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MCHI - ETF AI Analysis

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MCHI

iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) has a balanced overall rating, reflecting a mix of strong and weaker holdings. Tencent Holdings, the largest holding, contributes positively with robust financial performance and strategic investments in AI and technology, though bearish technical momentum slightly tempers its impact. Similarly, China Construction Bank adds strength with its attractive valuation and profitability, supported by bullish technical indicators. However, weaker contributors like BYD Co and Xiaomi face bearish technical trends and valuation concerns, which may have held back the ETF's overall rating. The fund's concentration in Chinese equities presents a potential risk, particularly given sector-specific challenges and regulatory pressures in the region.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several major holdings, including Tencent and Alibaba, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's overall returns.
Sector Diversification
The ETF is spread across multiple sectors like Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services, and Financials, reducing reliance on any single industry.
High Assets Under Management
The fund has significant investor interest, as shown by its large asset base, which can provide stability and liquidity.
Negative Factors
Geographic Concentration
Over 80% of the ETF's exposure is tied to Hong Kong, making it highly sensitive to regional economic and political risks.
Mixed Holding Performance
While some top holdings have performed well, others like Meituan have lagged, potentially dragging down overall returns.
Above-Average Expense Ratio
The ETF's expense ratio is higher than many broad-market ETFs, which could eat into long-term investor returns.

MCHI vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MCHI Summary

The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) is an investment fund that focuses on the Chinese stock market, tracking the MSCI China Index. It includes large and mid-sized companies across various sectors, such as consumer goods, technology, and finance. Some well-known companies in this ETF are Tencent Holdings and Alibaba Group. Investors might consider MCHI if they want to tap into China's economic growth or diversify their portfolio with international exposure. However, it’s important to know that the ETF’s performance can be heavily influenced by the Chinese economy and market conditions, which may experience volatility.
How much will it cost me?The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means you’ll pay $5.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it tracks a specific international market and requires more active management compared to broad U.S. index funds. It’s still considered reasonable for the exposure it provides to the Chinese equity market.
What would affect this ETF?The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) could benefit from China's economic recovery and growth in consumer spending, particularly in sectors like consumer cyclical and communication services, which make up a significant portion of the ETF. However, potential risks include regulatory changes in China's technology and financial sectors, as well as global economic uncertainties or geopolitical tensions that could impact investor sentiment and market performance.

MCHI Top 10 Holdings

The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) leans heavily on consumer cyclical and communication services, with Tencent and Alibaba leading the charge. Tencent has shown steady long-term growth, but recent performance has been mixed, while Alibaba’s rising momentum in cloud services and AI is a bright spot. Financial stocks like China Construction Bank add stability, benefiting from strong fundamentals and green finance initiatives. However, names like Xiaomi and PDD Holdings are dragging the fund, facing bearish trends and competitive pressures. Overall, the ETF reflects China’s dynamic economy but remains vulnerable to sector-specific headwinds.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Tencent Holdings 17.25%$1.38BHK$5.53T47.21%
75
Outperform
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.11.71%$937.95MHK$2.96T77.14%
71
Outperform
China Construction Bank3.39%$271.83MHK$2.14T28.85%
82
Outperform
Xiaomi3.24%$259.89MHK$1.11T38.68%
71
Outperform
PDD Holdings2.87%$230.15M$163.74B6.61%
70
Outperform
Meituan2.18%$174.58MHK$605.35B-44.82%
74
Outperform
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China1.82%$145.95MHK$2.92T27.15%
78
Outperform
Ping An Insurance Company of China1.79%$143.47MHK$1.17T28.10%
72
Outperform
Netease Inc1.68%$134.38MHK$669.33B40.61%
80
Outperform
BYD Co1.60%$128.56MHK$926.72B9.12%
66
Neutral

MCHI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
63.71
Negative
100DMA
62.24
Negative
200DMA
57.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Negative
RSI
45.99
Neutral
STOCH
68.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.63, equal to the 50-day MA of 63.71, and equal to the 200-day MA of 57.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MCHI.

MCHI Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$7.95B0.59%
$6.56B0.74%
$235.54M0.19%
$137.94M0.70%
$60.73M0.80%
$5.58M0.75%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCHI
iShares MSCI China ETF
61.35
13.55
28.35%
FXI
iShares China Large-Cap ETF
FLCH
Franklin FTSE China ETF
PGJ
Invesco Golden Dragon China Etf
FCA
First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund
CGRO
CoreValues Alpha Greater China Growth ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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