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PetroChina Company Limited Class H (HK:0857)
:0857

PetroChina Company (0857) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0857

PetroChina Company

(0857)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
HK$10.00
▲(9.89% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by steady financial performance (solid margins, improving leverage, ~10% ROE) and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weaker technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and moderate/volatile cash-flow conversion.
Positive Factors
Integrated business model
PetroChina's vertical integration across exploration, production, refining, pipelines and petrochemicals provides durable diversification of cash flows and margins. This structure lets management shift volumes and capital between segments to smooth cycles and capture value across the hydrocarbon chain over months to years.
Conservative leverage
A low debt-to-equity ratio and rising equity base support financial resilience through commodity swings. Conservative leverage reduces refinancing risk, preserves capacity for strategic capex or maintenance of dividends, and gives the company flexibility to invest in long‑lived upstream or midstream projects without stressing liquidity.
Stable profitability
Consistent gross and net margins with mid‑teens asset returns underpin sustained cash generation potential. Around 10% ROE indicates the business earns reasonable returns on capital, supporting dividend capacity and steady reinvestment, assuming commodity markets remain within typical cycle ranges.
Negative Factors
Moderate, volatile cash conversion
Relatively low FCF conversion and volatile free cash flow reduce the firm's ability to consistently fund capital expenditures and distributions without relying on commodity‑driven windfalls. Persistent cash timing or working capital swings can constrain strategic investments and increase reliance on external financing in downturns.
Commodity and cyclical exposure
Significant upstream exposure ties earnings and cash flow to oil and gas price cycles and demand trends. This structural sensitivity makes multi‑month forecasting and capital allocation challenging, raising the probability of earnings volatility and forcing conservative balance‑sheet or dividend policies during prolonged price weakness.
Weak recent revenue trend
Negative recent revenue growth highlights demand, volume or pricing pressure that could limit margin expansion and reinvestment returns. Sluggish top‑line trends constrain operating leverage, making it harder to improve returns on capital without structural improvements in volumes, realized prices, or downstream margins.

PetroChina Company (0857) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

PetroChina Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPetroChina Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in a range of petroleum related products, services, and activities in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Exploration and Production, Refining and Chemicals, Marketing, and Natural Gas and Pipeline segments. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas. The Refining and Chemicals segment refines crude oil and petroleum products; and produces and markets primary petrochemical products, derivative petrochemical products, and other chemical products. The Marketing segment is involved in marketing of refined products and trading business. The Natural Gas and Pipeline segment engages in the transmission of natural gas, crude oil, and refined products; and sale of natural gas. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a total length of 26,076 km, including 17,329 km of natural gas pipelines, 7,340 km of crude oil pipelines, and 1,407 km of refined product pipelines. The company is also involved in the exploration, development, and production of oil sands and coalbed methane; trading of crude oil and petrochemical products; storage, chemical engineering, storage facilities, service station, and transportation facilities and related businesses; and production and sales of basic and derivative chemical, and other chemical products. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. PetroChina Company Limited is a subsidiary of China National Petroleum Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyPetroChina generates revenue through multiple streams primarily driven by its upstream, midstream, and downstream operations. In the upstream sector, the company earns money from crude oil and natural gas extraction, selling these commodities in both domestic and international markets. The midstream segment contributes to revenue through the transportation and storage of oil and gas, often via pipelines, with fees charged for these services. The downstream sector, which includes refining crude oil into various petroleum products and marketing these products, represents a significant portion of the company's earnings. Additionally, PetroChina engages in petrochemical production, which provides further revenue. The company benefits from strategic partnerships, joint ventures, and collaborations with other energy firms, enhancing its operational capabilities and market reach. Market prices for oil and gas, along with government policies and regulations in China, significantly impact its earnings.

PetroChina Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals look steady: solid profitability (TTM gross margin ~28.1%, net margin ~5.6%) and modest TTM revenue growth (~2.9%), supported by conservative leverage (~0.24x debt-to-equity) and ~10% ROE. The main drag is cash-flow quality/volatility, with only moderate conversion (FCF ~36% of net income; OCF ~74% of net income) and sharp negative FCF growth versus the prior period.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability is solid for an integrated oil & gas major: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin is ~28.1% and net margin is ~5.6%, broadly consistent with 2023–2024. Revenue has stabilized after two down years (2023–2024), with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing modest growth (~2.9%). A key watch-out is that earnings power appears somewhat cyclical, with margins not meaningfully expanding versus recent years.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage looks conservative: debt is ~0.24x equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), improved from higher levels in 2020–2022. Equity has grown over time (from ~1.22T in 2020 to ~1.70T in TTM), supporting balance-sheet resilience. Returns on equity are steady around ~10% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), though not accelerating—suggesting a stable but not high-return profile.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow of ~359B and free cash flow of ~128B. However, cash conversion is only moderate: free cash flow is ~36% of net income in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and operating cash flow covers only ~74% of net income, implying working-capital or other cash timing headwinds. Free cash flow also appears volatile, with a very sharp negative growth rate in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus the prior period.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.85T2.94T3.01T3.24T2.61T1.93T
Gross Profit610.47B662.76B710.43B788.05B613.06B452.16B
EBITDA300.98B491.82B484.59B446.98B379.25B277.60B
Net Income158.42B164.68B161.14B148.74B92.16B33.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.85T2.75T2.75T2.67T2.50T2.49T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.17B219.06B277.28B233.30B167.51B145.95B
Total Debt358.91B355.47B413.19B464.51B470.30B498.14B
Total Liabilities1.09T1.04T1.12T1.14T1.09T1.12T
Stockholders Equity1.56T1.52T1.45T1.37T1.26T1.22T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow122.76B103.88B174.08B148.53B75.91B61.85B
Operating Cash Flow347.63B406.53B456.60B393.77B341.47B318.57B
Investing Cash Flow-298.03B-307.35B-255.79B-232.97B-213.03B-181.99B
Financing Cash Flow-107.92B-178.88B-146.57B-113.71B-107.97B-99.40B

PetroChina Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.10
Price Trends
50DMA
8.49
Positive
100DMA
8.16
Positive
200DMA
7.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
61.81
Neutral
STOCH
55.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0857, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.64, above the 50-day MA of 8.49, and above the 200-day MA of 7.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0857.

PetroChina Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$932.71B14.828.97%-13.87%-15.41%
70
Outperform
$2.12T9.7910.16%6.32%-6.92%-2.57%
68
Neutral
$840.47B17.045.52%-10.02%-27.89%
68
Neutral
€1.17T8.1717.50%6.76%-9.81%-8.84%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
HK$193.78B9.8410.99%4.59%-3.42%-18.73%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0857
PetroChina Company
9.10
3.43
60.38%
HK:1898
China Coal Energy Co
11.84
3.34
39.28%
HK:1088
China Shenhua Energy Co
42.28
13.51
46.98%
HK:0386
China Petroleum & Chemical
5.31
1.23
30.15%
HK:0883
CNOOC Limited
23.58
6.09
34.85%

PetroChina Company Corporate Events

CNPC Slightly Lifts Controlling Stake in PetroChina Through A and H Share Purchases
Dec 29, 2025

PetroChina has announced that its controlling shareholder, China National Petroleum Corporation, has increased its stake in the company by purchasing 30 million A shares on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, while CNPC’s wholly owned subsidiary Fairy King Investments Ltd. acquired an additional 11.896 million H shares in Hong Kong. Following these transactions, CNPC’s aggregate holding in PetroChina has risen slightly from about 82.33% to approximately 82.35% of the company’s issued share capital, and the group has signaled that it will continue to raise its shareholding under an existing increase plan, with PetroChina committing to ongoing disclosure as the plan progresses.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Reshapes Key Board Committees in Governance Realignment
Dec 19, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has announced changes to the composition of several key board committees as part of its internal work arrangements, signaling an adjustment in its governance structure. Zhou Xinhuai has been appointed chairman of the Investment and Development Committee, with Ren Lixin, Xie Jun and independent non-executive director Andrew Y. Yan as members; Liu Xiaolei will chair the Audit and Risk Management Committee, joined by Zhou Song and independent non-executive director Simon X. Jiang; and Ren Lixin will chair the Sustainable Development Committee, with Zhang Daowei, Song Dayong and independent non-executive director Zhang Yuxin as members, while all other board committee roles remain unchanged. These shifts highlight a refreshed allocation of responsibilities among executive and independent non-executive directors, potentially sharpening oversight of investment strategy, risk management and sustainability issues at a time when governance and environmental performance are under growing scrutiny in the global energy industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Details Board Composition and Governance Committee Structure
Dec 19, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has announced the current composition of its board of directors, led by Chairman Dai Houliang and Vice Chairman and Non-Executive Director Zhou Xinhuai, and comprising non-executive, executive and independent non-executive directors. The board has formed five specialized committees—Nomination, Audit and Risk Management, Investment and Development, Examination and Remuneration, and Sustainable Development—with clearly designated chairs and members, a move that underscores the company’s emphasis on structured corporate governance, risk oversight and long-term sustainability, which are important for investors and other stakeholders monitoring the company’s governance standards and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Renews Currency Derivatives Framework with CNPC Finance for 2026
Dec 19, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has entered into a 2026 Derivatives Framework Agreement with CNPC Finance, under which CNPC Finance will provide currency derivatives services, including various foreign exchange and interest rate products, to the group throughout 2026. As CNPC is PetroChina’s controlling shareholder and CNPC Finance is its subsidiary, the arrangement constitutes a continuing connected transaction under Hong Kong listing rules, triggering reporting, announcement and annual review requirements but exempting the company from issuing a circular or seeking independent shareholders’ approval. The agreement sets out pricing principles aligned with government benchmarks and prevailing market terms, with PetroChina required to benchmark CNPC Finance’s fees and terms against those of comparable independent financial institutions and to proceed only when conditions are equal to or better than market, thereby aiming to ensure arm’s‑length dealing and protect minority shareholders’ interests; historical usage in 2025 remained well below the approved annual cap, reflecting more subdued demand for swap transactions amid narrower interest rate spreads.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Names Non-Executive Director Zhou Xinhuai as Vice Chairman
Dec 19, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has appointed non-executive director Zhou Xinhuai as Vice Chairman of the company with immediate effect, strengthening the senior leadership structure at the state-backed energy group. The board-level reshuffle, which confirms Zhou’s elevation alongside existing chairman Dai Houliang and a broad mix of executive, non-executive and independent non-executive directors, underscores ongoing governance adjustments at one of China’s largest oil and gas producers, a move that may influence the company’s strategic direction and oversight as it navigates a changing global energy landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Shareholders Approve Board Appointments and Governance Overhaul at 2025 EGM
Dec 18, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited announced that its first extraordinary general meeting of 2025, held in Beijing on 18 December, was duly convened and passed all proposed resolutions by poll, with a high level of shareholder participation representing over 86% of the company’s total voting shares. Shareholders approved the election of Zhou Xinhuai and Zhou Song as directors and Song Dayong as an executive director, as well as significant amendments to the company’s articles of association and internal procedural rules, including the abolition of the supervisory committee. These governance changes signal a restructuring of PetroChina’s oversight framework and board composition, which may affect its corporate decision-making processes and align its governance structure more closely with evolving regulatory and market expectations for large state-linked energy groups.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Announces Board Line-Up and Committee Assignments
Dec 18, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has announced the current composition of its board of directors, led by chairman Dai Houliang, detailing non-executive, executive and independent non-executive directors. The company also disclosed the membership structure of its five key board committees—Nomination, Audit, Investment and Development, Examination and Remuneration, and Sustainable Development—clarifying which directors serve as chair or members, a move that enhances transparency in corporate governance and provides investors with clearer insight into oversight responsibilities at the board level.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Expands Gas Storage Capacity with Strategic Acquisition
Dec 4, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has announced the acquisition of entire equity interests in several target companies, which will become indirectly non-wholly owned subsidiaries. This acquisition involves the establishment of three new joint venture companies, which will enhance PetroChina’s gas storage and peak-shaving capabilities, adding 10.97 billion cubic meters of working gas storage capacity. This strategic move is expected to ensure stable operations and high-quality development of PetroChina’s natural gas industrial chain, improving adjustment efficiency and maximizing the overall benefits of the natural gas industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Proposes Appointment of New Director Zhou Song
Dec 2, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has announced the proposed election and appointment of Mr. Zhou Song as a Director, pending shareholder approval. Mr. Zhou, who holds significant experience in finance and management within major Chinese corporations, is expected to bring valuable expertise to the board, potentially influencing the company’s strategic direction and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

PetroChina Announces Key Governance Changes at Upcoming EGM
Dec 2, 2025

PetroChina Company Limited has announced a supplemental notice for its 2025 first extraordinary general meeting (EGM) scheduled for December 18, 2025. The meeting will address the election of new directors and amendments to the company’s articles of association, including the abolition of the supervisory committee. These changes are aimed at enhancing corporate governance and operational efficiency, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0857) stock is a Buy with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PetroChina Company stock, see the HK:0857 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026