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CTEF - ETF AI Analysis

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CTEF

Castellan Targeted Equity ETF (CTEF)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
CTEF, the Castellan Targeted Equity ETF, has an overall rating that reflects a generally solid portfolio led by strong performers like Comfort Systems USA (FIX), Micron (MU), and Palomar Holdings (PLMR), which benefit from robust financial results, revenue growth, and positive outlooks tied to strategic initiatives such as AI and acquisitions. Additional support comes from holdings like Lam Research (LRCX), Western Digital (WDC), and Deckers Outdoor (DECK), which show healthy growth and constructive earnings commentary despite some valuation concerns. The main factor holding the rating back is exposure to weaker names like FTAI, where high leverage, negative cash flows, and bearish technical signals introduce added risk.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown strong gains over the year to date and in recent months, indicating solid recent momentum.
Leading Holdings Performing Well
Most of the top positions, especially in technology and industrial-related names, have delivered strong returns, helping drive the fund higher.
Sector Diversification Across Growth Areas
Holdings spread across technology, consumer cyclical, financials, health care, and industrials provide exposure to several key parts of the economy rather than relying on a single sector.
Negative Factors
High U.S. Concentration
Almost all assets are invested in U.S. companies, so the fund offers little geographic diversification if the U.S. market struggles.
Top Holdings Are Relatively Concentrated
The largest positions each make up a noticeable slice of the portfolio, which increases the impact if any one of them runs into trouble.
Some Lagging Stocks in the Top 10
A few of the bigger holdings have shown weak or negative performance recently, which could weigh on future returns if the trend continues.

CTEF vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CTEF Summary

The Castellan Targeted Equity ETF (CTEF) is an actively managed fund that invests in a wide range of U.S. stocks, from different sizes and industries, with a strong tilt toward technology, consumer, and financial companies. It also uses options (special contracts on stocks) to try to boost returns and manage risk. Well-known holdings include Micron and Western Digital, both major tech names. Someone might consider CTEF for broad U.S. stock market exposure with a potential growth tilt. A key risk is that it can be quite sensitive to stock market swings, especially in tech-related sectors.
How much will it cost me?The Castellan Targeted Equity ETF (CTEF) has an expense ratio of 0.45%, meaning you’ll pay $4.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, involving strategies like options trading and detailed analysis to optimize returns.
What would affect this ETF?The Castellan Targeted Equity ETF (CTEF) could benefit from growth in the technology and consumer cyclical sectors, which make up a significant portion of its holdings, especially if innovation and consumer spending trends remain strong. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact these sectors, as well as the ETF's exposure to healthcare and financial companies. Additionally, regulatory changes or volatility in the U.S. market could pose risks to its performance, given its focus on North American equities.

CTEF Top 10 Holdings

CTEF is leaning hard into U.S. growth stories, with a clear tech and industrial tilt that’s been powering results. Western Digital, Micron, and Lam Research form a semiconductor backbone that’s been steadily rising on AI and data-center demand, while Modine and Comfort Systems add punch from the industrial side with strong, momentum-driven runs. Jabil also helps keep the wind at the fund’s back, though valuation worries linger. On the weaker side, Palomar is treading water and Expedia is lagging, modestly dragging on an otherwise tech-heavy, U.S.-focused lineup.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Micron7.14%$40.13M$650.08B616.80%
79
Outperform
Jabil6.47%$36.40M$35.96B126.87%
73
Outperform
Comfort Systems6.40%$36.00M$66.60B334.64%
80
Outperform
Western Digital6.37%$35.80M$152.47B882.37%
77
Outperform
Modine6.09%$34.23M$13.70B187.47%
68
Neutral
Lam Research5.62%$31.60M$323.36B249.84%
77
Outperform
Tapestry4.64%$26.08M$28.29B90.67%
69
Neutral
Deckers Outdoor4.49%$25.26M$13.86B-17.48%
79
Outperform
Nvidia4.34%$24.42M$4.82T74.38%
76
Outperform
Bread Financial Holdings4.33%$24.32M$3.38B70.88%
72
Outperform

CTEF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
73.26
Positive
100DMA
71.68
Positive
200DMA
66.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.56
Positive
RSI
62.71
Neutral
STOCH
73.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTEF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.36, equal to the 50-day MA of 73.26, and equal to the 200-day MA of 66.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTEF.

CTEF Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$558.97M0.45%
73
Outperform
$935.39M0.59%
69
Neutral
$854.67M1.30%
64
Neutral
$780.62M0.45%
74
Outperform
$740.57M0.22%
63
Neutral
$685.05M0.50%
70
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTEF
Castellan Targeted Equity ETF
78.05
28.03
56.04%
SYLD
Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF
ULTY
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF
BGDV
Bahl & Gaynor Dividend ETF
AVTM
Avantis Total Equity Markets ETF
XCHG
AB US Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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