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JD Logistics, Inc. (HK:2618)
:2618
Hong Kong Market
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JD Logistics, Inc. (2618) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2618

JD Logistics, Inc.

(2618)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
HK$14.50
▲(18.56% Upside)
JD Logistics' strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and improved profitability, is the most significant factor driving the score. The optimistic sentiment from the earnings call further supports the positive outlook. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, and the valuation is moderate, limiting upside potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for JD Logistics' services and effective market strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Warehouse Network Expansion
Expanding the warehouse network enhances JD Logistics' capacity and efficiency, strengthening its competitive position in logistics.
International Expansion
International expansion diversifies revenue streams and reduces dependence on the domestic market, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Decline in Non-IFRS Profit
A decline in non-IFRS profit suggests challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact future financial performance.
Increased Employee Benefit Expenses
Rising employee expenses may pressure margins and profitability, necessitating efficiency improvements to sustain financial health.
CEO Transition
Leadership changes can lead to strategic shifts and uncertainty, potentially impacting company performance and strategic continuity.

JD Logistics, Inc. (2618) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

JD Logistics, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJD Logistics, Inc. (2618) is a leading integrated supply chain and logistics service provider in China, specializing in end-to-end logistics solutions. The company operates in various sectors, including transportation, warehousing, and supply chain management, catering to both business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-business (B2B) markets. JD Logistics offers a comprehensive suite of services that includes express delivery, freight transportation, and inventory management, leveraging advanced technology and automation to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyJD Logistics generates revenue primarily through its logistics services, which encompass express delivery, warehousing solutions, and freight services. The company charges clients for transportation and logistics management, often based on volume and distance. Key revenue streams include fees from e-commerce logistics, traditional retail logistics, and supply chain solutions for various industries. Additionally, JD Logistics has formed strategic partnerships with major brands and enterprises, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. The company's investment in technology and automation also contributes to cost efficiencies, positively impacting its profitability.

JD Logistics, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and strategic expansions in both domestic and international markets. However, there were notable challenges such as a decline in non-IFRS profit, increased costs, and a transition in leadership. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards optimism due to strong revenue performance and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
JD Logistics achieved a total revenue of RMB 55.1 billion in Q3 2025, representing a 24.1% year-over-year increase.
Significant Growth in Integrated Supply Chain (ISC) Revenue
Revenue from ISC customers reached RMB 13.1 billion, a 45.8% year-over-year increase, with external ISC customers contributing RMB 8.9 billion to this growth.
Expansion of Warehouse Network
The warehouse network now covers nearly all regions in China, with over 1,600 self-operated warehouses and 2,000 third-party cloud warehouses, totaling more than 34 million square meters.
Advancements in Automation and AI
JD Logistics is investing in AI and automation technologies, including deploying unmanned vehicles and robotic systems across logistics processes to enhance efficiency.
International Expansion
JD Logistics is expanding its international presence, including opening a new spare parts warehouse in Dubai, and aims to double the gross area of its overseas warehouses by the end of 2025.
Acquisition and Integration of Delivery Services
The acquisition of JD Group's local on-demand delivery subsidiaries aims to enrich the product portfolio and improve last-mile delivery efficiency.
Negative Updates
Decline in Non-IFRS Profit
The non-IFRS profit for Q3 2025 was RMB 2.02 billion, down 21.5% year-over-year, with a non-IFRS EBITDA margin decrease to 9.7%.
Increased Employee Benefit Expenses
Employee benefit expenses rose by 49.8% year-over-year, primarily due to the addition of full-time food delivery riders and increased operational employees.
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 15.9% year-over-year, accounting for 6.7% of total revenue.
CEO Transition
CEO Hu Wei announced his departure, with Wang Zhenhui taking over, which might present challenges in leadership transition.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, JD Logistics reported a total revenue of RMB 55.1 billion, marking a 24.1% increase year-over-year. The company achieved a non-IFRS net profit of RMB 2.02 billion, with a profit margin of 3.4%. Revenue from integrated supply chain (ISC) customers reached RMB 13.1 billion, a 45.8% increase year-over-year, including RMB 8.9 billion from external ISC customers. The company also saw a 5.1% year-over-year growth in revenue from other customers, including express and freight delivery services, totaling RMB 24.9 billion. JD Logistics expanded its warehouse network, which now covers nearly all regions in China, with over 1,600 self-operated warehouses and over 2,000 third-party operated cloud warehouses, totaling more than 34 million square meters in gross floor area. Additionally, the company is focusing on global expansion, with plans to double the gross area of its overseas warehouses by the end of 2025.

JD Logistics, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JD Logistics has shown robust revenue growth and improved profit margins, with a positive net income and enhanced operational efficiency. The balance sheet reflects a stable increase in equity and reduced leverage, while cash flow generation is strong, indicating solid liquidity and operational efficiency. However, there is room for further profitability enhancement and leverage management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
JD Logistics has shown robust revenue growth from 2019 to 2024, with a significant increase in gross profit margins over the years. The gross profit margin improved from 6.9% in 2019 to 10.2% in 2024. Net income has turned positive, showcasing improved profitability, particularly with a net profit margin of 3.4% in 2024 from negative figures in previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown substantial improvement, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the overall net profit margin remains relatively low, hinting at room for profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of JD Logistics demonstrates a stable increase in stockholders' equity, reaching HK$55.3 billion in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased over the years, reflecting reduced leverage. The equity ratio improved, indicating a stronger equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity was robust at 11.2% in 2024, marking a turnaround from prior losses. Despite these positive trends, the company still faces moderate leverage, as seen in its debt levels, suggesting potential financial risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
JD Logistics has exhibited strong cash flow generation, with operating cash flow significantly increasing over the years. The free cash flow in 2024 was HK$16.5 billion, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the company’s ability to generate cash beyond its net earnings. The consistent growth in free cash flow signals a solid cash position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue195.02B182.84B166.62B137.40B104.69B73.37B
Gross Profit19.08B18.70B12.68B10.10B5.78B6.29B
EBITDA10.80B11.07B14.97B10.08B-7.12B1.59B
Net Income6.51B6.20B616.19M-1.40B-15.84B-4.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets118.91B117.87B112.90B106.70B76.80B54.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.17B43.14B33.07B35.43B28.91B10.88B
Total Debt23.68B23.17B27.25B23.88B15.28B34.69B
Total Liabilities59.82B54.90B57.53B53.49B36.41B57.62B
Stockholders Equity53.83B55.32B48.16B46.58B37.94B-5.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0015.17B10.87B8.31B1.97B6.98B
Operating Cash Flow0.0020.79B16.35B13.31B6.21B10.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-840.45M-15.10B-13.11B-11.12B-8.77B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-11.49B-5.55B1.48B16.60B-3.73B

JD Logistics, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.23
Price Trends
50DMA
12.70
Negative
100DMA
13.11
Negative
200DMA
12.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
45.88
Neutral
STOCH
24.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2618, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.42, below the 50-day MA of 12.70, and below the 200-day MA of 12.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:2618.

JD Logistics, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$47.95B9.339.44%6.14%-17.69%-3.38%
73
Outperform
HK$83.45B11.5412.40%11.05%81.01%
71
Outperform
HK$114.15B12.7313.87%3.11%12.64%2.90%
66
Neutral
HK$3.46B6.4237.50%7.33%56.58%1963.38%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
HK$89.06B70.255.53%12.14%
54
Neutral
HK$12.62B9.268.51%3.72%26.36%-18.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2618
JD Logistics, Inc.
12.23
-2.01
-14.12%
HK:0636
KLN Logistics Group Limited
6.96
0.10
1.44%
HK:0598
Sinotrans
5.18
2.13
69.78%
HK:2057
ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A
162.10
16.88
11.62%
HK:2490
LC Logistics, Inc
5.16
-5.41
-51.18%
HK:1519
J&T Global Express Limited
9.40
3.55
60.68%

JD Logistics, Inc. Corporate Events

JD Logistics Reports Q3 2025 Revenue Growth and Expands Global Operations
Nov 13, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. reported a 24.1% increase in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, despite a decline in gross profit and profit before income tax. The company is expanding its integrated supply chain solutions, with significant growth in revenue from these services, particularly in the home appliance industry. JD Logistics is also actively expanding its overseas operations, providing logistics solutions in the Middle East and enhancing its air cargo network in the Asia-Pacific region, which strengthens its cross-border logistics capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Announces Leadership Change with New CEO Appointment
Nov 13, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. announced a change in its executive leadership, with Mr. Wei Hu resigning as CEO and Mr. Zhenhui Wang appointed as his successor, effective November 13, 2025. This leadership transition is expected to bring Mr. Wang’s extensive experience in logistics and business operations to the forefront, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Announces Board Composition and Roles
Nov 13, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and functions of each member. The board includes a mix of executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, with committees focusing on audit, remuneration, and nomination. This announcement underscores the company’s commitment to robust governance and strategic oversight, which is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge in the logistics industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics to Hold EGM for Approval of Revised Agreement with JD.com
Nov 3, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. has announced an extraordinary general meeting to consider approving a supplemental agreement with JD.com, which revises the annual caps for their supply chain solutions and logistics services for the next two years. This move is expected to strengthen JD Logistics’ operational ties with JD.com, potentially enhancing its market position and operational efficiency within the logistics industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Reports Increased Losses for Deppon in Q3 2025
Oct 30, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. announced key financial information for its subsidiary, Deppon Logistics Co., Ltd., for the third quarter of 2025. Deppon reported a revenue of RMB 9.7 billion for the quarter, a slight decrease from the previous year, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 329 million, reflecting a significant increase in losses compared to the previous year. Despite the operational challenges, Deppon generated a net cash flow from operating activities of RMB 1.79 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, though this marked a decrease of 22.15% from the previous year. The financial results highlight ongoing challenges in the logistics sector and may impact JD Logistics’ market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Announces Upcoming Board Meeting for Quarterly Results
Oct 30, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. has announced that its board of directors will meet on November 13, 2025, to approve the unaudited quarterly results for the period ending September 30, 2025. This meeting signifies an important step in the company’s financial reporting process, potentially impacting its operational transparency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Revises Pricing Policies and Increases Annual Caps in Agreement with JD.com
Oct 8, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. has announced a revision of pricing policies and an increase in annual caps for its Supply Chain Solutions and Logistics Services Framework Agreement with JD.com. This adjustment is in response to the anticipated growth in business needs from the JD Group, necessitating a higher capacity for integrated supply chain solutions and logistics services. The revised agreement, which involves continuing connected transactions due to JD.com’s significant shareholding, requires approval from independent shareholders and compliance with listing rules. An Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) will be convened for this purpose, with JD.com abstaining from the vote.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Expands Procurement Agreement with JD.com Amid Rising Demand
Oct 8, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. announced amendments to its Procurement Framework Agreement with JD.com, reflecting increased demand from JD Group and its associates. The company has revised its annual caps significantly for the years 2025 and 2026, indicating a strategic move to accommodate the growing procurement needs. These changes, while subject to reporting and review requirements, do not require independent shareholders’ approval, suggesting a streamlined process for implementation. This development underscores JD Logistics’ proactive approach to scaling its operations and enhancing its market positioning in the logistics sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Acquires JD.com’s On-Demand Delivery Business
Oct 8, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. announced the acquisition of JD.com’s local on-demand delivery services business for approximately US$270 million. This strategic move, involving the transfer of Dajiang and Dasheng subsidiaries, aims to enhance JD Logistics’ market position and operational capabilities in the logistics sector. The acquisition, classified as a connected transaction, is subject to certain reporting and review requirements but does not require independent shareholder approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Grants Share Awards to Employees
Oct 1, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. announced the grant of 1,643,078 share awards to its employees under the Post-IPO Share Award Scheme, representing approximately 0.02% of the total issued shares. This initiative aims to align employee interests with the company’s growth and profitability goals, fostering long-term contributions to the organization’s success. The grants, which have varying vesting periods and no performance targets, include a clawback mechanism to protect the company’s interests in cases of misconduct or employment termination.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Hold with a HK$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Reports Deppon’s Decline in Profitability Despite Revenue Growth
Aug 14, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. announced the key financial information for its subsidiary, Deppon Logistics Co., Ltd., for the six months ended June 30, 2025. Despite an 11.43% increase in revenue, Deppon experienced a significant decline in profitability, with profit before income tax dropping by 83.64% and net profit attributable to shareholders decreasing by 84.34%. The net loss after deduction of non-recurring profit and loss highlights operational challenges. This financial performance may impact JD Logistics’ market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Appoints Yi Hoi Tang as Independent Non-Executive Director
Aug 14, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. has announced the appointment of Mr. Yi Hoi Tang as an independent non-executive director, effective August 14, 2025. Mr. Tang brings a wealth of experience from his previous roles in various companies and public service in Hong Kong, which is expected to enhance the company’s governance and strategic oversight, potentially strengthening its position in the logistics sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Announces Board Composition and Leadership Roles
Aug 14, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and functions of each member. This announcement is significant as it outlines the leadership structure that will guide the company’s strategic decisions and operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

JD Logistics Reports Strong Revenue Growth in First Half of 2025
Aug 14, 2025

JD Logistics, Inc. announced its unaudited consolidated results for the first half of 2025, reporting a 14.1% year-over-year increase in total revenue to RMB98.5 billion. The company achieved accelerated revenue growth by enhancing its capabilities and customer experience, with external customer revenue rising by 10.2% to RMB66.1 billion. Despite a slight decrease in non-IFRS profit margins, JD Logistics improved resource utilization efficiency and maintained steady profit levels, with a non-IFRS profit of RMB3.3 billion, up 7.1% from the previous year.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2618) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JD Logistics, Inc. stock, see the HK:2618 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025