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Meituan (HK:3690)
:3690
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Meituan (3690) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3690

Meituan

(OTC:3690)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
HK$142.00
▲(17.55% Upside)
Meituan's solid financial performance and strategic investments in AI and international expansion contribute positively to the stock score. However, the technical analysis suggests potential bearish momentum, and competitive pressures may impact short-term profitability.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Meituan reported revenue was RMB86.6bn, up 18% YoY, exceeding forecasts and consensus estimates.
International Expansion
Management shared promising progress on Meituan’s overseas expansion with Keeta, having expanded into more than 9 cities in Saudi Arabia and taking dominant market share in Hong Kong.
Operational Base
Meituan operates an extensive fulfilment network of approximately 7.5 million riders and over 9 million active merchants, contributing to its leading position in the online food delivery market.
Negative Factors
Competition
Intensifying competition in the food delivery segment is expected to put pressure on revenue and earnings.
Expansion Costs
Higher loss from Keeta expansion is due to faster-than-expected expansion, posing incremental losses in the new initiative segment.
Profitability
Adjusted net profit is forecasted to decline 10.1% yoy due to an increase in subsidies for its on-demand delivery business.

Meituan (3690) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Meituan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMeituan operates an e-commerce platform for various services. It operates through Food Delivery; In-store, Hotel & Travel; and New Initiatives and Others segments. The Food delivery segment provides consumers place orders of food prepared by merchants. The In-store, Hotel & Travel segment offers consumers purchase local consumer services provided by merchants in numerous in-store categories or make reservations for hotels and attractions. The New Initiatives and Others segment sales goods from B2B food distribution services and Meituan grocery; and various businesses, such as Meituan Instashopping, community e-commerce, bike-sharing and electric mopeds, and micro-credit services. The company was formerly known as Meituan Dianping and changed its name to Meituan in October 2020. Meituan was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyMeituan generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that includes commission fees, advertising services, and subscription services. The company's primary revenue stream is derived from commission fees charged to merchants on each transaction facilitated through its platform, particularly in the food delivery and in-store dining segments. Additionally, Meituan earns advertising revenue by offering promotional and marketing services to merchants aiming to increase their visibility and attract more customers. The company also generates income through subscription services, where merchants pay for access to premium features and analytics tools. Significant partnerships with local restaurants, hotels, and service providers further bolster Meituan's earnings by ensuring a diverse range of offerings and enhancing customer satisfaction.

Meituan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 26, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balance between positive developments such as strong revenue growth, successful expansion in overseas markets, and advancements in AI, against challenges like intensified competition in the food delivery sector and ongoing challenges in grocery retail. The company is taking strategic steps to maintain its competitive edge and is committed to long-term growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Meituan reported an 18.1% year-over-year increase in revenue for the first quarter of 2025, reaching RMB86.6 billion.
Expansion of Meituan Instashopping
Meituan Instashopping saw robust growth with over 500 million transacting users and expanded into new product categories, achieving over 60% order growth in non-food categories.
Successful Expansion in Overseas Markets
Keeta has become the largest food delivery player in Hong Kong and expanded operations to all major cities in Saudi Arabia. Meituan announced plans to invest $1 billion in the Brazilian market over the next five years.
Commitment to Courier Welfare
Meituan announced a pilot pension program and occupational injury insurance for couriers, covering over 7 million couriers and providing RMB1.5 billion in insurance coverage.
AI and Technology Advancements
Meituan has advanced its AI capabilities, with 52% of new code generated by AI and plans to launch AI-powered business decision assistants for the food service industry.
Negative Updates
Intensified Competition in Food Delivery
Meituan faces increased competition from new entrants like JD.com and Ele.me, each announcing RMB10 billion subsidy programs, impacting Meituan's market share and potentially its profitability.
Potential Profitability Impact
Due to intensified competition, Meituan expects volatility in short-term financial results and a significant decrease in operating profit for Core Local Commerce in Q2.
Challenges in Grocery Retail with Meituan Select
Meituan Select faces challenges in lower-tier markets, necessitating a focus on testing and validating its unit economics rather than expanding its scale.
Company Guidance
During the Meituan First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided guidance and insights into the company's performance and strategic initiatives. Revenue for the first quarter increased by 18.1% year-over-year to RMB86.6 billion, with growth driven by both annual transacting users and active merchants reaching new highs. The company plans to invest RMB100 billion over the next three years to drive high-quality growth in the food service industry, focusing on empowering merchants, elevating supply quality, and stimulating consumption. Meituan's Core Local Commerce segment saw revenue growth of 17.8%, reaching RMB64.3 billion, with an operating profit of RMB13.5 billion. The new initiative segment, including Meituan Instashopping, reported a 19.2% increase in revenue. Management also highlighted the company's commitment to enhancing courier welfare, including plans to roll out occupational injury insurance nationwide by next year, and a new pension pilot program for couriers. Despite intensified competition, Meituan remains confident in maintaining market leadership and plans to leverage AI technology to refine user experience and operational efficiency.

Meituan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Meituan demonstrates strong financial performance with substantial revenue growth, improved profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The company's leverage is conservative, although attention to rising liabilities is needed.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Meituan's income statement shows a strong improvement in profitability over the years. The TTM data reveals a substantial gross profit margin of 38.9% and a net profit margin of 11.5%, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT margin has improved significantly to 12.0%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. The company has also exhibited robust revenue growth, with a 26.7% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a further 3.9% growth in the TTM period. These positive trends highlight Meituan's strengthening market position and profitability trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Meituan's balance sheet is characterized by a healthy equity position and manageable leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.34, indicating a conservative approach to financing through debt. The return on equity (ROE) for the TTM is a commendable 22.0%, signaling effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio is 55.2%, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets. However, the company should monitor its liabilities, which have increased alongside its growth.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement indicates robust cash generation, with a TTM operating cash flow of 61.3 billion and a significant free cash flow of the same amount, showcasing efficient capital management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.51 and operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.51 further emphasize strong cash conversion capabilities. Moreover, the impressive growth in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024 by 37.2% and a continued rise into the TTM period underscores Meituan's solid cash flow management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue337.59B276.74B219.95B179.13B114.79B
Gross Profit129.78B97.19B61.75B42.47B34.05B
EBITDA41.51B23.44B4.56B-13.56B4.67B
Net Income35.81B13.86B-6.69B-23.54B4.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets324.35B293.03B244.48B240.65B166.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments168.24B145.16B112.03B116.80B61.09B
Total Debt61.51B60.62B58.09B58.92B24.06B
Total Liabilities151.75B141.07B115.78B115.10B68.94B
Stockholders Equity172.66B152.01B128.76B125.61B97.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.15B33.64B5.68B-13.02B-7.35B
Operating Cash Flow57.15B40.52B11.41B-4.01B8.48B
Investing Cash Flow10.21B-24.66B-14.71B-58.49B-21.23B
Financing Cash Flow-30.41B-2.78B-9.99B78.60B17.42B

Meituan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price120.80
Price Trends
50DMA
129.74
Negative
100DMA
137.39
Negative
200DMA
151.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.91
Positive
RSI
39.75
Neutral
STOCH
11.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3690, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 120.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.03, below the 50-day MA of 129.74, and below the 200-day MA of 151.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3690.

Meituan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
HK$2.23T15.6913.02%1.69%4.74%73.72%
79
Outperform
HK$393.17B7.7019.79%3.19%7.67%90.63%
73
Outperform
HK$738.21B16.7923.82%19.20%156.71%
61
Neutral
$16.54B9.49-9.03%3.32%1.50%-24.21%
48
Neutral
HK$1.34B-4.60%5.61%29.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3690
Meituan
120.80
16.80
16.15%
HK:9618
JD.com, Inc. Class A
122.90
25.33
25.96%
HK:9988
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.
116.30
39.15
50.75%
HK:9991
Baozun, Inc. Class A
7.49
1.84
32.57%

Meituan Corporate Events

Meituan Aligns Interests with New RSU Grant
Jul 25, 2025

Meituan has announced the grant of 6,179,071 Restricted Share Units (RSUs) under its Post-IPO Share Award Scheme, with the majority allocated to employee participants and a smaller portion to service providers. This initiative aims to align the interests of the grantees with the company’s long-term growth and profitability, enhancing retention and motivation among key contributors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$182.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Successfully Concludes AGM, Approves Key Resolutions
Jun 9, 2025

Meituan announced the successful conclusion of its Annual General Meeting held on June 9, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed. Key resolutions included the adoption of the 2024 financial statements, re-election of independent directors, authorization for directors to fix their remuneration, and granting of mandates to issue and repurchase shares. The reappointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers as the company’s auditor was also confirmed. These resolutions underscore Meituan’s commitment to maintaining strong governance and operational flexibility, potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Performance
May 26, 2025

Meituan has reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with revenues rising by 18.1% to RMB 86.6 billion compared to the same period in 2024. The company’s operating profit more than doubled, reaching RMB 10.6 billion, driven by strong growth in its core local commerce and new initiatives segments, indicating a robust market position and potential for future expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Strengthens Governance with New Nomination Committee Appointment
May 26, 2025

Meituan has announced the appointment of Ms. Yang Marjorie Mun Tak as a member of its Nomination Committee, effective May 26, 2025. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance the governance structure of the company, potentially impacting its decision-making processes and reinforcing its commitment to maintaining robust corporate governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Announces Board of Directors and Their Roles
May 26, 2025

Meituan has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and functions of each member. The board includes both executive and independent non-executive directors, with specific individuals assigned to various board committees such as audit, remuneration, nomination, and corporate governance. This announcement provides insights into the governance structure of Meituan, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Updates Nomination Committee Terms to Enhance Governance
May 26, 2025

Meituan has updated the terms of reference for its Nomination Committee, which was originally established in 2018. The committee is responsible for identifying and recommending candidates for the board of directors, overseeing board performance evaluations, and developing nomination guidelines. The committee is composed mainly of independent non-executive directors, ensuring compliance with Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing rules. These updates aim to enhance the governance structure and ensure a diverse and effective board, which could strengthen Meituan’s industry positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Proposes Amendments to Articles of Association
May 15, 2025

Meituan has announced proposed amendments to its Articles of Association to align with the Core Shareholder Protection Standards and Corporate Governance Code of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. These amendments aim to facilitate virtual shareholder meetings and electronic voting, update the nomination committee’s terms of reference, and make other clarifications. The adoption of these amendments is subject to shareholder approval at the upcoming annual general meeting in June 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Announces Annual General Meeting for Strategic Resolutions
May 15, 2025

Meituan has announced its upcoming annual general meeting scheduled for June 9, 2025, where key resolutions will be considered. These include the adoption of financial statements for 2024, re-election of independent non-executive directors, and authorization for the board to manage director remuneration and issue additional Class B shares. This meeting is crucial for Meituan’s strategic planning and governance, potentially impacting its market operations and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Meituan Schedules Board Meeting to Review Q1 2025 Financial Results
May 14, 2025

Meituan has announced that its board of directors will hold a meeting on May 26, 2025, to consider and approve the unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3690) stock is a Buy with a HK$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meituan stock, see the HK:3690 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 20, 2025