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DaVita Inc. (DVA)
:DVA
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DaVita (DVA) AI Stock Analysis

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DVA

DaVita

(NYSE:DVA)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$142.00
▲(9.04% Upside)
DaVita's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong financial performance and reasonable valuation, tempered by technical challenges and operational risks highlighted in the earnings call. The company's strategic initiatives and reaffirmed guidance provide a positive outlook, but high financial leverage and declining treatment volumes remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency Initiative
The strategic initiative to enhance operational efficiency is expected to strengthen DaVita's market position by streamlining processes and improving patient outcomes, which can lead to long-term competitive advantages in the healthcare sector.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management and share repurchases indicate robust cash generation ability, providing financial flexibility for strategic investments and returning value to shareholders over the long term.
Reaffirmed Financial Guidance
Reaffirming financial guidance despite challenges demonstrates management's confidence in achieving long-term growth targets, reflecting strong business fundamentals and strategic planning.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
High financial leverage and negative equity position pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Declining Treatment Volumes
Declining treatment volumes can impact revenue growth and market share, challenging DaVita's ability to maintain its leadership position in the dialysis services industry over the long term.
Decreasing Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins indicate pressure on operational efficiency and cost management, which could affect long-term profitability and competitiveness if not addressed.

DaVita (DVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DaVita Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also provides outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis services; owns clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers. In addition, the company provides disease management services to 16,000 patients in risk-based integrated care arrangements and 7,000 patients in other integrated care arrangements; vascular access services; clinical research programs; physician services; and comprehensive kidney care services. As of December 31, 2021, it provided dialysis and administrative services in the United States through a network of 2,815 outpatient dialysis centers serving approximately 203,100 patients; and operated 339 outpatient dialysis centers located in 10 countries outside of the United States serving approximately 39,900 patients. Further, the company provides acute inpatient dialysis services in approximately 850 hospitals and related laboratory services in the United States. The company was formerly known as DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. and changed its name to DaVita Inc. in September 2016. DaVita Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaVita generates revenue primarily through its dialysis services, which are reimbursed by government programs like Medicare and Medicaid, as well as private insurance providers. The company earns money from both in-center and home dialysis treatments, with the majority of its revenue coming from the treatment of patients with ESRD. Key revenue streams include patient care services, ancillary services, and management services provided to healthcare facilities. Additionally, DaVita has formed partnerships with healthcare providers and payers to enhance care coordination and improve patient outcomes, which can contribute to its earnings. The company's focus on operational efficiency and patient-centered care also plays a critical role in sustaining its financial performance.

DaVita Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

DaVita Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company that is successfully managing financial performance and operational challenges despite external setbacks. Highlights included strong cost management and reaffirmation of financial guidance. However, challenges such as the impact of a cyber incident, declining treatment volumes, and elevated mortality rates were notable concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Financial Performance
Adjusted operating income and adjusted earnings per share came in slightly ahead of expectations, with adjusted operating income at $551 million and adjusted earnings per share at $2.95.
Cost Management Success
Patient care costs per treatment declined by approximately $3.50 sequentially, primarily due to improved labor productivity and higher treatment count compared to Q1.
Strong Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Free cash flow was $157 million, and the company repurchased 3.1 million shares in Q2, with an additional 2.7 million shares repurchased since the end of the quarter.
Resilience Amid Cyber Incident
Despite the cyber incident, the company maintained uninterrupted patient care and expects limited ongoing effects on adjusted results.
Reaffirmed Guidance
The company reaffirmed its guidance for adjusted operating income of $2.01 billion to $2.16 billion and adjusted earnings per share range of $10.20 to $11.30.
Negative Updates
Cyber Incident Impact
The cyber incident led to approximately $13 million in discrete costs and negatively impacted treatment volume and revenue per treatment.
Treatment Volume Decline
U.S. treatments per day declined 1.1% versus the second quarter of 2024, and full-year treatment volume is now expected to decline 75 to 100 basis points.
Missed Treatment Rate Increase
The missed treatment rate was higher than expected, primarily due to the cyber incident, leading to revised expectations for the full year.
Mortality Rate Concerns
Mortality remains elevated compared to pre-COVID levels, impacting overall treatment volume.
Revenue Per Treatment Challenges
Revenue per treatment increase was below expectations, primarily related to the cyber incident and lower dispensing volumes of phosphate binders.
Company Guidance
During the DaVita Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reaffirmed its guidance for adjusted operating income (OI) of $2.01 billion to $2.16 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $10.20 to $11.30, despite the impact of a cyber incident. The call detailed that adjusted operating income for the quarter was $551 million, with adjusted EPS at $2.95, and free cash flow at $157 million. DaVita reported a decline in U.S. treatments per day by 1.1% compared to the second quarter of 2024, attributing this to a higher-than-expected missed treatment rate, primarily driven by the cyber incident. However, the company highlighted strong patient care cost management, which offset the impact of lower treatment volumes and revenue per treatment, with patient care costs per treatment declining by approximately $3.50 sequentially. Despite challenges, DaVita remains optimistic about achieving its long-term growth targets and emphasized ongoing investments in systems and IT to drive future efficiencies.

DaVita Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DaVita shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with declining profit margins and high financial leverage. The cash flow position is stable, though recent declines in free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
DaVita's income statement shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a TTM growth rate of 1.49%. However, there is a decline in gross profit margin from 32.91% in 2024 to 24.05% in TTM. Net profit margin has also decreased slightly from 7.31% to 6.35% in the same period. Despite these declines, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively stable, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a negative equity position in TTM, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -33.02. This high leverage poses a risk, as evidenced by the negative return on equity of -25.95%. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in free cash flow growth of -26.76% in TTM, reflecting potential cash flow challenges. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.63, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.16B12.82B12.14B11.61B11.62B11.55B
Gross Profit4.28B4.22B3.82B3.40B3.65B3.56B
EBITDA2.71B2.72B2.32B2.06B2.48B2.25B
Net Income836.27M936.34M691.53M560.40M978.45M773.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.49B17.29B16.89B16.93B17.12B16.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments739.43M846.00M391.67M321.78M484.21M345.06M
Total Debt12.82B12.07B11.12B11.82B11.98B11.19B
Total Liabilities15.94B15.19B14.15B14.70B14.75B14.09B
Stockholders Equity-369.63M121.12M1.06B712.33M755.51M1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.29B1.47B1.49B961.14M1.29B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow1.86B2.02B2.06B1.56B1.93B1.98B
Investing Cash Flow-623.35M-771.43M-771.80M-630.35M-784.73M-825.37M
Financing Cash Flow-951.63M-816.94M-1.17B-1.12B-1.08B-1.85B

DaVita Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price130.23
Price Trends
50DMA
137.73
Negative
100DMA
139.01
Negative
200DMA
146.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.90
Positive
RSI
35.56
Neutral
STOCH
5.25
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 130.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 135.40, below the 50-day MA of 137.73, and below the 200-day MA of 146.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DVA.

DaVita Risk Analysis

DaVita disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DaVita reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DaVita Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
11.92B9.8717.94%0.43%9.61%39.65%
75
Outperform
16.21B12.1839.58%-1.09%-43.10%
73
Outperform
14.85B20.843.69%3.09%1.11%25.84%
73
Outperform
12.52B24.3017.23%0.54%11.80%30.02%
71
Outperform
6.66B23.5124.23%0.46%7.55%-1.52%
61
Neutral
$9.15B12.80635.30%5.09%7.85%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVA
DaVita
130.23
-32.91
-20.17%
CHE
Chemed
458.25
-124.65
-21.38%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
25.46
5.13
25.23%
EHC
Encompass Health
125.33
33.88
37.05%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
190.29
23.09
13.81%
UHS
Universal Health
188.11
-48.66
-20.55%

DaVita Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
DaVita Announces Strategic Initiative for Operational Efficiency
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

DaVita has announced a strategic initiative aimed at enhancing its operational efficiency and improving patient care. This move is expected to strengthen DaVita’s position in the healthcare industry by streamlining its processes and potentially leading to better outcomes for stakeholders.

Private Placements and Financing
DaVita Amends Credit Agreement with $250M Loan
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 17, 2025, DaVita Inc. entered into a Seventh Amendment to its Credit Agreement, which involves a repricing of its senior secured term loan facility and an incremental borrowing of $250 million. The proceeds from this borrowing were used to repay a portion of its outstanding senior secured term loans, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DaVita Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, DaVita Inc. held its virtual 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 90% of its outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected nine directors to the board, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and approved the executive officer compensation on an advisory basis.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025