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Meituan (HK:3690)
:3690
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Meituan (3690) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3690

Meituan

(3690)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
HK$114.00
▲(10.36% Upside)
Meituan's strong financial performance and market leadership in user growth are significant strengths. However, challenges such as increased costs, intense competition, and declining profitability weigh on the overall score. The technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness, while the valuation remains moderate.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, reinforcing Meituan's position in the e-commerce sector.
User Engagement
High user engagement reflects a strong customer base and loyalty, which can drive future revenue and support long-term growth.
On-Demand Delivery Milestone
Achieving high delivery volumes solidifies Meituan's market leadership, enhancing its competitive edge in the on-demand service industry.
Negative Factors
Increased Cost and Operating Loss
Rising costs and operating losses can strain profitability, potentially impacting Meituan's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Intense Competition
Intense competition may pressure margins and require increased spending on customer acquisition, affecting long-term profitability.
Profitability Decline
Declining profitability in core segments can hinder financial flexibility and limit strategic investments, challenging future growth.

Meituan (3690) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Meituan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMeituan operates an e-commerce platform for various services. It operates through Food Delivery; In-store, Hotel & Travel; and New Initiatives and Others segments. The Food delivery segment provides consumers place orders of food prepared by merchants. The In-store, Hotel & Travel segment offers consumers purchase local consumer services provided by merchants in numerous in-store categories or make reservations for hotels and attractions. The New Initiatives and Others segment sales goods from B2B food distribution services and Meituan grocery; and various businesses, such as Meituan Instashopping, community e-commerce, bike-sharing and electric mopeds, and micro-credit services. The company was formerly known as Meituan Dianping and changed its name to Meituan in October 2020. Meituan was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyMeituan generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from its food delivery services, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company charges restaurants a commission on each order placed through its platform. Additionally, Meituan earns revenue from its travel and hotel booking services by taking a commission on bookings made through its site. Another revenue stream is its advertising business, where local businesses pay for promotional placements on the platform. Meituan's partnerships with various restaurants, hotels, and service providers enhance its service offerings and contribute to its earnings by driving user engagement and increasing transaction volumes.

Meituan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Meituan's strong user growth and market leadership in on-demand delivery, with significant achievements in user engagement and expansion initiatives. However, the company faces increased costs and intense competition, leading to significant declines in profitability and strategic scaling back in some segments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Meituan reported a revenue increase of 11.7% year-over-year, reaching RMB 91.8 billion for the second quarter of 2025.
User Engagement
Total Monthly Active Users (MAU) exceeded 600 million, with the major app surpassing 500 million MAU. Annual transaction frequency reached a new record, indicating strong user engagement.
On-Demand Delivery Milestone
Meituan's daily on-demand delivery orders surpassed 150 million, further solidifying market leadership.
Expansion of Branded Satellite Stores
Meituan partnered with over 800 restaurant chains to launch more than 5,500 branded satellite stores, with plans to expand to over 10,000 by the end of the year.
Instashopping Growth
Meituan Instashopping saw strong growth, with GTV achieving a much stronger growth than order volume, and 20 million new users trying the service.
In-store Business Growth
Order volumes surged over 40% year-over-year, with annual transacting users increasing by more than 20%.
Negative Updates
Increased Cost and Operating Loss
Cost of revenue ratio increased by 8.1 percentage points year-over-year to 66.9%, leading to a significant decline in total segment operating profit and adjusted net profit to RMB 1.8 billion and RMB 1.5 billion, respectively.
Intense Competition
The on-demand delivery sector faced unprecedented competitive intensity, resulting in record-high industry-wide subsidies.
Profitability Decline
The operating profit of core local commerce declined year-over-year to RMB 3.7 billion, with margin contracting significantly.
Strategic Scaling Back of Meituan Select
Meituan announced a significant scaling back of Meituan Select, an indication of challenges faced in this segment.
Company Guidance
During the Meituan Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 11.7% to RMB 91.8 billion. The total monthly active users (MAU) exceeded 600 million, with the major app surpassing 500 million MAU, and average user transaction frequency hitting at least once a week. Despite intense competition, Meituan's on-demand delivery orders surpassed 150 million per day in July. The company expanded its network by partnering with over 800 restaurant chains to launch more than 5,500 branded satellite stores and plans to reach over 10,000 by year-end. Meituan also announced the expansion of its occupational injury insurance to cover all couriers in 17 provinces and cities, along with launching pension insurance subsidy programs set to cover over 1 million couriers nationwide by year-end. The second quarter saw significant growth in Meituan Instashopping, with 20 million new users trying the 30-minute delivery service, and the GTV of over 60 product categories doubling during the June 18 shopping festival. Meituan's overseas expansion continues with Keeta's growth in Saudi Arabia, where it operates in 20 cities, and a recent launch in Qatar.

Meituan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Meituan demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects a solid capital structure with manageable debt levels. However, the decline in free cash flow growth and slight pressure on operational efficiency warrant attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Meituan has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.73%. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 36.90% and a net profit margin of 8.19%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.28, reflecting a solid capital structure with manageable leverage. Return on equity stands at 16.83%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating strong asset backing. However, the decrease in total debt suggests a cautious approach to leveraging growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Meituan's free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.12, indicating strong cash generation relative to profits. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined by 13.89%, signaling potential challenges in sustaining cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue360.46B337.59B276.74B219.95B179.13B114.79B
Gross Profit133.03B129.78B97.19B61.75B42.47B34.05B
EBITDA38.06B41.51B23.44B340.71M-13.56B1.38B
Net Income29.51B35.81B13.86B-6.69B-23.54B4.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets330.20B324.35B293.03B244.48B240.65B166.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments171.02B168.24B145.16B112.03B116.80B61.09B
Total Debt50.98B61.51B60.62B58.09B58.92B24.06B
Total Liabilities145.90B151.75B141.07B115.78B115.10B68.94B
Stockholders Equity184.36B172.66B152.01B128.76B125.61B97.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.78B46.15B33.64B5.68B-13.02B-7.35B
Operating Cash Flow47.01B57.15B40.52B11.41B-4.01B8.48B
Investing Cash Flow10.78B10.21B-24.66B-14.71B-58.49B-21.23B
Financing Cash Flow-11.84B-30.41B-2.78B-9.99B78.60B17.42B

Meituan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.30
Price Trends
50DMA
101.98
Positive
100DMA
113.63
Negative
200DMA
132.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Negative
RSI
54.19
Neutral
STOCH
58.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3690, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.97, above the 50-day MA of 101.98, and below the 200-day MA of 132.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3690.

Meituan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$610.52B19.2017.12%17.67%33.74%
74
Outperform
HK$3.04T18.4615.15%1.19%5.08%127.82%
70
Outperform
HK$394.77B8.9517.17%3.09%14.18%32.25%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
HK$1.48B-7.31-4.71%7.51%30.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3690
Meituan
103.30
-96.60
-48.32%
HK:9618
JD.com, Inc. Class A
126.90
-22.81
-15.24%
HK:9988
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.
165.00
70.93
75.40%
HK:9991
Baozun, Inc. Class A
8.20
0.54
7.05%

Meituan Corporate Events

Meituan Issues Senior Notes to Bolster Financial Flexibility
Oct 29, 2025

Meituan has announced the issuance of senior notes totaling approximately US$1,993.7 million and CNY7,080 million. The proceeds from these notes will primarily be used for refinancing existing offshore indebtedness and general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is aimed at strengthening Meituan’s financial position and operational flexibility. The notes are being issued to professional investors, with the USD notes offered to qualified institutional buyers in the United States under specific regulatory exemptions, while the CNY notes are offered outside the United States.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$154.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Grants Over 11 Million RSUs to Align Employee Interests
Oct 28, 2025

Meituan has announced the grant of 11,828,615 Restricted Share Units (RSUs) under its Post-IPO Share Award Scheme, aimed at aligning the interests of its employees and service providers with the long-term growth of the company. This initiative, which does not require shareholder approval, is designed to retain talent and encourage contributions to the company’s profitability, with a vesting period ranging from 23 to 48 months for employees and approximately 47 months for service providers.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$154.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Proposes International Offering of Senior Notes
Oct 27, 2025

Meituan has announced a proposed international offering of USD and CNY denominated senior notes, targeting professional investors. The proceeds from this issuance are intended for refinancing existing offshore debt and general corporate purposes. The offering’s success will depend on market conditions and investor interest, with pricing and terms yet to be finalized. The notes will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act and will be sold outside the U.S. to non-U.S. persons. The company plans to list the notes on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, although no binding agreements have been made yet, and the issuance may not materialize.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$154.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Meituan’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s current standing and future prospects. On one hand, the company demonstrated robust user growth and maintained its market leadership in the on-demand delivery sector. On the other hand, Meituan is grappling with increased costs and fierce competition, which have led to a notable decline in profitability and strategic scaling back in certain segments.

Meituan Dianping Reports Revenue Growth Amid Profit Challenges
Aug 28, 2025

Meituan Dianping is a leading Chinese technology company specializing in on-demand services and e-commerce, primarily operating in the local commerce sector with a focus on food delivery and new retail initiatives.

Meituan Reports Revenue Growth Amidst Declining Profits in H1 2025
Aug 27, 2025

Meituan announced its unaudited financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, revealing a significant decline in profitability despite an increase in revenues. For the three-month period, revenues increased by 11.7% year-over-year to RMB 91.84 billion, but operating profit and profit for the period saw drastic declines of 98.0% and 96.8%, respectively. Similarly, for the six-month period, revenues rose by 14.7% to RMB 178.40 billion, while operating profit and profit for the period decreased by 34.5% and 37.7%, respectively. The results indicate challenges in maintaining profitability amidst revenue growth, impacting the company’s financial health and potentially affecting stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$188.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Schedules Board Meeting to Review Interim Results
Aug 17, 2025

Meituan has announced that its board of directors will convene on August 27, 2025, to consider and approve the interim results for the first half of the year ending June 30, 2025. This meeting is crucial for stakeholders as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and potentially influence its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$182.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025