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Tenet Healthcare (THC)
NYSE:THC

Tenet Healthcare (THC) AI Stock Analysis

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THC

Tenet Healthcare

(NYSE:THC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$231.00
▲(17.66% Upside)
Tenet Healthcare's overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic financial maneuvers, which are the most significant factors. The company's robust revenue growth and improved leverage are positive, though profitability and cash flow challenges remain. Technical indicators support a bullish outlook, while valuation metrics suggest reasonable pricing. Recent corporate events further bolster financial flexibility, enhancing the company's market position.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth reflects effective market penetration and service demand, supporting long-term business expansion and stability.
Debt Refinancing
Refinancing enhances financial flexibility, reduces interest burden, and strengthens market position, supporting sustainable growth.
EBITDA Margin Improvement
Improved EBITDA margin indicates better operational efficiency, enhancing profitability and competitive edge in the healthcare sector.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining profit margins suggest cost pressures or pricing challenges, which may impact long-term profitability and financial health.
Cash Flow Decline
Declining cash flow growth can limit investment capacity and operational flexibility, posing risks to future expansion and stability.
Policy Change Risks
Potential policy changes could affect reimbursement rates, impacting revenue streams and financial predictability in the healthcare sector.

Tenet Healthcare (THC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenet Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTenet Healthcare Corporation operates as a diversified healthcare services company. The company operates in three segments: Hospital Operations and Other, Ambulatory Care, and Conifer. Its general hospitals offer acute care services, operating and recovery rooms, radiology and respiratory therapy services, clinical laboratories, and pharmacies. The company also provides intensive and critical care, and coronary care units; cardiovascular, digestive disease, neurosciences, musculoskeletal, and obstetrics services; outpatient services, including physical therapy; cardiothoracic surgery, complex spinal surgery, neonatal intensive care, and neurosurgery services; quaternary care services in heart and kidney transplants; and limb-salvaging vascular procedure, acute level 1 trauma, intravascular stroke care, minimally invasive cardiac valve replacement, imaging, and telemedicine access services. In addition, it operates ambulatory surgery and urgent care centers, imaging centers, surgical hospitals, off-campus emergency departments, and micro-hospitals; and offers healthcare business process services in the areas of hospital and physician revenue cycle management, patient communications and engagement support, and value-based care solutions to hospitals, health systems, physician practices, employers, and other customers. As of February 09, 2022, the company operated 60 hospitals; and approximately 550 other healthcare facilities, including surgical hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, urgent care and imaging centers, and other care sites and clinics. Tenet Healthcare Corporation was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyTenet Healthcare generates revenue through a multifaceted model primarily centered around patient services. The company earns money by billing for medical services rendered in its hospitals and outpatient facilities, including surgeries, emergency care, diagnostic tests, and various specialty services. Key revenue streams include reimbursements from government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, as well as private insurance payments. Additionally, Tenet engages in partnerships and joint ventures with other healthcare entities, which can provide additional revenue through shared services and facilities. The company's performance is also influenced by factors such as patient volumes, the mix of insured versus uninsured patients, and the regulatory environment impacting healthcare reimbursement.

Tenet Healthcare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Hospitals
Total Hospitals
Indicates the number of hospitals operated, reflecting the scale of operations and market presence. A larger network can drive higher revenue and provide competitive advantages in negotiating with insurers and suppliers.
Chart InsightsTenet Healthcare's total number of hospitals has decreased significantly since 2020, with a notable drop in 2024. Despite this reduction, the company has reported strong financial performance in early 2025, with robust revenue and EBITDA growth. The strategic focus on ambulatory space M&A and operational excellence is likely compensating for the reduced hospital count. However, uncertainties in healthcare policy, particularly around Medicaid, could pose challenges. The company's cautious approach to 2025 guidance reflects these uncertainties, despite a promising start to the fiscal year.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tenet Healthcare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, highlighting strong financial performance and growth in key segments like USPI and hospitals. The company raised its full-year guidance, supported by robust fundamentals. However, challenges such as volume deceleration and increased denials and disputes were noted, but they were outweighed by the positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Second quarter 2025 net operating revenues reached $5.3 billion with a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.121 billion, marking a 19% increase over 2024. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 280 basis points to 21.3%.
USPI Growth
USPI generated $498 million in adjusted EBITDA, an 11% growth over the previous quarter. Same facility revenues grew by 7.7%, with a 12.6% increase in total joint replacements in ASCs.
Hospital Segment Performance
Hospital segment adjusted EBITDA grew 25% to $623 million with same-store hospital admissions up 1.6%. Revenue per adjusted admission increased by 5.2%.
Share Repurchase Program Expansion
Tenet Healthcare has deployed $1.1 billion to repurchase 7.2 million shares in the first half of 2025. The board authorized a $1.5 billion increase in the share repurchase program.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
The company raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $4.4 to $4.54 billion, an increase of $395 million or 10% at the midpoint.
Negative Updates
Volume Deceleration
There was a noted deceleration in both inpatient and adjusted admissions volumes, leading to a 50 basis point reduction in volume guidance.
Increased Denials and Disputes
The company reported an increase in denials and disputes post-COVID, describing some of the activities as not acceptable and requiring adaptation through technology.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Tenet Healthcare Corporation reported robust financial outcomes, with net operating revenues reaching $5.3 billion and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.121 billion, marking a 19% increase over the previous year. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 280 basis points to 21.3%, supported by strong same-store growth and efficient operations. USPI contributed significantly, with a $498 million adjusted EBITDA, reflecting an 11% increase over the prior year. Same facility revenues rose by 7.7%, highlighted by a 12.6% growth in total joint replacements in ASCs. The hospital segment also saw a 25% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $623 million, with same-store hospital admissions increasing by 1.6% and revenue per adjusted admission rising by 5.2%. The organization enhanced its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $4.4 to $4.54 billion, indicating an approximate 10% increase from previous guidance. The company also reduced its overhead by downsizing its hospital portfolio and authorized a $1.5 billion increase in its share repurchase program, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value through disciplined financial management and strategic capital allocation.

Tenet Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tenet Healthcare demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved leverage, indicating a positive trajectory in expansion and financial stability. However, challenges in profitability and cash flow growth suggest areas for improvement. The company is well-positioned in the medical care facilities industry, with opportunities to enhance profitability and cash flow management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Tenet Healthcare shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 80.7%, indicating robust expansion. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 15.5% in 2024 to 7.6% in TTM, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The gross profit margin improved significantly in TTM, indicating better cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth but with some profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a significant improvement in the debt-to-equity ratio, dropping from 3.43 in 2024 to 0.02 in TTM, indicating a substantial reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased from 76.7% in 2024 to 37.3% in TTM, reflecting reduced efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of -3.9% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.54, indicating a reasonable conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.61, showing good cash generation relative to net income. Overall, cash flow stability is moderate with some areas for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.86B20.66B20.55B19.17B19.48B17.64B
Gross Profit11.66B8.21B7.80B7.05B7.27B6.23B
EBITDA4.42B6.89B3.39B3.08B3.67B2.53B
Net Income1.35B3.20B611.00M411.00M914.00M399.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.42B28.94B28.31B27.16B27.58B27.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.98B3.02B1.23B858.00M2.36B2.45B
Total Debt13.19B14.33B15.00B15.08B15.65B15.72B
Total Liabilities20.72B20.39B22.80B22.55B23.32B24.22B
Stockholders Equity4.01B4.17B1.61B1.14B1.03B28.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.50B1.12B1.62B321.00M910.00M2.87B
Operating Cash Flow2.48B2.05B2.37B1.08B1.57B3.41B
Investing Cash Flow-1.26B3.43B-969.00M-808.00M-714.00M-1.61B
Financing Cash Flow-2.34B-3.69B-1.03B-1.78B-936.00M385.00M

Tenet Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price196.33
Price Trends
50DMA
202.56
Negative
100DMA
193.65
Positive
200DMA
171.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.10
Positive
RSI
42.48
Neutral
STOCH
10.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 196.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 205.28, below the 50-day MA of 202.56, and above the 200-day MA of 171.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for THC.

Tenet Healthcare Risk Analysis

Tenet Healthcare disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenet Healthcare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenet Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$14.21B10.8119.97%0.35%10.21%39.58%
74
Outperform
$17.25B13.4634.51%-0.56%-53.50%
70
Neutral
$107.93B18.280.61%6.82%15.82%
65
Neutral
$13.73B17.065.31%3.35%4.09%13.17%
64
Neutral
$10.70B20.1124.94%0.66%11.13%27.53%
59
Neutral
$8.13B11.865.14%4.37%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THC
Tenet Healthcare
196.33
66.69
51.44%
DVA
DaVita
115.20
-37.82
-24.72%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
23.51
1.26
5.66%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
472.98
171.72
57.00%
EHC
Encompass Health
106.39
12.80
13.68%
UHS
Universal Health
227.46
47.48
26.38%

Tenet Healthcare Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Tenet Healthcare Board Member Resigns, Board Size Reduced
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Stephen H. Rusckowski resigned from Tenet Healthcare Corporation’s board of directors, prompting the board to reduce its size from thirteen to twelve members.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tenet Healthcare Issues $2.25 Billion in New Notes
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Tenet Healthcare Corporation issued $1.5 billion in senior secured first lien notes due 2032 and $750 million in senior notes due 2033. The proceeds from these notes will be used to redeem existing debt, specifically $1.5 billion of 6.250% senior secured second lien notes due 2027 and $750 million of 6.125% senior notes due 2028. The issuance of these notes is part of Tenet’s strategic financial management, allowing the company to restructure its debt and potentially improve its financial flexibility. The notes come with covenants that restrict certain financial activities but also allow for exceptions, providing Tenet with operational leeway.

Private Placements and Financing
Tenet Healthcare Secures $1.9 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Tenet Healthcare Corporation entered into a Credit Agreement to establish a senior secured revolving credit facility of up to $1.9 billion, with a $200 million sub-facility for letters of credit. This agreement, which involves JPMorgan Chase Bank as the administrative agent, is secured by a first-priority lien on accounts receivable and inventory. Additionally, Tenet amended its existing Letter of Credit Facility Agreement to extend the maturity date to November 4, 2030, enhancing its financial flexibility and potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tenet Healthcare Announces $2 Billion Debt Refinancing
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Tenet Healthcare Corporation announced the commencement of private placement offerings totaling $2 billion in senior secured and unsecured notes to refinance existing debt. The proceeds will be used to redeem $1.5 billion of its 6.250% senior secured second lien notes due 2027 and partially redeem $0.75 billion of its 6.125% senior notes due 2028. This strategic financial maneuver aims to optimize Tenet’s debt structure, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and strengthening its market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025