J&T Global Express Limited (1519) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$88.88B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 33.50M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 70.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.40
• Revenue Growth: 12.14%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: HK
• Employees: 156,851
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 0.07
• Shares Outstanding: 8,006,228,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 29,474,949
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 33,503,829
• PEG Ratio: -0.63
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.43
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.67
• P/FCF Ratio: 27.21
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: HK$11.28
• Price Target Upside: 13.14% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$10.50 ▲(5.32% Upside)

The overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, offset by a high P/E ratio indicating potential overvaluation. The company's revenue growth and improved financial stability are significant strengths, but challenges in profitability and valuation metrics weigh on the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for J&T's logistics services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term business expansion.

Cash Flow Improvement

Improved cash flow enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and reducing reliance on external financing.

Operational Efficiency

Improved margins reflect enhanced operational efficiency, which can lead to better profitability and competitive pricing in the logistics market.

Negative Factors

Low Profitability

Low net profit margins indicate challenges in converting revenue growth into bottom-line profits, potentially limiting reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns.

High Leverage

High leverage can increase financial risk, especially in economic downturns, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.

Limited Return on Equity

Low return on equity suggests inefficiencies in using shareholder capital to generate profits, which may deter potential investors seeking higher returns.

J&T Global Express Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

J&T Express provides logistics services in China. It offers customers with digital, and visual express delivery services. It also serves its customers online. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in shanghai, China with additional locations in Indonesia, Cambodia, Singapore, Mexico, Philippines Vietnam, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Saudi Arabia, and Thailand.

How the Company Makes Money

J&T Global Express Limited generates revenue primarily through its core logistics and express delivery services. Key revenue streams include parcel delivery fees, freight forwarding charges, and warehousing service fees. The company capitalizes on the growing e-commerce sector by partnering with online retailers and businesses, enhancing its service offerings and increasing its volume of shipments. Additionally, strategic partnerships with technology firms allow J&T to improve operational efficiency and customer experience, further driving revenue growth. The company's extensive network and ability to provide tailored logistics solutions also contribute to its earnings.

J&T Global Express Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

J&T Global Express Limited has shown commendable growth in revenue and improvements in profitability and cash flow generation over the years. The company has made significant strides in stabilizing its financial position, with positive equity and improving margins. However, challenges remain in achieving higher profitability and managing leverage effectively.

Income Statement

The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $1.54 billion in 2020 to $10.26 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has improved substantially, reaching 10.52% in 2024 from negative margins in previous years. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.98% in 2024, indicating that profitability is still a challenge despite revenue growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, but they are still relatively low at 2.05% and 7.15%, respectively.

Balance Sheet

The company has shown improvement in its financial stability, with positive stockholders' equity reaching $2.83 billion in 2024. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 0.73, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity is low at 3.56%, suggesting limited profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is 38.73%, reflecting a balanced financial structure but with some room for improvement.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows positive trends, with free cash flow improving from negative values in previous years to $252 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 8.03, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 2.51, suggesting that not all profits are translating into free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, marking a turnaround from earlier losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.90B	10.26B	8.85B	7.27B	4.85B	1.54B
Gross Profit	1.08B	1.08B	472.80M	-270.24M	-544.74M	-261.49M
EBITDA	417.16M	733.34M	-551.56M	-998.76M	-5.80B	-507.50M
Net Income	159.34M	100.56M	-1.10B	1.66B	-6.05B	-564.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.44B	7.29B	6.60B	5.94B	6.54B	2.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.91B	1.70B	1.53B	1.52B	2.23B	671.75M
Total Debt	2.13B	2.05B	1.79B	1.59B	687.75M	619.08M
Total Liabilities	4.78B	4.77B	4.12B	10.92B	13.18B	3.11B
Stockholders Equity	2.96B	2.83B	2.75B	-4.85B	-6.59B	-759.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	265.33M	252.49M	-132.63M	-1.10B	-1.49B	-416.01M
Operating Cash Flow	882.91M	807.43M	341.95M	-519.82M	-967.17M	-154.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-585.23M	-573.63M	-858.85M	-859.76M	-1.00B	-635.09M
Financing Cash Flow	-68.14M	-99.96M	500.90M	881.33M	3.47B	1.29B

J&T Global Express Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 9.97
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1519, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.00, below the 50-day MA of 9.98, and above the 200-day MA of 7.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:1519.

J&T Global Express Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
0598	―	$45.91B	9.07	9.44%	6.00%	-17.69%	-3.38%
2057	―	HK$116.67B	12.52	13.91%	3.39%	13.97%	2.03%
2618	―	HK$83.92B	11.61	12.40%	―	11.05%	81.01%
2490	―	HK$4.05B	7.51	37.50%	6.06%	56.58%	1963.38%
Sector *	―	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
1519	―	HK$88.88B	70.11	5.53%	―	12.14%	―
0636	―	HK$13.12B	9.52	8.51%	3.62%	26.36%	-18.67%

J&T Global Express Limited Corporate Events

J&T Global Express Secures CNY10 Billion Loan Facility with Contingent Obligations

J&T Global Express Limited has entered into a Facility Agreement with several banks to secure a CNY10 billion term loan facility. This loan, guaranteed by the company, will be used to refinance existing debt and for general corporate purposes. The agreement includes specific performance obligations tied to the company’s controlling shareholder, Mr. Li. If Mr. Li ceases to hold the largest voting rights or control over the company’s policies, the loan facility will be canceled, and all amounts will become due immediately. This move could impact the company’s financial stability and its strategic positioning in the logistics industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Hold with a HK$10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.

J&T Global Express Reports Robust Parcel Volume Growth in Q3 2025

J&T Global Express Limited reported significant growth in parcel volumes for the third quarter of 2025, with a 23.1% year-on-year increase in total parcel volume. The company saw substantial growth in Southeast Asia with a 78.7% rise in parcel volume, while China experienced a 10.4% increase. Despite a decrease in the number of network partners in both SEA and China, the company expanded its number of outlets and sorting centers, indicating a strategic focus on infrastructure enhancement to support its growing operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Hold with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.

J&T Global Express Announces Share Buy-Back Plan to Enhance Shareholder Value

J&T Global Express Limited has announced a proposed on-market share buy-back plan, approved by its board of directors, to repurchase up to 10% of its Class B shares. The company believes its shares are undervalued and aims to utilize existing cash reserves for the buy-back, which is expected to benefit shareholders by improving capital management. The plan aligns with J&T’s strategic focus on expanding in Southeast Asia and China, while also seizing growth opportunities in new markets such as Saudi Arabia, UAE, Mexico, Brazil, and Egypt.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Hold with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.

J&T Global Express Limited Announces Share Incentive Awards

J&T Global Express Limited announced the grant of awards under its 2024 Share Incentive Scheme, distributing a total of 12,843,251 Class B Shares to 82 employees. The vesting period for these awards ranges from immediate to 48 months, with some awards subject to performance-based conditions rather than time-based criteria. This scheme aims to align employee performance with company goals, potentially enhancing operational efficiency and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Buy with a HK$13.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.

J&T Global Express Reports Strong Interim Results with Significant Profit Growth

J&T Global Express Limited reported its unaudited interim results for the first half of 2025, showing a 13.1% increase in revenue to USD 5.5 billion, primarily driven by its express delivery services. The company achieved a significant 186.6% rise in profit for the period, reflecting strong operational performance across its key markets, including a notable market share increase in Southeast Asia. These results underscore J&T’s robust growth trajectory and its strengthened position in the global logistics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Buy with a HK$12.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.

J&T Global Express to Announce Interim Results and Host Earnings Call

J&T Global Express Limited has announced that its Board of Directors will hold a meeting on August 29, 2025, to consider and approve the interim results for the first half of the year. The company will also host an earnings conference call on the same day, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.