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Delek US Holdings (DK)
NYSE:DK
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Delek US Holdings (DK) AI Stock Analysis

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DK

Delek US Holdings

(NYSE:DK)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▼(-5.79% Downside)
Delek US Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by negative margins and high leverage. While there are some positive aspects, such as shareholder returns and operational improvements, these are overshadowed by significant financial challenges and uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Refining Results
Higher benchmark cracks combined with stronger capture rates following planned maintenance should support improved refining results.
Supply & Marketing Results
Seasonally stronger asphalt and better regional product demand are expected to improve Supply & Marketing results.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Forecasts
Analyst maintains a Sell recommendation due to ongoing negative parent-level free cash flow forecasts.
Operating Expenses
Higher operating expenses and elevated natural gas prices are impacting the company's financial performance.
Price Target
The price target for DK has been reduced from $18 to $15.

Delek US Holdings (DK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Delek US Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDelek US Holdings, Inc. engages in the integrated downstream energy business in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Logistics, and Retail. The Refining segment processes crude oil and other feedstock for the manufacture of various grades of gasoline, diesel fuel, aviation fuel, asphalt, and other petroleum-based products that are distributed through owned and third-party product terminal. It owns and operates four independent refineries located in Tyler, Texas; El Dorado, Arkansas; Big Spring, Texas; and Krotz Springs, Louisiana, as well as three biodiesel facilities in Crossett, Arkansas, Cleburne, Texas, and New Albany. The Logistics segment gathers, transports, and stores crude oil, intermediate, and refined products; and markets, distributes, transports, and stores refined products for third parties. It owns or leases capacity on approximately 400 miles of crude oil transportation pipelines, approximately 450 miles of refined product pipelines, an approximately 900-mile crude oil gathering system, and associated crude oil storage tanks with an aggregate of approximately 10.2 million barrels of active shell capacity; and owns and operates ten light product distribution terminals, as well as markets light products using third-party terminals. The Retail segment owns and leases 248 convenience store sites located primarily in West Texas and New Mexico. Its convenience stores offer various grades of gasoline and diesel under the DK or Alon brand; and food products and service, tobacco products, non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages, and general merchandise, as well as money orders to the public primarily under the 7-Eleven and DK or Alon brand names. It serves oil companies, independent refiners and marketers, jobbers, distributors, utility and transportation companies, the U.S. government, and independent retail fuel operators. Delek US Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyDelek US Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of refined petroleum products, which are produced at its refineries. The refining segment earns money by transforming crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other petrochemicals, which are then sold to wholesalers, distributors, and directly to retail outlets. The logistics segment contributes to revenue by charging fees for the transportation and storage of crude oil and refined products, leveraging its pipeline systems and terminal facilities. Additionally, the retail segment generates income from fuel sales and in-store merchandise. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and other energy companies also enhance its distribution capabilities and can lead to increased revenue opportunities.

Delek US Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While Delek is making significant progress with its Enterprise Optimization Plan and operational efficiency, leading to increased throughput and liquidity, the company is still facing challenges such as a substantial net loss and pending regulatory decisions. Shareholder returns and midstream developments are promising, but higher operating costs and unresolved SRE petitions temper the outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP) Progress
Delek has increased its guidance on the Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP) to between $130 million and $170 million on a run-rate basis, starting the second half of this year. Approximately $30 million of EOP cash flow improvement was realized in the quarter.
Record Throughput and Strong Operational Performance
The company reported record throughput across multiple refineries, including Big Spring, Krotz Springs, and for the entire system. Significant improvements in liquid yield recovery and production value optimization were noted.
Successful High-Yield Offering
Delek Logistics (DKL) increased its financial liquidity through a successful high-yield offering, resulting in over $1 billion of liquidity at DKL, allowing for continued growth and economic separation from DK.
Positive Midstream Developments
DKL is on track to meet its 2025 EBITDA guidance of $480 million to $520 million. DKL has expanded its crude gathering business in the Midland and Delaware Basins, expecting a material increase in volumes.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Delek paid approximately $16 million in dividends and bought back approximately $13 million worth of shares during the quarter, maintaining a strong balance sheet and commitment to capital allocation.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
Delek reported a net loss of $106 million or negative $1.76 per share for the second quarter. The adjusted net loss was $33 million or negative $0.56 per share.
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for the third quarter are expected to be between $210 million and $225 million, which incorporates higher expected throughput and increased operating expenses associated with new plant ramp-ups.
Pending Small Refinery Exemption (SRE) Decision
Delek's pending small refinery exemption petitions, which are worth more than the company's market cap, remain unresolved, creating economic uncertainty and dependency on a favorable EPA decision.
Company Guidance
During the Delek U.S. second quarter earnings call, the company provided updated guidance and discussed its progress on various strategic initiatives. They increased their Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP) guidance to a run rate of $130 million to $170 million, noting that approximately $30 million of EOP cash flow improvements were realized in the quarter. The company achieved record throughput at the Big Spring refinery and anticipates continued operational improvements. Delek Logistics is on track to achieve its 2025 EBITDA guidance of $480 million to $520 million. Financially, the second quarter saw a net loss of $106 million, an adjusted net loss of $33 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $170.2 million, with significant contributions from the refining and logistics segments. Capital expenditures totaled $164 million, with $119 million allocated to logistics growth projects. The company remains focused on capital allocation, maintaining dividends, and executing share buybacks, with approximately $29 million returned to shareholders in the quarter.

Delek US Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Delek US Holdings faces financial instability with declining revenues and profitability issues reflected in the TTM data. Operational improvements are evident in the gross profit margin, yet significant challenges remain in achieving positive net income and cash flows. The balance sheet shows a stronger equity position, but ongoing profitability and cash flow issues pose risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows significant volatility with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reflecting negative EBIT and net income margins of -0.40% and -4.65%, respectively. Revenue has fluctuated over the years with a recent decline from 2022 to 2023. Gross profit margin improved in TTM to 20.76%, indicating potential operational efficiency gains despite overall profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a substantial improvement in the debt-to-equity ratio from 3.16 in 2023 to 0.19 in TTM, driven by a reduction in total debt and an increase in stockholders' equity. The equity ratio increased to 8.63% in TTM, providing a more balanced capital structure. However, low return on equity (ROE) in TTM indicates challenges in generating returns on shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow in TTM, signaling potential liquidity challenges. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio also deteriorated, underscoring difficulties in maintaining positive cash flows amidst operational losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.82B11.85B16.92B20.25B10.65B7.30B
Gross Profit-190.90M0.001.04B924.60M171.80M-243.00M
EBITDA-213.30M-18.50M664.00M899.30M324.60M-336.10M
Net Income-769.70M-560.40M19.80M257.10M-170.50M-570.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.07B6.67B7.17B8.19B6.73B6.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments615.50M735.60M822.20M841.30M856.50M787.50M
Total Debt3.19B2.86B2.77B3.23B2.42B2.53B
Total Liabilities6.77B6.09B6.21B7.12B5.78B5.01B
Stockholders Equity26.00M312.80M845.50M943.60M827.70M1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-800.70M-497.40M589.70M113.90M148.20M-555.10M
Operating Cash Flow-196.10M-66.80M1.01B425.30M371.40M-282.90M
Investing Cash Flow-615.00M-241.50M-408.00M-931.60M-178.40M-191.30M
Financing Cash Flow768.70M221.70M-624.70M491.10M-124.00M306.40M

Delek US Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.76
Price Trends
50DMA
22.03
Negative
100DMA
18.54
Positive
200DMA
17.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Positive
RSI
49.87
Neutral
STOCH
72.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.88, below the 50-day MA of 22.03, and above the 200-day MA of 17.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DK.

Delek US Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$8.00B25.686.62%6.81%-8.65%-73.25%
65
Neutral
$14.84B8.622.77%5.45%4.51%-62.52%
54
Neutral
$793.62M18.85666.62%10.09%-10.51%101.44%
51
Neutral
$1.43B3.02-1.59%-13.09%-103.24%
50
Neutral
$2.63B-17.30%4.72%-18.73%-236.79%
48
Neutral
$2.71B268.82-50.65%10.20%-15.98%-160.88%
41
Neutral
$1.26B-200.75%4.69%-29.94%-723.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DK
Delek US Holdings
21.76
1.34
6.56%
CVI
CVR Energy
27.06
1.27
4.92%
PBF
PBF Energy
23.29
-11.80
-33.63%
SUN
Sunoco
52.43
2.47
4.94%
CAPL
Crossamerica Partners
20.29
2.14
11.79%
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings
29.01
6.02
26.19%

Delek US Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Delek US Holdings Reports Q2 2025 Net Loss
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Delek US Holdings reported a net loss of $106.4 million for the second quarter of 2025, with an adjusted net loss of $33.1 million. Despite the losses, the company made significant progress in its Enterprise Optimization Plan, achieving $30 million in improvements and increasing its cash flow improvement target. Delek Logistics completed the Libby 2 gas processing plant, enhancing its position in the Permian basin. The company also executed a $700 million debt offering and repurchased $20.5 million in common stock, reflecting its focus on economic independence and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (DK) stock is a Sell with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Delek US Holdings stock, see the DK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Delek US Holdings Announces Quarterly Dividend Approval
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Delek US Holdings, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share, to be paid on August 18, 2025, to shareholders on record as of August 11, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning by demonstrating financial stability and shareholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (DK) stock is a Sell with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Delek US Holdings stock, see the DK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025