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FCG - ETF AI Analysis

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FCG

First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) benefits from strong contributions by holdings like EQT and Diamondback Energy (FANG), both of which demonstrate robust financial performance, strategic achievements, and positive technical indicators. These strengths are slightly offset by weaker holdings such as Occidental Petroleum (OXY), which faces bearish technical trends and valuation concerns. The ETF's overall rating reflects a solid performance, though investors should be mindful of risks tied to market volatility and sector-specific challenges in natural gas.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Some of the largest positions, like EQT and Expand Energy, have shown strong year-to-date performance, supporting the fund’s returns.
Focused Sector Exposure
The ETF’s heavy focus on the energy sector aligns with potential growth opportunities in natural gas markets.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is reasonable compared to other specialized ETFs, helping investors retain more of their returns.
Negative Factors
Sector Concentration Risk
With nearly all assets in the energy sector, the ETF is highly vulnerable to downturns in this industry.
Weak Overall Performance
The fund has experienced negative returns year-to-date and over recent months, which may concern investors seeking growth.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The ETF is heavily concentrated in U.S. companies, with minimal exposure to international markets, reducing global diversification.

FCG vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FCG Summary

The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) is an investment fund that focuses on companies in the natural gas industry, including exploration, production, and distribution. It follows the ISE-REVERE Natural Gas Index and includes well-known companies like ConocoPhillips and Occidental Petroleum. This ETF is a good option for investors who want to tap into the energy sector, especially natural gas, which is considered a cleaner-burning fuel and a key part of the global energy transition. However, new investors should be aware that the ETF is heavily tied to the energy sector, meaning its value can rise and fall with changes in oil and gas prices.
How much will it cost me?The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has an expense ratio of 0.57%, meaning you’ll pay $5.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed to focus on a specific niche within the energy sector, which requires more research and oversight compared to passively managed ETFs.
What would affect this ETF?The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) could benefit from increased demand for cleaner energy sources like natural gas as countries transition away from coal and oil, especially in North America where it has strong exposure. However, the ETF may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, fluctuations in natural gas prices, or competition from renewable energy advancements, which could impact the performance of its top holdings such as EQT and Occidental Petroleum.

FCG Top 10 Holdings

The First Trust Natural Gas ETF is heavily concentrated in the U.S. energy sector, with a focus on companies tied to natural gas production and distribution. Recent performance has been a mixed bag: rising stars like Coterra Energy and Devon Energy are driving gains with strong production and cost management, while lagging names such as Occidental Petroleum and ConocoPhillips are weighing on the fund due to bearish momentum and project cost challenges. Despite some volatility, the ETF’s thematic focus on natural gas positions it as a compelling play for investors eyeing the energy transition.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Expand Energy4.65%$21.22M$25.38B15.92%
71
Outperform
EQT4.57%$20.85M$33.28B27.78%
81
Outperform
Western Midstream Partners4.53%$20.64M$15.83B2.48%
80
Outperform
Diamondback4.39%$20.00M$42.71B-1.29%
81
Outperform
Conocophillips4.35%$19.81M$112.17B-0.93%
78
Outperform
Coterra Energy4.10%$18.68M$19.26B9.18%
73
Outperform
Devon Energy4.08%$18.61M$22.01B18.81%
79
Outperform
Occidental Petroleum3.83%$17.45M$38.34B-11.71%
67
Neutral
EOG Resources3.80%$17.32M$55.23B-12.45%
78
Outperform
Hess Midstream Partners3.78%$17.23M$7.08B-3.37%
72
Outperform

FCG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
23.24
Positive
100DMA
23.18
Positive
200DMA
22.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
46.65
Neutral
STOCH
13.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.11, equal to the 50-day MA of 23.24, and equal to the 200-day MA of 22.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FCG.

FCG Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$440.94M0.57%
$704.46M0.40%
$444.32M0.38%
$429.41M0.40%
$327.29M0.35%
$240.40M0.41%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
23.55
0.97
4.30%
TPYP
Tortoise North American Pipeline Fund
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
RSPG
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF
ENFR
Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF
DRLL
Strive U.S. Energy ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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