-27.14%	14.64%	-16.21%	-130.18%
DK	51 Neutral	$1.46B	―	-151.69%	4.19%	-29.23%	-931.43%

CVR Energy Corporate Events

CVR Energy Releases New Investor Presentation

On June 24, 2025, CVR Energy, Inc. will begin utilizing an Investor Presentation in meetings with investors and analysts. This presentation, which includes forward-looking statements, will be available on the company’s website. The release of this presentation is part of CVR Energy’s strategy to communicate its future plans and expectations, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Sell with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

CVR Energy Approves Amended Long-Term Incentive Plan

On June 5, 2025, CVR Energy, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where the company’s amended long-term incentive plan was approved. This plan increases the number of shares reserved from 7,500,000 to 10,000,000 and extends the plan’s term until April 21, 2035. It also introduces new award agreements and clarifies conditions related to compensation recovery policies. Additionally, stockholders elected eight directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditor for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Sell with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

CVR Energy Reports Q1 2025 Net Loss of $123M

CVR Energy reported a challenging first quarter in 2025, with a net loss of $123 million, compared to a net income of $82 million in the same period of 2024. The company’s performance was significantly impacted by planned and unplanned downtime at the Coffeyville refinery, resulting in a substantial decrease in throughput and refining margins. Despite these setbacks, CVR Partners, the company’s nitrogen fertilizer segment, achieved solid results, with increased ammonia production and a declared cash distribution of $2.26 per common unit. The Renewables Segment also showed improvement, reporting a net income of less than $1 million, driven by increased production and sales volumes.