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ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A (HK:2057)
:2057
Hong Kong Market
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ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A (2057) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2057

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A

(2057)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
HK$171.00
▲(7.14%Upside)
ZTO Express receives a high score due to its strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue and profit growth, and financial stability with low leverage. Technical analysis shows positive momentum, although caution is advised as the stock approaches overbought levels. The stock is attractively valued with a low P/E ratio and a competitive dividend yield. No recent earnings call data or corporate events were available to impact this assessment.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantages
The stock is positively influenced by strong long-term competitive advantages and a healthier partner.
Operational Growth
Resilient performance driven by continuous efforts in advancing profitable growth boosts investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Fiercer market competition and lower-than-expected growth in parcel volume could negatively impact stock performance.

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A (2057) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of approximately 10,900 trucks. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyZTO Express makes money through multiple revenue streams, primarily driven by its core express delivery services, which cater to the booming e-commerce industry in China. The company charges customers for parcel delivery services based on package weight, distance, and delivery speed. Additional revenue comes from value-added services, including warehousing, freight forwarding, and cross-border logistics solutions. ZTO Express also benefits from strategic partnerships with major e-commerce platforms, which provide a steady stream of parcel volume. Furthermore, the company's expansive network and operational efficiency help in managing costs, thereby enhancing profitability.

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ZTO Express exhibits a robust financial profile with strong growth in revenue and profitability. The income statement shows solid growth, the balance sheet reflects conservative leverage and effective equity utilization, and cash flow generation is improving. However, maintaining consistent cash flow growth is crucial for long-term stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ZTO Express demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, increasing from 25.2 billion in 2020 to 44.3 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin improved from 23.1% in 2020 to 31.0% in 2024, and the net profit margin remained stable around 19.9% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins also show a positive upward trend. Overall, the company exhibits solid growth and profitability in its income statement metrics.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 in 2024, indicating conservative leverage. The company's equity ratio improved to 67.2% in 2024, showing healthy financial stability. Return on equity is robust at 14.2% in 2024, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. While total debt has increased, the company's solid equity base mitigates potential risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
ZTO Express has shown a positive trend in free cash flow, growing from -4.3 billion in 2020 to 11.4 billion in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio shows improvement, reflecting enhanced cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow statement indicates a strengthening liquidity position but highlights the need to maintain consistent free cash flow growth.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.28B38.42B35.38B30.41B25.21B
Gross Profit13.72B11.66B9.04B6.59B5.84B
EBITDA15.04B13.85B11.15B5.87B5.20B
Net Income8.82B8.75B6.81B4.75B4.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets92.34B88.47B78.52B62.77B59.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.31B19.89B17.45B12.57B17.90B
Total Debt17.35B15.44B13.12B4.44B2.51B
Total Liabilities29.67B28.18B24.05B13.84B10.11B
Stockholders Equity62.06B59.80B54.03B48.64B48.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.53B6.69B4.07B-2.11B-4.26B
Operating Cash Flow11.43B13.36B11.48B7.22B4.95B
Investing Cash Flow-5.98B-12.25B-16.04B-8.76B-3.55B
Financing Cash Flow-5.00B-769.84M7.06B-2.90B8.34B

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price159.60
Price Trends
50DMA
141.57
Positive
100DMA
145.57
Positive
200DMA
151.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.86
Negative
RSI
65.56
Neutral
STOCH
67.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2057, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 159.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.52, above the 50-day MA of 141.57, and above the 200-day MA of 151.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2057.

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
HK$122.81B12.7515.67%3.49%12.94%9.55%
66
Neutral
$2.68B14.0710.02%3.69%-0.97%33.74%
$2.01B9.868.04%2.96%
$5.10B8.029.59%7.12%
76
Outperform
HK$96.40B13.5712.01%7.77%1079.57%
64
Neutral
HK$4.81B11.2130.13%4.64%53.93%218.84%
63
Neutral
HK$98.01B120.323.61%15.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2057
ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A
159.60
14.34
9.87%
KRRYF
Kerry Logistics Network
1.08
-0.67
-38.29%
SNOTF
Sinotrans
0.56
0.14
33.33%
HK:2618
JD Logistics, Inc.
14.10
6.16
77.58%
HK:2490
LC Logistics, Inc
8.24
-5.33
-39.28%
HK:1519
J&T Global Express Limited
10.32
4.18
68.08%

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A Corporate Events

ZTO Express Announces Upcoming Financial Results and Conference Call
Jul 31, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has announced a board meeting scheduled for August 19, 2025, to approve and publish its unaudited financial results for the second quarter and the first half of 2025. The company will release these results on August 20, 2025, before the trading hours of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and will host an earnings conference call to discuss the financial performance, which could impact investor perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2057) stock is a Buy with a HK$234.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2057 Stock Forecast page.

ZTO Express Announces Tender Offer for Convertible Notes
Jul 30, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has announced a tender offer statement filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission concerning its 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027. This move allows noteholders the right to sell their notes back to the company, which could impact the company’s financial obligations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2057) stock is a Buy with a HK$234.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2057 Stock Forecast page.

ZTO Express Approves AGM Resolutions, Reaffirms Leadership
Jun 17, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on June 17, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed. The resolutions included the approval of the company’s audited financial statements and the re-election of key directors, which underscores the company’s stable governance and strategic continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2057) stock is a Buy with a HK$234.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2057 Stock Forecast page.

ZTO Express Announces 2025 Q1 Financial Results Amid Industry Challenges
May 20, 2025

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2025, prepared in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The announcement highlights potential risks associated with the company’s operations, including its reliance on third-party e-commerce platforms and intense competition, which could impact its market share and operational results.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2057) stock is a Buy with a HK$234.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2057 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025