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FCA - ETF AI Analysis

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FCA

First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund (FCA)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
FCA, the First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund, has a solid overall rating, reflecting a portfolio led by stronger holdings like COSCO SHIPPING and Dongfang Electric, which combine strong financial performance, attractive valuations, and healthy dividends. These strengths are partly offset by weaker names such as China Coal Energy, where financial performance and technical signals are more mixed, and by several holdings showing overbought technical conditions that could create short-term volatility. The main risk factor is the fund’s concentrated exposure to Chinese companies, which ties its performance closely to China’s economic and market conditions.
Positive Factors
Solid Recent Performance
The ETF has shown strong gains so far this year and in recent months, indicating positive recent momentum.
Broad Sector Mix Within China
Holdings spread across materials, industrials, financials, energy, and several smaller sectors help reduce the impact of weakness in any single industry.
Multiple Strong Top Holdings
Several of the largest positions, such as Aluminum of China and China Eastern Airlines, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Negative Factors
High Geographic Concentration in Hong Kong
With nearly all assets tied to Hong Kong-listed companies, the fund is heavily exposed to the economic and regulatory risks of a single market.
Relatively High Expense Ratio
The fund’s management fee is on the higher side for an ETF, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost alternatives.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some key positions, including PetroChina and JD Logistics, have shown weak or flat performance this year, which can drag on overall fund results.

FCA vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FCA Summary

The First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund (FCA) is an ETF that follows the NASDAQ AlphaDEX China Index, aiming to capture the overall Chinese stock market. It holds a mix of large and smaller companies across many sectors, with a big focus on materials, industrials, and financials. Well-known names in the fund include PetroChina and China Eastern Airlines. Someone might invest in FCA to get diversified exposure to China’s long-term growth in a single investment. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to the Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets, which can be very volatile and politically sensitive.
How much will it cost me?The First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund (FCA) has an expense ratio of 0.8%, which means you’ll pay $8 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the fund is actively managed, using a proprietary strategy to select stocks based on growth and value factors. Active management typically involves more research and trading, which increases costs.
What would affect this ETF?The FCA ETF could benefit from China's ongoing economic growth and industrial expansion, particularly in sectors like materials, energy, and healthcare, which are heavily represented in its holdings. However, potential risks include regulatory changes in China, geopolitical tensions, and global economic slowdowns, which could negatively impact the ETF's performance given its concentrated exposure to the Chinese market.

FCA Top 10 Holdings

FCA is leaning hard into China’s old-economy backbone, with materials, industrials, and energy names steering the ship. Yangtze Optical is one of the brighter spots, rising on strong momentum even as its rich valuation hints it could be running a bit hot. Aluminum of China and Jiangxi Copper are also helping, riding steady-to-rising sentiment around commodities. On the financial side, China Life Insurance is a quiet engine of gains, while China Eastern Airlines looks more like dead weight, with shaky fundamentals that could cap the fund’s upside. With all holdings in China, this is a pure-play bet on the country’s cyclical recovery.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable Joint Stock Co5.99%$7.56MHK$156.34B375.47%
71
Outperform
Dongfang Electric5.08%$6.40MHK$169.78B221.11%
75
Outperform
PetroChina Company3.55%$4.47MHK$2.48T65.78%
73
Outperform
China Hongqiao Group Ltd.3.32%$4.19MHK$381.98B156.22%
78
Outperform
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co3.32%$4.19MHK$268.78B40.28%
79
Outperform
Aluminum of China3.20%$4.03MHK$263.19B177.80%
73
Outperform
China Coal Energy Co3.15%$3.97MHK$236.02B78.95%
64
Neutral
JD Logistics, Inc.3.13%$3.95MHK$84.27B-4.32%
73
Outperform
Qingdao Port International Co Ltd Class H2.99%$3.77MHK$64.95B21.44%
70
Outperform
China Tower2.74%$3.45MHK$181.44B-3.20%
72
Outperform

FCA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
31.76
Positive
100DMA
30.20
Positive
200DMA
27.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Positive
RSI
46.66
Neutral
STOCH
32.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.30, equal to the 50-day MA of 31.76, and equal to the 200-day MA of 27.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FCA.

FCA Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$121.99M0.80%
67
Neutral
$7.11B0.59%
60
Neutral
$5.92B0.74%
73
Outperform
$823.90M0.50%
66
Neutral
$117.93M0.70%
67
Neutral
$91.77M0.59%
57
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCA
First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund
32.46
11.71
56.43%
MCHI
iShares MSCI China ETF
FXI
iShares China Large-Cap ETF
EWH
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF
PGJ
Invesco Golden Dragon China Etf
ECNS
iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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