J&T Global Express Limited (1519) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$83.38B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 35.47M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 106.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.46
• Revenue Growth: 15.55%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: HK
• Employees: 156,851
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 90
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 0.08
• Shares Outstanding: 7,997,595,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 71,100,878
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 35,472,072
• PEG Ratio: 0.87
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.66
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 43.28
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.14
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.31
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.60
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -4.21
• 1Y Price Target: HK$9.80
• Price Target Upside: 5.49% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$9.50 ▲(2.26%Upside)

The stock score reflects a mix of strong financial performance and technical momentum, offset by high valuation concerns. While the company has shown significant revenue growth and improving cash flows, the high P/E ratio and overbought technical indicators suggest caution. The lack of dividend yield further influences the valuation negatively.

Positive Factors

Market Expansion

J&T reported an impressive set of operating data with parcel volume growing at an average of 24% YoY, driven by the robust SEA market.

Strategic Partnerships

Growth in new markets was driven by the Brazilian market, with cooperation with Mercado Libre offering growth opportunities.

Negative Factors

Competitive Pressure

The growth rate in China volume slowed, and management tone was conservative due to uncertainties arising from fierce price competition.

Pricing Concerns

Fierce price cuts launched by the leading player in China are a concern and might offset the high volume growth.

J&T Global Express Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

J&T Express provides logistics services in China. It offers customers with digital, and visual express delivery services. It also serves its customers online. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in shanghai, China with additional locations in Indonesia, Cambodia, Singapore, Mexico, Philippines Vietnam, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Saudi Arabia, and Thailand.

How the Company Makes Money

J&T Global Express Limited generates revenue primarily through its logistics and courier services. Key revenue streams include parcel delivery services, where the company charges fees based on package size, weight, destination, and delivery speed. Freight forwarding services provide income through the transportation of goods across international borders, often involving sea, air, and land logistics. The company also earns from warehousing solutions by offering storage facilities and inventory management for businesses, often on a contractual basis. Additionally, supply chain management services generate revenue by optimizing clients' end-to-end logistics operations. Strategic partnerships with e-commerce platforms and businesses contribute significantly to its earnings by providing integrated logistics solutions that cater to the growing demand for online shopping deliveries.

J&T Global Express Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

J&T Global Express Limited has shown commendable growth in revenue and improvements in profitability and cash flow generation. The company has positive equity and improving margins but still faces challenges in achieving higher profitability and managing leverage.

Income Statement

The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $1.54 billion in 2020 to $10.26 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has improved substantially, reaching 10.52% in 2024 from negative margins in previous years. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.98% in 2024, indicating that profitability is still a challenge despite revenue growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, but they are still relatively low at 2.05% and 7.15%, respectively.

Balance Sheet

The company has shown improvement in its financial stability, with positive stockholders' equity reaching $2.83 billion in 2024. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 0.73, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity is low at 3.56%, suggesting limited profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is 38.73%, reflecting a balanced financial structure but with some room for improvement.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows positive trends, with free cash flow improving from negative values in previous years to $252 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 8.03, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 2.51, suggesting that not all profits are translating into free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, marking a turnaround from earlier losses.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.26B	8.85B	7.27B	4.85B	1.54B
Gross Profit	1.08B	472.80M	-270.24M	-544.74M	-261.49M
EBITDA	733.34M	-551.56M	-822.83M	-5.80B	-507.50M
Net Income	100.56M	-1.10B	1.66B	-6.05B	-564.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.29B	6.60B	5.94B	6.54B	2.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.70B	1.61B	1.52B	2.14B	671.75M
Total Debt	2.05B	1.79B	1.59B	687.75M	619.08M
Total Liabilities	4.77B	4.12B	10.92B	13.18B	3.11B
Stockholders Equity	2.83B	2.75B	-4.85B	-6.59B	-759.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	252.49M	-132.63M	-1.10B	-1.49B	-416.01M
Operating Cash Flow	807.43M	341.95M	-519.82M	-967.17M	-154.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-573.63M	-858.85M	-859.76M	-1.00B	-635.09M
Financing Cash Flow	-99.96M	500.90M	881.33M	3.47B	1.29B

J&T Global Express Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 9.29
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1519, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.75, above the 50-day MA of 7.07, and above the 200-day MA of 6.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 86.37 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1519.

J&T Global Express Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	71 Outperform	¥254.15B	13.65	8.48%	3.02%	6.34%	13.16%
1519	58 Neutral	HK$83.38B	106.09	3.61%	―	15.55%	―
KRRYF	―	$1.87B	8.31	8.04%	4.21%	―	―
SNOTF	―	$5.01B	7.57	9.59%	7.48%	―	―
2057	80 Outperform	HK$112.18B	11.67	15.67%	3.81%	12.94%	9.55%
2618	77 Outperform	HK$88.82B	12.86	12.01%	―	7.77%	1079.57%
2490	67 Neutral	HK$5.02B	11.35	30.13%	5.02%	53.93%	218.84%

J&T Global Express Limited Corporate Events

J&T Global Express Reports Strong Q2 2025 Parcel Volume Growth

J&T Global Express Limited reported significant growth in parcel volumes for the second quarter of 2025, with a 23.5% year-on-year increase in total parcel volume. The company saw notable growth in Southeast Asia with a 65.9% rise, while China experienced a 14.7% increase. Despite a reduction in network partners, the number of outlets and sorting centers increased, indicating an expansion in operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.

J&T Global Express Limited Successfully Passes AGM Resolutions

J&T Global Express Limited announced the successful passage of all proposed resolutions at its Annual General Meeting held on June 18, 2025. Key resolutions included the adoption of the company’s audited financial statements for 2024, re-election of directors, and authorization of board remuneration. The re-appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers as the auditor was also approved. These decisions are expected to reinforce the company’s governance and operational stability, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.

J&T Global Express Limited Announces Virtual Annual General Meeting

J&T Global Express Limited has announced its upcoming annual general meeting, which will be conducted virtually on June 18, 2025. The meeting will cover several key resolutions, including the adoption of financial statements for 2024, the re-election of directors, and the re-appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers as the company’s auditor. Additionally, the board seeks approval to repurchase up to 10% of its issued shares, reflecting a strategic move to manage its capital structure effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1519) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J&T Global Express Limited stock, see the HK:1519 Stock Forecast page.