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Tenet Healthcare (THC)
NYSE:THC
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Tenet Healthcare (THC) AI Stock Analysis

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THC

Tenet Healthcare

(NYSE:THC)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$177.00
▲(2.90% Upside)
The overall score reflects a complex balance of Tenet Healthcare's strong earnings growth and undervaluation against challenges such as leverage and recent profitability declines. Technical indicators suggest caution, but strategic leadership changes and market confidence in growth provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
Tenet Healthcare Corp. opened 8 new centers focused on high acuity, which positions the company well to benefit from changes in Medicare policies.
Earnings and Financial Performance
Despite some weaker volumes, the company's strong pricing and increased case mix led to solid second-quarter revenue growth.
Shareholder Value
THC has made all the right moves to maximize shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Exchange Market Pressures
The lack of commentary on the implications of potential pressures on the exchange market in 2026 raised concerns among investors.
Future Performance Concerns
Uncertainty around the path forward for exchanges, which account for 7% of revenue, creates some concern regarding future performance.
Legislative Headwinds
Investor angst likely increases operating bar due to legislative headwinds.

Tenet Healthcare (THC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenet Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTenet Healthcare Corporation operates as a diversified healthcare services company. The company operates in three segments: Hospital Operations and Other, Ambulatory Care, and Conifer. Its general hospitals offer acute care services, operating and recovery rooms, radiology and respiratory therapy services, clinical laboratories, and pharmacies. The company also provides intensive and critical care, and coronary care units; cardiovascular, digestive disease, neurosciences, musculoskeletal, and obstetrics services; outpatient services, including physical therapy; cardiothoracic surgery, complex spinal surgery, neonatal intensive care, and neurosurgery services; quaternary care services in heart and kidney transplants; and limb-salvaging vascular procedure, acute level 1 trauma, intravascular stroke care, minimally invasive cardiac valve replacement, imaging, and telemedicine access services. In addition, it operates ambulatory surgery and urgent care centers, imaging centers, surgical hospitals, off-campus emergency departments, and micro-hospitals; and offers healthcare business process services in the areas of hospital and physician revenue cycle management, patient communications and engagement support, and value-based care solutions to hospitals, health systems, physician practices, employers, and other customers. As of February 09, 2022, the company operated 60 hospitals; and approximately 550 other healthcare facilities, including surgical hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, urgent care and imaging centers, and other care sites and clinics. Tenet Healthcare Corporation was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyTenet Healthcare generates revenue primarily through the provision of healthcare services, which includes patient care services in its hospitals, surgical centers, and outpatient facilities. The company earns money from patient admissions, surgeries, diagnostic tests, and ancillary services, billed primarily through third-party payers such as Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurance companies. Key revenue streams include inpatient and outpatient services, which account for a significant portion of their earnings. Additionally, Tenet has partnerships with various healthcare organizations and payers that contribute to its revenue, as well as investments in value-based care initiatives that align reimbursement with patient outcomes. The company's ability to manage operational efficiency and cost structures also plays a crucial role in its overall profitability.

Tenet Healthcare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Hospitals
Total Hospitals
Indicates the number of hospitals operated, reflecting the scale of operations and market presence. A larger network can drive higher revenue and provide competitive advantages in negotiating with insurers and suppliers.
Chart InsightsTenet Healthcare's total number of hospitals has decreased significantly since 2020, with a notable drop in 2024. Despite this reduction, the company has reported strong financial performance in early 2025, with robust revenue and EBITDA growth. The strategic focus on ambulatory space M&A and operational excellence is likely compensating for the reduced hospital count. However, uncertainties in healthcare policy, particularly around Medicaid, could pose challenges. The company's cautious approach to 2025 guidance reflects these uncertainties, despite a promising start to the fiscal year.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tenet Healthcare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased strong financial performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, particularly in the USPI and hospital segments. The expansion of the share repurchase program and raised full-year guidance further underscore the company's robust financial health. However, a slight reduction in volume guidance and a decrease in USPI case volumes were noted as potential areas of concern. Despite these issues, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Net operating revenues for Q2 2025 were $5.3 billion with a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.121 billion, representing a 19% growth over Q2 2024. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 280 basis points to 21.3%.
USPI Performance
USPI's adjusted EBITDA grew 11% year-over-year with a margin of 39.2%. Same facility revenues increased by 7.7% with a 12.6% growth in total joint replacements in ASCs.
Hospital Segment Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for the hospital segment grew 25% to $623 million in Q2 2025, with margins up 300 basis points to 15.6%. Same hospital inpatient admissions increased by 1.6%.
Share Repurchase Program Expansion
$1.1 billion was deployed to repurchase 7.2 million shares in H1 2025. The board authorized an additional $1.5 billion increase to the share repurchase program.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised by $395 million to a range of $4.4 to $4.54 billion, reflecting a 12% growth over 2024.
Negative Updates
Volume Guidance Reduction
Guidance for same hospital admissions growth was lowered by 50 basis points to a range of 1.5% to 2.5% for 2025, indicating a slight deceleration in expected volume growth.
USPI Case Volume Decline
USPI case volumes decreased by 0.6%, reflecting a shift towards higher acuity services which may reduce overall case volume.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Tenet Healthcare Corporation reported robust financial performance with net operating revenues reaching $5.3 billion and a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.121 billion, marking a 19% increase over the previous year. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 280 basis points to 21.3%, driven by efficient operations and strong same-store growth. USPI, a key segment, posted an 11% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $498 million, supported by a 7.7% rise in same facility revenues. The hospital segment also showed strength, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 25% to $623 million, aided by a 1.6% rise in same-store admissions and a 5.2% rise in revenue per adjusted admission. Looking forward, Tenet raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $4.4 to $4.54 billion, reflecting a $395 million increase at the midpoint, attributed to fundamental business strength and anticipated growth. Additionally, their cash flow generation remains strong, with $743 million of free cash flow in the second quarter and cash on hand totaling $2.6 billion as of June 30, 2025. The board has authorized a $1.5 billion increase in the share repurchase program, underscoring confidence in continued financial flexibility and shareholder value creation.

Tenet Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tenet Healthcare reports stable revenue and strong return on equity, yet faces decreased profitability and high leverage risks. Improved cash flow generation is a positive, but managing debt remains crucial.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Tenet Healthcare shows a stable revenue stream with a slight increase from $20.65B to $20.69B TTM. Gross profit margins are healthy at approximately 47.81% for TTM. The net profit margin, however, has decreased to 7.17% from the previous annual figure of 15.49%, indicating a significant drop in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.51 in TTM, which indicates a significant reliance on leverage. The equity ratio is low at around 13.06%, suggesting potential financial risk if not managed effectively. However, return on equity is strong at 39.59%, indicating effective utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow has grown from $1.12B to $1.56B, an increase of 39.64%, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.66 indicates solid cash generation relative to accounting profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05 shows slightly lower cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.69B20.66B20.55B19.17B19.48B17.64B
Gross Profit9.89B11.86B16.96B15.90B16.16B14.66B
EBITDA4.62B6.89B3.39B3.33B3.42B2.43B
Net Income1.48B3.20B611.00M1.00B1.48B768.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.70B28.94B28.31B27.16B27.58B27.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.63B3.02B1.23B858.00M2.36B2.45B
Total Debt13.18B13.17B15.00B15.08B15.65B15.72B
Total Liabilities20.40B20.39B22.80B22.55B23.32B24.22B
Stockholders Equity3.75B4.17B1.61B1.14B1.03B28.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.56B1.12B1.62B321.00M910.00M2.87B
Operating Cash Flow2.46B2.05B2.37B1.08B1.57B3.41B
Investing Cash Flow-267.00M3.25B-969.00M-808.00M-714.00M-1.61B
Financing Cash Flow-2.45B-3.51B-1.03B-1.78B-936.00M385.00M

Tenet Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price172.02
Price Trends
50DMA
167.28
Positive
100DMA
155.06
Positive
200DMA
146.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.19
Negative
RSI
59.70
Neutral
STOCH
91.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 172.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 162.31, above the 50-day MA of 167.28, and above the 200-day MA of 146.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for THC.

Tenet Healthcare Risk Analysis

Tenet Healthcare disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenet Healthcare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenet Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$11.36B9.4018.66%0.45%9.61%39.65%
73
Outperform
$12.13B23.5425.35%0.56%11.80%30.02%
70
Outperform
$15.20B11.0141.09%-1.09%-43.10%
70
Outperform
$92.61B16.63-230.22%0.70%6.37%11.25%
66
Neutral
$14.64B20.444.72%3.14%1.11%25.84%
61
Neutral
$9.68B13.30635.30%5.09%7.85%
51
Neutral
$7.70B-0.29-46.01%2.24%23.07%-0.65%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THC
Tenet Healthcare
172.02
15.84
10.14%
DVA
DaVita
135.38
-16.79
-11.03%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
25.08
6.35
33.90%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
395.79
24.56
6.62%
EHC
Encompass Health
120.38
32.37
36.78%
UHS
Universal Health
178.47
-48.13
-21.24%

Tenet Healthcare Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tenet Healthcare Appoints Lisa Y. Foo as COO
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Tenet Healthcare Corporation announced the promotion of Lisa Y. Foo to the newly created position of Chief Operating Officer, effective immediately. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s operational leadership and potentially strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (THC) stock is a Buy with a $136.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenet Healthcare stock, see the THC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tenet Healthcare Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Tenet Healthcare Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key decisions were made. Shareholders elected directors to the board, approved executive compensation, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accountants for 2025. However, a proposal for a report on improving maternal health outcomes was not approved, indicating a lack of consensus on this issue among shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (THC) stock is a Buy with a $184.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenet Healthcare stock, see the THC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025