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NetApp (NTAP)
NASDAQ:NTAP

NetApp (NTAP) AI Stock Analysis

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NTAP

NetApp

(NASDAQ:NTAP)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$106.00
▲(8.60% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/02/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability/cash generation and a constructive earnings outlook with solid execution in all-flash, Keystone, and AI. Offsetting these positives are elevated balance-sheet leverage and weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation is reasonable and supported by a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Profitability & Cash Generation
NetApp's high gross (~70%) and net (~18%) margins and strong operating/free cash flow (OCF ~$1.8B, FCF ~90% of net income) underpin durable internal funding for R&D, share buybacks, and dividends, improving resilience to cyclical demand and supporting multi-quarter strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
NetApp's elevated leverage and a thin equity base constrain financial flexibility for M&A, cyclical downturns, or large strategic investments. Even with improved absolute debt levels versus prior years, higher leverage increases refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity over a multi-month horizon.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability & Cash Generation
NetApp's high gross (~70%) and net (~18%) margins and strong operating/free cash flow (OCF ~$1.8B, FCF ~90% of net income) underpin durable internal funding for R&D, share buybacks, and dividends, improving resilience to cyclical demand and supporting multi-quarter strategic investments.
Read all positive factors

NetApp (NTAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NetApp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NetApp, Inc. provides cloud-led and data-centric services to manage and share data on-premises, and private and public clouds worldwide. It operates in two segments, Hybrid Cloud and Public Could. The company offers intelligent data management sof...
How the Company Makes Money
NetApp generates revenue primarily through the sale of its hardware and software products, along with subscription services for cloud-based data management solutions. Key revenue streams include the direct sales of data storage systems, software l...

NetApp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsNetApp's revenue in the Americas shows a recent uptick, reflecting a recovery from previous declines, while EMEA faces challenges with softness impacting growth. The APAC region exhibits steady performance, aligning with global cloud services expansion. Despite these regional variances, NetApp's strategic focus on cloud services and AI infrastructure is driving overall growth, as highlighted in their earnings call. However, softness in EMEA and the US public sector, alongside a slight decline in product revenue, could pose risks to sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

NetApp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational achievements: revenue and EPS growth, record operating income, robust all-flash and Keystone momentum, growing deferred revenue/RPO and accelerating AI customer adoption (300 AI customers, AFX early wins and AIDE coming in Q4). Those positives are tempered by margin pressure at the product level driven by unfavorable mix and open-market purchases, and by an ongoing risk from inflationary memory prices and supply dynamics. Management is addressing these challenges via price increases, supplier engagement, and portfolio flexibility (hybrid, Keystone, cloud). On balance the call emphasized solid execution and growth opportunities while acknowledging manageable near-term margin and supply risks.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and EPS Outperformance
Q3 revenue of $1.71B, up 4% year-over-year (ex-Spot: +6%). Non-GAAP EPS $2.12, up 11% year-over-year, and results exceeded the midpoint of revenue guidance and the high end of EPS guidance.
Negative Updates
Product Gross Margin Pressure
Product gross margin declined 4.2 percentage points sequentially to 55.3%, contributing to Hybrid Cloud gross margin falling 1.8 ppt sequentially to 69.6%. Management attributed the decline to an unfavorable revenue mix and higher-cost market purchases.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth and EPS Outperformance
Q3 revenue of $1.71B, up 4% year-over-year (ex-Spot: +6%). Non-GAAP EPS $2.12, up 11% year-over-year, and results exceeded the midpoint of revenue guidance and the high end of EPS guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
NetApp provided non‑GAAP Q4 guidance of revenue $1.87B ± $75M (midpoint implying ~8% YoY growth, ~9% YoY excl. the prior‑year $25M Spot divestiture), gross margin 69.5–70.5%, operating margin 30.5–31.5% and EPS $2.21–$2.31. For fiscal 2026 the company guided revenue $6.772B–$6.922B (midpoint $6.847B, ~4% YoY growth, ~5% excl. Spot), gross margin 70.7–71.7%, operating margin 29.3–30.3%, approximately $24M net other expense, a tax rate of 20.2–21.2% and EPS $7.92–$8.02. Management framed this guidance against Q3 outperformance (Q3 revenue $1.71B; non‑GAAP EPS $2.12) and noted the Spot divestiture as the basis for certain “ex‑Spot” growth comparisons.

NetApp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation are strong (TTM gross margin ~70%, net margin ~18%, robust operating and free cash flow), supporting earnings quality. However, the balance sheet is a key constraint with elevated leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~2.1x) and a thin equity cushion, and recent free cash flow growth has been negative, tempering the score.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMApr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.71B6.57B6.27B6.36B6.32B5.74B
Gross Profit4.73B4.61B4.43B4.21B4.22B3.81B
EBITDA1.79B1.69B1.58B1.43B1.36B1.29B
Net Income1.21B1.19B986.00M1.27B937.00M730.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.97B10.82B9.89B9.82B10.03B9.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.02B3.85B3.25B3.07B4.13B4.60B
Total Debt2.73B3.49B2.65B2.68B2.94B2.75B
Total Liabilities8.81B9.78B8.74B8.66B9.19B8.68B
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.04B1.15B1.16B838.00M685.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.61B1.34B1.53B868.00M985.00M1.17B
Operating Cash Flow1.79B1.51B1.69B1.11B1.21B1.33B
Investing Cash Flow-728.00M147.00M-735.00M-1.39B-561.00M21.00M
Financing Cash Flow-968.00M-828.00M-1.34B-1.51B-1.02B444.00M

NetApp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price97.61
Price Trends
50DMA
100.29
Negative
100DMA
104.27
Negative
200DMA
107.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
42.25
Neutral
STOCH
26.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 97.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.79, below the 50-day MA of 100.29, and below the 200-day MA of 107.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NTAP.

NetApp Risk Analysis

NetApp disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NetApp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NetApp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$105.77B8.7964.18%0.18%-16.35%316.56%
71
Outperform
$20.45B123.5213.91%13.18%-0.92%
70
Outperform
$102.22B26.06-889.39%1.02%31.56%106.00%
64
Neutral
$19.26B14.44116.57%1.89%2.64%4.12%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$13.58B10.9013.33%12.22%-48.34%
57
Neutral
$17.02B8.261135.29%5.09%4.09%-5.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTAP
NetApp
97.61
13.14
15.56%
HPQ
HP
18.61
-4.50
-19.48%
STX
Seagate Tech
468.72
395.38
539.07%
SMCI
Super Micro Computer
22.67
-14.04
-38.25%
WDC
Western Digital
311.96
275.82
763.13%
PSTG
Pure Storage
61.89
17.19
38.46%

NetApp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NetApp Adds Independent Director to Strengthen AI Strategy
Positive
Jan 12, 2026
On January 8, 2026, NetApp’s board expanded its size from nine to ten members and appointed Paul Fipps, President of Global Customer Operations at ServiceNow, as a new independent director, a move formally announced in a January 12, 2026 pre...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 02, 2026