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HP Inc (HPQ)
NYSE:HPQ
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HP (HPQ) AI Stock Analysis

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HPQ

HP

(NYSE:HPQ)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(45.88% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is driven by strong cash-flow generation and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are balance-sheet leverage and earnings-call risks around expected back-half margin pressure and a projected H2 PC market contraction, while technicals show an uptrend but with overbought signals.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Consistent, growing free cash flow (~$3.8B TTM, +31%) and conversion that covers ~82% of net income underpin durable financial flexibility. This cash funding supports dividends, buybacks, capex, and strategic investments, helping HP absorb PC/print cycles and invest in long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Elevated financial leverage
Material leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.5x) constrains financial flexibility and increases vulnerability if margins or demand weaken. Interest and principal obligations limit free cash deployment for M&A or cushioning cyclical downturns, even as equity improved from prior periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Consistent, growing free cash flow (~$3.8B TTM, +31%) and conversion that covers ~82% of net income underpin durable financial flexibility. This cash funding supports dividends, buybacks, capex, and strategic investments, helping HP absorb PC/print cycles and invest in long-term growth.
Read all positive factors

HP Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Segment
Net Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by business segment, offering insight into which areas are driving growth and which might be underperforming.
Chart InsightsHP's Personal Systems segment is experiencing a resurgence, with recent quarters showing strong growth, driven by commercial and consumer gains. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on AI-powered innovation, as highlighted in the earnings call. Despite a decline in print revenue, HP's emphasis on AI and cost-saving initiatives is expected to drive future growth. The company is navigating challenges like rising memory costs and a soft commercial market in North America but remains optimistic about fiscal 2026, supported by strategic advancements and a positive revenue outlook.
Data provided by:The Fly

HP (HPQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
HP Inc. provides personal computing and other access devices, imaging and printing products, and related technologies, solutions, and services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Personal Systems,...
How the Company Makes Money
HP primarily generates revenue through two main segments: Personal Systems and Printing. In Personal Systems, HP sells commercial and consumer PCs (notebooks, desktops, workstations), displays, peripherals, and related software and services. Reven...

HP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 27, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mix of strong operational execution and product momentum (notably in Personal Systems, AI/edge offerings, cash flow and EPS outperformance) alongside meaningful near-term headwinds from rising memory, storage and other commodity costs that are expected to pressure margins in the back half. Management highlighted tangible mitigation actions (supplier agreements, strategic inventory, repricing, planning model) and provided upward confidence on full-year EPS and free cash flow guidance, but also warned that Q3/Q4 will see margin pressure with a Q4 trough before sequential improvement. Overall, positive operational momentum is balanced by significant near-term cost risks.
Positive Updates
Sustained Top-Line Growth
Revenue grew 9% year-over-year (6% in constant currency), marking the eighth consecutive quarter of top-line growth.
Negative Updates
Rising Input Costs and Commodity Pressures
Memory and storage costs increased sequentially in Q2 and are expected to continue rising in Q3 and Q4; management also flagged broader inflationary pressures including oil and transportation costs that will pressure margins.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Sustained Top-Line Growth
Revenue grew 9% year-over-year (6% in constant currency), marking the eighth consecutive quarter of top-line growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
HP strengthened its outlook while warning of H2 input‑cost pressure: it now expects fiscal 2026 diluted non‑GAAP EPS of $2.90–$3.10 (Q3 EPS $0.61–$0.71) and full‑year free cash flow of $2.8–$3.0B. Q2 results that drove the update included revenue +9% YoY (+6% CC), gross margin 20.9%, operating margin 7.5% (+20 bps YoY), diluted EPS $0.86 on ~925M shares, >$900M cash from operations and ~ $800M free cash flow in the quarter, and nearly $400M returned to shareholders while finishing the quarter within target leverage. Segment details: Personal Systems revenue +13% YoY, PS operating margin 5.2% with operating profit +30% YoY, AIPC mix up from >35% to 44% of shipments (targeting 60–70% next fiscal year and >70% by FY28); Print revenue was flat YoY and supplies were flat YoY in constant currency but are still expected to decline low‑single‑digit for the year. Looking ahead, HP expects PC TAM to decline in the high‑teens in H2 of the calendar year, memory and storage costs to rise in Q3/Q4, PS margins to trough in Q4 with sequential improvement thereafter, OI&E of ~$500M for the year and corporate other expense slightly under $1B.

HP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a clear strength (TTM FCF ~$3.8B, ~31% growth, ~82% of net income), but profitability has compressed (TTM net margin ~4.4%, EBITDA margin ~6.7%). The balance sheet is a key risk with high leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.5x), limiting flexibility if demand or margins weaken.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.42B55.30B53.56B53.72B62.91B63.46B
Gross Profit11.61B11.05B11.82B11.51B12.26B13.41B
EBITDA3.92B4.09B4.72B4.47B5.46B8.61B
Net Income2.55B2.53B2.77B3.26B3.13B6.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.94B41.77B39.91B37.00B38.49B38.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.70B3.69B3.24B3.11B3.15B4.30B
Total Debt9.67B10.88B10.90B10.74B12.29B8.78B
Total Liabilities43.08B42.12B41.23B38.07B41.52B40.25B
Stockholders Equity-144.00M-346.00M-1.32B-1.07B-3.02B-1.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.78B2.80B3.16B2.96B3.67B5.83B
Operating Cash Flow4.59B3.70B3.75B3.57B4.46B6.41B
Investing Cash Flow-327.00M-1.18B-646.00M-590.00M-3.55B-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow-3.29B-2.06B-3.08B-2.89B-2.07B-5.96B

HP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.88
Price Trends
50DMA
20.53
Positive
100DMA
19.84
Positive
200DMA
22.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.41
Negative
RSI
75.18
Negative
STOCH
85.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HPQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.28, below the 50-day MA of 20.53, and below the 200-day MA of 22.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HPQ.

HP Risk Analysis

HP disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HP reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$183.09B28.2691.94%0.18%-18.43%242.76%
75
Outperform
$28.10B26.91114.18%1.89%5.28%10.66%
75
Outperform
$197.48B81.76916.38%1.02%28.92%55.56%
68
Neutral
$206.85B32.52-363.24%1.45%38.86%
66
Neutral
$22.87B9.77169.24%5.09%7.20%4.12%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$24.84B22.0918.21%56.58%1.94%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HPQ
HP
27.04
3.34
14.09%
NTAP
NetApp
174.29
77.01
79.17%
STX
Seagate Tech
879.80
763.36
655.59%
SMCI
Super Micro Computer
46.09
6.07
15.17%
WDC
Western Digital
531.21
479.88
934.93%
DELL
Dell Technologies
420.91
311.31
284.03%

HP Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
HP Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay Practices
Positive
Apr 21, 2026
On April 16, 2026, HP Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, where investors elected twelve directors to serve on the board for the coming year, reaffirming the company’s existing leadership slate. Shareholders also ratified Erns...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 30, 2026