FCG - ETF AI Analysis
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First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year, showing solid momentum in its natural gas holdings.
Leading Energy Companies in Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, including well-known energy producers, have shown strong year-to-date performance, helping drive the fund’s returns.
Growing Asset Base
The fund manages a sizable pool of assets, which suggests steady investor interest and can support trading liquidity.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration
With almost all assets in the energy sector, the ETF is heavily exposed to swings in oil and gas prices and industry-specific risks.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The portfolio is focused mainly on U.S. companies, offering little protection if the U.S. energy market faces a downturn.
Above-Average Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which can modestly reduce net returns over time.
FCG vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM718.35M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.59%
Beta0.45
IssuerFirst Trust
Inception DateMay 08, 2007
Dividend Yield2.22%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedNasdaq FactSet Natural Gas Index
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume767,117
30 Day Avg. Volume1,265,067
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
35.54Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering40
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
FCG Summary
The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) follows the ISE-REVERE Natural Gas Index and focuses on U.S. and Canadian energy companies tied to natural gas. It mainly holds oil and gas producers and pipeline operators, including well-known names like ConocoPhillips and Occidental Petroleum. Investors might consider FCG if they want targeted exposure to the natural gas theme, which can add diversification and potential growth if energy prices rise or natural gas demand increases. However, this ETF is heavily tied to the energy sector, so its price can swing a lot with changes in natural gas and oil prices.
How much will it cost me?The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has an expense ratio of 0.57%, meaning you’ll pay $5.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed to focus on a specific niche within the energy sector, which requires more research and oversight compared to passively managed ETFs.
What would affect this ETF?The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) could benefit from increased demand for cleaner energy sources like natural gas as countries transition away from coal and oil, especially in North America where it has strong exposure. However, the ETF may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, fluctuations in natural gas prices, or competition from renewable energy advancements, which could impact the performance of its top holdings such as EQT and Occidental Petroleum.
FCG Top 10 Holdings
FCG is essentially a pure play on U.S. energy, with the spotlight firmly on natural gas and oil producers. Devon Energy and ConocoPhillips have been steady climbers over the year but recently lost a bit of steam, while EOG Resources and Diamondback are helping pull the fund higher with more consistent gains. Occidental and APA are acting like the fund’s turbo boosters, rising strongly on improved balance sheets and cash flow. With nearly all its weight in North American energy names, this ETF lives and dies by the fortunes of the fossil-fuel patch.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Energy | 8.11% | $59.65M | $53.75B | 35.74% | 79 Outperform | |
| EOG Resources | 4.90% | $35.99M | $74.72B | 16.98% | 78 Outperform | |
| Western Midstream Partners | 4.61% | $33.86M | $17.42B | 13.45% | 80 Outperform | |
| Conocophillips | 4.58% | $33.65M | $146.10B | 26.64% | 78 Outperform | |
| Diamondback | 4.55% | $33.48M | $55.29B | 28.30% | 81 Outperform | |
| Occidental Petroleum | 4.47% | $32.84M | $56.79B | 27.57% | 67 Neutral | |
| Hess Midstream Partners | 4.34% | $31.92M | $8.00B | -2.08% | 77 Outperform | |
| APA | 4.01% | $29.47M | $13.43B | 93.78% | 73 Outperform | |
| Permian Resources | 3.84% | $28.23M | $16.52B | 33.10% | 81 Outperform | |
| Ovintiv | 3.80% | $27.97M | C$22.69B | 42.64% | 60 Neutral |
FCG Technical Analysis
Negative
―
Price Trends
29.86
Negative
28.86
Negative
26.02
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.35
Positive
45.07
Neutral
35.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.54, equal to the 50-day MA of 29.86, and equal to the 200-day MA of 26.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FCG.
FCG Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
28.79
4.77
19.86%
FTXN
First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF
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TPYP
Tortoise North American Pipeline Fund
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IEZ
iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF
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DRLL
Strive U.S. Energy ETF
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PXE
Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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