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FCG - ETF AI Analysis

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FCG

First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
FCG, the First Trust Natural Gas ETF, earns a solid overall rating largely because many of its key holdings—like Diamondback Energy (FANG), Western Midstream (WES), and Permian Resources (PR)—show strong financial performance, attractive valuations, and supportive earnings call commentary, which together provide a strong foundation for the fund. Names such as Occidental Petroleum (OXY) introduce some caution due to richer valuations and weaker technical trends, and the fund’s focus on natural gas and related energy companies means its performance is closely tied to commodity price swings and sector-specific risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month and quarter, indicating positive recent momentum.
Solid Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, such as ConocoPhillips, Occidental Petroleum, and Devon Energy, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Focused North American Exposure
The fund’s holdings are almost entirely in U.S. and Canadian companies, giving investors targeted exposure to major North American natural gas producers.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration
With nearly all assets in the energy sector, the ETF is heavily exposed to swings in energy and natural gas markets.
Moderately High Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which can modestly reduce net returns over time.
Some Lagging Key Holdings
A few important positions, such as Diamondback and EQT, have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on overall results if the trend continues.

FCG vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FCG Summary

The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) is an energy-focused fund that follows the ISE-REVERE Natural Gas Index. It mainly holds U.S. companies involved in finding, producing, and transporting natural gas. Well-known holdings include ConocoPhillips and Occidental Petroleum. Someone might invest in FCG if they want targeted exposure to the natural gas industry, which can benefit from global energy demand and the shift toward cleaner-burning fuels compared with coal and oil. A key risk is that it is heavily concentrated in energy stocks, so its price can swing sharply with natural gas prices and overall energy market conditions.
How much will it cost me?The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has an expense ratio of 0.57%, meaning you’ll pay $5.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed to focus on a specific niche within the energy sector, which requires more research and oversight compared to passively managed ETFs.
What would affect this ETF?The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) could benefit from increased demand for cleaner energy sources like natural gas as countries transition away from coal and oil, especially in North America where it has strong exposure. However, the ETF may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, fluctuations in natural gas prices, or competition from renewable energy advancements, which could impact the performance of its top holdings such as EQT and Occidental Petroleum.

FCG Top 10 Holdings

FCG is essentially a pure play on U.S. oil and gas, with energy names dominating the driver’s seat. ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources, and Devon Energy have been rising, giving the fund a solid tailwind as investors reward strong cash flows and disciplined drilling. Midstream players like Western Midstream and Hess Midstream add a steadier, toll-road feel, helping smooth out some of the bumps in commodity prices. The main drag comes from EQT, which has been lagging lately, reminding investors that natural gas exposure can cut both ways.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Conocophillips5.03%$25.95M$128.80B5.46%
78
Outperform
Occidental Petroleum4.63%$23.87M$44.72B-2.70%
67
Neutral
Diamondback4.52%$23.33M$46.98B-0.25%
81
Outperform
Western Midstream Partners4.51%$23.28M$16.92B0.75%
80
Outperform
Hess Midstream Partners4.51%$23.26M$7.37B-12.44%
77
Outperform
EOG Resources4.45%$22.96M$60.84B-10.86%
78
Outperform
Devon Energy4.28%$22.09M$25.22B17.92%
79
Outperform
Coterra Energy4.10%$21.15M$21.97B4.08%
73
Outperform
Permian Resources4.10%$21.15M$13.39B10.10%
81
Outperform
EQT4.06%$20.95M$36.03B12.93%
76
Outperform

FCG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
23.90
Positive
100DMA
23.41
Positive
200DMA
22.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
71.46
Negative
STOCH
87.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.98, equal to the 50-day MA of 23.90, and equal to the 200-day MA of 22.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.46 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCG.

FCG Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$506.13M0.57%
$738.58M0.40%
$510.67M0.40%
$427.83M0.38%
$351.92M0.35%
$257.03M0.41%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
25.61
1.45
6.00%
TPYP
Tortoise North American Pipeline Fund
RSPG
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
ENFR
Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF
DRLL
Strive U.S. Energy ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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