Delek US Holdings (DK)
NYSE:DK
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Delek US Holdings (DK) AI Stock Analysis

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DK

Delek US Holdings

(NYSE:DK)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(9.25% Upside)
Delek US Holdings' overall score is primarily impacted by significant financial challenges, including negative net income and high leverage. However, strong earnings call performance and bullish technical indicators provide some positive outlook. The valuation remains weak due to negative earnings, but the dividend yield offers some shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Increased EOP Guidance
The increased EOP guidance reflects strategic improvements, indicating enhanced operational efficiency and potential for higher profitability.
EPA Approval of SRE Petitions
The EPA's approval of SRE petitions provides a significant financial boost, enhancing cash flow and supporting future operations.
Record Throughput in Krotz Springs
Consistent record throughput at Krotz Springs demonstrates strong operational capabilities and efficiency, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows highlight liquidity challenges, which can constrain operations and necessitate strategic adjustments to stabilize finances.
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue reflects a downturn in sales, which could undermine market position and necessitate strategic shifts to regain growth.

Delek US Holdings (DK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Delek US Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDelek US Holdings, Inc. is a diversified energy company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the refining, logistics, and retail sectors of the petroleum industry. The company operates through three main segments: refining, logistics, and retail. Delek's refining segment includes the operation of refineries that process crude oil into various petroleum products, while its logistics segment encompasses the transportation and storage of these products. The retail segment consists of a network of convenience stores and gas stations that sell fuel and convenience items to consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyDelek US Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of refined petroleum products, which are produced at its refineries. The refining segment earns money by transforming crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other petrochemicals, which are then sold to wholesalers, distributors, and directly to retail outlets. The logistics segment contributes to revenue by charging fees for the transportation and storage of crude oil and refined products, leveraging its pipeline systems and terminal facilities. Additionally, the retail segment generates income from fuel sales and in-store merchandise. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and other energy companies also enhance its distribution capabilities and can lead to increased revenue opportunities.

Delek US Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with increased guidance across key business areas, buoyed by strategic optimizations and favorable regulatory outcomes. However, there are challenges in realizing full benefits from SREs and increased operating expenses projected for the next quarter.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EPS and EBITDA
Delek reported strong adjusted EPS of $1.52 and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $319 million, reflecting strong momentum across business units.
Increased EOP Guidance
The enterprise optimization plan (EOP) guidance increased to at least $180 million on an annual run rate basis, up from a midpoint of $150 million.
EPA Approval of SRE Petitions
EPA approved several pending 2019 to 2024 SRE petitions, expecting to receive approximately $400 million for monetization of granted RINs.
Delek Logistics EBITDA Guidance Increased
DKL's full year 2025 EBITDA guidance increased to between $500 million and $520 million due to strong progress in the Permian Basin.
Record Throughput in Krotz Springs
Achieved a third consecutive record high throughput in Krotz Springs, reflecting strong operational performance.
High Total Return Yield
Delek had the highest total return yield among refining peers, with buybacks and dividends enhancing shareholder returns.
Negative Updates
Invalid EPA Remedy for SREs 2019-2022
While EPA cleared the backlog of SRE petitions, the remedy for 2019 to 2022 was deemed invalid, creating uncertainty in full value realization.
Challenges in Monetizing SREs
The monetization of SREs will occur over 6 to 9 months, with potential risks in realizing the full $400 million expected.
Increased Operating Expenses
Guidance for operating expenses in Q4 2025 is set to increase between $205 million and $220 million.
Company Guidance
During Delek US's third-quarter earnings call, several key financial metrics and strategic updates were highlighted. The company reported a strong adjusted EPS of $1.52 and an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $319 million, excluding small refinery exemptions (SREs). The guidance for the Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP) was raised to at least $180 million on an annual run-rate basis, reflecting improvements across all business units. Delek Logistics (DKL) increased its full-year 2025 EBITDA guidance to between $500 million and $520 million, driven by progress in the Permian Basin. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) approved several pending SRE petitions from 2019 to 2024, with expected proceeds of approximately $400 million over the next 6 to 9 months. The company emphasized its ongoing commitment to safe and reliable operations, strong balance sheet maintenance, and shareholder-friendly capital allocation, including $15 million in dividends and $15 million in share repurchases during the quarter.

Delek US Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Delek US Holdings faces significant financial challenges with negative net income, declining revenue, high leverage, and negative cash flows. These factors collectively suggest financial instability and potential risks in sustaining operations without strategic improvements.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows significant challenges with negative net income and declining revenue. The TTM data reveals a negative gross profit margin and net profit margin, indicating inefficiencies and losses. Revenue growth is negative, reflecting a downturn in sales. Despite some past profitability, recent trends suggest financial instability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, highlighting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing. These factors suggest financial vulnerability and potential liquidity issues.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn and potential liquidity challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income to cash. These factors highlight cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.67B11.85B16.92B19.80B10.65B7.30B
Gross Profit328.90M-67.90M1.04B736.50M225.50M-287.00M
EBITDA209.30M-18.50M664.00M792.60M264.00M-374.10M
Net Income-514.90M-560.40M19.80M257.10M-128.30M-611.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.08B6.67B7.17B8.19B6.73B6.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments630.90M735.60M821.80M841.30M856.50M787.50M
Total Debt3.66B2.86B2.74B3.23B2.42B2.53B
Total Liabilities6.64B6.09B6.21B7.12B5.78B5.01B
Stockholders Equity180.90M312.80M845.50M943.60M827.70M1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-738.90M-497.40M616.80M139.50M148.20M-555.10M
Operating Cash Flow-130.50M-66.80M1.01B425.30M371.40M-282.90M
Investing Cash Flow-796.80M-241.50M-408.00M-931.60M-178.40M-191.30M
Financing Cash Flow520.60M221.70M-624.70M491.10M-124.00M306.40M

Delek US Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.36
Price Trends
50DMA
34.28
Positive
100DMA
28.90
Positive
200DMA
22.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.02
Negative
RSI
60.18
Neutral
STOCH
65.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.93, above the 50-day MA of 34.28, and above the 200-day MA of 22.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DK.

Delek US Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.07B8.6517.81%-10.11%-7.00%
68
Neutral
$10.00B26.164.07%3.79%-9.55%27.65%
67
Neutral
$7.81B17.418.27%7.06%-5.18%-33.14%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$3.69B22.1621.78%7.51%-7.21%135.72%
58
Neutral
$4.48B-9.47%2.94%-15.35%-81.94%
57
Neutral
$2.45B-115.95%2.59%-22.37%-27.22%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DK
Delek US Holdings
39.36
21.64
122.12%
CVI
CVR Energy
36.38
17.56
93.30%
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
54.03
14.00
34.97%
PBF
PBF Energy
37.42
7.81
26.38%
SUN
Sunoco
51.19
2.38
4.88%
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings
41.13
23.48
133.03%

Delek US Holdings Corporate Events

Delek US Earnings Call: Strong Performance Amid Challenges
Nov 9, 2025

Delek US’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by strong financial performance and increased guidance across key business areas. Strategic optimizations and favorable regulatory outcomes were highlighted as significant contributors to this success. However, the company acknowledged challenges in fully realizing benefits from small refinery exemptions (SREs) and projected increased operating expenses for the upcoming quarter.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Delek US Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Delek US Holdings reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $178 million and adjusted net income of $434.2 million. The company benefited from Small Refinery Exemptions granted by the EPA, which significantly reduced material costs and improved cash flow. Delek Logistics is performing well, with expectations to finish the year in the top half of its adjusted EBITDA guidance. The company continues to advance its Enterprise Optimization Plan, increasing its annual cash flow improvement guidance and maintaining a strong financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (DK) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Delek US Holdings stock, see the DK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Delek US Holdings Approves Quarterly Dividend Payment
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Delek US Holdings, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share, to be paid on November 17, 2025, to shareholders recorded by November 10, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors seeking regular income through dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (DK) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Delek US Holdings stock, see the DK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025