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ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A (HK:2057)
:2057
Hong Kong Market

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A (2057) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A

(2057)

74Outperform
ZTO Express demonstrates strong financial performance with solid growth and profitability, backed by a stable balance sheet. However, the technical analysis suggests caution, with bearish indicators potentially impacting short-term performance. The company's valuation is reasonable, offering a decent dividend yield. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile, with strong fundamentals slightly offset by technical weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantages
The stock is positively influenced by strong long-term competitive advantages and a healthier partner.
Operational Growth
Resilient performance driven by continuous efforts in advancing profitable growth boosts investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Fiercer market competition and lower-than-expected growth in parcel volume could negatively impact stock performance.

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A (2057) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of approximately 10,900 trucks. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyZTO Express makes money primarily through its express delivery services, which account for the majority of its revenue. The company charges fees for the transportation and delivery of parcels, with pricing determined by factors such as package weight, delivery distance, and service level. Additionally, ZTO Express generates revenue from value-added services, including warehousing, logistics solutions, and cross-border e-commerce logistics. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with e-commerce platforms and retailers, which drive a significant volume of parcel shipments. By continuously expanding its service offerings and optimizing its logistics network, ZTO Express is able to maintain competitive pricing and capture market share in China's rapidly growing logistics industry.

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ZTO Express showcases robust financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth. With a strong equity position and conservative leverage, the company demonstrates financial stability. The positive trend in cash flow generation further enhances its financial profile, although maintaining consistent cash flow growth remains crucial.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ZTO Express demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, increasing from 25.2 billion in 2020 to 44.3 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin improved from 23.1% in 2020 to 31.0% in 2024, and the net profit margin remained stable around 19.9% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins also show a positive upward trend. Overall, the company exhibits solid growth and profitability in its income statement metrics.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 in 2024, indicating conservative leverage. The company's equity ratio improved to 67.2% in 2024, showing healthy financial stability. Return on equity is robust at 14.2% in 2024, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. While total debt has increased, the company's solid equity base mitigates potential risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
ZTO Express has shown a positive trend in free cash flow, growing from -4.3 billion in 2020 to 11.4 billion in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio shows improvement, reflecting enhanced cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow statement indicates a strengthening liquidity position but highlights the need to maintain consistent free cash flow growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
44.28B38.42B35.38B30.41B25.21B
Gross Profit
13.72B11.66B9.04B6.59B5.84B
EBIT
11.78B10.01B7.74B3.65B3.36B
EBITDA
15.04B13.85B11.15B5.87B5.20B
Net Income Common Stockholders
8.82B8.75B6.81B4.75B4.31B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
22.31B19.89B17.45B12.57B17.90B
Total Assets
92.34B88.47B78.52B62.77B59.20B
Total Debt
17.35B15.44B13.12B4.44B2.51B
Net Debt
3.88B3.10B1.43B-5.28B-11.70B
Total Liabilities
29.67B28.18B24.05B13.84B10.11B
Stockholders Equity
62.06B59.80B54.03B48.64B48.98B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.53B6.69B4.07B-2.11B-4.26B
Operating Cash Flow
11.43B13.36B11.48B7.22B4.95B
Investing Cash Flow
-5.98B-12.25B-16.04B-8.76B-3.55B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.00B-769.84M7.06B-2.90B8.34B

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price143.70
Price Trends
50DMA
149.79
Negative
100DMA
148.97
Positive
200DMA
156.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Positive
RSI
52.81
Neutral
STOCH
35.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2057, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 143.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 147.70, below the 50-day MA of 149.79, and below the 200-day MA of 156.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2057.

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
HK$113.13B12.3914.49%3.79%12.28%-0.67%
64
Neutral
$4.44B11.995.16%249.23%4.01%-11.87%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2057
ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A
149.50
-34.43
-18.72%
SCBFF
Standard Chartered
15.72
6.56
71.62%
LNNGF
Li Ning Company
1.95
-1.04
-34.78%
BKFCF
Bank of Communications Co
0.90
0.20
28.57%
CSPKF
COSCO SHIPPING Ports
0.53
-0.12
-18.46%
XNGSF
ENN Energy Holdings
8.06
-2.26
-21.90%

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Corporate Events

ZTO Express to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Apr 29, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has announced a board meeting scheduled for May 20, 2025, to approve and release its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. The results will be published on May 21, 2025, before the trading hours of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company will also host an earnings conference call on May 20, 2025, U.S. Eastern Time, to discuss the financial results, which could provide insights into its operational performance and market positioning.

ZTO Express Announces Annual General Meeting with Key Resolutions
Apr 29, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has announced its upcoming annual general meeting (AGM) scheduled for June 17, 2025, in Hong Kong. The meeting will address several key resolutions, including the re-election of directors, the appointment of auditors, and the authorization for the board to manage remuneration and issue additional Class A ordinary shares. These decisions are crucial for the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

ZTO Express Announces Board Changes with New Appointment
Apr 25, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced a change in its board of directors, with Mr. Xudong Chen resigning and Ms. Di Xu being appointed as a non-executive director, effective April 25, 2025. Ms. Xu brings extensive experience from her roles at Alibaba Group and other companies, which may enhance ZTO’s strategic positioning and stakeholder confidence.

ZTO Express Files Annual Report for Fiscal Year 2024
Apr 17, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has announced the filing of its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing is a significant regulatory requirement that provides stakeholders with detailed insights into the company’s financial performance and operations, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perception.

ZTO Express Sets Record Date for Shareholder Meeting
Apr 17, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced the record date for determining the eligibility of shareholders to vote and attend its upcoming annual general meeting. The record date is set for May 9, 2025, and shareholders must ensure their documents are lodged with the Hong Kong branch registrar by this date. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it outlines the procedural requirements for participating in the company’s governance, emphasizing the importance of timely documentation for voting rights.

ZTO Express Releases 2024 Q4 and Fiscal Year Financial Results
Mar 18, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ending December 31, 2024. The results, prepared in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, may contain material inside information. The announcement highlights the company’s performance and provides insights into its operations, which are subject to risks associated with the e-commerce and express delivery industries in China. Stakeholders are advised to exercise caution when dealing with the company’s securities.

ZTO Express Reports Strong Revenue Growth for 2024
Mar 18, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced its unaudited annual consolidated results for the year ending December 31, 2024. The company reported a 15.3% increase in revenues and a 17.6% rise in gross profit compared to the previous year. Despite a modest 1.5% increase in net income, the adjusted net income attributable to ordinary shareholders grew by 12.0%. These financial results indicate a strong operational performance and suggest a positive outlook for stakeholders.

ZTO Express Declares Semi-Annual Dividend for 2024
Mar 18, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced a semi-annual cash dividend of USD 0.35 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2024, with the payment date set for April 22, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s stable financial performance and commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially enhancing its attractiveness to investors.

ZTO Express Announces Board Composition and Committee Roles
Mar 18, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has announced the composition of its board of directors, which includes executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors. The board oversees four committees: Audit, Compensation, Nominating and Corporate Governance, and Environmental, Social and Governance, with specific directors assigned as members or chairpersons. This announcement highlights the company’s governance structure, which may impact its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

ZTO Express Updates Governance Committee Charter to Strengthen Board Oversight
Mar 18, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. has amended and restated the charter of its Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee. This committee is responsible for identifying and recommending qualified individuals for board positions, advising on board composition, and developing corporate governance principles. The changes are aimed at enhancing the company’s governance framework, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder relations positively.

ZTO Express Enhances Governance with Amended Committee Charter
Mar 18, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has amended and restated the charter of its Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, effective upon obtaining primary listing status on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The committee is tasked with identifying and recommending qualified individuals for the board, advising on board composition, and developing corporate governance principles. This move is expected to enhance the company’s governance structure and align with international standards, potentially improving its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

ZTO Express to Announce Q4 and Annual Financial Results
Feb 25, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced that its board of directors will meet on March 18, 2025, to approve and release the company’s unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. The results will be published on March 19, 2025, before the trading hours of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and an earnings conference call will be held to discuss the results, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.