CVR Energy (CVI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.31B
• Dividend Yield: 10.5%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.06M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.39
• Revenue Growth: -7.21%
• EPS Growth: 135.72%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,595
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): 0.40
• Shares Outstanding: 100,530,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,187,652
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,060,847
• PEG Ratio: -2.72
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.25
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.95
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.22
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.70
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 11.25
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.74
• 1Y Price Target: $28.50
• Price Target Upside: 20.51% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.31
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $7.16B

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: $26.00 ▲(9.94% Upside)

The score is held back mainly by weak price/momentum signals and mixed fundamentals, particularly high leverage and deteriorating free-cash-flow growth. This is partially offset by supportive valuation (high dividend yield with a moderate P/E) and a generally positive earnings-call backdrop with strong segment performance despite continued renewables challenges.

Positive Factors

Petroleum Segment Success

High utilization rates and increased throughput in the petroleum segment indicate strong operational efficiency and market demand, supporting long-term revenue stability.

Resolution of RFS Obligations

The reduction in RFS obligations enhances financial flexibility and reduces regulatory burden, positively impacting long-term financial health.

Fertilizer Segment Growth

Growth in the fertilizer segment through higher sales prices strengthens revenue diversification and supports overall profitability.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, posing a risk to long-term stability and growth.

Cash Flow Challenges

Negative cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity issues, which could hinder investment in growth opportunities and operational resilience.

Renewables Segment Losses

Losses in the renewables segment highlight challenges in diversifying energy offerings, impacting long-term strategic positioning in sustainable energy markets.

CVR Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CVR Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States. It operates in two segments, Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The Petroleum segment refines and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, and other refined products. It also owns and operates a coking medium-sour crude oil refinery in southeast Kansas; and a crude oil refinery in Wynnewood, Oklahoma, as well as supporting logistics assets. This segment primarily serves retailers, railroads, farm co-operatives, and other refiners/marketers. The Nitrogen Fertilizer segment owns and operates a nitrogen fertilizer plant in North America that utilizes a pet coke gasification process to produce nitrogen fertilizer products; and a nitrogen fertilizer facility in East Dubuque, Illinois that produces nitrogen fertilizers in the form of ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN). It primarily markets UAN products to agricultural customers; and ammonia products to agricultural and industrial customers. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. CVR Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P.

How the Company Makes Money

CVR Energy generates revenue primarily through the refining and sale of petroleum products. The Refining segment contributes significantly to its earnings by converting crude oil into various refined products, which are then sold to wholesalers, retailers, and other customers. Additionally, the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment provides another revenue stream by producing and selling nitrogen-based fertilizers used in agriculture, catering to farmers and agricultural distributors. Factors such as fluctuating crude oil prices, refining margins, and demand for fertilizer products play a crucial role in the company's profitability. Strategic partnerships, such as those with suppliers and distribution networks, enhance CVR Energy's ability to optimize operations and maximize revenue.

CVR Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CVR Energy is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and high leverage. The company's ability to generate cash flow is constrained, impacting its financial flexibility. Recent trends indicate a need for strategic adjustments to improve financial health and stability.

Income Statement

CVR Energy's income statement shows significant volatility. The TTM data reveals negative margins across the board, with a gross profit margin of -2.42% and a net profit margin of -4.62%. This indicates challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue has decreased by 2.79% compared to the previous period, highlighting a declining trend. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and profitability, with a notable decline in recent periods.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 3.97, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative at -54.79%, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 11.70%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing relative to total assets, which may pose financial stability risks.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a challenging environment with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -130%, indicating a significant decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating some ability to generate cash flow despite net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.30B	7.61B	9.25B	10.90B	7.24B	3.93B
Gross Profit	455.00M	197.00M	1.27B	1.12B	209.00M	-199.00M
EBITDA	661.00M	394.00M	1.44B	1.17B	462.00M	-7.00M
Net Income	166.00M	7.00M	769.00M	463.00M	25.00M	-256.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.99B	4.26B	4.71B	4.12B	3.91B	3.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	670.00M	987.00M	581.00M	510.00M	510.00M	667.00M
Total Debt	1.86B	1.94B	2.20B	1.61B	1.67B	1.71B
Total Liabilities	2.95B	3.38B	3.67B	3.33B	3.14B	2.76B
Stockholders Equity	840.00M	703.00M	847.00M	531.00M	553.00M	1.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-103.00M	172.00M	686.00M	693.00M	147.00M	-193.00M
Operating Cash Flow	242.00M	404.00M	948.00M	967.00M	396.00M	90.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-266.00M	-121.00M	-239.00M	-271.00M	-238.00M	-423.00M
Financing Cash Flow	160.00M	-482.00M	-40.00M	-696.00M	-315.00M	355.00M

CVR Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 23.65
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.66, below the 50-day MA of 32.60, and below the 200-day MA of 28.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 14.57 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CVI.

CVR Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SUN	68 Neutral	$8.05B	17.94	8.27%	6.88%	-5.18%	-33.14%
DINO	68 Neutral	$8.86B	23.17	4.07%	4.26%	-9.55%	27.65%
PARR	67 Neutral	$1.80B	7.56	17.81%	―	-10.11%	-7.00%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CVI	56 Neutral	$2.31B	14.40	21.78%	10.50%	-7.21%	135.72%
PBF	49 Neutral	$3.15B	―	-9.47%	4.14%	-15.35%	-81.94%
DK	49 Neutral	$1.76B	-3.58	-115.95%	3.42%	-22.37%	-27.22%

CVR Energy Corporate Events

CVR Energy Sets 2026 Capex Plan, Highlights Core Operations

On December 31, 2025, subsidiaries of CVR Energy prepaid $75 million of principal on the company’s senior secured term loan facility, cutting the outstanding balance to about $165 million and marking repayment of half the loan issued in December 2024 as part of its deleveraging strategy. On January 5, 2026, the company also outlined a 2026 consolidated capital expenditure plan of $200 million to $240 million, with most spending directed to maintenance and selective growth projects in the Petroleum segment and $60 million to $75 million earmarked for the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, while renewables-related capex is expected to be minimal following the December 2025 reversion of its renewable diesel unit to hydrocarbon service, underscoring a focus on balance-sheet strengthening and core hydrocarbon operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

CVR Energy Announces New President and CEO Appointment

On December 23, 2025, CVR Energy, Inc.’s board appointed Mark A. Pytosh, a long-time executive within the CVR group, as President and Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2026, succeeding David L. Lamp, who will step down from those roles as of December 31, 2025. Pytosh, 60, who has served as the Company’s Executive Vice President – Corporate Services since 2018 and as President and CEO of the general partner of CVR Partners, LP since 2014, will retain his leadership and board roles at CVR Partners while assuming the top executive position and a new directorship at CVR Energy, as the board expands from nine to ten members; he will not receive additional board compensation while employed, and the company disclosed that there are no related-party transactions, pre-arranged selection understandings, or family relationships influencing his appointment, underscoring a continuity-focused but formally independent leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Sell with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

CVR Energy Releases New Investor Presentation

On November 20, 2025, CVR Energy, Inc. will begin using a new Investor Presentation in meetings with investors and analysts. This presentation, which includes forward-looking statements, will be available on the company’s website. The company emphasizes that the information provided is not intended to be material or complete for investment decisions, and it will not be subject to liability under the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.

CVR Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Turnaround

CVR Energy reported a significant financial turnaround in the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $374 million compared to a net loss of $124 million in the same period in 2024. This improvement was driven by a $488 million benefit from an EPA decision, increased crude utilization, and higher refining margins. The company also announced a cash distribution of $4.02 per common unit by CVR Partners. However, the Renewables Segment faced challenges, reporting a net loss and deciding to revert a renewable diesel unit back to hydrocarbon processing due to unfavorable economics. The Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment saw increased net income and EBITDA, aided by higher realized gate prices for ammonia and UAN.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVI) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVR Energy stock, see the CVI Stock Forecast page.