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The Ensign Group (ENSG)
NASDAQ:ENSG
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The Ensign Group (ENSG) AI Stock Analysis

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ENSG

The Ensign Group

(NASDAQ:ENSG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$189.00
▲(9.76% Upside)
The Ensign Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, contributing to a robust overall score. However, technical indicators suggest the stock may be overbought, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. These factors moderate the overall score.

The Ensign Group (ENSG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Ensign Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Ensign Group, Inc. provides health care services in the post-acute care continuum and other ancillary businesses. The company operates in two segments, Skilled Services and Real Estate. The company offers skilled services, which include short and long-term nursing care services for patients with chronic conditions, prolonged illness, and the elderly; and physical, occupational, and speech therapies and other rehabilitative and healthcare services. It also provides standard services, such as room and board, special nutritional programs, social, recreational, entertainment, and other services. In addition, the company offers senior living, as well as mobile diagnostics services; leases real estate properties; and provides other ancillary services consisting of digital x-ray, ultrasound, electrocardiogram, laboratory, sub-acute, and patient transportation services to people in their homes or at long-term care facilities. As of April 4, 2022, it operated 252 healthcare facilities in Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Nevada, South Carolina, Texas, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in San Juan Capistrano, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Ensign Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of skilled nursing and assisted living services. Its revenue model includes billing for patient care services, which are typically reimbursed by government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, as well as private pay sources. Key revenue streams include daily room rates, therapy services, and ancillary services provided to residents. Additionally, Ensign has a strategy of acquiring and managing underperforming healthcare facilities, which allows it to improve operational efficiency and increase profitability over time. The company also benefits from partnerships with healthcare providers and payers, enhancing its service offerings and revenue potential.

The Ensign Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive with record occupancy and skilled census, raised earnings and revenue guidance, and strong financial performance. However, concerns remain regarding potential indirect impacts from legislative changes and challenges in acquisition environments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Occupancy and Skilled Census Increase
Second quarter records for same-store and transitioning occupancy increased by 2% and 4.6% to 82.1% and 84%, respectively, over the prior year quarter. Skilled census increased for both same-store and transitioning operations by 7.4% and 13.5%, respectively, over the prior year quarter.
Raised 2025 Earnings and Revenue Guidance
Annual 2025 earnings guidance raised to between $6.34 and $6.46 per diluted share, up from $6.22 to $6.38. This represents an increase of 16.4% over 2024 results. Annual revenue guidance increased to $4.99 billion to $5.02 billion, up from $4.89 billion to $4.94 billion.
Successful Acquisition and Growth Strategy
Added 8 new operations, including 3 real estate assets, and 710 new skilled nursing beds plus 68 senior living units across California, Idaho, and Washington. 12 out of 17 operations from a recent acquisition achieved 4- or 5-star ratings from CMS.
Strong Financial Performance
GAAP diluted earnings per share was $1.44, an increase of 18%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $1.59, an increase of 20.5%. Consolidated GAAP revenue and adjusted revenue both increased by 18.5%.
Negative Updates
Potential Indirect Impacts from Legislative Changes
Concerns about indirect impacts from the One Big Beautiful Bill related to smaller Medicaid budgets, which may affect future funding.
Challenges in Acquisition Environments
Valuations for acquisitions are moderately increasing, and there are challenges in competitive pricing in certain markets.
Company Guidance
During The Ensign Group's Quarter 2 earnings call, the company announced an increase in its annual 2025 earnings guidance to between $6.34 and $6.46 per diluted share, up from the previous range of $6.22 to $6.38. This new midpoint represents a 16.4% increase from 2024 and a 34% increase over 2023 results. The company also raised its annual revenue guidance to a range of $4.99 billion to $5.02 billion, reflecting strong performance in occupancy, skilled mix, and recent acquisitions. Ensign reported record-setting quarter metrics, including a 2% increase in same-store occupancy to 82.1% and a 4.6% increase in transitioning occupancy to 84%. Skilled census growth was noted at 7.4% for same-store and 13.5% for transitioning operations. The company continued its strategic growth by adding 8 new operations, expanding its presence in mature markets, and maintaining a disciplined approach to acquisitions. The call also highlighted the company's significant cash reserves of $364 million and available credit capacity of $593 million, emphasizing financial strength and readiness for future investments.

The Ensign Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Ensign Group exhibits commendable financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, efficient cash management, and moderate leverage. The main area of focus should be optimizing the balance between debt and equity to further enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The Ensign Group demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 9.1% increase in revenue over the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. Gross profit margin improved to 17.1%, indicative of solid operational efficiency. Net profit margin increased to 7.0%, showing enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 8.6% and 11.2% respectively, reflecting effective cost management and earnings capability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity stands at 16.0%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholders' equity. The equity ratio of 40.9% suggests a stable asset base financed by equity, although there is room to reduce debt levels further.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free cash flow growth rate is strong at 46.5% over the last year, underpinning solid cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.43, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.86, reflecting a healthy cash flow position relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.61B4.26B3.73B3.03B2.63B2.40B
Gross Profit847.08M883.60M590.76M517.99M468.21M407.47M
EBITDA521.53M461.46M353.24M360.38M320.84M281.54M
Net Income322.80M297.97M209.40M224.68M194.65M170.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.93B4.67B4.18B3.45B2.85B2.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments418.44M526.85M526.86M331.71M275.96M250.01M
Total Debt2.04B1.97B1.87B1.57B1.27B1.11B
Total Liabilities2.91B2.83B2.68B2.20B1.83B1.73B
Stockholders Equity2.02B1.84B1.49B1.25B1.02B818.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow276.76M188.95M270.49M184.97M206.13M323.02M
Operating Cash Flow462.89M347.19M376.67M272.51M275.68M373.35M
Investing Cash Flow-557.41M-390.05M-182.70M-186.18M-173.91M-58.67M
Financing Cash Flow-18.84M-2.16M-612.00K-32.26M-76.14M-137.30M

The Ensign Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price172.19
Price Trends
50DMA
153.72
Positive
100DMA
146.01
Positive
200DMA
141.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.80
Negative
RSI
73.24
Negative
STOCH
76.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ENSG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 172.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 163.55, above the 50-day MA of 153.72, and above the 200-day MA of 141.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ENSG.

The Ensign Group Risk Analysis

The Ensign Group disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Ensign Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Ensign Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$11.54B9.6918.66%0.44%9.61%39.65%
76
Outperform
$9.85B30.6817.57%0.14%17.71%41.83%
75
Outperform
$15.91B11.5341.09%-1.09%-43.10%
73
Outperform
$12.28B23.8425.35%0.55%11.80%30.02%
71
Outperform
$1.59B12.038.15%1.95%-16.10%-48.97%
69
Neutral
$1.73B16.6910.65%2.21%25.19%13.44%
51
Neutral
$7.83B-0.18-40.10%2.29%21.46%-2.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ENSG
The Ensign Group
172.19
22.37
14.93%
EHC
Encompass Health
123.58
32.57
35.79%
NHC
National Healthcare
111.97
-20.63
-15.56%
SEM
Select Medical
13.05
-6.03
-31.60%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
181.95
17.28
10.49%
UHS
Universal Health
182.41
-52.33
-22.29%

The Ensign Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
The Ensign Group Announces Leadership Transition Plans
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

Christopher Christensen, who has been with The Ensign Group since 1999 and served as Executive Chairman since 2019, announced his retirement effective September 1, 2025. Barry Port, the current CEO, will take over as Chair of the Board. Additionally, Marivic S. Uychiat, a long-time executive with the company, will join the Board, bringing her extensive experience in clinical services and healthcare management. These changes mark a significant transition in the company’s leadership, potentially impacting its strategic direction and governance structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025