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Tenet Healthcare Corp. (THC)
NYSE:THC
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Tenet Healthcare (THC) AI Stock Analysis

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THC

Tenet Healthcare

(NYSE:THC)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$192.00
▼(-2.36% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong TTM growth and cash generation) and a constructive earnings-call outlook with reaffirmed guidance and strong liquidity/capital returns. These positives are moderated by weak technicals (downtrend across major moving averages with negative MACD) and operational/policy headwinds cited on the call (exchange mix pressure, payer frictions, and volume softness).
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for M&A, buybacks, and debt paydown. Strong cash conversion improves resilience to reimbursement timing and working-capital swings, enabling capital allocation flexibility and lowering refinancing dependence over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Exchange enrollment headwind
Declining exchange enrollments reduce higher-rate commercial-like volumes and depress revenue per admission. This structural payer-mix shift can persist through enrollment cycles, pressuring revenue and margin sustainability and complicating multi-quarter forecasting for admissions and realized reimbursement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for M&A, buybacks, and debt paydown. Strong cash conversion improves resilience to reimbursement timing and working-capital swings, enabling capital allocation flexibility and lowering refinancing dependence over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Tenet Healthcare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down income from different business areas, offering insight into which segments are driving growth and profitability. This can reveal strategic focus areas and potential vulnerabilities in the business model.
Chart InsightsAmbulatory/ASC revenue has been the fastest-growing mix-shift, increasingly underpinning Tenet’s margin expansion and validating management’s push into USPI (ongoing M&A and de novos). Conifer and intersegment eliminations drop out of reported revenue after late‑2023—cleaning up comparability and accelerating cash but reducing headline top line. Hospital revenue is steadier but more volatile and exposed to the ~20% exchange enrollment risk and only modest admission growth, meaning hospital EBITDA could undercut consolidated gains even as per‑admission revenue improves.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tenet Healthcare (THC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenet Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tenet Healthcare Corporation operates as a diversified healthcare services company. The company operates in three segments: Hospital Operations and Other, Ambulatory Care, and Conifer. Its general hospitals offer acute care services, operating and...
How the Company Makes Money
Tenet Healthcare makes money primarily by delivering healthcare services and collecting reimbursement from third-party payers and patients. A major revenue stream comes from its hospital operations, where it earns service revenue for inpatient adm...

Tenet Healthcare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid financial and operational performance in Q1 — strong revenue, EBITDA, cash generation, USPI M&A activity, and demonstrated productivity/AI gains — while acknowledging notable near-term headwinds from exchange enrollment declines, lower respiratory volumes, payer disputes and some market-specific Medicaid softness. Management beat expectations for the quarter, maintained financial discipline (deleveraging and share repurchases), and reaffirmed full-year guidance while signaling they will monitor exchange effectuation and regulatory developments. Overall, positive operational momentum and financial strength outweighed the headwinds described.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line and Profitability
Reported Q1 2026 net operating revenues of $5.4 billion and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.162 billion, yielding an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.6%.
Negative Updates
Exchange Enrollment and Payer Mix Pressure
Same-store exchange admissions were down ~10% YoY; exchange revenues represented ~6% of consolidated revenues in Q1, a ~9% decline from Q1 2025. Management expects exchange-related headwinds of roughly $250 million for 2026 (full year).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line and Profitability
Reported Q1 2026 net operating revenues of $5.4 billion and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.162 billion, yielding an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.6%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance and said it will not update the outlook now despite Q1 outperformance, noting normalized 2026 adjusted EBITDA is expected to grow about 10% at the midpoint after excluding non‑recurring 2025 items and the premium tax credit expiration headwind; they expect Q2 consolidated adjusted EBITDA to be 24–25% of full‑year consolidated adjusted EBITDA at the midpoint (USPI also 24–25% of its full‑year EBITDA), reminded investors that Q1 represented ~22% of USPI’s full‑year EBITDA and 27.5% of Hospital full‑year EBITDA, and reaffirmed adjusted free cash flow after NCI of $1.6–$1.83 billion (which includes ~ $150 million of Conifer‑related tax payments; excluding that tax payment yields a midpoint of about $1.865 billion); capital priorities include a $250 million annual USPI M&A target (already invested $125 million in Q1 for seven ASC acquisitions), continued share repurchases (1.35 million shares for $318 million in Q1), potential debt retirement/refinancing, and the company cites $2.97 billion cash on hand, no draws on the credit facility, leverage of 2.24x EBITDA (2.83x EBITDA less NCI) and no significant maturities until late 2027.

Tenet Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are trending positively with sharp TTM revenue growth, solid profitability, and strong operating/free cash flow. Offsetting strengths are earnings volatility versus the 2024 peak and some balance-sheet interpretability risk given the unusual step-change in reported debt despite a longer history of higher leverage.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.45B21.31B20.66B20.55B19.17B19.48B
Gross Profit9.18B17.53B8.21B7.80B7.05B7.27B
EBITDA4.40B4.48B6.89B3.39B3.08B3.67B
Net Income1.70B1.41B3.20B611.00M411.00M914.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.20B29.68B28.94B28.31B27.16B27.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.97B2.88B3.02B1.23B858.00M2.36B
Total Debt13.21B13.17B14.33B15.00B15.08B15.65B
Total Liabilities22.35B20.70B20.39B22.80B22.55B23.32B
Stockholders Equity4.81B4.22B4.17B1.61B1.14B1.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.35B2.53B1.12B1.62B321.00M910.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.37B3.54B2.05B2.37B1.08B1.57B
Investing Cash Flow-1.41B-1.27B3.43B-969.00M-808.00M-714.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.99B-2.40B-3.69B-1.03B-1.78B-936.00M

Tenet Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price196.64
Price Trends
50DMA
196.34
Negative
100DMA
203.37
Negative
200DMA
198.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
48.52
Neutral
STOCH
55.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 196.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 188.88, above the 50-day MA of 196.34, and below the 200-day MA of 198.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for THC.

Tenet Healthcare Risk Analysis

Tenet Healthcare disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenet Healthcare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenet Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$10.53B12.3325.35%0.65%10.05%23.59%
68
Neutral
$12.81B13.11-133.12%6.68%2.79%
67
Neutral
$16.58B5.8340.55%4.56%27.14%
64
Neutral
$10.24B7.8420.93%0.35%10.42%33.92%
60
Neutral
$12.85B22.857.16%3.29%7.24%67.43%
58
Neutral
$93.79B16.55-123.20%0.61%6.71%29.32%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THC
Tenet Healthcare
191.40
28.57
17.55%
DVA
DaVita
194.61
53.76
38.17%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
22.10
-7.14
-24.42%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
404.69
25.43
6.71%
EHC
Encompass Health
104.76
-14.30
-12.01%
UHS
Universal Health
166.45
-22.95
-12.12%

Tenet Healthcare Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Tenet Healthcare Announces CIO Retirement and Transition Plan
Neutral
Apr 10, 2026
On April 9, 2026, Tenet Healthcare announced that Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer Paola Arbour will retire from her CIO role effective December 31, 2026, and then remain with the company on a part-time, non-executive basis t...
Executive/Board Changes
Tenet Healthcare announces new senior vice president controller
Positive
Mar 31, 2026
Tenet Healthcare has adjusted the retirement timeline for its Senior Vice President and Controller, R. Scott Ramsey, who will now retire effective April 30, 2026, instead of March 31, 2026, and remain employed on a part-time basis through March 31...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026