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Dell Technologies (DELL)
NYSE:DELL

Dell Technologies (DELL) AI Stock Analysis

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DELL

Dell Technologies

(NYSE:DELL)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$129.00
▲(7.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/09/25
Dell Technologies' overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial performance, technical indicators, valuation, and positive earnings call. The company's strong growth in AI and ISG, along with reasonable valuation, are significant strengths. However, financial leverage and cash flow management remain concerns that temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
AI server demand & backlog
Surging AI server orders and an $18.4B backlog deliver durable multi-quarter revenue visibility, enabling capacity planning, pricing leverage and higher utilization in ISG. This underpins sustained infrastructure growth and predictable revenue over the next several quarters.
Recurring software & services revenue
A material base of subscription and services revenue increases predictability, customer stickiness and margin mix. Over 2–6 months this stabilizes cash flows, supports cross-sell of hardware and services, and reduces sensitivity to PC hardware cycles.
Diversified enterprise segments driving growth
Concurrent strength in ISG and steady CSG demonstrates diversified end-market exposure. Enterprise-led infrastructure growth cushions consumer cyclicality, supports sustained top-line momentum and provides a platform for longer-term margin expansion and product upsell.
Negative Factors
High leverage & negative equity
Negative shareholders' equity and heavy leverage materially constrain financial flexibility. Elevated interest and refinancing risk can limit capital allocation for R&D, capex and strategic M&A, increasing vulnerability to downturns over the medium term.
Weak free cash flow growth
Negative FCF growth and weak cash conversion reduce the company's ability to pay down debt or fund investments internally. Persisting cash flow weakness forces reliance on external financing or slower deleveraging, affecting long-term financial resilience.
Modest margins limit profitability
Relatively low gross and net margins indicate limited pricing power and operational efficiency. With ongoing commodity cost pressures, margins may stay compressed, reducing the firm's ability to absorb input-cost inflation without denting profitability over multiple quarters.

Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dell Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports information technology (IT) solutions, products, and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), Client Solutions Group (CSG), and VMware. The ISG segment provides traditional and next-generation storage solutions; and rack, blade, tower, and hyperscale servers. This segment also offers networking products and services that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure, mobilize and enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate business applications and processes; attached software and peripherals; and support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The CSG segment provides desktops, workstations, and notebooks; displays and projectors; attached and third-party software and peripherals, as well as support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The VMware segment supports customers in the areas of hybrid and multi-cloud, modern applications, networking, security, and digital workspaces, helping customers to manage IT resource across private clouds and complex multi-cloud, multi-device environments. Dell Technologies Inc. also provides information security; and cloud software and infrastructure-as-a-service solutions that enable customers to migrate, run, and manage mission-critical applications in cloud-based IT environments. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in August 2016. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDell Technologies generates revenue through several key streams: sales of hardware products such as laptops, desktops, servers, and storage solutions; software and services including cloud solutions, virtualization software, and IT support services; and subscription-based offerings through VMware. The company benefits from a direct-to-consumer sales model, allowing it to maintain high margins by selling directly to customers while also leveraging partnerships with major corporations and businesses for enterprise solutions. Additionally, recurring revenue from software subscriptions and services contributes significantly to its financial stability and growth.

Dell Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Type
Gross Profit by Type
Highlights the profit generated from different product or service types, shedding light on which areas are most profitable and driving the company's bottom line.
Chart InsightsDell's gross profit from Services has shown resilience with a steady upward trend since 2022, while Product gross profit has faced volatility, reflecting challenges in traditional server demand and consumer revenue declines. The earnings call highlights robust AI-driven growth and record revenues, suggesting a strategic pivot towards AI and enterprise solutions. Despite storage revenue and consumer segment challenges, Dell's increased guidance and focus on AI and ISG indicate a promising outlook, potentially offsetting near-term pressures in traditional segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dell Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Dell Technologies reported a record third quarter with strong growth in revenue and EPS, driven by significant demand for AI servers and improved ISG and CSG performance. However, challenges such as declining consumer revenue and increased commodity costs were noted. Overall, the positive aspects, particularly in AI growth and shareholder returns, outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Earnings
Dell Technologies achieved record revenue of $27 billion, up 11% year-over-year, and record EPS of $2.59, up 17%.
AI Server Orders Surge
AI server orders reached $12.3 billion in the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $30 billion, with a record backlog of $18.4 billion.
ISG and CSG Growth
Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) revenue was a Q3 record at $14.1 billion, up 24%, while Client Solutions Group (CSG) revenue increased by 3% to $12.5 billion.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Dell generated $1.2 billion in cash flow from operations and returned $1.6 billion to shareholders, including share repurchases.
Improved Storage Demand
PowerStore storage demand has grown for seven consecutive quarters, with strong demand across Dell's IP portfolio.
Negative Updates
Consumer Revenue Decline
Consumer revenue declined by 7% year-over-year, although demand returned to growth.
Storage Revenue Decline
Despite strong demand for Dell's IP portfolio, storage revenue declined by 1% year-over-year.
Commodity Cost Pressures
Dell is experiencing increased costs across DRAM, NAND, and other components, which may impact pricing and profitability.
Company Guidance
During Dell Technologies Inc.'s fiscal year 2026 third quarter financial results conference call, the company provided detailed guidance for the upcoming quarter and beyond. For Q4, Dell anticipates revenue between $31 and $32 billion, with ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) and CSG (Client Solutions Group) expected to grow 34% at the midpoint. The company highlighted the strong demand for AI servers, projecting shipments of $9.4 billion in Q4, which would bring full-year shipments to approximately $25 billion, marking a 150% year-over-year growth. Operating income is expected to increase by 21% quarter-over-quarter, driven by continued momentum in AI and Dell IP storage. Dell's guidance for its fiscal year 2026 reflects a revenue target of $111.7 billion, up 17%, and a non-GAAP EPS of $9.92, up 22% at the midpoint. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2027, Dell expressed strong confidence in its AI business, supported by a robust backlog and expanding customer base, while maintaining its long-term framework as a solid reference point for expected growth.

Dell Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dell Technologies demonstrates stable revenue growth and moderate profitability, but faces significant challenges with high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow management needs improvement to support long-term financial health. The company should focus on reducing debt and improving operational efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Dell Technologies shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.6% in the TTM, indicating steady demand. The gross profit margin is moderate at 20.6%, but the net profit margin of 5.0% suggests room for improvement in cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, indicating potential efficiency issues.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a significant challenge with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -11.92, indicating financial leverage risks. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses relative to equity, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -8.5%, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully supporting net income.
BreakdownTTMJan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022Jan 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue103.97B95.57B88.42B102.30B101.20B86.67B
Gross Profit21.58B21.25B21.07B22.69B21.89B20.14B
EBITDA8.27B9.59B8.89B7.66B12.02B9.79B
Net Income5.21B4.59B3.39B2.44B5.56B3.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.48B79.75B82.13B89.61B92.73B123.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.57B3.63B7.37B8.61B9.48B9.51B
Total Debt31.24B24.57B25.99B29.59B26.95B41.45B
Total Liabilities90.10B81.13B84.26B92.64B94.31B115.39B
Stockholders Equity-2.62B-1.48B-2.23B-3.12B-1.69B2.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.45B1.87B5.92B562.00M7.51B9.32B
Operating Cash Flow7.10B4.52B8.68B3.56B10.31B11.41B
Investing Cash Flow-2.04B-2.21B-2.78B-3.02B1.31B-460.00M
Financing Cash Flow-762.00M-5.82B-7.09B-1.63B-16.61B-5.95B

Dell Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.78
Price Trends
50DMA
121.41
Negative
100DMA
132.44
Negative
200DMA
127.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
50.20
Neutral
STOCH
54.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DELL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 118.71, below the 50-day MA of 121.41, and below the 200-day MA of 127.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DELL.

Dell Technologies Risk Analysis

Dell Technologies disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dell Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dell Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$91.73B28.1541.27%0.18%-16.35%316.56%
70
Outperform
$19.78B17.50125.35%1.89%2.64%4.12%
70
Outperform
$86.36B46.071.02%31.56%106.00%
65
Neutral
$79.38B15.891.45%10.81%31.67%
64
Neutral
$22.36B178.789.27%13.18%-0.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$16.71B6.915.09%4.09%-5.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DELL
Dell Technologies
119.78
11.15
10.26%
HPQ
HP
18.20
-14.45
-44.26%
NTAP
NetApp
99.87
-20.27
-16.87%
STX
Seagate Tech
396.02
298.20
304.84%
WDC
Western Digital
270.57
221.69
453.54%
PSTG
Pure Storage
67.72
6.42
10.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025