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Delek US Holdings (DK)
NYSE:DK

Delek US Holdings (DK) AI Stock Analysis

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DK

Delek US Holdings

(NYSE:DK)

49Neutral
Delek US Holdings' stock score reflects a challenging financial environment with ongoing profitability and cash flow issues, despite improvements in operational efficiency. The technical analysis shows a bearish trend, aligning with the financial struggles. Valuation concerns persist with a negative P/E ratio, though a high dividend yield offers some appeal. Positive earnings call highlights and strategic corporate events provide a more optimistic outlook, yet significant challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Higher Logistics earnings reflect Gravity Water Midstream acquisition closing.
Cash Flow Improvement
The company mentioned it is making significant progress in its Enterprise Optimization Plan and is now on track to achieve the higher end of the $80mm-120mm cash flow improvement target by 2H25.
Strategic Initiatives
DK has made remarkable progress on the strategic initiatives aimed at unlocking its sum-of-the-parts value, having closed all the deals announced at the 2Q call and now focusing on improving its overall cost structure and performance in Refining with its Enterprise Optimization Plan.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
DK is expected to miss current consensus earnings estimates, with negative EBITDA and EPS, as lower crack spreads drove earnings downward.
Operating Expenses
Higher operating expenses and elevated natural gas prices are impacting the company's financial performance.
Tariffs
The 10% tariff on Canadian crude is broadly seen as a negative impact, particularly affecting Midwest refineries.

Delek US Holdings (DK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Delek US Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDelek US Holdings, Inc. engages in the integrated downstream energy business in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Logistics, and Retail. The Refining segment processes crude oil and other feedstock for the manufacture of various grades of gasoline, diesel fuel, aviation fuel, asphalt, and other petroleum-based products that are distributed through owned and third-party product terminal. It owns and operates four independent refineries located in Tyler, Texas; El Dorado, Arkansas; Big Spring, Texas; and Krotz Springs, Louisiana, as well as three biodiesel facilities in Crossett, Arkansas, Cleburne, Texas, and New Albany. The Logistics segment gathers, transports, and stores crude oil, intermediate, and refined products; and markets, distributes, transports, and stores refined products for third parties. It owns or leases capacity on approximately 400 miles of crude oil transportation pipelines, approximately 450 miles of refined product pipelines, an approximately 900-mile crude oil gathering system, and associated crude oil storage tanks with an aggregate of approximately 10.2 million barrels of active shell capacity; and owns and operates ten light product distribution terminals, as well as markets light products using third-party terminals. The Retail segment owns and leases 248 convenience store sites located primarily in West Texas and New Mexico. Its convenience stores offer various grades of gasoline and diesel under the DK or Alon brand; and food products and service, tobacco products, non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages, and general merchandise, as well as money orders to the public primarily under the 7-Eleven and DK or Alon brand names. It serves oil companies, independent refiners and marketers, jobbers, distributors, utility and transportation companies, the U.S. government, and independent retail fuel operators. Delek US Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyDelek US Holdings generates revenue through its three core segments. The refining segment is the largest revenue contributor, where the company processes crude oil into refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, which are then sold to wholesale and retail customers. The logistics segment earns money by providing crude oil gathering, transportation, and storage services, as well as services related to refined product pipelines and terminals. Delek's retail segment generates income through the sale of fuel and convenience store merchandise at its retail locations. Key partnerships, such as supply agreements with major oil producers and distributors, enhance its operational capabilities and contribute to its overall earnings.

Delek US Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Delek US Holdings faces financial instability with declining revenues and profitability issues reflected in the TTM data. Operational improvements are evident in gross profit margin, yet significant challenges remain in achieving positive net income and cash flows. The balance sheet shows a stronger equity position, but ongoing profitability and cash flow issues pose risks. Strategic focus on improving operational efficiency and cash generation is essential for financial sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows significant volatility with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reflecting negative EBIT and net income margins of -0.40% and -4.65%, respectively. Revenue has fluctuated over the years with a recent decline from 2022 to 2023. Gross profit margin improved in TTM to 20.76%, indicating potential operational efficiency gains despite overall profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a substantial improvement in the debt-to-equity ratio from 3.16 in 2023 to 0.19 in TTM, driven by a reduction in total debt and an increase in stockholders' equity. The equity ratio increased to 8.63% in TTM, providing a more balanced capital structure. However, low return on equity (ROE) in TTM indicates challenges in generating returns on shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow in TTM, signaling potential liquidity challenges. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio also deteriorated, underscoring difficulties in maintaining positive cash flows amidst operational losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.85B16.92B20.25B10.65B7.30B
Gross Profit
-67.90M1.04B924.60M171.80M-243.00M
EBIT
-491.50M279.90M489.50M-130.40M-728.00M
EBITDA
-18.50M664.00M899.30M324.60M-336.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-560.40M19.80M257.10M-170.50M-570.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
735.60M822.20M841.30M856.50M787.50M
Total Assets
6.67B7.17B8.19B6.73B6.13B
Total Debt
107.50M2.77B3.23B2.42B2.53B
Net Debt
-628.10M1.94B2.38B1.57B1.74B
Total Liabilities
6.09B6.21B7.12B5.78B5.01B
Stockholders Equity
575.20M845.50M943.60M827.70M1.01B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-497.40M589.70M113.90M148.20M-555.10M
Operating Cash Flow
-66.80M1.01B425.30M371.40M-282.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-603.20M-408.00M-931.60M-178.40M-191.30M
Financing Cash Flow
221.70M-624.70M491.10M-124.00M306.40M

Delek US Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.79
Price Trends
50DMA
14.43
Negative
100DMA
16.18
Negative
200DMA
17.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Negative
RSI
51.40
Neutral
STOCH
63.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.80, below the 50-day MA of 14.43, and below the 200-day MA of 17.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DK.

Delek US Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SUSUN
74
Outperform
$8.84B9.6628.38%6.16%-1.63%80.11%
60
Neutral
$782.65M3.02-2.64%-3.13%-105.02%
56
Neutral
$6.99B3.72-4.39%5.96%-0.24%-48.44%
54
Neutral
$931.32M46.96666.62%8.68%-6.57%-50.55%
PBPBF
51
Neutral
$1.93B-8.87%6.30%-13.59%-127.47%
DKDK
49
Neutral
$853.13M-108.21%7.52%-28.68%-4373.94%
CVCVI
46
Neutral
$2.03B268.82-27.14%10.34%-16.21%-130.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DK
Delek US Holdings
13.79
-11.57
-45.62%
CVI
CVR Energy
20.20
-8.35
-29.25%
PBF
PBF Energy
17.53
-32.59
-65.02%
SUN
Sunoco
57.94
6.15
11.87%
CAPL
Crossamerica Partners
24.47
3.80
18.38%
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings
14.40
-15.93
-52.52%

Delek US Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -14.51%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record quarterly adjusted EBITDA, significant acquisitions enhancing the company's position, and optimistic future guidance. Despite a minor setback in the wholesale marketing and terminalling segment, the overall outlook remains positive with strategic initiatives like a buyback program and continued distribution increases.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA
Delek Logistics Partners reported approximately $107 million in quarterly adjusted EBITDA, marking another record quarter for the company.
Significant Acquisitions and Expansions
The company completed the acquisition of Delek's portion in the Wink to Webster pipeline and announced acquisitions in the Midland Basin, Edge Draw Midstream, and Gravity Water Midstream.
2025 EBITDA Guidance
Delek Logistics initiated a strong 2025 EBITDA guidance of $480 to $520 million, representing around 20% growth over 2024 adjusted EBITDA.
Strategic Buyback Program
The board of directors authorized a $150 million buyback from the sponsor, Delek US Holdings, Inc., to enhance value for the Delek Logistics unit holders.
Consecutive Quarterly Distribution Increase
The board approved the 48th consecutive increase in the quarterly distribution to $1.10 per unit.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling EBITDA
Wholesale marketing and terminalling adjusted EBITDA was $21.2 million compared to $28.4 million in the prior year, primarily due to lower wholesale margins and the impact of intercompany transactions.
Company Guidance
During the Delek US Holdings, Inc. Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, key guidance metrics were outlined, reflecting a strong fiscal performance and optimistic outlook for 2025. Delek Logistics reported a record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of approximately $107 million for Q4 2024 and set a robust EBITDA guidance range of $480 to $520 million for 2025, representing a growth of around 20% over the previous year. The company plans to spend approximately $75 million on completing the Lindy processing plant expansion and $160 million on growth and maintenance projects in 2025. Furthermore, Delek Logistics announced a $150 million unit buyback to enhance value for its unit holders, with the board approving a 48th consecutive quarterly distribution increase to $1.10 per unit. The company closed the Gravity Water Midstream acquisition, bringing liquidity to approximately $530 million, and aims to return the DCF coverage ratio to its long-term objective of 1.3 times by the second half of 2025. Additionally, multiple strategic acquisitions and expansions within the Permian Basin were highlighted as key growth drivers for the upcoming year.

Delek US Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Delek US Holdings Stockholders Approve Key Amendments
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Delek US Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where the stockholders approved the Sixth Amendment to the 2016 Long-Term Incentive Plan. This amendment increases the number of shares reserved for issuance by 1,900,000, bringing the total to 18,910,000 shares. Additionally, all ten nominees for the board of directors were elected, and the company’s executive compensation program was approved on an advisory basis. The appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was also ratified.

Spark’s Take on DK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, DK is a Neutral.

Delek US Holdings’ overall stock score reflects the company’s financial instability and bearish technical outlook, which are significant concerns. However, the positive sentiment from recent earnings calls and corporate events, along with a high dividend yield, provide some supportive factors. Strategic efforts to improve profitability and cash flow are crucial for future performance.

To see Spark’s full report on DK stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Delek US Holdings Appoints New Executive VP and CFO
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

Delek US Holdings, Inc. and Delek Logistics Partners, LP announced that Robert Wright will serve as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Partnership starting April 1, 2025. He will also be promoted to Executive Vice President of the Company on November 15, 2025, while Mark Hobbs will continue as the Company’s CFO. Wright’s compensation package includes a base salary increase and a long-term incentive award, with provisions for severance if his promotion does not occur by the specified date.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Delek US Holdings Announces Common Unit Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Delek Logistics Partners, LP entered into a Common Unit Purchase Agreement with Delek US Holdings, Inc., allowing the repurchase of common units for up to $150 million through December 31, 2026. This strategic move, approved by the Board and independent committees, aims to enhance Delek Logistics’ cash flow and provide a tax-efficient method for Delek US to progress its Sum of the Parts goals. In 2024, Delek US faced a net loss of $413.8 million but made significant strides in improving profitability, including asset sales and strategic acquisitions. The company announced an Enterprise Optimization Plan expected to increase profitability by $120 million, and Delek Logistics reported a strong full-year EBITDA guidance. Despite challenging market conditions, Delek US aims to continue enhancing shareholder value and financial strength.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Delek US Appoints Reuven Spiegel as Executive VP
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Delek US Holdings, Inc. announced that Reuven Spiegel will take on the role of Executive Vice President, Delek Logistics, effective February 12, 2025, while transitioning from his position as Chief Financial Officer on March 1, 2025. Mr. Spiegel’s extensive experience includes serving as CEO of Israel Discount Bank and IDB Bank of NY, and his new role may enhance Delek’s strategic positioning within the logistics sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.