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Dell Technologies (DELL)
NYSE:DELL

Dell Technologies (DELL) AI Stock Analysis

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DELL

Dell Technologies

(NYSE:DELL)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$157.00
▲(6.02% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score balances strong technical momentum and a bullish earnings outlook (AI-driven growth and upbeat guidance) against meaningful financial risk from negative equity and volatile/unclear cash flow. Valuation is reasonable but not compelling enough to offset the balance-sheet and cash-flow concerns.
Positive Factors
AI server demand and backlog
Large, sustained AI server orders and an $18.4B backlog provide multi-quarter revenue visibility and shift mix toward higher‑value infrastructure. This supports ISG growth, stronger product attach and services, and durable enterprise relationships that can drive recurring revenue and higher margin streams.
Scale: revenue rebound and improving margins
A rebound to ~$113.5B in revenue with improving net margin shows Dell's ability to regain growth and operational leverage at scale. Large revenue base supports supplier negotiating power, R&D and go‑to‑market investment, enabling more stable medium‑term earnings generation versus smaller peers.
Diversified business model and recurring services
Multiple segments (CSG and ISG) plus services and financing create varied revenue and cash channels. Services and DFS increase customer stickiness and recurring-like income, smoothing cycles, supporting lifetime value, and giving Dell cross-sell and financing advantages in enterprise deals over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak balance sheet: negative equity, sizable debt
Negative shareholders' equity and ~ $31.5B of debt materially constrain financial flexibility. This structure raises refinancing, covenant and solvency risks in downturns, limits capacity for large M&A or aggressive capex, and can force caution in capital allocation over the medium term.
Volatile cash generation
Inconsistent cash generation—strong in some years, weak or zero in others—undermines a stable funding base for debt service, capex and shareholder returns. Persistent volatility increases reliance on external financing and reduces predictability of investments and buybacks over the next several quarters.
Thin margins and cyclical results
Relatively low gross and net margins for a large technology provider limit reinvestment capacity and make earnings sensitive to commodity costs, pricing pressure and mix shifts. Margin thinness amplifies cyclicality and reduces buffer against cost inflation or competitive price moves over the medium term.

Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dell Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports information technology (IT) solutions, products, and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), Client Solutions Group (CSG), and VMware. The ISG segment provides traditional and next-generation storage solutions; and rack, blade, tower, and hyperscale servers. This segment also offers networking products and services that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure, mobilize and enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate business applications and processes; attached software and peripherals; and support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The CSG segment provides desktops, workstations, and notebooks; displays and projectors; attached and third-party software and peripherals, as well as support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The VMware segment supports customers in the areas of hybrid and multi-cloud, modern applications, networking, security, and digital workspaces, helping customers to manage IT resource across private clouds and complex multi-cloud, multi-device environments. Dell Technologies Inc. also provides information security; and cloud software and infrastructure-as-a-service solutions that enable customers to migrate, run, and manage mission-critical applications in cloud-based IT environments. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in August 2016. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDell Technologies generates revenue through several key streams: sales of hardware products such as laptops, desktops, servers, and storage solutions; software and services including cloud solutions, virtualization software, and IT support services; and subscription-based offerings through VMware. The company benefits from a direct-to-consumer sales model, allowing it to maintain high margins by selling directly to customers while also leveraging partnerships with major corporations and businesses for enterprise solutions. Additionally, recurring revenue from software subscriptions and services contributes significantly to its financial stability and growth.

Dell Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Type
Gross Profit by Type
Highlights the profit generated from different product or service types, shedding light on which areas are most profitable and driving the company's bottom line.
Chart InsightsDell's gross profit from Services has shown resilience with a steady upward trend since 2022, while Product gross profit has faced volatility, reflecting challenges in traditional server demand and consumer revenue declines. The earnings call highlights robust AI-driven growth and record revenues, suggesting a strategic pivot towards AI and enterprise solutions. Despite storage revenue and consumer segment challenges, Dell's increased guidance and focus on AI and ISG indicate a promising outlook, potentially offsetting near-term pressures in traditional segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dell Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Dell Technologies reported a record third quarter with strong growth in revenue and EPS, driven by significant demand for AI servers and improved ISG and CSG performance. However, challenges such as declining consumer revenue and increased commodity costs were noted. Overall, the positive aspects, particularly in AI growth and shareholder returns, outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Earnings
Dell Technologies achieved record revenue of $27 billion, up 11% year-over-year, and record EPS of $2.59, up 17%.
AI Server Orders Surge
AI server orders reached $12.3 billion in the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $30 billion, with a record backlog of $18.4 billion.
ISG and CSG Growth
Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) revenue was a Q3 record at $14.1 billion, up 24%, while Client Solutions Group (CSG) revenue increased by 3% to $12.5 billion.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Dell generated $1.2 billion in cash flow from operations and returned $1.6 billion to shareholders, including share repurchases.
Improved Storage Demand
PowerStore storage demand has grown for seven consecutive quarters, with strong demand across Dell's IP portfolio.
Negative Updates
Consumer Revenue Decline
Consumer revenue declined by 7% year-over-year, although demand returned to growth.
Storage Revenue Decline
Despite strong demand for Dell's IP portfolio, storage revenue declined by 1% year-over-year.
Commodity Cost Pressures
Dell is experiencing increased costs across DRAM, NAND, and other components, which may impact pricing and profitability.
Company Guidance
During Dell Technologies Inc.'s fiscal year 2026 third quarter financial results conference call, the company provided detailed guidance for the upcoming quarter and beyond. For Q4, Dell anticipates revenue between $31 and $32 billion, with ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) and CSG (Client Solutions Group) expected to grow 34% at the midpoint. The company highlighted the strong demand for AI servers, projecting shipments of $9.4 billion in Q4, which would bring full-year shipments to approximately $25 billion, marking a 150% year-over-year growth. Operating income is expected to increase by 21% quarter-over-quarter, driven by continued momentum in AI and Dell IP storage. Dell's guidance for its fiscal year 2026 reflects a revenue target of $111.7 billion, up 17%, and a non-GAAP EPS of $9.92, up 22% at the midpoint. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2027, Dell expressed strong confidence in its AI business, supported by a robust backlog and expanding customer base, while maintaining its long-term framework as a solid reference point for expected growth.

Dell Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance improved with revenue rebounding (~9% to ~$113.5B) and higher net margin (~5.2%), but overall financial strength is constrained by a weak balance sheet (negative equity, sizable debt) and inconsistent/unclear latest-year cash flow (operating and free cash flow shown as $0).
Income Statement
67
Positive
Revenue rebounded strongly in the latest annual period (up ~9% to ~$113.5B) after a prior downturn, and profitability improved versus 2023–2024 with net margin rising to ~5.2%. Gross margin has been relatively stable around ~20–24% over time but sits toward the lower end in the latest year (~20%), suggesting ongoing pricing/mix pressure. Overall, the company shows solid scale and a recovery in earnings power, but margins remain thin for the revenue base and results have been somewhat cyclical.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage is a key overhang: total debt remains sizable (~$31.5B in the latest year) and shareholders’ equity is negative in recent years, which materially weakens balance sheet flexibility and makes leverage metrics less meaningful/less favorable. Total assets are large (~$101.3B), but the negative equity position raises risk around capital structure resilience during downturns. The main positive is that debt has not consistently ballooned year-over-year, but overall balance sheet quality is constrained by the equity deficit.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation appears volatile. Operating and free cash flow were strong in some years (e.g., 2022 and 2024), but weakened sharply in others (notably 2023), and the latest annual period shows operating cash flow and free cash flow recorded at $0, implying either a severe drop-off or a data/reporting gap for that period. Where cash flow is positive, free cash flow has generally covered a meaningful portion of net income, but the inconsistency and the latest-year collapse/absence weigh heavily on cash-flow quality.
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue113.54B95.57B88.42B102.30B101.20B
Gross Profit22.71B21.25B21.07B22.69B21.89B
EBITDA7.26B9.59B8.89B7.66B12.02B
Net Income5.94B4.59B3.39B2.44B5.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.29B79.75B82.13B89.61B92.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.53B3.63B7.37B8.61B9.48B
Total Debt31.50B24.57B25.99B29.59B26.95B
Total Liabilities103.76B81.13B84.26B92.64B94.31B
Stockholders Equity-2.47B-1.48B-2.23B-3.12B-1.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.87B5.92B562.00M7.51B
Operating Cash Flow0.004.52B8.68B3.56B10.31B
Investing Cash Flow-2.06B-2.21B-2.78B-3.02B1.31B
Financing Cash Flow-1.46B-5.82B-7.09B-1.63B-16.61B

Dell Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price148.08
Price Trends
50DMA
121.32
Positive
100DMA
132.03
Positive
200DMA
128.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.32
Negative
RSI
71.41
Negative
STOCH
84.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DELL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 148.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.84, above the 50-day MA of 121.32, and above the 200-day MA of 128.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.41 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DELL.

Dell Technologies Risk Analysis

Dell Technologies disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dell Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dell Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$94.83B28.0841.27%0.18%-16.35%316.56%
72
Outperform
$19.54B17.24125.35%1.89%2.64%4.12%
72
Outperform
$21.20B117.7913.68%13.18%-0.92%
70
Outperform
$88.94B46.121.02%31.56%106.00%
62
Neutral
$98.13B19.751.45%10.81%31.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$17.37B7.175.09%4.09%-5.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DELL
Dell Technologies
148.08
54.26
57.84%
HPQ
HP
18.99
-9.77
-33.97%
NTAP
NetApp
99.03
5.24
5.58%
STX
Seagate Tech
407.84
309.68
315.51%
WDC
Western Digital
279.70
232.87
497.27%
PSTG
Pure Storage
64.22
14.79
29.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026