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Chemed (CHE)
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Chemed (CHE) AI Stock Analysis

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Chemed

(NYSE:CHE)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$526.00
▲(14.98%Upside)
Chemed's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance with robust growth in key areas but is offset by technical weaknesses and recent negative corporate events. Despite high operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions boosting growth, the lowered earnings guidance and technical downturn present challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Roto revenues came in much better and grew year over year, which is a welcome sign given the declines last year.
Market Demand
Google searches for 'plumbing' in Q1 2025 jumped 16% quarter-over-quarter, indicating strong demand for Roto-Rooter services.
Pricing Strategy
Roto has the ability to push higher prices to consumers while most of its services are need-based, providing a potential advantage.
Negative Factors
Demand Imbalance
Commercial demand showed improvement but was not enough to offset weak residential demand.
Medicare Cap
The Medicare cap will be a $20m or 4% headwind in 2025, which was not a surprise given the Q1 disclosures.
Regional Performance
Admissions in Florida were weaker in April-May, and Roto residential was worse than expected.

Chemed (CHE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chemed Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChemed Corporation (CHE) is a diversified public company that operates through two primary subsidiaries: VITAS Healthcare and Roto-Rooter. VITAS Healthcare is a leading provider of end-of-life hospice care services in the United States, delivering a range of healthcare services to terminally ill patients and their families. Roto-Rooter is the largest provider of plumbing and drain cleaning services in North America, serving both residential and commercial customers with a variety of repair and maintenance solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyChemed Corporation generates revenue through its two main business segments: VITAS Healthcare and Roto-Rooter. VITAS Healthcare earns money primarily from Medicare and Medicaid reimbursements, as well as private insurance and private pay sources, by providing hospice care services which include medical care, pain management, and emotional support to patients and families. Revenue is largely dependent on the number of patients served and the level of care provided. Roto-Rooter contributes to Chemed's revenue by offering plumbing repair and drain cleaning services to residential and commercial clients. Income is generated from service fees and sales of related products. The company benefits from its strong brand recognition and extensive service network, which includes a mix of company-owned and independent franchise locations. Significant factors that contribute to Chemed's earnings include demographic trends such as an aging population, regulatory changes in healthcare, and economic conditions affecting consumer spending on home maintenance services.

Chemed Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -21.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with strong growth in VITAS admissions and revenue, supported by strategic acquisitions such as Covington Health. However, Roto Rooter faced challenges with declining EBITDA and contractor revenue, alongside the need to carefully manage Medicare cap constraints. While there are positive growth indicators, particularly for VITAS, Roto Rooter's performance and cap management issues present notable hurdles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in VITAS Admissions
VITAS admissions totaled 18,139 in the first quarter of 2025, a 7.3% improvement compared to the same period in 2024. The average daily census expanded by 13.1% to 22,244.
VITAS Revenue and EBITDA Increase
VITAS net revenue was $407.4 million in Q1 2025, a 15.1% increase from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA, excluding Medicare cap, grew by 15.9% to $70.3 million.
Acquisition of Covington Health Boosts Performance
The Covington Health acquisition, completed on April 17, 2024, positively impacted revenue, adjusted net income, and EBITDA by 3-4%.
Roto Rooter Commercial Revenue Growth
Roto Rooter branch commercial revenue increased by 7.3% in Q1 2025, driven by a 38% rise in excavation and a 14% increase in water restoration.
Negative Updates
Decline in Roto Rooter's Overall EBITDA
Roto Rooter's adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2.4% compared to the prior year quarter, with a margin decline of 108 basis points.
Reduction in Revenue from Independent Contractors
Revenue from Roto Rooter's independent contractors declined by 6.4% in Q1 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.
Challenges with Medicare Cap Management
The focus on hospital-based admissions, which come later in the disease trajectory, limits revenue and EBITDA margin growth but provides needed Medicare cap cushion.
Company Guidance
During Chemed Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Key metrics included VITAS admissions totaling 18,139, an increase of 7.3% from the previous year, and an average daily census (ADC) of 22,244, up 13.1% year-over-year. VITAS net revenue rose by 15.1% to $407.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA growing 15.9% to $70.3 million. The acquisition of Covington Health contributed positively to revenue and EBITDA by 3-4%. Roto Rooter reported a 1.8% revenue increase, with branch residential and commercial revenues rising by 1.7% and 7.3%, respectively. Despite a 6.4% decline in revenue from independent contractors, Roto Rooter's adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 24.7%. The call highlighted strategic efforts to manage the Medicare cap and expand operations in Florida, with new programs in Pasco and Marion counties. Chemed maintained its earnings guidance and expressed optimism about sustaining growth through organic expansion and acquisitions.

Chemed Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chemed exhibits strong financial health characterized by consistent revenue growth, healthy profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company's low leverage and strong equity position provide financial stability, although careful monitoring of cash reserves and debt levels is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Chemed's income statement shows a strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, achieving a 3% increase in the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. The company maintains healthy profit margins, with a TTM gross profit margin of 51.5% and a net profit margin of 12.4%. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin shows a slight decrease from the previous year's 12.4%, suggesting some margin pressure.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio is robust at 68.5%, reflecting strong shareholder equity relative to total assets. Return on equity is substantial at 26.1%, highlighting efficient use of equity. However, the decrease in cash and short-term investments and a slight increase in debt over the years may pose potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Chemed demonstrates strong cash flow management with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.18, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.02, reflecting solid free cash flow generation. While the free cash flow growth rate has seen some fluctuations, overall cash flow stability supports the company's financial flexibility and ability to invest in growth opportunities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.43B2.26B2.13B2.14B2.08B
Gross Profit854.35M796.55M765.09M769.80M701.39M
EBITDA464.29M414.34M393.44M411.23M454.93M
Net Income302.00M272.51M249.62M268.55M319.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67B1.67B1.44B1.34B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments178.35M263.96M74.13M32.90M162.68M
Total Debt140.84M155.11M247.01M323.54M135.41M
Total Liabilities549.58M560.22M643.30M719.45M533.71M
Stockholders Equity1.12B1.11B798.72M623.27M901.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow367.97M273.44M252.56M249.92M430.46M
Operating Cash Flow417.50M330.30M309.89M308.60M489.29M
Investing Cash Flow-143.91M-60.64M-59.40M-57.76M-61.56M
Financing Cash Flow-359.19M-79.83M-209.25M-380.62M-271.21M

Chemed Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price457.46
Price Trends
50DMA
538.13
Negative
100DMA
563.20
Negative
200DMA
560.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-26.35
Positive
RSI
27.36
Positive
STOCH
15.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 457.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 497.19, below the 50-day MA of 538.13, and below the 200-day MA of 560.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -26.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.36 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHE.

Chemed Risk Analysis

Chemed disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chemed reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chemed Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.03B24.2715.38%16.98%-17.76%
71
Outperform
$3.20B36.077.85%5.34%
69
Neutral
$8.12B26.5217.66%0.18%16.80%39.99%
CHCHE
66
Neutral
$6.69B22.2826.11%0.44%8.52%10.36%
EHEHC
65
Neutral
$10.81B22.1525.33%0.62%11.21%30.38%
SESEM
64
Neutral
$1.87B10.9910.38%1.72%-8.86%-36.22%
52
Neutral
$7.47B-0.04-63.86%2.34%16.17%0.25%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHE
Chemed
457.46
-83.62
-15.45%
AMED
Amedisys
97.47
-0.13
-0.13%
OPCH
Option Care Health
29.94
-0.39
-1.29%
EHC
Encompass Health
110.36
25.57
30.16%
SEM
Select Medical
14.77
-5.44
-26.92%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
138.85
3.62
2.68%

Chemed Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Chemed Lowers Earnings Guidance for 2025
Negative
Jun 27, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Chemed Corporation announced that it expects lower earnings for the second quarter and has reduced its full-year guidance for 2025. This announcement may impact the company’s operations and industry positioning, potentially affecting stakeholders’ expectations and market confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHE) stock is a Buy with a $708.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemed stock, see the CHE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Chemed Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on Key Decisions
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Chemed Corporation held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key decisions were made. The entire Board of Directors was elected, the 2025 Stock Incentive Plan was approved, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the company’s independent accountants for the year ending December 31, 2024. Additionally, the executive compensation program was approved on a non-binding basis. A proposal to reduce the stockholder threshold for calling a special meeting was not presented due to the absence of the proponent or a representative.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHE) stock is a Buy with a $708.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemed stock, see the CHE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025