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Fresenius Medical Care Corp. (FMS)
NYSE:FMS

Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) AI Stock Analysis

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FMS

Fresenius Medical Care

(NYSE:FMS)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(20.20% Upside)
Fresenius Medical Care's overall score is driven by strong earnings call performance and fair valuation, offset by technical analysis indicating bearish trends and financial performance challenges. The company's strategic initiatives and share buyback program are positive, but operational and market challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Strong Organic Revenue Growth
The 10% organic revenue growth indicates robust demand for Fresenius Medical Care's products and services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term revenue stability.
FME25+ Program Savings
The FME25+ program's sustainable savings improve operational efficiency and margin sustainability, enhancing long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Strategic Investment in Value-Based Care
The strategic investment in Interwell Health strengthens Fresenius' Value-Based Care segment, aligning with industry trends and potentially driving future growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow suggests potential cash management issues, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
U.S. Same-Market Treatment Growth
Minimal growth in U.S. same-market treatments indicates challenges in expanding patient base, potentially limiting revenue growth in a key market.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
Unfavorable foreign exchange impacts can reduce profitability and create financial volatility, affecting long-term financial performance.

Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fresenius Medical Care Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA provides dialysis care and related dialysis care services in Germany, North America, and internationally. It offers dialysis treatment and related laboratory and diagnostic services through a network of outpatient dialysis clinics; materials, training, and patient support services comprising clinical monitoring, follow-up assistance, and arranging for delivery of the supplies to the patient's residence; and dialysis services under contract to hospitals in the United States for the hospitalized end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients and for patients suffering from acute kidney failure. The company also develops, manufactures, and distributes dialysis products, including polysulfone dialyzers, hemodialysis machines, peritoneal dialysis cyclers, peritoneal dialysis solutions, hemodialysis concentrates, solutions and granulates, bloodlines, renal pharmaceuticals, and systems for water treatment; and non-dialysis products, such as acute cardiopulmonary and apheresis products. In addition, it develops, acquires, and in-licenses renal pharmaceuticals; offers renal medications and supplies to patients at homes or to dialysis clinics; and provides vascular, cardiovascular, endovascular specialty, vascular care ambulatory surgery center, and physician nephrology and cardiology services. The company sells its products to dialysis clinics, hospitals, and specialized treatment clinics directly, as well as through local sales forces, independent distributors, dealers, and sales agents. As of February 23, 2022, it operated 4,171 outpatient dialysis clinics in approximately 150 countries. Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Bad Homburg, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyFresenius Medical Care generates revenue primarily through two key segments: the production of dialysis products and the operation of dialysis clinics. In the products segment, the company sells dialysis machines, consumables, and other related medical devices to hospitals and clinics, which provides a steady revenue stream from both domestic and international markets. The services segment, which constitutes a significant portion of revenue, involves operating a global network of outpatient dialysis clinics, where patients receive treatments. The company is compensated for these services through reimbursement from public and private health insurance plans, which varies by region. Additionally, FMS benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and payers that enhance its service offerings and patient access, further contributing to its earnings. Continuous innovation in product development and a focus on improving patient outcomes also play crucial roles in maintaining competitive advantages and driving revenue growth.

Fresenius Medical Care Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected an overall positive sentiment with strong organic revenue and operating income growth, significant contribution from phosphate binders, and continued savings from the FME25+ program. However, challenges such as low U.S. same-market treatment growth, earnings fluctuations in Value-Based Care, and unfavorable foreign exchange impacts were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Revenue Growth
In the third quarter, the company realized strong organic revenue growth of 10%, with positive contributions from all three operating segments.
Operating Income Growth
Operating income growth increased for a third consecutive quarter and accelerated to 28%, driving a step change in profitability with the operating income margin expanding from 9.9% to 11.7%.
Phosphate Binders Contribution
The contribution from phosphate binders in the pharma business is expected to be around EUR 180 million for the full year, significantly above the initial expectation of EUR 100 million.
FME25+ Program Savings
Continued momentum in the FME25+ program generated a further EUR 47 million in sustainable savings in the quarter, bringing the total savings for 2025 to EUR 174 million.
Share Buyback Program
The company announced an initial share buyback of EUR 1 billion, with a first tranche of up to EUR 600 million having commenced in August.
Improved Patient Care Initiatives
Treatment adherence improved, and antimicrobial interventions reduced infection rates by 70%. Flu vaccination rates were 34% higher compared to the previous year.
Negative Updates
U.S. Same-Market Treatment Growth
U.S. same-market treatment growth was slightly positive at 0.1%, reflecting the carryover effect from elevated mortality and improving admissions.
Value-Based Care Earnings Fluctuations
Value-Based Care faced delays to 2026 by CMS in providing reporting data for the CKCC program, leading to quarterly earnings fluctuations and a slightly more negative operating income contribution.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
Foreign exchange rates developed unfavorably with a negative EUR 24 million translational impact on the financial results.
Elevated Medical Benefit Costs
Higher labor costs were driven by elevated medical benefit costs, influencing the overall cost structure.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Fresenius Medical Care reported strong financial performance, with a 10% organic revenue growth and a 28% increase in operating income. This resulted in an expansion of the operating income margin from 9.9% to 11.7%. The company's FME25+ program contributed EUR 47 million in sustainable savings for the quarter, bringing total savings for the year to EUR 174 million. Additionally, Fresenius initiated a share buyback program, repurchasing 4.35 million shares for EUR 188 million by the end of October. The company maintained its guidance for 2025, expecting to achieve the top end of its low single-digit revenue growth range and reaffirming its operating income growth target of high teens to high 20s percent.

Fresenius Medical Care Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fresenius Medical Care demonstrates stable profitability and improved leverage, but faces challenges in sustaining revenue growth and managing cash flows effectively. The company shows potential for operational improvements and better cash management to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Fresenius Medical Care shows a stable gross profit margin around 25%, indicating consistent cost management. The net profit margin has improved slightly to 3.36% in TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, revenue growth has been volatile, with a significant 64% increase in TTM, which may not be sustainable. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, but lower than historical highs, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.83 in TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity has increased to 4.7%, showing improved profitability from equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset financing structure. However, the overall leverage remains relatively high, posing potential risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is strong, but free cash flow has declined by 13.18% in TTM, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting that not all earnings are translating into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.84, indicating good cash conversion from profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.64B19.34B19.45B19.40B17.62B17.86B
Gross Profit4.91B4.76B4.93B4.89B4.77B5.54B
EBITDA2.72B3.21B3.21B3.42B3.55B4.13B
Net Income718.20M537.91M499.00M673.40M969.31M1.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.89B33.57B33.93B35.75B34.37B31.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26B1.34B1.56B1.46B1.64B1.26B
Total Debt10.47B11.00B12.08B13.21B13.32B12.38B
Total Liabilities16.98B17.80B19.10B20.30B20.39B19.36B
Stockholders Equity12.95B14.58B13.62B13.99B12.70B11.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.78B1.69B1.94B1.44B1.64B3.18B
Operating Cash Flow2.51B2.39B2.63B2.17B2.49B4.23B
Investing Cash Flow-423.49M-84.94M-544.23M-734.73M-1.20B-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow-2.16B-2.57B-1.86B-1.62B-1.02B-2.66B

Fresenius Medical Care Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.63
Price Trends
50DMA
23.49
Negative
100DMA
24.78
Negative
200DMA
25.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
33.49
Neutral
STOCH
18.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.38, below the 50-day MA of 23.49, and below the 200-day MA of 25.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FMS.

Fresenius Medical Care Risk Analysis

Fresenius Medical Care disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fresenius Medical Care reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We need to develop new internal functions to perform certain business services that Fresenius SE provided to us prior to the Conversion. Q4, 2023
2.
As a company with operations spanning 150 countries, we face specific risks from our global operations. Q4, 2023

Fresenius Medical Care Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$10.29B31.6016.98%0.14%18.61%35.76%
76
Outperform
$12.45B9.4719.97%0.35%10.21%39.58%
74
Outperform
$17.15B13.8034.51%-0.56%-53.50%
65
Neutral
$12.47B15.525.31%3.29%4.09%13.17%
64
Neutral
$10.08B18.9424.94%0.65%11.13%27.53%
59
Neutral
$7.33B10.905.14%4.37%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
21.63
-1.09
-4.80%
DVA
DaVita
105.84
-59.01
-35.80%
EHC
Encompass Health
102.80
8.99
9.58%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
201.32
68.55
51.63%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
183.54
47.38
34.80%
UHS
Universal Health
204.19
20.89
11.40%

Fresenius Medical Care Corporate Events

Fresenius Medical Care Accelerates Second Tranche of €1 Billion Share Buyback
Jan 12, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Fresenius Medical Care AG announced it will continue its EUR 1 billion share buyback program, originally unveiled in June 2025, by launching a second tranche after completing the first tranche ahead of schedule on December 29, 2025. Under the new tranche, the company plans to repurchase approximately EUR 415 million of its own shares on the stock exchange between January 12 and May 8, 2026, with the intention of predominantly redeeming the shares and using a smaller portion for incentive-based compensation, thereby accelerating completion of the overall buyback authorized by shareholders at the May 20, 2021 Annual General Meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMS) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fresenius Medical Care stock, see the FMS Stock Forecast page.

Fresenius Medical Care Appoints New Global Chief Medical Officer
Dec 10, 2025

Fresenius Medical Care announced the appointment of Charles Hugh-Jones as the new Global Chief Medical Officer, effective January 1, 2026, succeeding Franklin W. Maddux who will retire by the end of the year. This transition is part of a strategic move to strengthen the company’s leadership in renal care, with Hugh-Jones bringing extensive experience from his previous roles in major pharmaceutical companies. The appointment is expected to enhance Fresenius Medical Care’s position in the industry and support its ongoing efforts to innovate and improve patient care.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMS) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fresenius Medical Care stock, see the FMS Stock Forecast page.

Fresenius Medical Care Issues €500 Million Bond to Strengthen Financial Position
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care successfully placed a €500 million bond maturing in November 2030 with a coupon of 3.250%, resulting in a yield of 3.334%. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including refinancing existing financial liabilities. This strategic financial move under Fresenius Medical Care’s Debt Issuance Program is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its ongoing operations, further solidifying its position in the renal care industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMS) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fresenius Medical Care stock, see the FMS Stock Forecast page.

Fresenius Medical Care Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Progress
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care announced its third-quarter results, highlighting a 28% growth in operating income and a 10% increase in organic revenue. The company reported significant progress in its FME Reignite strategy, achieving substantial savings and advancing its share buyback program. Despite divestments affecting revenue, the company confirmed its full-year outlook, indicating a positive trajectory in financial performance and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMS) stock is a Sell with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fresenius Medical Care stock, see the FMS Stock Forecast page.

Fresenius Medical Care Unveils New Value-Based Care Segment in Q3 2025 Report
Nov 4, 2025

Fresenius Medical Care AG released its interim financial report for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The company has restructured its operations by introducing a new Value-Based Care segment as of June 1, 2025, to enhance its focus on value-based kidney care. This strategic move is expected to improve the company’s market positioning by aligning its internal management reporting with recent changes. The report highlights the company’s financial condition and results of operations, providing insights into its performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (FMS) stock is a Sell with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fresenius Medical Care stock, see the FMS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025