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Dell Technologies (DELL)
NYSE:DELL

Dell Technologies (DELL) AI Stock Analysis

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DELL

Dell Technologies

(NYSE:DELL)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$151.00
▲(16.17% Upside)
Dell Technologies' overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial performance, technical indicators, valuation, and positive earnings call. The company's strong growth in AI and ISG, along with reasonable valuation, are significant strengths. However, financial leverage and cash flow management remain concerns that temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
AI Growth
Strong demand for AI servers indicates Dell's strategic positioning in a high-growth market, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Infrastructure Solutions Growth
Record growth in ISG highlights Dell's competitive advantage in infrastructure solutions, crucial for sustained market leadership.
Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Strong cash flow generation supports Dell's ability to invest in growth initiatives and return capital to shareholders, enhancing long-term value.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
High leverage poses risks to financial stability, potentially limiting Dell's flexibility to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth indicates potential cash management issues, which could impact Dell's ability to fund operations and growth.
Commodity Cost Pressures
Rising commodity costs may pressure margins, affecting profitability and pricing strategies in the long term.

Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dell Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDell Technologies (DELL) is a global leader in technology solutions and services, specializing in the design, development, and manufacturing of a wide range of computer hardware, software, and related services. The company operates through multiple segments, including Client Solutions Group, Infrastructure Solutions Group, and VMware. Core products encompass personal computers, servers, storage devices, networking equipment, and cloud computing solutions, while also providing IT services, support, and consulting to businesses and organizations worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyDell Technologies generates revenue through several key streams: sales of hardware products such as laptops, desktops, servers, and storage solutions; software and services including cloud solutions, virtualization software, and IT support services; and subscription-based offerings through VMware. The company benefits from a direct-to-consumer sales model, allowing it to maintain high margins by selling directly to customers while also leveraging partnerships with major corporations and businesses for enterprise solutions. Additionally, recurring revenue from software subscriptions and services contributes significantly to its financial stability and growth.

Dell Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EBIT by Segment
EBIT by Segment
Shows earnings before interest and taxes for each business segment, providing insight into the operational efficiency and profitability of different parts of the company.
Chart InsightsDell's Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) has shown strong recovery and growth, particularly in late 2024, driven by robust demand for AI-optimized servers. This aligns with the earnings call highlighting a high teens growth projection for ISG, fueled by significant AI server shipments. Conversely, the Client Solutions Group (CSG) faces challenges with competitive pricing and moderated demand, impacting profitability. Despite these challenges, Dell's strategic focus on AI and record cash generation positions it well for future growth, though consumer market softness remains a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dell Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Dell Technologies reported a record third quarter with strong growth in revenue and EPS, driven by significant demand for AI servers and improved ISG and CSG performance. However, challenges such as declining consumer revenue and increased commodity costs were noted. Overall, the positive aspects, particularly in AI growth and shareholder returns, outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Earnings
Dell Technologies achieved record revenue of $27 billion, up 11% year-over-year, and record EPS of $2.59, up 17%.
AI Server Orders Surge
AI server orders reached $12.3 billion in the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $30 billion, with a record backlog of $18.4 billion.
ISG and CSG Growth
Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) revenue was a Q3 record at $14.1 billion, up 24%, while Client Solutions Group (CSG) revenue increased by 3% to $12.5 billion.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Dell generated $1.2 billion in cash flow from operations and returned $1.6 billion to shareholders, including share repurchases.
Improved Storage Demand
PowerStore storage demand has grown for seven consecutive quarters, with strong demand across Dell's IP portfolio.
Negative Updates
Consumer Revenue Decline
Consumer revenue declined by 7% year-over-year, although demand returned to growth.
Storage Revenue Decline
Despite strong demand for Dell's IP portfolio, storage revenue declined by 1% year-over-year.
Commodity Cost Pressures
Dell is experiencing increased costs across DRAM, NAND, and other components, which may impact pricing and profitability.
Company Guidance
During Dell Technologies Inc.'s fiscal year 2026 third quarter financial results conference call, the company provided detailed guidance for the upcoming quarter and beyond. For Q4, Dell anticipates revenue between $31 and $32 billion, with ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) and CSG (Client Solutions Group) expected to grow 34% at the midpoint. The company highlighted the strong demand for AI servers, projecting shipments of $9.4 billion in Q4, which would bring full-year shipments to approximately $25 billion, marking a 150% year-over-year growth. Operating income is expected to increase by 21% quarter-over-quarter, driven by continued momentum in AI and Dell IP storage. Dell's guidance for its fiscal year 2026 reflects a revenue target of $111.7 billion, up 17%, and a non-GAAP EPS of $9.92, up 22% at the midpoint. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2027, Dell expressed strong confidence in its AI business, supported by a robust backlog and expanding customer base, while maintaining its long-term framework as a solid reference point for expected growth.

Dell Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dell Technologies demonstrates stable revenue growth and moderate profitability, but faces significant challenges with high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow management needs improvement to support long-term financial health. The company should focus on reducing debt and improving operational efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Dell Technologies shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.6% in the TTM, indicating steady demand. The gross profit margin is moderate at 20.6%, but the net profit margin of 5.0% suggests room for improvement in cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, indicating potential efficiency issues.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a significant challenge with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -11.92, indicating financial leverage risks. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses relative to equity, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -8.5%, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully supporting net income.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue95.57B88.42B102.30B101.20B86.67B
Gross Profit21.25B21.07B22.69B21.89B20.14B
EBITDA9.59B8.89B7.66B12.02B9.79B
Net Income4.59B3.39B2.44B5.56B3.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.75B82.13B89.61B92.73B123.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.63B7.37B8.61B9.48B9.51B
Total Debt24.57B25.99B29.59B26.95B41.45B
Total Liabilities81.13B84.26B92.64B94.31B115.39B
Stockholders Equity-1.48B-2.23B-3.12B-1.69B2.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.87B5.92B562.00M7.51B9.32B
Operating Cash Flow4.52B8.68B3.56B10.31B11.41B
Investing Cash Flow-2.21B-2.78B-3.02B1.31B-460.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.82B-7.09B-1.63B-16.61B-5.95B

Dell Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price129.98
Price Trends
50DMA
143.54
Negative
100DMA
137.43
Negative
200DMA
120.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.05
Negative
RSI
42.07
Neutral
STOCH
55.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DELL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 129.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 131.27, below the 50-day MA of 143.54, and above the 200-day MA of 120.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DELL.

Dell Technologies Risk Analysis

Dell Technologies disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dell Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dell Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$60.29B25.7131.48%0.18%-16.35%316.56%
76
Outperform
$22.91B20.13125.35%1.80%2.64%4.12%
68
Neutral
$61.43B36.921.00%31.56%106.00%
65
Neutral
$86.14B17.341.45%10.81%31.67%
64
Neutral
$23.55B188.289.27%13.18%-0.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$22.71B9.324.72%4.09%-5.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DELL
Dell Technologies
129.98
12.84
10.96%
HPQ
HP
24.74
-8.00
-24.43%
NTAP
NetApp
115.66
-7.93
-6.42%
STX
Seagate Tech
287.64
193.63
205.97%
WDC
Western Digital
176.34
127.19
258.78%
PSTG
Pure Storage
71.32
4.72
7.09%

Dell Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dell Technologies Highlights AI Focus in Analyst Presentation
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Dell Technologies held a presentation for securities analysts and the public, discussing its long-term financial framework and reaffirming its guidance for fiscal 2026 Q3. The company highlighted its strategic focus on AI technology, which is expected to drive significant growth and modernization in IT architecture. Dell’s strong track record of earnings and capital return positions it favorably in the evolving tech landscape, with plans to leverage its strengths to capture new growth opportunities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dell Technologies Completes $4.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Dell Technologies Inc.’s subsidiaries, Dell International L.L.C. and EMC Corporation, completed a public offering of senior notes totaling $4.5 billion. The notes, which are unsecured and guaranteed by Dell and its subsidiaries, are intended to strengthen the company’s financial structure and provide flexibility in managing its debt obligations. The offering includes notes maturing between 2029 and 2036, with interest rates ranging from 4.150% to 5.100%. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Dell’s market positioning by ensuring robust capital management and potentially influencing its credit ratings.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dell Awards $132.4M Stock Options to COO Clarke
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Dell Technologies‘ Board of Directors approved a performance-based stock option award for Jeffrey Clarke, the company’s COO and Vice Chairman, to purchase 2.5 million shares of Class C common stock. This award, valued at approximately $132.4 million, is designed to recognize Clarke’s leadership and incentivize his continued contribution to the company’s strategic objectives. The award is contingent on achieving specific performance criteria related to market capitalization and free cash flow by January 31, 2031, and requires Clarke’s continued employment through March 15, 2031, with provisions for accelerated vesting under certain conditions.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Dell Technologies Converts Class B to Class C Shares
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

In September 2025, Dell Technologies Inc. converted 3,915,292 shares of its Class B common stock into Class C common stock, held by various Silver Lake entities. This conversion increased the outstanding shares of Class C common stock to 338,646,945 and reduced Class B shares to 54,790,897. The conversion was conducted without registration under the Securities Act of 1933, leveraging an exemption, and no commission was paid for the exchange. This move reflects Dell’s ongoing stock management strategy, potentially impacting shareholder structure and market perception.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dell Technologies Announces $4.5 Billion Senior Notes Sale
Neutral
Sep 23, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Dell Technologies Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions to issue and sell senior notes totaling $4.5 billion. The proceeds from this offering, expected to close on October 6, 2025, will be used to redeem a portion of existing senior notes due in 2026 and for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s debt structure and financial strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025