CVR Energy (CVI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.69B
• Dividend Yield: 7.57%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.30M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 268.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.26
• Revenue Growth: -15.98%
• EPS Growth: -160.88%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,595
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): -0.23
• Shares Outstanding: 100,530,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,905,170
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,302,698
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.14
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.58
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -24.15
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.40K
• 1Y Price Target: $29.67
• Price Target Upside: -18.58% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: $34.00 ▼(-6.70% Downside)

CVR Energy's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance and negative earnings call sentiment. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the financial instability and negative profitability weigh heavily. The high dividend yield offers some valuation support, but the negative P/E ratio and financial losses are concerning.

Positive Factors

Regulatory Relief

The EPA's waivers significantly reduce regulatory costs, enhancing CVR Energy's financial flexibility and improving long-term profitability.

Fertilizer Segment Strength

The robust performance of the fertilizer segment provides a stable revenue stream, supporting CVR Energy's diversification and resilience against oil market volatility.

Completion of Turnaround

The completion of the turnaround allows CVR Energy to operate at full capacity, potentially increasing output and improving efficiency in the refining segment.

Negative Factors

Financial Challenges

High leverage and declining revenues strain CVR Energy's financial health, limiting its ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns effectively.

Negative Profitability Margins

Negative margins indicate operational inefficiencies and pricing pressures, challenging CVR Energy's ability to sustain profitability in the long term.

Cash Flow Constraints

Declining cash flow constrains CVR Energy's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, impacting its long-term growth prospects and financial stability.

CVR Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CVR Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States. It operates in two segments, Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The Petroleum segment refines and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, and other refined products. It also owns and operates a coking medium-sour crude oil refinery in southeast Kansas; and a crude oil refinery in Wynnewood, Oklahoma, as well as supporting logistics assets. This segment primarily serves retailers, railroads, farm co-operatives, and other refiners/marketers. The Nitrogen Fertilizer segment owns and operates a nitrogen fertilizer plant in North America that utilizes a pet coke gasification process to produce nitrogen fertilizer products; and a nitrogen fertilizer facility in East Dubuque, Illinois that produces nitrogen fertilizers in the form of ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN). It primarily markets UAN products to agricultural customers; and ammonia products to agricultural and industrial customers. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. CVR Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P.

How the Company Makes Money

CVR Energy generates revenue primarily through the refining of crude oil, where it converts raw materials into various refined products that are sold to distributors, retailers, and other customers. The refining segment is the largest contributor to the company's income, with profits largely driven by the crack spread, which is the difference between the cost of crude oil and the selling price of refined products. Additionally, CVR Partners generates revenue through the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizers, which are essential for agricultural applications. The company benefits from strategic partnerships, including those related to its fertilizer production, and it leverages its infrastructure and logistics capabilities to optimize operations and minimize costs, enhancing overall profitability.

CVR Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CVR Energy is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and high leverage. The company's ability to generate cash flow is constrained, impacting its financial flexibility. Recent trends indicate a need for strategic adjustments to improve financial health and stability.

Income Statement

CVR Energy's income statement shows significant volatility. The TTM data reveals negative margins across the board, with a gross profit margin of -2.42% and a net profit margin of -4.62%. This indicates challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue has decreased by 2.79% compared to the previous period, highlighting a declining trend. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and profitability, with a notable decline in recent periods.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 3.97, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative at -54.79%, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 11.70%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing relative to total assets, which may pose financial stability risks.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a challenging environment with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -130%, indicating a significant decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating some ability to generate cash flow despite net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.19B	7.61B	9.25B	10.90B	7.24B	3.93B
Gross Profit	-174.00M	197.00M	1.27B	1.41B	218.00M	87.00M
EBITDA	3.00M	394.00M	1.44B	1.26B	453.00M	-7.00M
Net Income	-332.00M	7.00M	769.00M	463.00M	25.00M	-256.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.98B	4.26B	4.71B	4.12B	3.91B	3.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	596.00M	987.00M	581.00M	510.00M	510.00M	667.00M
Total Debt	1.85B	1.94B	2.20B	1.61B	1.67B	1.73B
Total Liabilities	3.32B	3.38B	3.67B	3.33B	3.14B	2.76B
Stockholders Equity	466.00M	703.00M	847.00M	531.00M	553.00M	1.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	48.00M	172.00M	686.00M	693.00M	-159.00M	-193.00M
Operating Cash Flow	146.00M	404.00M	948.00M	967.00M	90.00M	90.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-259.00M	-121.00M	-239.00M	-271.00M	-238.00M	-423.00M
Financing Cash Flow	142.00M	-482.00M	-40.00M	-696.00M	-315.00M	355.00M

CVR Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 36.44
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.74, above the 50-day MA of 30.79, and above the 200-day MA of 24.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVI.

CVR Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SUN	66 Neutral	$7.76B	24.91	6.62%	7.04%	-8.65%	-73.25%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
DINO	65 Neutral	$9.76B	35.13	-0.93%	3.85%	-14.58%	-107.50%
CVI	56 Neutral	$3.69B	268.82	-50.65%	7.57%	-15.98%	-160.88%
PARR	52 Neutral	$1.79B	3.02	-1.59%	―	-13.09%	-103.24%
DK	51 Neutral	$1.93B	―	-200.75%	3.19%	-29.94%	-723.41%
PBF	51 Neutral	$3.59B	―	-17.30%	3.67%	-18.73%	-236.79%

CVR Energy Corporate Events

CVR Energy Unveils New Investor Presentation Strategy

On September 2, 2025, CVR Energy, Inc. will begin using a new Investor Presentation in meetings with investors and analysts. The presentation, which contains forward-looking statements, is available on the company’s website. This move is part of CVR Energy’s efforts to communicate its strategic priorities, including optimizing operations, improving financial performance, and enhancing its market positioning. The announcement highlights the company’s focus on renewable energy and its plans to leverage its assets for long-term value creation.

EPA Grants Waivers to CVR Energy’s Subsidiary

On August 22, 2025, the Environmental Protection Agency issued a decision document to CVR Energy‘s subsidiary, Wynnewood Refining Company, affirming past grants of small refinery hardship relief under the Renewable Fuel Standard for 2017 and 2018, and providing waivers for subsequent years up to 2024. This decision could significantly reduce Wynnewood’s renewable fuel credit obligations by over 400 million RINs, impacting CVR Energy’s financial statements and potentially benefiting stakeholders by easing regulatory burdens.

CVR Energy Appoints Brett Icahn to Board

CVR Energy reported a net loss of $114 million for the second quarter of 2025, a significant decline from the $21 million net income in the same period of 2024. The company’s refining business was adversely affected by an $89 million unfavorable mark-to-market impact on its Renewable Fuel Standard obligation and reduced throughput volumes. Additionally, CVR Energy announced a leadership transition with Mark Pytosh set to become President and CEO in January 2026, following Dave Lamp’s retirement. Brett Icahn was appointed to the Board of Directors effective August 1, 2025.

CVR Energy Releases New Investor Presentation

On June 24, 2025, CVR Energy, Inc. will begin utilizing an Investor Presentation in meetings with investors and analysts. This presentation, which includes forward-looking statements, will be available on the company’s website. The release of this presentation is part of CVR Energy’s strategy to communicate its future plans and expectations, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.