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HP (HPQ) AI Stock Analysis

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HPQ

HP

(NYSE:HPQ)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(8.42% Upside)
HP's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call highlights and attractive valuation metrics, which are offset by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's strategic focus on AI and innovation provides a positive outlook, but high leverage and declining profitability margins pose risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth over multiple quarters indicates strong demand for HP's products, enhancing its market position and long-term growth prospects.
AI-Powered Innovation
AI innovation can drive competitive advantage by enhancing product capabilities and customer experience, positioning HP for future technological leadership.
Cost Savings Initiative
Achieving significant cost savings enhances profitability and provides financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity reflects financial instability, potentially limiting HP's ability to raise capital and invest in long-term growth initiatives.
Decline in Print Revenue
Declining print revenue suggests challenges in a key business segment, which could impact overall profitability and necessitate strategic adjustments.
Rising Memory Costs
Increased memory costs pressure margins, potentially reducing profitability unless mitigated through pricing strategies or cost efficiencies.

HP (HPQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHP Inc. (HPQ) is a global technology company specializing in personal computers, printers, and related supplies. It operates primarily in two segments: Personal Systems and Printing. The Personal Systems segment includes desktops, laptops, workstations, and related accessories, while the Printing segment encompasses consumer and commercial printers, as well as supplies such as ink and toner cartridges. HP is known for its innovation in printing technology and its commitment to sustainability in product design and manufacturing.
How the Company Makes MoneyHP generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Personal Systems segment contributes significantly by selling a wide range of computing devices, including notebooks, desktops, and workstations, often bundled with services and accessories. The Printing segment generates revenue primarily from the sale of printers and a substantial portion from recurring revenues through the sale of ink and toner cartridges. HP also benefits from a subscription model through its Instant Ink service, which delivers ink to customers automatically. Additionally, partnerships with businesses and educational institutions, along with investments in 3D printing technology, further contribute to its earnings. The company also focuses on cost management and operational efficiency to enhance profitability.

HP Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Segment
Net Revenue by Segment
Reveals revenue contributions from each business segment, indicating which areas are performing well and which might need strategic adjustments to boost overall growth.
Chart InsightsHP's Personal Systems segment shows a recovery trend, bolstered by a 6% revenue growth year-over-year, driven by a shift to higher-value segments and strong AITC adoption. Despite a 3% decline in print revenue, HP maintains its market position, supported by strategic cost savings and manufacturing diversification. The company's focus on AI-powered solutions and sustainability initiatives further strengthens its competitive edge. However, challenges remain in the print segment due to aggressive pricing and softer demand, which could impact future performance.
Data provided by:The Fly

HP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted HP's robust growth and strategic advancements, particularly in the Personal Systems and AI innovation sectors. However, challenges such as declining print revenue, rising memory costs, and a flat commercial market in North America present headwinds. Despite these challenges, the outlook for fiscal year 2026 remains positive, driven by continued innovation and strategic focus.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth in Personal Systems
HP delivered its sixth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, with an 8% year-over-year increase in Personal Systems, driven by gains in commercial and consumer sectors.
AI-Powered Innovation
Introduction of new AI-powered devices, such as the AI station powered by NVIDIA and the industry's first 49-inch ultra-wide monitor that integrates AI noise reduction.
Successful Cost Savings Initiative
HP surpassed its original $1.4 billion savings target, achieving $2.2 billion in cumulative gross annualized savings.
Strong Performance in Key Growth Areas
Double-digit growth in key areas like data science workstations, consumer subscriptions nearing $1 billion in annual revenue, and continued momentum in Industrial Graphics.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal Year 2026
HP expects to grow faster than the market with a focus on AI integration and maintaining leadership in key segments.
Negative Updates
Decline in Print Revenue
Print revenue declined by 4% due to market softness and delayed purchasing decisions, despite maintaining a number one market share.
Impact of Rising Memory Costs
Memory costs, accounting for 15% to 18% of a typical PC's cost, have increased, impacting Personal Systems margins and requiring mitigation strategies.
Challenges in the Commercial Market
Americas revenue was flat in constant currency, reflecting demand softness in North America, particularly in commercial sectors.
Operating Profit Decline
Operating profits decreased due to trade-related costs, with a decline in print operating income on a dollar basis.
Company Guidance
In the HP Inc. Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 4% year-over-year revenue growth, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of revenue increase, largely driven by personal systems gains in both commercial and consumer sectors. Despite a 4% decline in print revenue, double-digit growth was observed in key areas such as consumer subscriptions and industrial graphics. The call highlighted HP's strategic focus on innovation, particularly with AI-powered devices and solutions, and their ongoing supply chain resilience efforts. Non-GAAP EPS came above the midpoint of guidance, with the company implementing strategies to mitigate rising memory costs, estimating a fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS range of $2.9 to $3.2. HP also announced a $0.30 per share dividend, underscoring confidence in their long-term outlook. Additionally, HP is embedding AI across operations, expecting $1 billion in gross run rate savings over three years, with workforce reductions of 4,000 to 6,000 people anticipated.

HP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HP's financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows modest revenue growth but declining profitability margins. The balance sheet is concerning due to high leverage and negative equity, posing financial risks. However, cash flow remains a strong point, with positive growth and adequate coverage ratios.
Income Statement
65
Positive
HP's income statement shows a modest revenue growth rate of 1.07% in the TTM period, indicating a slight recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is stable at 20.6%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 4.57%, reflecting pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.62, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity is negative, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio is low, suggesting potential financial instability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high leverage and low equity, posing financial risks.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 5.42%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.13, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.81, suggesting adequate cash flow coverage. Despite some fluctuations, cash flow remains a relative strength for HP.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.30B53.56B53.72B62.91B63.46B56.64B
Gross Profit11.39B11.82B11.51B12.26B13.41B10.42B
EBITDA3.93B4.72B4.47B5.46B8.61B4.24B
Net Income2.53B2.77B3.26B3.13B6.54B2.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.77B39.91B37.00B38.49B38.60B34.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.71B3.24B3.11B3.15B4.30B5.14B
Total Debt9.67B10.90B10.74B12.29B8.78B7.40B
Total Liabilities38.08B41.23B38.07B41.52B40.25B36.91B
Stockholders Equity3.69B-1.32B-1.07B-3.02B-1.64B-2.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.00B3.16B2.96B3.67B5.83B3.74B
Operating Cash Flow3.70B3.75B3.57B4.46B6.41B4.32B
Investing Cash Flow-1.18B-646.00M-590.00M-3.55B-1.01B-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow-2.06B-3.08B-2.89B-2.07B-5.96B-2.97B

HP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.98
Price Trends
50DMA
26.44
Negative
100DMA
26.39
Negative
200DMA
26.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.90
Negative
RSI
40.70
Neutral
STOCH
64.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HPQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.96, below the 50-day MA of 26.44, and below the 200-day MA of 26.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HPQ.

HP Risk Analysis

HP disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HP reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$53.93B23.0031.48%0.13%-16.35%316.56%
77
Outperform
$21.64B19.01125.35%1.90%2.64%4.12%
66
Neutral
$58.15B34.951.08%31.56%106.00%
63
Neutral
$22.41B9.054.75%3.94%-5.77%
63
Neutral
$89.31B17.761.52%10.77%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$19.60B26.3112.79%12.22%-48.34%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HPQ
HP
23.98
-11.04
-31.52%
NTAP
NetApp
109.25
-11.59
-9.59%
STX
Seagate Tech
272.28
171.57
170.36%
SMCI
Super Micro Computer
32.83
-9.17
-21.83%
WDC
Western Digital
157.74
102.42
185.14%
DELL
Dell Technologies
133.26
9.67
7.82%

HP Corporate Events

HP Inc. Reports Mixed Fiscal 2025 Results
Nov 26, 2025

HP Inc., a global leader in technology solutions, operates in more than 170 countries, offering innovative devices and services for personal computing, printing, and more. The company has reported its fiscal 2025 full-year and fourth-quarter financial results, showcasing a mix of growth and challenges. HP’s fiscal 2025 net revenue reached $55.3 billion, marking a 3.2% increase from the previous year, while the fourth-quarter revenue rose by 4.2% to $14.6 billion.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
HP Board Approves Strategic AI Plan for Savings
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, HP‘s Board of Directors approved a strategic plan to enhance customer satisfaction, product innovation, and productivity through AI adoption, aiming for $1 billion in savings by fiscal 2028. The plan involves restructuring costs of approximately $650 million, including workforce reductions of 4,000 to 6,000 employees. Additionally, HP reported fiscal 2025 results with a 3.2% increase in net revenue to $55.3 billion, despite a decline in GAAP and non-GAAP EPS. The company returned $1.9 billion to shareholders and announced an increased quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, reflecting its commitment to shareholder value and long-term growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPQ) stock is a Sell with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HP stock, see the HPQ Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
HP Announces Leadership Change in Personal Systems
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On September 29, 2025, HP announced that Alex Cho, President of Personal Systems, will depart the company to pursue other professional interests after a 30-year tenure. Ketan Patel, with over 20 years of experience at HP, will succeed Mr. Cho as President of Personal Systems, effective November 1, 2025, ensuring a smooth transition until the end of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPQ) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HP stock, see the HPQ Stock Forecast page.

HP Inc. Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

HP Inc. recently held its earnings call, reflecting a balanced sentiment of growth and challenges. The company showcased its continued momentum, particularly in personal systems, while addressing concerns in the print segment and competitive pricing pressures. Strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies were highlighted as key factors in maintaining a positive outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HP Inc. Reports Strong Revenue Growth in Fiscal Q3 2025
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

HP Inc. reported its fiscal 2025 third-quarter results, showcasing a 3.1% increase in net revenue to $13.9 billion, driven by strong performance in Personal Systems and key growth areas. Despite a decline in non-GAAP earnings per share, the company demonstrated financial resilience with a 23.1% increase in GAAP diluted net EPS and a robust cash flow, highlighting its agility and focused execution in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPQ) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HP stock, see the HPQ Stock Forecast page.

HP Inc. Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 28, 2025

HP Inc., a global technology leader in personal computing and printing, has reported its fiscal 2025 third quarter earnings, showcasing a mix of growth and challenges. The company, known for its innovative solutions in hybrid work, gaming, and 3D printing, operates in over 170 countries worldwide.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025