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Delek US Holdings (DK)
NYSE:DK

Delek US Holdings (DK) AI Stock Analysis

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DK

Delek US Holdings

(NYSE:DK)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-23.31%Downside)
Delek US Holdings' overall score reflects significant financial instability due to profitability and cash flow challenges, partially offset by operational improvements and strategic initiatives. Technical indicators suggest potential short-term gains, but valuation concerns, notably the negative P/E ratio, weigh heavily. The balanced sentiment from the earnings call highlights both ongoing struggles and potential improvements, contributing to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Within DK's Logistics segment, an increase in EBITDA reflects the close of the Gravity Water Midstream acquisition.
Financial Performance
Benchmark cracks rose resulting in a significant increase in EBITDA.
Strategic Direction
The bull case for DK continues to rest on the long-term strategic direction for DKL and the unlocking of the sum-of-the-parts value, which Delek continues to make good progress on.
Negative Factors
Earnings
DK is expected to miss current consensus earnings estimates, with negative EBITDA and EPS, as lower crack spreads drove earnings downward.
Operating Expenses
DK guided to $50MM higher opex q/q, worse than expected flat.
Tariffs
The implementation of a 10% tariff on Canadian oil products is expected to negatively impact the sector, but perhaps not significantly.

Delek US Holdings (DK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Delek US Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDelek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) is a diversified downstream energy company primarily engaged in petroleum refining, logistics, and the marketing of fuel products. Headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, Delek operates through three main segments: refining, logistics, and retail. The company owns and operates refineries in Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana, and through its logistics segment, it manages transportation and storage operations. Delek also operates a network of retail fuel and convenience stores, offering a range of consumer goods and fuel products.
How the Company Makes MoneyDelek US Holdings generates revenue through its three core segments. The refining segment is the largest revenue contributor, where the company processes crude oil into refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, which are then sold to wholesale and retail customers. The logistics segment earns money by providing crude oil gathering, transportation, and storage services, as well as services related to refined product pipelines and terminals. Delek's retail segment generates income through the sale of fuel and convenience store merchandise at its retail locations. Key partnerships, such as supply agreements with major oil producers and distributors, enhance its operational capabilities and contribute to its overall earnings.

Delek US Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 46.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, such as operational improvements, successful inter-company transactions, and strong performance in DKL's logistics and gas processing segments. However, these were offset by significant challenges, including a substantial net loss, a tough refining margin environment, and losses in supply and marketing. While there are encouraging signs of growth and strategic advancements, the financial losses and operational challenges create a balanced sentiment overall.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Operational Performance
Delek made progress in improving operational performance with successful plant outages at Tyler and Big Spring and expects a cleaner runway into the summer driving season.
DKL Third-Party Cash Flow Increase
DKL increased third-party cash flow to around 80% following inter-company transactions, improving financial liquidity at DK by approximately $250 million.
DKL Growth in Gas Processing
DKL's gas processing business is growing, supported by its location in Lee County, New Mexico, enhancing its position with sour gas gathering and acid gas injection capabilities.
EOP Progress
Delek's Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP) is on track to achieve approximately $80 million of incremental capture in refining process and commercial footprint by mid-year.
Record High Throughput at Cross Springs
Cross Springs achieved a record high throughput rate of 85,000 barrels per day in Q1.
Logistics Segment Strong Performance
The logistics segment delivered $117 million in adjusted EBITDA, a $9 million increase over the previous record.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
Delek reported a net loss of $173 million, or negative $2.78 per share, with an adjusted net loss of $144 million, or negative $2.32 per share.
Challenging Refining Margin Environment
The refining margin environment was challenging, around $4 below mid-cycle, impacting overall performance.
Supply and Marketing Loss
Supply and marketing contributed a loss of $23.7 million in Q1, driven by seasonal low demand trends in wholesale marketing and asphalt.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were higher across various refineries, impacting the overall margin.
Company Guidance
During Delek US's first quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Delek reported a net loss of $173 million and an adjusted net loss of $144 million, translating to a negative $2.78 and $2.32 per share, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $26.5 million. The company emphasized its progress on the Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP), targeting an annual cash flow improvement of at least $120 million starting in the second half of 2025. Operationally, Delek's refineries showed varying throughput rates, with Tyler at 69,000 barrels per day and projected to increase to 73,000-77,000 in Q2, while El Dorado was at 76,000 barrels per day with a Q2 outlook of 80,000-84,000. Big Spring's throughput was 59,000 barrels per day, expected to rise to 67,000-71,000 in Q2. The company highlighted the importance of its midstream segment, Delek Logistics (DKL), maintaining its strong 2025 EBITDA guidance of $480 million to $520 million. Additionally, Delek completed several inter-company transactions to bolster financial liquidity by $250 million and increase DKL's third-party cash flow to around 80%. The call also discussed strategic capital allocations, including $16 million in dividends and $32 million in share buybacks, enhancing shareholder returns amidst a challenging refining margin environment.

Delek US Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Delek US Holdings faces financial instability with declining revenues and profitability issues reflected in the TTM data. Operational improvements are evident in the gross profit margin, yet significant challenges remain in achieving positive net income and cash flows. The balance sheet shows a stronger equity position, but ongoing profitability and cash flow issues pose risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows significant volatility with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reflecting negative EBIT and net income margins of -0.40% and -4.65%, respectively. Revenue has fluctuated over the years with a recent decline from 2022 to 2023. Gross profit margin improved in TTM to 20.76%, indicating potential operational efficiency gains despite overall profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a substantial improvement in the debt-to-equity ratio from 3.16 in 2023 to 0.19 in TTM, driven by a reduction in total debt and an increase in stockholders' equity. The equity ratio increased to 8.63% in TTM, providing a more balanced capital structure. However, low return on equity (ROE) in TTM indicates challenges in generating returns on shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow in TTM, signaling potential liquidity challenges. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio also deteriorated, underscoring difficulties in maintaining positive cash flows amidst operational losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.48B11.85B16.92B20.25B10.65B7.30B
Gross Profit
-139.90M0.001.04B924.60M171.80M-243.00M
EBIT
-607.60M-491.50M279.90M489.50M-130.40M-728.00M
EBITDA
-248.50M-18.50M664.00M899.30M324.60M-336.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-700.50M-560.40M19.80M257.10M-170.50M-570.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
623.80M735.60M822.20M841.30M856.50M787.50M
Total Assets
6.88B6.67B7.17B8.19B6.73B6.13B
Total Debt
3.13B2.86B2.77B3.23B2.42B2.53B
Net Debt
2.51B2.13B1.94B2.38B1.57B1.74B
Total Liabilities
6.45B6.09B6.21B7.12B5.78B5.01B
Stockholders Equity
155.40M312.80M845.50M943.60M827.70M1.01B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-818.20M-497.40M589.70M113.90M148.20M-555.10M
Operating Cash Flow
-295.30M-66.80M1.01B425.30M371.40M-282.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-876.20M-246.50M-408.00M-931.60M-178.40M-191.30M
Financing Cash Flow
680.80M221.70M-624.70M491.10M-124.00M306.40M

Delek US Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.21
Price Trends
50DMA
15.72
Positive
100DMA
16.08
Positive
200DMA
16.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.06
Positive
RSI
66.68
Neutral
STOCH
77.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.19, above the 50-day MA of 15.72, and above the 200-day MA of 16.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DK.

Delek US Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SUSUN
68
Neutral
$8.14B9.5826.11%6.71%-3.59%22.77%
65
Neutral
$1.15B3.02-4.95%-9.25%-113.66%
58
Neutral
$7.43B3.43-4.49%10.08%0.81%-49.42%
54
Neutral
$832.81M27.57666.62%9.61%-6.57%-50.55%
DKDK
51
Neutral
$1.19B-151.69%5.02%-29.23%-931.43%
CVCVI
51
Neutral
$2.59B268.82-27.14%17.51%-16.21%-130.18%
PBPBF
48
Neutral
$2.45B-18.01%5.20%-16.30%-160.78%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DK
Delek US Holdings
20.21
-2.38
-10.54%
CVI
CVR Energy
26.95
0.42
1.58%
PBF
PBF Energy
20.83
-21.42
-50.70%
SUN
Sunoco
54.06
2.84
5.54%
CAPL
Crossamerica Partners
22.14
3.82
20.85%
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings
23.97
-0.90
-3.62%

Delek US Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Delek US Holdings Reports Q1 2025 Net Loss
Negative
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Delek US Holdings reported a net loss of $172.7 million for the first quarter of 2025, with an adjusted net loss of $144.4 million. Despite challenging market conditions, the company made progress on its strategic goals, including the Enterprise Optimization Plan, which is expected to improve cash flow by $120 million in the second half of 2025. The acquisition of Gravity Water Midstream reduced Delek’s ownership in Delek Logistics to 63.4%, and new intercompany agreements increased liquidity by $250 million. The logistics segment saw improved EBITDA due to recent acquisitions, while the refining segment faced challenges from lower crack spreads.

Spark’s Take on DK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, DK is a Neutral.

Delek US Holdings’ stock score reflects a challenging financial environment with ongoing profitability and cash flow issues, despite improvements in operational efficiency. The technical analysis shows a bearish trend, aligning with the financial struggles. Valuation concerns persist with a negative P/E ratio, though a high dividend yield offers some appeal. Positive earnings call highlights and strategic corporate events provide a more optimistic outlook, yet significant challenges remain.

To see Spark’s full report on DK stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Delek US Holdings Stockholders Approve Key Amendments
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Delek US Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where the stockholders approved the Sixth Amendment to the 2016 Long-Term Incentive Plan. This amendment increases the number of shares reserved for issuance by 1,900,000, bringing the total to 18,910,000 shares. Additionally, all ten nominees for the board of directors were elected, and the company’s executive compensation program was approved on an advisory basis. The appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was also ratified.

Spark’s Take on DK Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, DK is a Neutral.

Delek US Holdings’ overall stock score reflects the company’s financial instability and bearish technical outlook, which are significant concerns. However, the positive sentiment from recent earnings calls and corporate events, along with a high dividend yield, provide some supportive factors. Strategic efforts to improve profitability and cash flow are crucial for future performance.

To see Spark’s full report on DK stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Delek US Holdings Appoints New Executive VP and CFO
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

Delek US Holdings, Inc. and Delek Logistics Partners, LP announced that Robert Wright will serve as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Partnership starting April 1, 2025. He will also be promoted to Executive Vice President of the Company on November 15, 2025, while Mark Hobbs will continue as the Company’s CFO. Wright’s compensation package includes a base salary increase and a long-term incentive award, with provisions for severance if his promotion does not occur by the specified date.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Delek US Holdings Announces Common Unit Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Delek Logistics Partners, LP entered into a Common Unit Purchase Agreement with Delek US Holdings, Inc., allowing the repurchase of common units for up to $150 million through December 31, 2026. This strategic move, approved by the Board and independent committees, aims to enhance Delek Logistics’ cash flow and provide a tax-efficient method for Delek US to progress its Sum of the Parts goals. In 2024, Delek US faced a net loss of $413.8 million but made significant strides in improving profitability, including asset sales and strategic acquisitions. The company announced an Enterprise Optimization Plan expected to increase profitability by $120 million, and Delek Logistics reported a strong full-year EBITDA guidance. Despite challenging market conditions, Delek US aims to continue enhancing shareholder value and financial strength.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Delek US Appoints Reuven Spiegel as Executive VP
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Delek US Holdings, Inc. announced that Reuven Spiegel will take on the role of Executive Vice President, Delek Logistics, effective February 12, 2025, while transitioning from his position as Chief Financial Officer on March 1, 2025. Mr. Spiegel’s extensive experience includes serving as CEO of Israel Discount Bank and IDB Bank of NY, and his new role may enhance Delek’s strategic positioning within the logistics sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.