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Tenet Healthcare (THC)
NYSE:THC
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Tenet Healthcare (THC) AI Stock Analysis

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THC

Tenet Healthcare

(NYSE:THC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$313.00
▲(34.22% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/25/26
The score is driven primarily by strong operating results and cash generation alongside raised full-year guidance. Valuation is also supportive with a low P/E. Offsetting these positives are balance-sheet leverage risk and some near-term technical stretch (RSI > 70), plus operational/regulatory headwinds highlighted on the earnings call (exchange enrollment pressure and reimbursement uncertainty).
Positive Factors
Raised 2026 Guidance
Higher full-year revenue and EBITDA targets reflect operating outperformance across hospital and ambulatory segments. The increased outlook supports expectations for sustained earnings momentum over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Exchange Payer Pressure
Persistent exchange enrollment declines can reduce patient volumes and revenue, particularly in exposed states. Continued payer-mix deterioration could pressure hospital utilization and offset gains from pricing, acuity and cost actions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Raised 2026 Guidance
Higher full-year revenue and EBITDA targets reflect operating outperformance across hospital and ambulatory segments. The increased outlook supports expectations for sustained earnings momentum over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Tenet Healthcare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Hospitals
Total Hospitals
Indicates the number of hospitals operated, reflecting the scale of operations and market presence. A larger network can drive higher revenue and provide competitive advantages in negotiating with insurers and suppliers.
Chart InsightsTenet has materially pared its hospital footprint recently while aggressively building higher‑margin outpatient/ASC capacity (USPI) and extracting cash via Conifer and buybacks; that explains a falling hospital count even as hospital EBITDA and margins improved. The strategy boosts profitability per remaining site but concentrates operational and policy risk—making results more sensitive to admission volumes and the looming exchange premium tax‑credit headwind that management says will primarily hit hospitals.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tenet Healthcare (THC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenet Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tenet Healthcare Corporation operates as a broad-ranging provider of health solutions. The company organizes its operations across three main divisions: Hospital Operations and Other, Ambulatory Care, and Conifer. Within its network of acute care ...
How the Company Makes Money
Tenet primarily makes money by providing healthcare services that are reimbursed by third-party payors and patients. Its main revenue streams include: (1) Hospital operations: Revenue is generated from inpatient admissions, emergency department vi...

Tenet Healthcare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid operational and financial outperformance: strong revenue and EBITDA growth, a robust EPS increase, raised full-year guidance, substantial free cash flow, improved leverage and active capital deployment (notably large share repurchases and anticipated USPI M&A). These positives were offset by material payer mix challenges—chiefly a significant decline in exchange enrollment and revenues, localized state impacts, modest ASC case volume weakness, and regulatory/reimbursement uncertainty. Management emphasized that expense actions, technology and clinical improvements and portfolio positioning have thus far mitigated the headwinds and supported an upward revision to guidance.
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Outperformance
Second quarter net operating revenues of $5.6 billion and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.304 billion, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.2% and consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth of 16.3% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Exchange Enrollment and Revenue Declines
Exchange revenues declined ~17% YoY in Q2 2026 (exchange admissions down ~13.5%), representing about 5.5% of consolidated net operating revenues and creating roughly a $65 million revenue headwind in Q2; highest impacts observed in Florida, Arizona, Michigan, South Carolina and Texas.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue and EBITDA Outperformance
Second quarter net operating revenues of $5.6 billion and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.304 billion, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.2% and consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth of 16.3% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tenet raised its 2026 outlook, now forecasting consolidated net operating revenues of $21.9B–$22.5B (≈+$300M at the midpoint) and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $4.83B–$5.03B (≈+$295M at the midpoint), driven by roughly $100M of H1 fundamental outperformance plus an expected additional $60M in H2; segment guidance calls for USPI adjusted EBITDA of $2.16B–$2.22B and hospital adjusted EBITDA of $2.67B–$2.81B (≈+$285M midpoint increase), with an expected $140M contribution from approved supplemental Medicaid programs (about $20M in H2); Tenet now expects >$300M of full‑year M&A spend, Q3 consolidated adjusted EBITDA to be ~23%–24% of full‑year EBITDA (at the midpoint) and Q3 USPI EBITDA to be ~24%–25% of full‑year USPI EBITDA (at the midpoint), and it raised adjusted free cash flow after NCI to $1.825B–$2.055B (≈+$225M midpoint), which excluding ~$150M of Conifer‑related tax payments implies roughly $2.1B at the midpoint.

Tenet Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM operating momentum (revenue up ~166%) with solid profitability (~10.3% net margin; ~19.1% EBIT margin) and robust cash generation (TTM OCF ~$4.02B; FCF ~$3.02B). Offsetting this, leverage remains high (TTM debt-to-equity ~2.84x; total debt ~$13.25B) and profitability/cash conversion show variability (FCF down ~-9.7% TTM; OCF/net income ~0.72x).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.81B21.31B20.66B20.55B19.17B19.48B
Gross Profit5.86B17.53B8.21B7.80B7.05B7.27B
EBITDA5.06B4.48B6.89B3.39B3.08B3.67B
Net Income2.24B1.41B3.20B611.00M411.00M914.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.68B29.68B28.94B28.31B27.16B27.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.17B2.88B3.02B1.23B858.00M2.36B
Total Debt13.25B13.17B14.33B15.00B15.08B15.65B
Total Liabilities21.98B20.70B20.39B22.80B22.55B23.32B
Stockholders Equity4.66B4.22B4.17B1.61B1.14B1.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.02B2.53B1.12B1.62B321.00M910.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.01B3.54B2.05B2.37B1.08B1.57B
Investing Cash Flow-1.29B-1.27B3.43B-969.00M-808.00M-714.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.18B-2.40B-3.69B-1.03B-1.78B-936.00M

Tenet Healthcare Risk Analysis

Tenet Healthcare disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenet Healthcare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenet Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$11.87B19.3425.01%0.67%9.47%19.85%
73
Outperform
$22.61B10.7550.63%5.43%65.86%
71
Outperform
$10.44B7.1920.66%0.51%10.05%28.53%
65
Neutral
$12.46B12.097.21%3.52%6.76%57.96%
60
Neutral
$11.09B14.95-123.56%6.45%16.30%
60
Neutral
$92.92B14.33-112.87%0.78%7.31%25.54%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THC
Tenet Healthcare
280.77
100.54
55.78%
DVA
DaVita
173.82
36.49
26.57%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
23.43
-1.17
-4.76%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
429.19
29.13
7.28%
EHC
Encompass Health
120.31
-1.01
-0.83%
UHS
Universal Health
177.26
-5.84
-3.19%

Tenet Healthcare Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tenet Healthcare Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 29, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 27, 2026, Tenet Healthcare shareholders elected all nominated directors to the board, with each to serve until the next annual meeting or until a successor is chosen. The vote tallies showed s...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2026