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DaVita (DVA)
NYSE:DVA
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DaVita (DVA) AI Stock Analysis

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DVA

DaVita

(NYSE:DVA)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$124.00
▲(4.18% Upside)
DaVita's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and valuation. While the company shows strong cash flow and is undervalued, it faces significant challenges in profitability and financial stability. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, adding to the cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates DaVita's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth, enhancing long-term financial health.
Investment in Technology
Investments in technology and AI can enhance patient care and operational efficiency, providing a competitive edge and supporting future growth.
Clinical Research Contributions
Strong clinical research capabilities enhance DaVita's reputation and ability to innovate, potentially leading to new treatment options and revenue streams.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity raise concerns about financial stability, potentially limiting DaVita's ability to weather economic downturns.
Decline in Treatment Volume
A decline in treatment volume can impact revenue growth and profitability, posing a risk to DaVita's market position and financial performance.
Profitability Challenges
Decreasing profit margins indicate cost management issues, which could affect DaVita's ability to maintain profitability and invest in future growth.

DaVita (DVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DaVita Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also provides outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis services; owns clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers. In addition, the company provides disease management services to 16,000 patients in risk-based integrated care arrangements and 7,000 patients in other integrated care arrangements; vascular access services; clinical research programs; physician services; and comprehensive kidney care services. As of December 31, 2021, it provided dialysis and administrative services in the United States through a network of 2,815 outpatient dialysis centers serving approximately 203,100 patients; and operated 339 outpatient dialysis centers located in 10 countries outside of the United States serving approximately 39,900 patients. Further, the company provides acute inpatient dialysis services in approximately 850 hospitals and related laboratory services in the United States. The company was formerly known as DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. and changed its name to DaVita Inc. in September 2016. DaVita Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaVita generates revenue primarily through its dialysis services, which are reimbursed by government programs like Medicare and Medicaid, as well as private insurance providers. The company earns money from both in-center and home dialysis treatments, with the majority of its revenue coming from the treatment of patients with ESRD. Key revenue streams include patient care services, ancillary services, and management services provided to healthcare facilities. Additionally, DaVita has formed partnerships with healthcare providers and payers to enhance care coordination and improve patient outcomes, which can contribute to its earnings. The company's focus on operational efficiency and patient-centered care also plays a critical role in sustaining its financial performance.

DaVita Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

DaVita Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with consistent financial performance and strategic investments in technology and clinical research as highlights. However, challenges such as a decline in treatment volumes and issues with integrated kidney care present notable lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Financial Performance
Third quarter adjusted operating income was $517 million, and adjusted earnings per share were $2.51, consistent with internal expectations.
Strong Clinical Research Contributions
DaVita Clinical Research maintains over 250 research sites, has conducted more than 500 clinical trials, and contributed to the FDA approval of dozens of ESKD drugs.
Investment in Technology and Innovation
Continued investments in technology infrastructure, including AI solutions, to improve clinical care and drive long-term cost efficiencies.
Share Repurchase Program
Year-to-date repurchases of approximately 10 million shares, representing about $1.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Treatment Volume
U.S. treatment volume was down approximately 1.5% year-over-year, impacted by factors like Hurricane Helene and a severe flu season.
Challenges with Integrated Kidney Care
Q3 adjusted operating loss for Integrated Kidney Care was $21 million, with variability in timing and revenue recognition.
Day Mix and Missed Treatment Rate
Volume was affected by an unfavorable day mix and elevated missed treatment rates.
Company Guidance
During the DaVita Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, anticipating adjusted operating income between $2.035 billion and $2.135 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $10.35 to $11.15. In Q3, DaVita reported adjusted operating income of $517 million and adjusted earnings per share of $2.51. The U.S. treatment volume was down approximately 1.5% year-over-year, attributed to factors like Hurricane Helene, a severe flu season, and a cyber incident. Despite these challenges, DaVita emphasized ongoing investments in technology infrastructure and AI to enhance patient care and operational efficiency. Looking ahead to 2026, the company highlighted several swing factors, including volume recovery, payer mix, and the timing of Integrated Kidney Care (IKC) revenue, as they await the final 2024 results from the government CKCC program.

DaVita Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DaVita shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with declining profit margins and high financial leverage. The cash flow position is stable, though recent declines in free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
DaVita's income statement shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a TTM growth rate of 1.49%. However, there is a decline in gross profit margin from 32.91% in 2024 to 24.05% in TTM. Net profit margin has also decreased slightly from 7.31% to 6.35% in the same period. Despite these declines, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively stable, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a negative equity position in TTM, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -33.02. This high leverage poses a risk, as evidenced by the negative return on equity of -25.95%. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in free cash flow growth of -26.76% in TTM, reflecting potential cash flow challenges. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.63, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.32B12.82B12.14B11.61B11.62B11.55B
Gross Profit4.26B4.22B3.82B3.40B3.65B3.56B
EBITDA2.50B2.72B2.32B2.06B2.48B2.25B
Net Income771.91M936.34M691.53M560.40M978.45M773.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.74B17.29B16.89B16.93B17.12B16.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments736.48M846.00M391.67M321.78M484.21M345.06M
Total Debt14.88B12.07B11.12B11.82B11.98B11.19B
Total Liabilities16.22B15.19B14.15B14.70B14.75B14.09B
Stockholders Equity-571.87M121.12M1.06B712.33M755.51M1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.29B1.47B1.49B961.14M1.29B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow1.89B2.02B2.06B1.56B1.93B1.98B
Investing Cash Flow-739.80M-771.43M-771.80M-630.35M-784.73M-825.37M
Financing Cash Flow-1.53B-816.94M-1.17B-1.12B-1.08B-1.85B

DaVita Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price119.02
Price Trends
50DMA
130.86
Negative
100DMA
135.17
Negative
200DMA
142.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.02
Positive
RSI
30.40
Neutral
STOCH
20.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 119.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.57, below the 50-day MA of 130.86, and below the 200-day MA of 142.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DVA.

DaVita Risk Analysis

DaVita disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DaVita reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DaVita Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$13.81B10.3119.97%0.37%10.21%39.58%
$15.69B21.874.72%2.93%1.11%25.84%
$18.33B14.3034.51%-0.56%-53.50%
$6.28B22.8024.11%0.45%6.45%-4.77%
$11.47B21.5024.96%0.55%11.13%27.60%
$8.40B12.265.14%4.37%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVA
DaVita
119.02
-22.57
-15.94%
CHE
Chemed
431.30
-98.22
-18.55%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
26.84
7.45
38.42%
EHC
Encompass Health
113.85
15.57
15.84%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
206.49
50.36
32.26%
UHS
Universal Health
217.01
12.63
6.18%

DaVita Corporate Events

DaVita’s Earnings Call: Balanced Sentiment Amid Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

DaVita Healthcare’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting consistent financial performance and strategic investments in technology and clinical research. However, the company faces challenges such as a decline in treatment volumes and issues with integrated kidney care.

DaVita Inc. Reports Steady Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 30, 2025

DaVita Inc., a leading provider of kidney care services, operates in the healthcare sector with a focus on dialysis treatments. The company has a significant presence both in the United States and internationally, providing care to patients with chronic kidney disease.

Business Operations and Strategy
DaVita Announces Strategic Initiative for Operational Efficiency
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

DaVita has announced a strategic initiative aimed at enhancing its operational efficiency and improving patient care. This move is expected to strengthen DaVita’s position in the healthcare industry by streamlining its processes and potentially leading to better outcomes for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVA) stock is a Hold with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DaVita stock, see the DVA Stock Forecast page.

DaVita Healthcare’s Resilient Earnings Call Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

DaVita Healthcare’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, showcasing strong financial performance and cost management despite facing challenges such as a cyber incident and elevated mortality rates. The company demonstrated resilience and strategic progress, although issues with treatment volumes and adherence to new pharmaceutical protocols remain.

DaVita Healthcare Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 6, 2025

DaVita Healthcare, a leading provider of kidney care services, operates in the healthcare sector with a focus on delivering dialysis treatments across the globe. The company is recognized for its commitment to patient care and its extensive network of dialysis centers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025