tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Cvr Energy Inc. (CVI)
NYSE:CVI
Advertisement

CVR Energy (CVI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
781 Followers

Top Page

CVI

CVR Energy

(NYSE:CVI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▼(-11.46% Downside)
CVR Energy's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, as evidenced by negative profitability and high leverage. While technical indicators show positive momentum, the negative earnings and high costs highlighted in the earnings call weigh heavily on the score. The high dividend yield provides some valuation appeal, but the overall sentiment remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Fertilizer Segment Demand
The strong demand and higher prices for nitrogen fertilizers indicate a robust market position in the agricultural sector, which can provide a stable revenue stream and offset some volatility in the refining business.
Refining Market Conditions
Improved refining market conditions, with low diesel inventories and steady demand, suggest potential for better margins and profitability in the core refining business, supporting long-term financial health.
Completion of Turnaround
Completing the turnaround and resuming full operations enhances operational efficiency and reduces downtime, which can improve production capacity and cost management, supporting long-term operational stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, as the company relies heavily on debt financing, which can strain cash flows and impact long-term sustainability if not managed carefully.
Negative Profitability Margins
Negative profitability margins highlight challenges in maintaining cost efficiency and pricing power, which can hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable profits and invest in growth opportunities.
Declining Revenue
A declining revenue trend indicates potential market share loss or reduced demand for products, which can weaken the company's competitive position and long-term growth prospects if not addressed.

CVR Energy (CVI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVR Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCVR Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States. It operates in two segments, Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The Petroleum segment refines and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, and other refined products. It also owns and operates a coking medium-sour crude oil refinery in southeast Kansas; and a crude oil refinery in Wynnewood, Oklahoma, as well as supporting logistics assets. This segment primarily serves retailers, railroads, farm co-operatives, and other refiners/marketers. The Nitrogen Fertilizer segment owns and operates a nitrogen fertilizer plant in North America that utilizes a pet coke gasification process to produce nitrogen fertilizer products; and a nitrogen fertilizer facility in East Dubuque, Illinois that produces nitrogen fertilizers in the form of ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN). It primarily markets UAN products to agricultural customers; and ammonia products to agricultural and industrial customers. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. CVR Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVR Energy generates revenue primarily through the refining of crude oil, where it converts raw materials into various refined products that are sold to distributors, retailers, and other customers. The refining segment is the largest contributor to the company's income, with profits largely driven by the crack spread, which is the difference between the cost of crude oil and the selling price of refined products. Additionally, CVR Partners generates revenue through the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizers, which are essential for agricultural applications. The company benefits from strategic partnerships, including those related to its fertilizer production, and it leverages its infrastructure and logistics capabilities to optimize operations and minimize costs, enhancing overall profitability.

CVR Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, including a substantial net loss and increased costs due to higher RIN prices and adverse mark-to-market impacts. However, there were positives such as the completion of the turnaround, improved refining market conditions, and strong demand in the Fertilizer segment. Despite these positives, the overall sentiment leans towards the negative due to the financial losses and cost challenges faced.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Completion of Turnaround and Resumption of Full Operations
The planned turnaround at Coffeyville was completed in April, and full operating rates resumed in July, with no additional turnarounds planned for the Refining segment for the remainder of 2025 and 2026.
Increase in Group 3 2-1-1 Benchmark Cracks
Group 3 2-1-1 benchmark cracks averaged $24.02 per barrel for the second quarter, compared to $18.83 per barrel for the same period last year.
Strong Demand and Higher Prices in Fertilizer Segment
Nitrogen fertilizer prices were higher for both UAN and ammonia compared to the second quarter of 2024, with strong demand through the spring planting season.
Positive Outlook for Refining Segment
Refining market conditions improved with refined product inventories, particularly diesel, nearly 15% below 2021 to '24 averages, and demand remained steady.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Net Loss and Negative EBITDA
Reported a consolidated net loss of $90 million and a loss per share of $1.14, with EBITDA loss of $24 million.
Unfavorable Mark-to-Market Impact
Negative mark-to-market impact on outstanding RFS obligation of $89 million, and an unfavorable inventory valuation impact of $32 million.
Increased RIN Prices Impacting Costs
Average RIN prices for the second quarter were approximately $1.11, an increase of over 70% from the prior year period, impacting costs.
Renewable Segment Challenges
Adjusted EBITDA in the Renewable segment was a loss of $4 million, impacted by higher soybean oil prices and lower diesel prices.
Company Guidance
During the CVR Energy Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a consolidated net loss of $90 million, equating to a loss per share of $1.14, and an EBITDA loss of $24 million. The results were influenced by an unfavorable mark-to-market impact of $89 million on their Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) obligation and an additional $32 million of unfavorable inventory valuation impact. The Petroleum segment's throughput was approximately 172,000 barrels per day, with a significant light product yield of 99% on crude oil processed. The Group 3 2-1-1 benchmark crack spreads averaged $24.02 per barrel, while average RIN prices rose sharply to $1.11 per RVO weighted basis. The Fertilizer segment showed resilience with an ammonia utilization rate of 91% and increased nitrogen fertilizer prices. Looking ahead, the company estimates third-quarter throughput for the Petroleum segment to be between 200,000 to 215,000 barrels per day, with direct operating expenses projected between $105 million and $115 million. Total consolidated capital spending for 2025 is expected to range from $165 million to $200 million, with turnaround spending estimated at $190 million.

CVR Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CVR Energy is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and high leverage. The company's ability to generate cash flow is constrained, impacting its financial flexibility. Recent trends indicate a need for strategic adjustments to improve financial health and stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
CVR Energy's income statement shows significant volatility. The TTM data reveals negative margins across the board, with a gross profit margin of -2.42% and a net profit margin of -4.62%. This indicates challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue has decreased by 2.79% compared to the previous period, highlighting a declining trend. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and profitability, with a notable decline in recent periods.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 3.97, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative at -54.79%, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 11.70%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing relative to total assets, which may pose financial stability risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a challenging environment with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -130%, indicating a significant decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating some ability to generate cash flow despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.19B7.61B9.25B10.90B7.24B3.93B
Gross Profit-174.00M197.00M1.27B1.41B218.00M87.00M
EBITDA3.00M394.00M1.44B1.26B453.00M-7.00M
Net Income-332.00M7.00M769.00M463.00M25.00M-256.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.98B4.26B4.71B4.12B3.91B3.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments596.00M987.00M581.00M510.00M510.00M667.00M
Total Debt1.85B1.94B2.20B1.61B1.67B1.73B
Total Liabilities3.32B3.38B3.67B3.33B3.14B2.76B
Stockholders Equity466.00M703.00M847.00M531.00M553.00M1.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.00M172.00M686.00M693.00M-159.00M-193.00M
Operating Cash Flow146.00M404.00M948.00M967.00M90.00M90.00M
Investing Cash Flow-259.00M-121.00M-239.00M-271.00M-238.00M-423.00M
Financing Cash Flow142.00M-482.00M-40.00M-696.00M-315.00M355.00M

CVR Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.40
Price Trends
50DMA
33.42
Positive
100DMA
30.49
Positive
200DMA
25.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Negative
RSI
70.44
Negative
STOCH
93.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.21, above the 50-day MA of 33.42, and above the 200-day MA of 25.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVI.

CVR Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$8.18B26.266.62%6.62%-8.65%-73.25%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$10.20B-0.93%3.65%-14.58%-107.50%
$3.86B-11.59-50.65%6.90%-15.98%-160.88%
$2.03B-1.59%-13.09%-103.24%
$2.25B-2.70-200.75%2.69%-29.94%-723.41%
$3.79B-3.81-17.30%3.29%-18.73%-236.79%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVI
CVR Energy
38.40
21.29
124.43%
DK
Delek US Holdings
37.85
22.74
150.50%
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
52.93
14.19
36.63%
PBF
PBF Energy
32.78
5.24
19.03%
SUN
Sunoco
53.46
5.71
11.96%
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings
39.64
23.96
152.81%

CVR Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
CVR Energy Unveils New Investor Presentation Strategy
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, CVR Energy, Inc. will begin using a new Investor Presentation in meetings with investors and analysts. The presentation, which contains forward-looking statements, is available on the company’s website. This move is part of CVR Energy’s efforts to communicate its strategic priorities, including optimizing operations, improving financial performance, and enhancing its market positioning. The announcement highlights the company’s focus on renewable energy and its plans to leverage its assets for long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Sell with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
EPA Grants Waivers to CVR Energy’s Subsidiary
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 22, 2025, the Environmental Protection Agency issued a decision document to CVR Energy‘s subsidiary, Wynnewood Refining Company, affirming past grants of small refinery hardship relief under the Renewable Fuel Standard for 2017 and 2018, and providing waivers for subsequent years up to 2024. This decision could significantly reduce Wynnewood’s renewable fuel credit obligations by over 400 million RINs, impacting CVR Energy’s financial statements and potentially benefiting stakeholders by easing regulatory burdens.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

CVR Energy’s Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook with Key Gains
Aug 2, 2025

CVR Energy’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for the company, reflecting both positive developments and ongoing challenges. While there were notable improvements in crack spreads and a strong performance in the Fertilizer segment, the company faced significant hurdles, including a consolidated net loss, high RIN prices, and reduced throughput due to planned turnarounds. The sentiment expressed during the call was balanced, highlighting both the progress and the obstacles ahead for CVR Energy.

CVR Energy Reports Q2 Loss, Announces Leadership Change
Aug 1, 2025

CVR Energy, Inc., headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, is a diversified holding company engaged in renewable fuels, petroleum refining, and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing through its interest in CVR Partners.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
CVR Energy Appoints Brett Icahn to Board
Negative
Jul 30, 2025

CVR Energy reported a net loss of $114 million for the second quarter of 2025, a significant decline from the $21 million net income in the same period of 2024. The company’s refining business was adversely affected by an $89 million unfavorable mark-to-market impact on its Renewable Fuel Standard obligation and reduced throughput volumes. Additionally, CVR Energy announced a leadership transition with Mark Pytosh set to become President and CEO in January 2026, following Dave Lamp’s retirement. Brett Icahn was appointed to the Board of Directors effective August 1, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Sell with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025