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NetApp (NTAP)
NASDAQ:NTAP

NetApp (NTAP) AI Stock Analysis

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NetApp

(NASDAQ:NTAP)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$119.00
▲(11.82%Upside)
NetApp's overall score is bolstered by strong financial performance and earnings growth, particularly in cloud and AI sectors. While technical indicators show moderate momentum, valuation remains reasonable. Corporate events and strategic initiatives further enhance its growth outlook, despite some geopolitical and macroeconomic headwinds.
Positive Factors
AI Opportunities
NetApp is seeing good initial deal traction in AI and believes momentum will build as enterprise AI opportunities become more concrete.
Market Position
Analyst maintains an Overweight rating on NTAP shares due to its leading market position to gain share from peers following a refreshed product portfolio.
Product Portfolio
NetApp's business mix is evolving toward margin-rich growth areas, including all-flash arrays and public cloud storage services, which should support mid- to high-single-digit top-line growth with expanding margins.
Negative Factors
Guidance Shortfall
FY guidance missed on conservatism amidst significant macro uncertainty, paired with ongoing US Public Sector spending friction and slower economic activity in EMEA.
Revenue Consistency
NetApp has experienced choppy revenue performance over the past five years, causing investors to seek more consistent top-line execution.
Sector Uncertainty
Uncertainty in the US Public sector and EMEA remains a concern for the business.

NetApp (NTAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NetApp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetApp, Inc. (NTAP) is a global technology company that specializes in data management and cloud storage solutions. Headquartered in San Jose, California, NetApp provides a comprehensive portfolio of software, systems, and services that enable organizations to store, manage, and protect their data. The company serves a diverse range of sectors including financial services, healthcare, government, and technology, offering products such as all-flash storage arrays, hybrid cloud solutions, and data management software.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetApp generates revenue primarily through the sale of its data management and storage solutions. The company's business model is built around selling hardware products like all-flash and hybrid flash storage systems, as well as software products that enhance data management capabilities. Additionally, NetApp offers a range of services including professional services, support, and training that contribute to its earnings. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from its cloud data services, which provide data management solutions for public, private, and hybrid cloud environments. Key partnerships with leading cloud providers such as Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform are crucial to NetApp's ability to deliver integrated solutions and expand its market reach. These partnerships, along with its extensive channel partner network, play a significant role in driving sales and increasing market penetration.

NetApp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Margin by Segment
Gross Margin by Segment
Indicates the profitability of each segment by comparing revenue to direct costs, providing insight into operational efficiency and pricing power across the company's offerings.
Chart InsightsNetApp's Public Cloud segment is experiencing robust growth in gross margins, reaching a high of 79% in early 2025, reflecting strong demand and operational efficiencies. Meanwhile, the Product segment saw a significant recovery in 2023 but is now stabilizing. Support margins remain consistently high, indicating stable recurring revenue. However, Professional and Other Services margins are volatile, suggesting potential challenges in cost management or service delivery. Investors should watch for strategic shifts in the Professional Services segment to enhance profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

NetApp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 30, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted record revenue achievements, significant growth in all-flash arrays and cloud services, and strong AI business expansion. However, challenges such as macroeconomic uncertainties, potential impacts from the divestiture, and geopolitical concerns were noted, leading to a cautious outlook for fiscal year 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
NetApp achieved record revenue for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, driven by strong growth in all-flash storage and cloud services, marking all-time highs for gross profit, operating profit, operating margin, and EPS.
Significant Growth in All-Flash Array
All-flash array annualized revenue run rate grew 14% year over year to a record $4.1 billion, gaining 300 basis points of market share in calendar 2024.
Strong Public Cloud Segment Growth
First-party and marketplace cloud storage services grew 44% year over year in Q4, contributing to a 22% growth in the public cloud segment, excluding divested Spark business.
AI Business Expansion
NetApp's AI business grew fivefold year over year in Q4, closing approximately 150 AI infrastructure and data lake modernization deals.
Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns
Q4 operating margin reached 28.6%, the highest for a Q4 in NetApp's history, and EPS grew 7% year over year with $355 million returned to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic and Public Sector Challenges
Caution due to the global macroeconomic outlook with mixed signals, including a slowdown in growth, lingering inflation concerns, and uncertainties in the US public sector and EMEA.
Impact of Divestiture on Public Cloud Revenue
The divestiture of the Spot business is expected to negatively impact reported public cloud and total revenue growth for fiscal year 2026, with Spot having generated around $95 million annually.
Uncertainty in Manufacturing and Tariffs
Concerns about tariffs affecting manufacturing-centered economies in Europe, causing enterprises to slow down spending.
Guidance and Strategic Uncertainty
Despite strong competitive positioning, guidance reflects caution due to geopolitical situations and uncertainty in trade policies, potentially impacting revenue growth.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, NetApp provided detailed guidance for fiscal year 2026, highlighting several key metrics. The company expects total revenue to range between $6.625 billion and $6.875 billion, indicating a 3% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Excluding the divested Spot business, this implies a 4% growth. For the first quarter, revenue is projected to be between $1.455 billion and $1.605 billion, with a midpoint indicating a 1% year-over-year decline due to the divestiture. NetApp anticipates consolidated gross margins for FY26 to be between 71% and 72%, with operating margins expected to range from 28.8% to 29.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be between $7.60 and $7.90. The company plans to return up to 100% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Moreover, NetApp is poised to capitalize on growth opportunities in AI and public cloud services, with substantial investments in R&D and sales capacity aimed at capturing additional market share.

NetApp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NetApp showcases strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and high profitability. However, the balance sheet indicates increased financial leverage which requires attention. Cash flow generation remains robust, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
NetApp demonstrates a strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability. The gross profit margin has remained strong, averaging around 70% over recent years, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margins improved significantly in the latest year, reaching approximately 18%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain solid, highlighting efficient core operations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a well-managed capital structure, though with some areas for improvement. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the past year, suggesting a higher financial leverage, but it remains manageable. The return on equity improved to roughly 114%, indicating strong shareholder returns. However, the equity ratio is a concern, as it is relatively low, suggesting a high reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
NetApp's cash flow generation is strong, with a healthy free cash flow growth rate, particularly visible in the past year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio consistently exceeds 1, demonstrating effective conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio suggests robust cash generation relative to profits, supporting ongoing investments and shareholder returns.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.57B6.27B6.36B6.32B5.74B
Gross Profit4.61B4.43B4.21B4.22B3.81B
EBITDA1.34B1.58B1.43B1.36B1.29B
Net Income1.19B986.00M1.27B937.00M730.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.82B9.89B9.82B10.03B9.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.85B3.26B3.07B4.13B4.60B
Total Debt3.49B2.65B2.39B2.64B2.63B
Total Liabilities9.78B8.74B8.66B9.19B8.68B
Stockholders Equity1.04B1.15B1.16B838.00M685.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.34B1.53B868.00M985.00M1.17B
Operating Cash Flow1.51B1.69B1.11B1.21B1.33B
Investing Cash Flow147.00M-735.00M-1.39B-561.00M21.00M
Financing Cash Flow-828.00M-1.34B-1.51B-1.02B444.00M

NetApp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price106.42
Price Trends
50DMA
100.43
Positive
100DMA
97.03
Positive
200DMA
108.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.86
Positive
RSI
60.78
Neutral
STOCH
65.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.54, above the 50-day MA of 100.43, and below the 200-day MA of 108.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTAP.

NetApp Risk Analysis

NetApp disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NetApp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NetApp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$21.37B18.80108.51%1.95%5.02%22.19%
77
Outperform
$29.31B27.6121.03%82.10%6.35%
76
Outperform
$19.02B154.909.76%10.85%30.85%
WDWDC
63
Neutral
$22.34B12.1728.45%0.15%21.22%
HPHPQ
61
Neutral
$24.06B9.9284.33%4.52%2.08%-12.41%
STSTX
61
Neutral
$30.14B20.88-109.27%2.03%36.29%
50
Neutral
C$2.94B1.84-63.12%2.59%11.24%-12.42%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTAP
NetApp
106.42
-21.18
-16.60%
HPQ
HP
25.73
-9.63
-27.23%
STX
Seagate Tech
144.50
40.31
38.69%
SMCI
Super Micro Computer
50.36
-40.64
-44.66%
WDC
Western Digital
65.06
5.65
9.51%
PSTG
Pure Storage
57.56
-7.64
-11.72%

NetApp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NetApp EVP Harvinder Bhela Announces Departure
Positive
May 29, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Harvinder Bhela announced his decision to step down from his role as Executive Vice President and Chief Product Officer at NetApp, effective June 20, 2025, with plans to assist in a smooth transition of his responsibilities. Additionally, on May 22, 2025, NetApp’s Board of Directors approved an additional $1.1 billion for stock repurchases, highlighting the company’s strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders. NetApp reported record financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, with significant increases in net revenues, profitability, and market share in all-flash storage and cloud services. The company also announced several product innovations and strategic partnerships, positioning itself for continued growth and leadership in the enterprise AI market.

The most recent analyst rating on (NTAP) stock is a Hold with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NetApp stock, see the NTAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2025