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DaVita (DVA)
NYSE:DVA

DaVita (DVA) AI Stock Analysis

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DVA

DaVita

(NYSE:DVA)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$122.00
▲(10.81% Upside)
DaVita's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company's moderate revenue growth and strong cash flow are offset by significant challenges in profitability and financial stability. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, further impacting the score. Valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield is a drawback. The earnings call provides a balanced view, with strategic investments highlighted but also noting operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates DaVita's ability to efficiently convert revenue into cash, supporting operational needs and strategic investments.
Investment in Technology
Investments in technology and AI enhance patient care and operational efficiency, positioning DaVita for long-term cost savings and competitive advantage.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships expand DaVita's reach and improve care coordination, contributing to revenue stability and growth through enhanced reimbursement rates.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity raise concerns about financial stability, potentially limiting DaVita's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Declining Profit Margins
Declining profit margins indicate pressure on cost management, which can affect profitability and limit resources for reinvestment and growth.
Challenges with Integrated Kidney Care
Operational losses in Integrated Kidney Care highlight variability in revenue recognition, impacting DaVita's ability to stabilize and grow this segment.

DaVita (DVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DaVita Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also provides outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis services; owns clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers. In addition, the company provides disease management services to 16,000 patients in risk-based integrated care arrangements and 7,000 patients in other integrated care arrangements; vascular access services; clinical research programs; physician services; and comprehensive kidney care services. As of December 31, 2021, it provided dialysis and administrative services in the United States through a network of 2,815 outpatient dialysis centers serving approximately 203,100 patients; and operated 339 outpatient dialysis centers located in 10 countries outside of the United States serving approximately 39,900 patients. Further, the company provides acute inpatient dialysis services in approximately 850 hospitals and related laboratory services in the United States. The company was formerly known as DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. and changed its name to DaVita Inc. in September 2016. DaVita Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaVita generates revenue primarily through its dialysis services, which are reimbursed by Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial insurance providers. The majority of its revenue comes from providing in-center hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis treatments to patients with kidney disease. Additionally, DaVita earns income from its integrated care services, where it manages the overall care of patients with chronic kidney disease. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and payers, allowing it to expand its reach and improve care coordination. These partnerships often enhance reimbursement rates and provide access to a larger patient base, contributing significantly to DaVita's earnings.

DaVita Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down income across different business areas, showing where the company is earning the most and identifying growth or risk areas.
Chart InsightsDaVita's Dialysis and Ancillary Services segments show robust growth, with Ancillary Services accelerating significantly in recent quarters. Despite a cyber incident impacting treatment volumes, strong cost management has mitigated revenue per treatment challenges. The company remains optimistic about long-term growth, supported by strategic investments in IT and systems. The reaffirmed financial guidance underscores resilience, although the cyber incident and elevated mortality rates pose ongoing risks. Investors should watch for how DaVita navigates these challenges while maintaining its growth trajectory.
Data provided by:The Fly

DaVita Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with consistent financial performance and strategic investments in technology and clinical research as highlights. However, challenges such as a decline in treatment volumes and issues with integrated kidney care present notable lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Financial Performance
Third quarter adjusted operating income was $517 million, and adjusted earnings per share were $2.51, consistent with internal expectations.
Strong Clinical Research Contributions
DaVita Clinical Research maintains over 250 research sites, has conducted more than 500 clinical trials, and contributed to the FDA approval of dozens of ESKD drugs.
Investment in Technology and Innovation
Continued investments in technology infrastructure, including AI solutions, to improve clinical care and drive long-term cost efficiencies.
Share Repurchase Program
Year-to-date repurchases of approximately 10 million shares, representing about $1.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Treatment Volume
U.S. treatment volume was down approximately 1.5% year-over-year, impacted by factors like Hurricane Helene and a severe flu season.
Challenges with Integrated Kidney Care
Q3 adjusted operating loss for Integrated Kidney Care was $21 million, with variability in timing and revenue recognition.
Day Mix and Missed Treatment Rate
Volume was affected by an unfavorable day mix and elevated missed treatment rates.
Company Guidance
During the DaVita Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, anticipating adjusted operating income between $2.035 billion and $2.135 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $10.35 to $11.15. In Q3, DaVita reported adjusted operating income of $517 million and adjusted earnings per share of $2.51. The U.S. treatment volume was down approximately 1.5% year-over-year, attributed to factors like Hurricane Helene, a severe flu season, and a cyber incident. Despite these challenges, DaVita emphasized ongoing investments in technology infrastructure and AI to enhance patient care and operational efficiency. Looking ahead to 2026, the company highlighted several swing factors, including volume recovery, payer mix, and the timing of Integrated Kidney Care (IKC) revenue, as they await the final 2024 results from the government CKCC program.

DaVita Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DaVita shows moderate revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, but faces significant challenges in profitability and financial stability. The high leverage and negative equity raise concerns about long-term sustainability. While cash flow metrics are relatively strong, the declining margins and negative equity position highlight the need for strategic financial management.
Income Statement
DaVita's income statement shows a stable revenue growth trend with a TTM growth rate of 1.19%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from 32.91% in 2024 to 23.81% in TTM, indicating pressure on cost management. The net profit margin has also declined to 5.80% in TTM from 7.31% in 2024, reflecting reduced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have similarly contracted, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity in TTM, leading to an undefined debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates high leverage and potential financial instability. The return on equity has turned negative, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting a risky capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth at 30.5% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, pointing to potential challenges in maintaining cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.32B12.82B12.14B11.61B11.62B11.55B
Gross Profit4.26B4.22B3.82B3.40B3.65B3.56B
EBITDA2.65B2.72B2.32B2.06B2.48B2.25B
Net Income771.91M936.34M691.53M560.40M978.45M773.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.74B17.29B16.89B16.93B17.12B16.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments736.48M846.00M391.67M321.78M484.21M345.06M
Total Debt14.88B12.07B11.12B11.82B11.98B11.19B
Total Liabilities16.22B15.19B14.15B14.70B14.75B14.09B
Stockholders Equity-571.87M121.12M1.06B712.33M755.51M1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.29B1.47B1.49B961.14M1.29B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow1.89B2.02B2.06B1.56B1.93B1.98B
Investing Cash Flow-739.80M-771.43M-771.80M-630.35M-784.73M-825.37M
Financing Cash Flow-1.53B-816.94M-1.17B-1.12B-1.08B-1.85B

DaVita Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price110.10
Price Trends
50DMA
117.62
Negative
100DMA
124.61
Negative
200DMA
132.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.02
Positive
RSI
33.35
Neutral
STOCH
33.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 110.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.90, below the 50-day MA of 117.62, and below the 200-day MA of 132.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DVA.

DaVita Risk Analysis

DaVita disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DaVita reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DaVita Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$10.07B30.9416.98%0.14%18.61%35.76%
74
Outperform
$17.68B13.6834.51%-0.56%-53.50%
70
Neutral
$107.72B18.240.61%6.82%15.82%
65
Neutral
$13.38B16.735.31%3.29%4.09%13.17%
64
Neutral
$10.36B19.4524.94%0.65%11.13%27.53%
59
Neutral
$7.87B11.345.14%4.37%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVA
DaVita
110.10
-51.90
-32.04%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
23.84
1.62
7.29%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
474.32
170.81
56.28%
EHC
Encompass Health
102.76
10.29
11.13%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
199.61
71.98
56.40%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
176.73
43.40
32.55%

DaVita Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
DaVita Amends Credit Agreement for $3.5 Billion Loan
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 24, 2025, DaVita Inc. amended its Credit Agreement to establish new secured term loan and revolving credit facilities totaling up to $3.5 billion. This financial restructuring aims to refinance existing debt and support general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing DaVita’s financial flexibility and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVA) stock is a Hold with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DaVita stock, see the DVA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025