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Chemed (CHE)
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Chemed (CHE) AI Stock Analysis

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Chemed

(NYSE:CHE)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$470.00
▲(8.97% Upside)
Chemed's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and moderate valuation, but is tempered by bearish technical indicators and operational challenges highlighted in the earnings call. The company's solid balance sheet and strategic initiatives provide a foundation for future growth, though cost pressures and cash flow trends require careful monitoring.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The steady increase in VITAS revenue, driven by higher days-of-care and Medicare reimbursement rates, indicates strong demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term growth.
Balance Sheet Strength
A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects prudent financial management, providing Chemed with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust operating cash flow indicates efficient cash generation, supporting ongoing operations and potential investments, despite recent declines in free cash flow growth.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressures
The decline in Roto-Rooter's EBITDA margin due to increased SG&A costs suggests operational inefficiencies, which could impact profitability if not addressed.
VITAS Medicare Cap Limitations
Ongoing Medicare Cap limitations pose a structural challenge, potentially affecting revenue predictability and requiring strategic adjustments to mitigate impacts.
Free Cash Flow Decline
The negative trend in free cash flow growth could constrain Chemed's ability to fund new initiatives or return capital to shareholders if it persists.

Chemed (CHE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chemed Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChemed Corporation provides hospice and palliative care services to patients through a network of physicians, registered nurses, home health aides, social workers, clergy, and volunteers primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments, VITAS and Roto-Rooter. It offers plumbing, drain cleaning, excavation, water restoration, and other related services to residential and commercial customers through company-owned branches, independent contractors, and franchisees. The company was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyChemed generates revenue primarily through its VITAS Healthcare segment, which earns money by providing hospice services reimbursed by Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurers. The company receives payment based on a per diem rate for each patient, which varies according to the level of care required. In addition to hospice care, Chemed's Roto-Rooter segment contributes to revenue through plumbing and drain cleaning services, charging customers on a fee-for-service basis. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers and participation in healthcare reimbursement programs further enhance Chemed's revenue streams, enabling it to maintain a steady influx of patients and contracts.

Chemed Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrated growth in key areas such as VITAS admissions and Roto-Rooter residential plumbing revenues. However, margin pressures and declines in independent contractor revenues for Roto-Rooter, alongside challenges with VITAS Medicare Cap limitations, balanced out the positive aspects. The company's strategic initiatives show promise but are tempered by operational challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
VITAS Admissions Improvement
VITAS achieved a 5.6% increase in admissions during the quarter, with a focus on hospital-based admissions reaching a high of 44.5%, marking a post-pandemic period high.
Roto-Rooter Residential Plumbing Growth
Residential plumbing revenue for Roto-Rooter increased by 8.2% in the third quarter compared to the same period in 2024, driven by targeted campaigns.
VITAS Revenue Growth
VITAS net revenue increased by 4.2% compared to the prior year, with a 2.5% increase in days-of-care and a 4.1% increase in Medicare reimbursement rates.
Roto-Rooter Branch Revenue Growth
Roto-Rooter branch residential revenue increased by 3.4% and commercial revenue increased by 2.8% for the quarter compared to the prior year.
Negative Updates
Roto-Rooter Independent Contractor Decline
Revenue from independent contractors declined 4.7% in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period of 2024, attributed to resourcing constraints.
Roto-Rooter Margin Pressure
Roto-Rooter's adjusted EBITDA decreased by 12.4% year-over-year, with a 351 basis point decline in adjusted EBITDA margin due to increased SG&A costs from paid leads.
VITAS Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for VITAS excluding Medicare Cap declined by 3.8% from the prior year, with a 157 basis point decrease in adjusted EBITDA margin.
VITAS Medicare Cap Limitations
A $6.1 million Medicare Cap billing limitation was accrued in the third quarter, with $4.6 million for Florida and $1.5 million for other programs, indicating ongoing challenges.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Chemed Corporation provided guidance indicating a mixed performance across its divisions, with VITAS Healthcare showing a 4.2% increase in net revenue to $407.7 million, driven by a 2.5% increase in days-of-care and a 4.1% rise in Medicare reimbursement rates, despite a 3.8% decline in adjusted EBITDA. The company successfully navigated the Florida Medicare Cap issue, reducing the expected billing limitation to $18.9 million and projecting no cap limitation for 2026. Roto-Rooter reported a 1.1% revenue increase, with residential and commercial revenues rising by 3.4% and 2.8%, respectively, though independent contractor revenue fell by 4.7%. The transition from unpaid to paid leads led to a 3.6 million increase in SG&A costs, impacting EBITDA margins. Despite these challenges, Chemed reaffirmed its annual guidance of $22 to $22.30 per share, excluding specific noncash expenses and discrete items, citing seasonal factors and operational improvements expected in the fourth quarter as key contributors to achieving its financial targets.

Chemed Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chemed shows a strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow generation remains robust despite recent declines in free cash flow growth. The company is well-positioned in the medical care facilities industry, but should monitor cost pressures and cash flow trends closely.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Chemed demonstrates solid revenue growth with a TTM increase of 7.45%, although slightly lower than previous years. The gross profit margin has decreased to 30.97% in the TTM, indicating potential cost pressures. Net profit margin is stable at 11.02%, reflecting consistent profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly declined, suggesting some operational efficiency challenges.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, indicating prudent financial management. Return on equity is robust at 24.37%, showcasing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong with a coverage ratio of 1.44, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has turned negative in the TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 85.89%, suggesting efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.53B2.43B2.26B2.13B2.14B2.08B
Gross Profit815.90M854.35M798.82M765.09M769.80M701.39M
EBITDA436.53M464.29M414.34M393.44M411.23M454.93M
Net Income278.81M302.00M272.51M249.62M268.55M319.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.62B1.67B1.67B1.44B1.34B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments129.75M178.35M263.96M74.13M32.90M162.68M
Total Debt141.47M140.84M155.11M247.01M323.54M135.41M
Total Liabilities546.94M549.58M560.22M643.30M719.45M533.71M
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.12B1.11B798.72M623.27M901.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow360.44M367.97M273.44M252.56M249.92M430.46M
Operating Cash Flow419.65M417.50M330.30M309.89M308.60M489.29M
Investing Cash Flow-55.91M-143.91M-60.64M-59.40M-57.76M-61.56M
Financing Cash Flow-472.44M-359.19M-79.83M-209.25M-380.62M-271.21M

Chemed Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price431.30
Price Trends
50DMA
447.74
Negative
100DMA
461.68
Negative
200DMA
517.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Negative
RSI
43.71
Neutral
STOCH
42.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 431.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 438.33, below the 50-day MA of 447.74, and below the 200-day MA of 517.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHE.

Chemed Risk Analysis

Chemed disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chemed reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chemed Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$2.17B26.018.54%14.29%7.85%
$10.40B32.9817.57%0.14%17.71%41.83%
$1.85B17.8110.65%2.09%25.19%13.44%
$4.25B20.8815.02%17.06%5.03%
$6.28B22.8024.11%0.49%6.45%-4.77%
$8.40B12.265.14%4.37%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHE
Chemed
431.30
-91.60
-17.52%
ADUS
Addus Homecare
116.89
-12.07
-9.36%
OPCH
Option Care Health
26.03
3.54
15.74%
DVA
DaVita
119.02
-25.92
-17.88%
NHC
National Healthcare
119.44
5.33
4.67%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
180.10
26.98
17.62%

Chemed Corporate Events

Chemed Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Performance
Oct 30, 2025

Chemed Corporation is a diversified company operating in the healthcare and plumbing sectors, primarily through its subsidiaries VITAS Healthcare Corporation and Roto-Rooter. VITAS is the largest provider of end-of-life care in the United States, while Roto-Rooter is the leading provider of plumbing and drain cleaning services in North America.

Chemed’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

Chemed’s Recent Earnings Call: A Mixed Bag of Growth and Challenges

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025