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Bank of China Limited Class H (HK:3988)
:3988

Bank of China (3988) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Bank of China

(OTC:3988)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:―
Bank of China demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The stock is technically in an uptrend, and its valuation appears attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The earnings call highlighted positive growth and strategic focus, though challenges like narrow net interest margins and real estate risks persist. Overall, the bank is well-positioned, but some caution is warranted due to sector-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Dividend and Earnings Stability
A high FY25F dividend yield and confidence in stable FY25F-27F EPS support the Add rating on BOC.
Earnings Growth
4Q24 adjusted pre-provisioning operating profit (PPOP) growth strongly rebounded to 7% yoy, the strongest since 4Q22, driven by stabilising net interest income.
Policy Risk Reduction
Reduced concerns over policy risks led to an increase in target price to HK$5.60.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Impact
Tariff and geopolitical tensions to materially impact its overseas operations and trade related business.
Interest Margin and Social Responsibilities
Key downside risks include a worse-than-expected NIM trend and greater social responsibilities negatively impacting net profit.
Interest Margin Compression
BOC’s overseas assets may face NIM compression as the US potentially starts its rate cut cycle.

Bank of China (3988) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Bank of China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBank of China Limited (3988) is one of the largest commercial banks in China, providing a wide range of financial services to individual and corporate clients. The bank operates in sectors including personal banking, corporate banking, investment banking, and wealth management. It offers core products such as deposits, loans, credit cards, foreign exchange services, and various investment products. With a significant global presence, Bank of China also facilitates international trade and investment through its extensive network of branches and subsidiaries worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyBank of China generates revenue primarily through its diverse banking operations. The major sources of income include interest income from loans and advances provided to individuals and businesses, as well as interest earned on its investment portfolio. Additionally, the bank earns fee and commission income from services such as wealth management, foreign exchange transactions, and trade finance. Bank of China also benefits from its investment banking activities, which include underwriting and advisory services. The bank's global reach and strategic partnerships enhance its ability to attract international clients and tap into cross-border trade opportunities, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Bank of China Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 5.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a mostly positive sentiment with significant achievements in asset growth, revenue, and profit increases, as well as strong performance in green finance and overseas contributions. However, challenges remain, particularly with narrow net interest margins and the real estate sector's impact on asset quality.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Asset and Liability Growth
Total assets exceeded RMB35 trillion and total liabilities reached RMB32 trillion, up 8.11% and 8.20% respectively from the end of last year.
Revenue and Profit Increase
Operating income reached RMB632.8 billion, a year-on-year growth of 1.38%. After-tax profit was RMB252.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.58%.
Share Price Surge
The bank's A share and H share prices rose by 55.24% and 42.97% respectively.
Green Finance Expansion
The balance of domestic green credit grew by 31.03%, and the bank launched several innovative green financial products.
Overseas Profit Contribution
Pre-tax profit of foreign commercial banks increased by 40.75% year-on-year, contributing significantly to the group's results.
Negative Updates
Narrow Net Interest Margin
Net Interest Margin (NIM) was at 1.4%, a narrow margin that poses challenges in a low-interest environment.
Real Estate Sector Challenges
The real estate industry was the largest source of new non-performing loans (NPLs), though risks are gradually decreasing.
Global Geopolitical Challenges
The global political and economic situation is complex, with deepening external challenges from geopolitics and supply chain stability.
Company Guidance
In the Bank of China's 2024 Annual Results Release Conference, several key metrics were highlighted to demonstrate the bank's financial performance and strategic direction. The bank's total assets exceeded RMB35 trillion, marking an 8.11% increase from the previous year, while total liabilities grew by 8.20% to RMB32 trillion. Operating income reached RMB632.8 billion, a 1.38% year-on-year growth, and after-tax profit increased by 2.58% to RMB252.7 billion. Key financial ratios included a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.4%, a return on assets (ROA) of 0.75%, and a return on equity (ROE) of 9.5%, with a cost-to-income ratio of 28.77%. The bank maintained a stable asset quality with a non-performing loan (NPL) rate of 1.25%, a provision coverage ratio of 200.6%, and a capital adequacy ratio of 18.76%. Additionally, shareholder returns were notable, with A share and H share prices increasing by 55.24% and 42.97%, respectively. The bank emphasized its strategic focus on supporting high-quality economic and social development, enhancing global competitiveness, and improving risk management capabilities for sustainable growth in 2025.

Bank of China Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bank of China exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, with a solid balance sheet characterized by zero debt and effective equity utilization. Cash flow performance indicates areas for improvement, particularly in operating cash flow growth. Overall, the bank maintains a strong financial position, essential for resilience in the diversified banking industry.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Bank of China has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a 21.4% increase from 2023 to 2024. The net profit margin for 2024 is 37.8%, reflecting strong profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are unavailable for 2024, limiting comprehensive margin analysis.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The bank shows financial stability with a significant equity ratio of 8.0% in 2024 and a debt-free position, enhancing leverage stability. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 8.4%, indicating effective use of equity. The balance sheet reflects a solid capital structure, crucial for a diversified bank.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow decreased significantly from 2023 to 2024, but free cash flow remains positive. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profit. Growth in free cash flow is negative, suggesting potential challenges in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue633.32B629.41B518.28B617.36B604.08B565.37B
Gross Profit633.32B629.41B621.92B617.36B604.08B565.37B
EBITDA69.56B0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income236.22B237.84B231.90B226.52B216.56B192.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.99T35.06T32.43T28.91T26.72T24.40T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.86T5.27T4.46T4.10T3.90T3.81T
Total Debt2.39T2.52T2.21T1.89T1.72T1.55T
Total Liabilities33.02T32.11T29.68T1.89T1.72T1.55T
Stockholders Equity2.83T2.82T2.63T2.43T2.23T2.04T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow477.43B523.73B787.30B-39.08B813.09B33.41B
Operating Cash Flow507.26B550.97B816.45B-11.34B843.26B73.03B
Investing Cash Flow-1.03T-805.99B-539.43B-22.24B-395.56B-17.07B
Financing Cash Flow-110.25B111.86B119.86B53.05B74.34B126.62B

Bank of China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.67
Price Trends
50DMA
4.55
Positive
100DMA
4.42
Positive
200DMA
3.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
54.26
Neutral
STOCH
86.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3988, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.62, above the 50-day MA of 4.55, and above the 200-day MA of 3.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3988.

Bank of China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$2.23T6.5510.80%4.34%-0.43%11.31%
82
Outperform
$2.15T5.6010.81%11.05%-3.79%-0.62%
80
Outperform
$730.19B5.66
11.56%―0.12%
78
Outperform
$2.76T5.769.72%5.25%-3.41%-0.73%
77
Outperform
$1.68T5.399.57%87.96%6.59%-0.89%
74
Outperform
$1.30T8.7314.86%3.92%-2.77%0.10%
65
Neutral
kr119.28B25.017.49%5.56%13.90%-82.08%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3988
Bank of China
4.67
1.30
38.45%
HK:1288
Agricultural Bank of China
5.73
2.35
69.53%
HK:0939
China Construction Bank
8.03
2.96
58.48%
HK:3328
Bank of Communications Co
7.44
2.02
37.14%
HK:3968
China Merchants Bank Co
55.15
20.91
61.08%
HK:1398
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
6.32
2.04
47.70%

Bank of China Corporate Events

Bank of China Announces Executive Vice President Resignation
Apr 29, 2025

Bank of China Limited announced the resignation of Mr. Liu Jin from his role as Executive Vice President, effective April 29, 2025, due to a position change. The Board expressed gratitude for his contributions and confirmed there are no disagreements or issues to report to shareholders, indicating a smooth transition and stability within the company’s leadership.

Bank of China Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results with Cash Flow Concerns
Apr 29, 2025

Bank of China Limited reported its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025, showing a slight decrease in profit and a significant cash outflow from operating activities. The bank’s operating income increased by 2.41% compared to the same period last year, but profit for the period fell by 2.22%. The net cash outflow of RMB 40.463 billion was mainly due to increased loans and advances to customers, highlighting a potential area of concern for stakeholders.

Bank of China Releases 2025 Q1 Pillar 3 Disclosure Report
Apr 29, 2025

The Bank of China has released its 2025 Q1 Pillar 3 Disclosure Report, highlighting its risk management strategies, key prudential metrics, and risk-weighted assets. The report provides insights into the bank’s leverage ratio and liquidity coverage, indicating a robust framework for managing financial stability and compliance with regulatory requirements. This disclosure underscores the bank’s commitment to transparency and its strategic positioning to meet both domestic and international financial regulations, which is crucial for stakeholders and investors.

Bank of China Approves Key Resolutions and Financial Bond Issuance Plan
Apr 29, 2025

Bank of China Limited held a Board of Directors meeting in Beijing on April 29, 2025, where several key resolutions were approved. These included the approval of the 2025 First Quarter Report, the Q1 Pillar 3 Disclosure Report, and the dividend distribution for Domestic Preference Shares. Additionally, the bank plans to issue financial bonds worth up to RMB350 billion for general purposes, with the issuance plan valid until the next Annual Shareholders’ Meeting. Amendments to the Articles of Association were also approved, reflecting the bank’s compliance with relevant laws and regulations.

Bank of China Announces Final Dividend for 2024
Apr 16, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced a proposed final cash dividend for the year ended December 31, 2024, amounting to RMB 1.216 per 10 shares. The dividend will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.075909735, with a payment date set for May 23, 2025. The announcement includes details on the withholding tax rates applicable to different categories of shareholders, emphasizing compliance with Chinese tax regulations. This dividend distribution reflects the bank’s financial performance and commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Bank of China Announces Successful 2025 Extraordinary General Meeting Results
Apr 16, 2025

The Bank of China Limited announced the results of its 2025 First Extraordinary General Meeting, held on April 16, 2025, at its head office in Beijing. The meeting saw the participation of 3,511 shareholders and proxies, representing 82.88% of the bank’s total voting shares. The resolutions proposed at the meeting were approved by the shareholders, with voting conducted both onsite and online, adhering to relevant regulations. This successful meeting underscores the bank’s commitment to transparent governance and active shareholder engagement.

Bank of China to Review Q1 2025 Financial Results and Dividend Plans
Apr 15, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced that its Board of Directors will meet to approve the unaudited financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025, and discuss dividend distribution plans for its Preference Shares on April 29, 2025. This announcement is significant as it provides insights into the bank’s financial health and strategic decisions, potentially impacting stakeholders and market perception.

Bank of China Appoints Ms. Zhang Ran as Independent Non-executive Director
Apr 8, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced the appointment of Ms. Zhang Ran as an Independent Non-executive Director, effective April 3, 2025. Ms. Zhang will also serve on several key committees within the Board of Directors. Her extensive academic and professional background in accounting and finance, along with her previous directorships, positions her as a valuable addition to the bank’s governance structure. This appointment is expected to enhance the bank’s strategic oversight and risk management capabilities, benefiting stakeholders and reinforcing its position in the financial industry.

Bank of China Announces Board of Directors and Committee Structure
Apr 8, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced the composition of its Board of Directors, including key roles such as Chairman Ge Haijiao and Vice Chairman Zhang Hui. The board consists of a mix of executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, highlighting the bank’s commitment to diverse governance. The announcement also details the membership of six board committees, which are crucial for strategic development, corporate culture, consumer protection, audit, risk policy, personnel remuneration, and connected transactions control. This structured governance approach is likely to enhance the bank’s operational efficiency and strategic oversight, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Bank of China Announces Online Investor Briefing for A-Share Offering
Mar 30, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced an upcoming Investor Briefing scheduled for March 31, 2025, which will be conducted online via text interaction. The briefing aims to address investor questions regarding the Offering of A-Shares to Specified Investors, with key company representatives, including the Secretary to the Board of Directors, participating to provide insights and answer common investor concerns.

Bank of China Announces Final Dividend for 2024
Mar 30, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced a proposed distribution of a final cash dividend for the year ended 31 December 2024, with a declared dividend of RMB 1.216 per 10 shares. The ex-dividend date is set for 22 April 2025, and the payment date is scheduled for 23 May 2025. This announcement reflects the bank’s financial performance and commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Bank of China Proposes New Share Offering to Boost Capital
Mar 30, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced a proposal to offer new shares, subject to shareholder approval, as part of its strategy for sustained development and capital market adaptation. The bank’s board has been authorized to issue additional A Shares and/or H Shares, up to a maximum of 20% of the existing shares, contingent upon necessary regulatory approvals. This move is expected to enhance the bank’s capital base and support its growth initiatives.

Bank of China to Hold 2025 Extraordinary General Meeting for Share Issuance Approval
Mar 30, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced the convening of its 2025 First Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) to be held on April 16, 2025, in Beijing. The meeting will focus on approving a general mandate for the bank to offer new shares, allowing the board to issue additional A Shares and/or H Shares up to 20% of the existing shares. This move is aimed at strengthening the bank’s capital base and enhancing its market position. The resolutions also include the eligibility and plan for offering A-Shares to specified investors, which could potentially impact the bank’s financial strategy and shareholder value.

Bank of China Announces Final Dividend for 2024
Mar 26, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced a proposed distribution of a final cash dividend of RMB 1.216 per 10 shares for the financial year ending December 31, 2024. This announcement reflects the bank’s financial performance and its commitment to delivering value to shareholders, although specific dates for shareholder approval, payment, and other related details are yet to be announced.

Bank of China Approves Key 2024 Reports and Plans
Mar 26, 2025

The Bank of China Limited held a Board of Directors meeting on March 26, 2025, in Beijing, where several key proposals were unanimously approved. These included the 2024 Annual Report, the Pillar 3 Disclosure Report, the Profit Distribution Plan, the Internal Control Assessment Report, and the Management of Connected Transactions Report. The approvals reflect the bank’s compliance with legal and regulatory standards and its commitment to transparency and stakeholder interests.

Bank of China Announces 2024 Annual Results, Strengthens Global Positioning
Mar 26, 2025

Bank of China announced its audited results for the year ending December 31, 2024, complying with Hong Kong Listing Rules. The bank continues to strengthen its global positioning by focusing on technology finance, green finance, and digital finance, among other areas, to enhance its global layout capabilities and serve the real economy. This strategic focus is expected to bolster its competitive advantages and contribute to building a strong financial powerhouse.

Bank of China Releases 2024 Pillar 3 Disclosure Report
Mar 26, 2025

Bank of China Limited has released its 2024 Pillar 3 Disclosure Report, which provides a comprehensive overview of its risk management strategies, capital composition, and financial statements. The report highlights the bank’s commitment to transparency in regulatory compliance and risk management, detailing its capital adequacy, credit risk, and market risk exposures. This disclosure is crucial for stakeholders to understand the bank’s financial health and risk management practices, ensuring confidence in its stability and operational integrity.

Bank of China Schedules 2024 Annual Results Release via Webcast
Mar 18, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced the schedule for its 2024 Annual Results Release, which will be conducted via a live webcast on March 26, 2025. The event will provide insights into the bank’s annual performance and operations, with senior management, including President Zhang Hui, addressing common investor concerns. This initiative reflects the bank’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially influencing investor confidence and market positioning.

Bank of China Schedules Board Meeting for Financial Approvals
Mar 14, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced that its Board of Directors will meet to approve the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2024, and to recommend a final dividend distribution on March 26, 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the bank’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders and the bank’s position in the financial industry.

Bank of China Announces Board of Directors and Committee Roles
Mar 12, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced the composition of its Board of Directors, highlighting the roles and functions of its members. The board is chaired by Ge Haijiao, with Zhang Hui serving as Vice Chairman and President. The announcement outlines the structure of six board committees, detailing the membership and leadership roles within each. This organizational update reflects the bank’s commitment to robust governance and strategic oversight, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

Bank of China Appoints Mr. Li Zimin as Non-executive Director
Mar 12, 2025

Bank of China Limited has appointed Mr. Li Zimin as a Non-executive Director, effective from March 11, 2025, for a three-year term. This strategic appointment, approved by the National Financial Regulatory Administration, is expected to enhance the bank’s governance and strategic development, as Mr. Li will also serve on the Strategic Development Committee of the Board.

Bank of China Completes Redemption of Offshore Preference Shares
Mar 5, 2025

Bank of China Limited has completed the redemption of its U.S.$2.82 billion 3.60% non-cumulative perpetual offshore preference shares as of March 4, 2025. Following the redemption, the bank has applied for the withdrawal of these shares from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which will be effective after March 5, 2025. This move reflects the bank’s strategic financial management and may have implications for its capital structure and market positioning.

Bank of China Appoints New Executive Vice President
Feb 25, 2025

Bank of China Limited has announced the appointment of Mr. Wu Jian as Executive Vice President, effective from February 24, 2025, following approval from the National Financial Regulatory Administration. This strategic appointment is expected to strengthen the bank’s executive team and potentially enhance its operational efficiency and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 07, 2025