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MCHI - ETF AI Analysis

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MCHI

iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
MCHI, the iShares MSCI China ETF, has a mixed overall rating that reflects both strong core holdings and notable risks in the Chinese market. Large positions in Tencent and China Construction Bank support the fund with solid financial performance, growth initiatives, and attractive valuations, while companies like Alibaba and PDD face bearish trading trends and regulatory or competitive pressures that weigh on the fund. The main risk factor is its heavy concentration in Chinese technology and internet-related names, which makes the ETF sensitive to sector-specific and regulatory developments in China.
Positive Factors
Large Asset Base
The ETF manages a sizable pool of assets, which can support liquidity and trading efficiency for investors.
Exposure to Major Chinese Leaders
Top holdings include well-known Chinese companies like Alibaba, Ping An, and BYD that have shown strong or steady performance this year, helping support the fund’s returns.
Sector Diversification Within China
The fund spreads its investments across several sectors such as consumer, communication services, and financials, reducing reliance on any single industry.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is relatively high, which means more of the returns are eaten up by fees over time.
Concentration in a Few Stocks
A large share of the portfolio is tied up in a small number of companies like Tencent and Alibaba, increasing the impact if these stocks perform poorly.
Heavy Geographic Concentration in Hong Kong–Listed Names
Most of the ETF’s exposure is in Hong Kong–listed Chinese companies, which can make the fund more sensitive to local market and regulatory risks.

MCHI vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MCHI Summary

The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) is a fund that aims to track the MSCI China Index, giving you broad exposure to major Chinese stocks in one investment. It holds many well-known Chinese companies such as Tencent and Alibaba, along with banks, tech firms, and consumer brands. Someone might invest in MCHI to tap into China’s long-term growth potential and to diversify beyond their home market. However, this ETF can be quite volatile and is heavily influenced by China’s economy, government policies, and overall stock market swings.
How much will it cost me?The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means you’ll pay $5.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it tracks a specific international market and requires more active management compared to broad U.S. index funds. It’s still considered reasonable for the exposure it provides to the Chinese equity market.
What would affect this ETF?The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) could benefit from China's economic recovery and growth in consumer spending, particularly in sectors like consumer cyclical and communication services, which make up a significant portion of the ETF. However, potential risks include regulatory changes in China's technology and financial sectors, as well as global economic uncertainties or geopolitical tensions that could impact investor sentiment and market performance.

MCHI Top 10 Holdings

MCHI is heavily tied to China’s internet and consumer story, with Tencent as the biggest weight but currently losing steam, acting more like a brake than an engine. Alibaba has been a rare bright spot, rising recently and helping offset weakness in other tech names. Xiaomi and PDD have been lagging, showing that consumer and e-commerce sentiment is still fragile. On the steadier side, big state-backed banks like China Construction Bank and ICBC, along with Ping An, provide some ballast. Overall, this is a China-heavy, tech-and-consumer-tilted ride with mixed momentum.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Tencent Holdings 16.79%$1.37BHK$5.48T50.71%
75
Outperform
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.12.41%$1.01BHK$2.85T91.62%
70
Outperform
China Construction Bank3.31%$268.93MHK$2.11T14.49%
82
Outperform
Xiaomi2.65%$215.25MHK$924.56B-11.84%
71
Outperform
PDD Holdings2.41%$196.13M$140.68B-9.70%
70
Outperform
Meituan2.07%$168.27MHK$594.05B-34.55%
74
Outperform
Ping An Insurance Company of China2.07%$168.12MHK$1.34T57.72%
72
Outperform
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China1.82%$148.38MHK$2.76T20.14%
78
Outperform
BYD Co1.58%$128.34MHK$906.57B6.74%
66
Neutral
Netease Inc1.52%$123.73MHK$629.41B27.33%
80
Outperform

MCHI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
61.66
Positive
100DMA
62.61
Negative
200DMA
58.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
49.31
Neutral
STOCH
64.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.88, equal to the 50-day MA of 61.66, and equal to the 200-day MA of 58.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MCHI.

MCHI Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$8.13B0.59%
$6.80B0.74%
$140.11M0.70%
$97.28M0.59%
$80.72M0.80%
$2.04M0.89%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCHI
iShares MSCI China ETF
62.40
14.18
29.41%
FXI
iShares China Large-Cap ETF
PGJ
Invesco Golden Dragon China Etf
ECNS
iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF
FCA
First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund
CGRO
CoreValues Alpha Greater China Growth ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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